Sunday, September 30, 2012

SUNDAY MORNING ....

Four nice freebie previews for you this weekend, the Angers match on Friday ( see below) a  winner at odds of 2.11 on the Reading-Newcastle game and another in J-League both of which were posted on Facebook and finally, a great way to finish off your Saturday entertainment with the draw in the Whitecaps- Sounders match ( below), which ended scoreless. Four from four at odds of up to 3.44.

Details of the full service below, contact me on gowi8@btinternet.com with any questions and news of an upcoming happy hour special.

Good Luck.

Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com 


SIX YEARS BLOG RESULTS 

COUNTRY BY COUNTRY BREAKDOWN

TWITTER

Over the last 25 weeks I have previewed  over 555 events on the email service and put up 473 red type selections, stakes were  a total of 582.75 units and returns 710.64 units, a ROI of 121.95 % and a profit of 127.89  units.
 
A £50  flat stake would have earned you almost £ 6,395 at the rate of just under £256 per week.
Nearly all selections were freely available to back on the asian handicap, or for big four figure liquidity on the exchanges.

BUT THE SERVICE HAS SO MUCH MORE TO OFFER THAN THAT. 

In addition to the red type selections, I have also put up "suggestions" in this sequence that have won at odds of 28-1 LINK  25-1 LINK , 9-1 LINK, 12-1 LINK 8-1 and many others, none of which are included in the profits shown above. 

Email service details and samples on this LINK
 
Good Luck.

Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com

Saturday, September 29, 2012

MLS REGULAR SEASON..... DRAWING TO A CLOSE


MLS: VANCOUVER WHITECAPS - SEATTLE SOUNDERS

I am keen on the draw in this match up between two west Coast rivals batlling for post season places. Seattle are secure in fourth 12 points and with a game in hand of sixth placed FC Dallas ( top five make the playoffs), but every point is vital ,as they jostle for a stronger finishing position, a top three place means avoiding the extra game ( "play in" round.... which is a very stupid name), like a wildcard game if you are familiar with the NFL. The Sounders are currently a point behind both Galaxy and Real SL, currently in second and third, having played a game less and so avoiding defeat tonight will be a priority and a point very valuable.

Whitecaps had lost five in a row, before stopping the rot with a 2-2 draw against poor traveller Colorado last week, they are currently in that desired fifth place with a two point edge over FC Dallas who travel to Conference leaders San Jose later tonight, so a point would proably be seen as one gained, rather than two lost. Fourth spot is beyond them, so their only aim is to stay ahead of Dallas, they have woeful Chivas and Portland to host after this, so a point tonight should suffice.

Hosts are without suspended speedy right winger Dane Richards ( 26-3-2 for Red Bulls and Whitecaps). Offensively,  the Sounders might be boosted by the return of Mauro Rosales( 22-2-11) who sets up so many of their chances, but this is not yet confirmed, they will also give late tests to central defender Patrick Ianni (16-1-1) and German midfielder Christian Tiffert (7-0-2) . The visitors have already drawn eight of their 15 road games and another would help both tonight. 1.25 units Vancouver-Seattle draw 3.30 +... there is some 3.40 around , 3.44 with Pinnacle.

Good Luck.

Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com

J- LEAGUE......... ONE DOWN, TWO TO GO

The Angers match ( see below) went comfortably "over" . Today I have three emails scheduled for subscribers, the first was sent yesterday @ 16.00 and covered this morning's J-League fixtures. They made a small profit. Omiya drew, the Sanfreece-Sagan match produced five goals and Vissel managed to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory, blowing a 2-0 lead, which is tough to take when you have backed them off level ball ! However, the results are kind of immaterial, it is meant more as a sample. This is less than one third of the content subscribers to the email service ( details) will receive today and for which most pay circa two euros per day to get delivered direct to their inbox.

I will definitely post an active preview or two on here on the Facebook page later in the day and there have already been tweets for the early game on our Twitter page.

Contact : gowi8@btinternet.com

SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 29TH

Next email will be at 10.00 UK time Saturday.

J- LEAGUE

Just eight rounds left to play, but most teams still have something to play for. Urawa's 5-0 home loss to Gamba would have got the teams immediately behind them in the table very interested, with third place carrying with it a Champions League spot.

OMIYA ARDIJA- YOKOHAMA MARINOS

Hosts did us a big favour recently with a 1-0 home defeat of Sagan and need to keep producing the goods here if they are to stay out of the drop zone. Consecutive cleansheets and five goals at woeful Consadole would have done wonders for their confidence, they can make it three from three today and I favour them getting a handicap start. Holding midfielder Yosuke Kataoka ( 11-0-1) is listed as injured, but has not played in four weeks and missed the two wins. Yokohama still have an outside chance for a top 3 place, but realistically look booked for mid table and after winning on the road last week at Kashima ( who were a defensive shambles) might feel that is enough for the time being and we could see them more focused for the visit from the league leaders next week. They have not kept a clean sheet in eight and conceded two or more in seven of those and the newly found defensive solidity of the hosts might just see them home, as they should score. 1.5 units Omiya Ardiya +0.25 ball 1.98 asian line. Yokohama have scored 58% of their goals in the last 30 minutes. Seven of the last ten h2h meetings here have ended in draws.

SANFREECE HIROSHIMA- SAGAN TOSU

The visitors are nine points adrift of Hiroshima and failure to win today would end any lingering title hopes, victory would make the rest of the season very interesting for them and is surely worth the gamble. They have not enjoyed their last two visits here, losing both 5-1. including a cup match earlier this season. They arrive in pretty good shape in terms of injuries and buoyed by a very nice 3-1 win over Kashiwa last week, they are without suspended right back Ryuhei Niwa, who is an ever present this season ( 26 appearances -0 goals -1 assist), actually he has played in the last 46 league games and must be considered a big loss defensively. They have the tighest defence in J-league, or at least the stingiest, but I feel they are a little better offensively than the goals "for" column suggests and they will probably need to be today without Niwa.

One look at the league table will tell you what Sanfreece have to play for, but with the lead, comes all the pressure and they are having to collect points the hard way, being without a cleansheet in nine and seven of their last ten matches going "over". They are without versatile central defender/ midfielder Hwang Seok Ho(14-0-1) and a couple of long term injuries, but nothing serious. First goal should see this match get stretched. I will opt for 1.25 units "over" 2.5 goals 1.95 asian line. If you are following this "in play", it might take a while for this to warm up, Sagan have scored 69% and conceded 67% of their goals after the break. Hosts like to produce all their excitement very late, scoring 36% and conceding 32% of all their goals in the final 15 minutes.

VISSEL KOBE- CEREZO OSAKA

I must admit to having switched my opinion slightly here, I was originally keen on the draw, the two teams sit five and four points respectively outside the drop zone and a point each would be useful. But I expected the hosts to be asked to give up a quarter ball and off level, I have to favour them. First up, they have two on the road after this, trips to strong home side SSP and a six pointer with Albirex and to go into those without something from this game, could be very costly. By contrast, Cerezo have two home games to come and the pressure on them to get a result today, is not quite so great. I felt Vissel were very unlucky to lose 2-1 at second placed Sendai last week, they led and created several really good chances to restore the lead, before conceding the winner. They should take some heart from the performance and several others recently, where they have not got their just reward, but they need to quickly stop the rot after four matches without a win. They won this fixture 4-1 last season and also the reverse match this season 2-1. No confirmed injury problems of real note for either side. 1.5 units Vissel Kobe level ball 1.97 asian line. Vissel are vunerable before the break having conceded 43% of their goals between the 15th and 45th minute.

Elsewhere, if betting in "running"....

They must put something in the Albirex Niigata drinks at the break, they have not scored a single goal between the 46th and 60th minute all season.

Shimizu S-Pulse have conceded 39% of their goals in the last 15 minutes and today host VegaltaSendai, who have scored 72% of their goals after the break, 30% in the last 15 minutes. So a good chance for the visitors to get on the scoresheet late in this one.

Good Luck.
 
Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com

Friday, September 28, 2012

FRIDAY .....

Hugely busy couple of days in prospect and you will be able to read sample content from my daily email service (details) on here, Twitter and Facebook right through the weekend, so please try to check them all out.

FRANCE: LIGUE 2

ANGERS - LE MANS


I think we will see goals in this match, we have spoken of Le Mans a couple of times and most comments have centred around the fact that they are unpredictable, but have goals in them and their eight league starts have averaged 3.0 goals , 0.63 above the Ligue 2 mean. They have really done incredibly well as the squad had little time to ready themselves for second tier football, after getting a late relegation reprieve. They arrive without long term suspended centre back Khaled Adenon (2-0-0) and striker Fousseyni Cisse (6-3-1), but they have scored twice in each of the games he has missed. Keeper Georgi Makaridze has missed all season so far the Georgian stopper impressed in a struggling Le Mans side last season, he kept 5 clean sheets in thirteen 2012 starts, just 11 goals in total and four defeats in that sequence, a run which probably saved his team from relegation. Angers look far more prolific upfront this season and did some good business over the summer, defensively they seem a little more suspect and have kept just one cleansheet in ten starts. They are without centrebacks Marc Zoro (4-0-0) and Derek Decamps and with doubts about another in Fabian Boyer ( 8-0-0) and also holding midfielder Vincent Manceau ( 8-0-0) , both of whom are key. They could be short of options in central defence and missing protection for the backline, against a young enthusiastic team with a direct style and goals in them, but which have also conceded two or more in four starts. Goals surely. 1.5 units "over" 2.25 goals 2.00 asian line.

Angers : Malicki, Letellier, Diallo, Couturier, Boyer (late test), Hénin, Fall, Manceau (late test), Frikeche, Auriac, Diers, Ravet, Gomez, El Jadeyaoui, N’Samé, Keserü, Doré.

Le Mans : Beunardeau, Janot - Cuffaut, Doumbia, Koné, Buaillon, Kassaï, Thomas, Zito, Derouard, Sanson, Baby, Momi, Sylla, Maurice, Belfort.
 
Good Luck.
 
Contact : gowi8@btinternet.com

Wednesday, September 26, 2012

WEDNESDAY ....

I hope that you have all been checking out the previews on Facebook (see link to the left), this was posted yesterday .....

Preston North End v Middlesbrough

Boro looked good in a 2-1 win at Championship leaders on Friday night, with Lukas Jutkiewicz coming into the side for his first start of the season and scoring both goals. The young Polish striker scored nine goals before Christmas in a struggling Coventry City side last season and now looks ready to make a big contribution for boss Tony Mowbray, who was really

enthusiastic about the offensive options he now has.

Marvin Emnes, Merouane Zemmama, Mustapha Carayol and Josh McEachran give them a real classy look going forward , Jonathan Woodgate has been immense at the back, but left the field on Friday and will not be risked tonight. However, having got so much confidence from the win , they will want to build on that and keep the momentum up and it has also increased competition for starting places, especially amongst the strikers. The extra 20 hours or so recovery time is pretty key too, as it meant they could have a full day's training on Sunday.


Preston's early season promise has tailed off a little, they lost 2-1 here to Crawley recently and it could have been 5-1 and conceded three at an average, albeit over achieving at the moment, Walsall team at the weekend, they did put five past Hartlepool inbetween, but Pool gifted them two early goals there.


North End are still a work in progress and Boro should be up to winning this and have not lost to a L2 team in almost three decades in the League Cup.


1.25 units Middlesbrough level ball 1.88 asian line.
 
Boro won comfortably and there were also two other previews on there over the weekend, one winning selection and another where we were cruelly robbed late in the match.

The GOWI Twitter page @clubgowi  LINK is proving very popular and is extremely active with some one line snippets from my email service on there most days.
 
Please try and check them all out.

However, the only place where you can get to read all the content is the email service and you can read full details of that on this LINK.
 
Good Luck.
 
Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com

Monday, September 24, 2012

THE CASH COLLECTION ....UPDATE


Over the last 25 weeks I have previewed  over 555 events on the email service and put up 473 red type selections, stakes were  a total of 582.75 units and returns 710.64 units, a ROI of 121.95 % and a profit of 127.89  units.
 
A £50  flat stake would have earned you almost £ 6,395 at the rate of just under £256 per week.
Nearly all selections were freely available to back on the asian handicap, or for big four figure liquidity on the exchanges.

BUT THE SERVICE HAS SO MUCH MORE TO OFFER THAN THAT. 

In addition to the red type selections, I have also put up "suggestions" in this sequence that have won at odds of 28-1 LINK  25-1 LINK , 9-1 LINK, 12-1 LINK 8-1 and many others, none of which are included in the profits shown above. 

Email service details and samples on this LINK
 
Good Luck.

Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com

Saturday, September 22, 2012

MORE GOALS AT ST MARY'S ....

SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 22nd

Five from five correct yesterday in France, four in Ligue 2 and the early bet on St Etienne. That is fantastic of course, but I still went to bed disappointed after Tiger Woods shot a poor second round 73, he is still well in the mix, but needs a good round today.

All my Saturday notes are in this email and you will not hear from me again until tomorrow morning @ 09.00 UK time.

I do have one selection for Brazil today, but the Sunday matches make far more appeal and the MLS fixtures are disappointing, with teams I wanted to back/ oppose facing each other.

EPL : SOUTHAMPTON - ASTON VILLA

I think that Saints have put an awful lot of pressure on themselves for this match, ever since the fixture list came out and they were due to play Arsenal and both Manchester clubs in their first four starts, it was a case of "the league starts with the Villa game", now, coming into the match with zero points, they have kind of forced themselves into a must win position. I heard pre season that the board wanted to replace Nigel Adkins, so maybe they are not too downhearted with their start and his position will be very precarious if the hosts do not win today. Villa have not won on the road since Janauary, but had a nice win over Swansea City last week and really need to start picking up points away from Birmingham, so they will probably see this as important as their hosts.Villa have scored in their last four in all competitions and boss Paul Lambert, who has a good eye for a striker, feels he has unearthed a gem with young Belgian international Christian Benteke, who scored on his debut last week and was averaging almost a goal every two games for Genk. He only played 20 minutes against Swansea, but caused havoc and could have added to his tally, Lambert called him "unplayable" in his post match interview and the club are expecting huge things from him. With Benteke, N'Zogbia, Agbonlahor and Darren Bent all available, Villa suddenly look to have goals in then and with Saints already having conceded 14, at least two in each, they are going to struggle to keep the visitors out and cope with the pressure. I am going to suggest Aston Villa to score two or more, something they have not done very often in 2012, but which they now look better equipped to do, odds are a huge looking 2.75 + with a couple of companies, but 2.50+ is widely available and is acceptable for 1.25 units.

FRANCE : LIGUE 1
 
PREVIEW RESTRICTED.

CHAMPIONSHIP :

PREVIEW RESTRICTED .

BRAZIL : SERIE A
PREVIEW RESTRICTED .

Good Luck.
 
Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com

Friday, September 21, 2012

FRIDAY..... THE WEEKEND STARTS HERE....

FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 21st

After a very solid start to the week we have given a couple of units back over the last two days, Anzhi conceded an injury time winner, Tottenham had three goals disallowed, at least one and probably two of which were "good".AVB put out a strong line up, including Defoe, Bale, Dembele and Lennon, which vindicated the thinking that Andre Villas-Boas would treat the tournament with great respect, unlike Happy Harry last season.

On a happier note, Tiger is tied for the lead after the first round of the Tour Championship ( see below) and those of you who are of the "take a profit" persuasion, can close out at circa 1.67 on Betfair/ exchanges. Here are a few  comments from his post round interview....

THE MODERATOR: Tiger Woods joins us in the interview room, after a 4 under par 66. Tiger, quick start, two birdies on the first three holes, and then two coming in on those last four. Comment on the day as a whole for us.
TIGER WOODS: As a whole, I played well today. I hit a lot of good shots. Made a few putts out there, but actually I had a couple of good up and downs, which is nice. This golf course was, I think it was probably gettable today. Because it was playing so hot the ball was flying forever.
And you know, with the fairways being soft, just you can drive it in the fairway, you can be aggressive. Just hope you don't get a mud ball out there. Unfortunately, I had two of those out there today. But that's the way it goes.

Q. You were playing quite well today. Your distance control was great, especially on the greens. Do you feel you left a few putts out there?
TIGER WOODS: Yeah, but I hit a lot of good putts too. So I'm not really disappointed in that at all. I hit them online, but I just didn't have enough speed on a couple of the putts. The green was snagging it late, and they dove across the front part of the lip.

Q. You looked very relaxed on the golf course. Was that the case, and what benefit does that have for you?
TIGER WOODS: I've been playing well. You know, most of the summer I've played well, so I'm very pleased with the things that Sean and I are working on, and it's just a continuation of it. It was nice to get that week off last week and get a little bit of rest. I felt fresh today.

Q. Obviously, there are a lot of courses that suit you. But what is it about this place that you perform so well and seem so comfortable with?
TIGER WOODS: It's one of those courses?? I don't know. I've had a few golf courses that fit my eye, but they're all very different. You know, you've got Torrey or Firestone, Muirfield, here, Augusta, they're all very different golf courses, and I've played well on them quite a few times. I think it's just I prefer the old, traditional golf courses like this. Trouble is just right there in front of you. It's very simple, but it's hard.
It's rare that you see guys go low here, but it's very simple. Really, not a lot of trouble out here, but guys just have a hard time getting it low out here.

Q. You mentioned today that the greens were perfect. Would you attribute your play a little bit to the pace of play in such a small field that you were able to get into a rhythm?
TIGER WOODS: You know, we were talking about that out there today, Rory and I. It's so nice to be able to play like this. We wish every tournament had this kind of pace of play, where we can get up and just play. I think everyone enjoys it. No one enjoys playing six hours out there.
But everyone enjoys playing at this pace. It's nice and fast, and very little wait, and we're just going. Sometimes it's hard to keep up with the group in front of you. That's nice.

There will be a follow up email at 18.00 today, covering some of the early Saturday action, main focus of which will be J-League and in that, I will also outline the plans and schedule for the rest of the weekend.

Football all the way now and I have also reproduced our early Ligue 1 bet for this evening, at the foot of the email .

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 :

Four matches to discuss today, comments are going to be brief, but I will cover all the important points.
GAZELEC AJACCIO- ANGERS

FULL PREVIEW RESTRICTED

GFC Ajaccio : Maury, Rastello - Rachidi, Landre, Bocognano, Laïfa, Seymand, Colinet, Romey, Poggi, Touré, Saadi, Colloredo, Mandrichi, Chevalier, Verdier, Dufau, Sinapi. 
 
Angers : Malicki, Letellier - Fall, Hénin, Diallo, Frikeche, Boyer - Gomez, Ravet, El Jadeyaoui, Auriac, Manceau, Diers - Keserü, N'Samé, Doré.

LAVAL - CAEN

We should see two very motivated teams here. Hosts have scored just once inside 90 minutes in five home league and cup games, that game came against struggling Niort and even that goal was outside regulation, as it came in injury time ! They will be keen to put in a performance in front of their own supporters. The visitors will definitely be looking to bounce back after their home defeat to Le Mans last week and they won three in a row after their first loss of the season, so the omens are good.

To be honest, Caen could have won easily last week, but little went their way and Le Mans keeper Jeremie Janot was in inspired form and when he wasn't standing in their way, the woodwork was. Laval had better luck, coming back from 1-0 down entering the final quarter of the match, to record an unlikely 3-1 win at Sedan.

Caen will have old hand Nicolas Seube ( 6-0-0) back in the holding role and his calming influence will be very welcome, fellow defensive midfielder Laurent Agouazi (4-1-1)  has passed a test and travelled, the visitors have conceded only twice in the four matches both have started. Left back Alexandre Raineau ( 3-0-0) and striker Romain Poyet (7-0-0) are missing along with a couple of fringe players.

Hosts are without strikers Ghislain Gimbert (5-0-0) and Jerome Lebouc (4-0-0), plus key defenders Pierre Talmont (6-0-0) and Makan Traore (6-0-0), arguably their two best performers this season.

Injuries look much worse for Laval and their lack of goals in a huge concern, defensively they look weaker, especially down the left and they will not be gifted two goals and a way back into the game  (like v Sedan), so easily tonight if they fall behind. 1.5 units Caen level ball 1.96 asian line.


Laval : Balijon, Hautbois - Belaud, Adéoti, Falette, Rose, Perrot, Gonçalves, Betsch, Le Baron, Gamboa, Hamdi, Ewolo, Traoré, Viale, Do Marcolino. 
 
Caen : Perquis, Bosmel - Calvé, Wague, Pierre, Sorbon, Guerreiro, Agouazi, Seube, Fajr, Moulin, Cuvillier, Nangis, Nabab, Duhamel, K. Traoré.

LE HAVRE- NANTES

FULL PREVIEW RESTRICTED 
 
Le Havre : Placide, Boucher - Rivierez, Genton, Touré, Mendy, Louvion, Nouri, Zola, Mesloub, Bonnet, Fontaine, François, Koïta, Malfleury, Rivière.
 
Nantes : Riou, Zelazny - Cichero, Cissokho, Djilobodji, Madouni, Veigneau, Bessat, Deaux, Eudeline, Pancrate, Touré, Trébel, Veretout, Djordjevic, Gakpe, Mayenga.
RACING CLUB LENS- MONACO
 
FULL PREVIEW RESTRICTED

Lens : Kasraoui, Riou - Bergdich, Démont, Nomenjanahary, Touré, Yahia, Baal, Coeff, Ducasse, Le Moigne, Sow, Valdivia, Diakité, Pollet, Touzghar. 
 
Monaco : Caillard, Sourzac, Subasic - Appiah, Kagelmacher, Raggi, Tzavellas, Wolf, Bajrami, Dingomé, Dirar, Ferreira Carrasco, Mendy, Ndinga, Poulsen, Barazite, Germain, Touré.

PGA :TOUR CHAMPIONSHIP: TOP 4  ( Written 20/09)

This is a bet I am VERY keen on, it is one from the school of the blindingly obvious, but i make no excuses for that. It is not often I back Tiger, but I did put him up as a maximum bet at the end of last season and he obliged and now he is back to , if not exactly his best, then as good as he has been in three years and this competition is tailor made for him. Just 30 elite runners and you could make a case for ruling out maybe a third, in what is the strongest line up for years. We have the Ryder Cup starting next week, that is an event which transcends golf and one which will distract a lot of players this week, who will have won eye on Medinah, 17 of the field will be playing there. I doubt Tiger will have his mind anywhere other than East Lake and he has a good record this season ahead of major events, with two of his three wins coming in his last outing before a Major and the other with just one tournament inbetween.

Woods ended last year with wins in the Chevron Challenge and Presidents Cup and in 2012 has started 18 US Tour events, winning three and posting five other top four placings, that is a 44.44% ( odds 2.25) for him to post a top four finish and most of those events had fields almost five times the size of this one . We spoke the last month about how we have had two tremendous tournaments in the Playoffs series with the cream rising to the top, in the Deutsche Bank and BMW Championships with the best of the best fighting it out right to the line. Tiger finished top four in each and having seen Rory McIlroy win both, he will be hugely motivated to win this one and the course suits him perfectly.

REST OF THE CONTENT IS RESTRICTED...

I just cannot see Tiger out of contention, he is in top form and on a course where he is very comfortable. 1.75 unitsTiger Woods 2.44 + on the exchanges Top 4 finish ( there is £4k plus available on Betfair at this price +), my own price in a 100% book was 1.90 so this offers real value.

LIGUE 1: MONTPELLIER - ST ETIENNE (Written 18/09)

FULL PREVIEW RESTRICTED 
 
Good Luck.
 
Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com




Wednesday, September 19, 2012

WEDNESDAY NOTES ....

WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 19th

Brentford ( half) and Porto both won yesterday and the week has begun well (4/4). The Champions League started with a bang and some terrific action, apart from once again at the San Siro, where the hosts are going to have to change their name to Milan 0 . Three home starts, no goals and the locals are not happy !

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE:
PREVIEW RESTRICTED 

 
MLS : COLUMBUS CREW- CHIVAS USA

The Crew will have two of their most valuable players available to start tonight, Federico Higuain's toe contusion has healed and keeper Andy Gruenebaum is also available after colliding with the woodwork in New York. The Argentine striker ( 7 appearances-3 goals -5 assists), big brother of Gonzalo, really hit the ground running ar Crew, which is a rarity in the MLS, where the game is played at high tempo, but he has not contributed in his last two outings and maybe the pace is catching up with him. Gruenebaum is considered key and their MVP through the opening half of the campaign when Crew were struggling for goals, but he has conceded 13 in his last seven starts and the increased productivity at one end of the pitch, as come at a cost. This match is huge for them, after consecutive losses, three points would take them back into the playoff spots, ahead of a very tough looking trip to Chicago at the weekend. BTW the top five in each Conference automatically make the playoffs now in the MLS, a much better rule, with everything far more clear cut. Also out for Crew are midfielder Bernardo Anor (11-1-0 not played for two months) and central defender Carlos Mendes (11-0-0 only lost twice when he played).

Chivas are ..... REST OF THE PREVIEW IS RESTRICTED

LEAGUE 2: BURTON ALBION- YORK CITY

I  discussed York City ahead of their second match of the season, a 2-2 draw at Morecambe .... City are ambitious and after taking eight years to reclaim their league status, they have no intention of fighting a relegation battle this season. They added a lot of league experience to their squad in the summer and they should be in for a solid season. They opened with a 3-1 home loss to Wycombe Wanderers, afterwards boss Gary Mills said “Certain things could have been done better by ourselves on Saturday but we can put them right. I certainly didn’t think Wycombe were any better than us as a team." His side have tended to start slowly at home in each of the last couple of seasons ( losing 2 of 3 last season, but still promoted), whilst playing with more freedom on the road, where they only lost three times all season. Two of the goals conceded came from possession lost in midfield, they looked far more secure in this area after the introduction of Jon Challinor, Matty Blair and John McReady in the second half, all of whom will be pressing for starting places, defender Lanre Oyebanjo ( 9 clean sheets in his last 15 starts) and striker Jamie Reed      ( 26 goals last season for York and Bangor) both sat out at the weekend, but are expected to play some part tonight.

Quite pleased with that write up, City are unbeaten in six since then, including four on the road in which they scored seven goals, they have clearly come to terms with life in League 2 and are even playing with a bit of a swagger, they can go sixth with a win tonight and that is a big incentive. The board is supporting the team and allowed them to travel down very early to Devon for the match with Exeter on Saturday, even training there on Friday, the Grecians were second going into that game and the vistors really should have taken all three points, leading for half an hour and then almost resnatching the lead at the death. Home boss Gary Mills has almost an entirely full squad to choose from with Chris Doig, Scott Kerr, Oli Johnson and Dave McGurk all back in training. Kerr is still a couple of weeks away from getting back to 100% ,but the only other doubt is over Jamie Reed who is still recovering from injury and sat out training on Monday.

Hosts have been scoring freely at times, putting four past Oxford United here at the weekend and six in the AFC Wimbledon net, sandwiched inbetween was a 1-0 loss at home to Fleetwood Town
, the Dons are defensively a shambles and the match against United was a strange one, Albion scored four wonder goals and you really have to see them to understand what I mean LINK and they were not a real reflection on the game as a whole.
Albion boss Gary Rowett , to give him his due, was a little embarassed after the match, at least at the margin of victory, anyhow, United and Wimbledon are in freefall and very low on confidence, City most definitely are not and will provide a much sterner challenge for the hosts tonight. For Burton, striker Billy Kee (4-1-0) will be a doubt after suffering from a sickness bug ( these things also have a habit of spreading quickly) and left sided midfielder Chris Palmer (3-0-0)  has joined John McGrath and Jimmy Phillips on the sidelines with an ankle injury, which leaves them increasingly short of midfield options. 1.25 units York City level ball 2.07 asian line.
Good Luck.
 
Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com

Tuesday, September 18, 2012

TUESDAY UPDATE ....

Plenty of you got to see all my daily notes over the weekend, we did well last week, but were a bit unlucky, with several teams unable to hold onto leads, when seemingly well on top in matches where time was running out ( far too slowly !), but that is football and it is hard to complain too much when we have hit a ROI of over 22% with red type selections alone over the last six months ( see post below).

The GOWI Twitter page @clubgowi  LINK is proving popular and is very active with some one line snippets from my email service on there most days.

 I have previewed three matches in my notes, two for today and one for later in the week. Two I cannot share on here or Facebook ( see link to left of this post) because of the content and the third is pretty hastily written and not up to my normal standards, so I have no wish to openly publish that, the other two are mini masterpieces of course !  But I will definitely have a preview or two to share either here or on FB later in the week, probably one tomorrow, so please check back.

Good Luck.

Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com




Monday, September 17, 2012

COUNT YOUR MONEY MONDAY .............

 
Over the last 24 weeks I have previewed  over 530 events on the email service and put up 447 red type selections, stakes were  a total of 547.75 units and returns 670.61 units, a ROI of 122.43 % and a profit of 122.86  units.
 
A 80 euro flat stake would have earned you over 9,828 euros at the rate of almost 410 euros per week.
Nearly all selections were freely available to back on the asian handicap, or for big four figure liquidity on the exchanges.

BUT THE SERVICE HAS SO MUCH MORE TO OFFER THAN THAT. 

In addition to the red type selections, I have also put up "suggestions" in this sequence that have won at odds of 28-1 LINK  25-1 LINK , 9-1 LINK, 12-1 LINK 8-1 and many others, none of which are included in the profits shown above. 

Email service details and samples on this LINK
 
Good Luck.

Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com

Sunday, September 16, 2012

THE REVOLUTION WILL BE TELEVISED .....

SUNDAY SEPTEMBER 16TH

I try not to get too het up about one result, they don't matter too much in the bigger scheme of things, but the failure of New England Revolution to claim at least one point and to score at least two goals was tough to take, if any of you have not seen it and are of a masochistic bent, here are eight minutes of highlights LINK.

All of today's football is in this email, just NFL in the follow up.

I don't want to get too far ahead of ourseleves, but we have a hugely promising week on the horizon, I have two very solid picks for Ligue 2 tomorrow and some big ideas for midweek, when we have Champions and Europa League action, plus a full round of Football League matches and it looks like we might have two maximum stake bets in the next seven days, only the fourth and fifth of 2012 !

BRAZIL: SERIE A

BAHIA - FIGUEIRENSE
PREVIEW RESTRICTED TO SUBSCRIBERS 

 NAUTICO RECIFE- ATLETICO MINEIRO

The visitors will be greedily eyeing up the three points on offer as, following Fluminense's shock loss last night, the win will take Atletico back to the top of the table. However, I have kind of already played my hand for this one, when I wrote about the hosts ahead of the midweek game at Gremio .....
 This fixture begins a really tough sequence of games for them (Nautico), after meeting third placed Gremio tonight, they have to then play the top two in quick succession. Nautico sit in 13th just five points clear of the relegation places and have not won in three, the pressure is really on them to get a result soon and as we have discussed previously in this tough league, sometimes you have to pick your battles. They are 1-2-9 on the road having scored just seven goals and 82% of their points have come on home soil. I suspect they will give their full attention to the visit from Atletico-MG at the weekend, tonight I am not so sure. Especially if they opt to play Souza in the holding role again alongside Dada , a combination they have used once previously at Cruzeiro when Elicarlos was injured and it was not a success. It also looks like striker Keiza (10-7-1) will be saved for the weekend and I feel that is the match they will be focused on this week.

As expected, they lost that 2-0, they are without suspended centre back Jean Rolt ( 13-0-0) but no other confirmed absences and it looks like Kieza ( 10-7-1) will play. Atletico have two big suspensions of their own with central defender Leonardo Silva ( 20-5-1) and striker Guilherme (14-3-0) both out, they have lost just 1 in 20 when Silva plays, one in three without him. Gulherme is a back up striker , but has started the last three, with main front man Jo (17-6-5) injured. They have not won in five on the road and weakened offensively and missing a key central defender, it will be tough for them here against a team who are solid on home soil ( 7-2-2) and just as hungry for the points. The hosts go to a hurt Fluminense next weekend and deperately need the win, the visitors will probably see a point as very acceptable. 1.5 units Nautico +0.25 ball 1.88 asian line.

EPL : READING - TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR

PREVIEW RESTRICTED TO SUBSCRIBERS 

SPAIN: LA LIGA : OSASUNA - REAL MALLORCA


PREVIEW RESTRICTED TO SUBSCRIBERS

Good Luck.

Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com

Friday, September 14, 2012

FRIDAY UPDATE ....

Disappointing result in East London, where the Bees showed all their potential, passed Orient to death and thumped them 0-1 !

That result aside, I always feel a sense of excitement the weekend after the international break, normality returns, football is as it should be and all is right within my little world !

I do not see much point in posting too many match previews on here over the weekend, as you all of you had/ still have, the opportunity to get the notes in full until Sunday ( seven emails), full instructions are on the Facebook page, just click the link to the left of this post .

Today's first email contains Ligue 2 and Championship football, the follow up email will take a first look at the Saturday action, including the morning J-League matches..... so, something for everyone !

Good Luck.

Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com


Thursday, September 13, 2012

THURSDAY ....

Full details of that free offer ( see post below) are now up on the GOWI Facebook page, click the FB link to the left of this post to read it .

Good Luck.

Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com

Wednesday, September 12, 2012

WEDNESDAY UPDATE ....

Pretty much all of you should have got a "delayed" copy of today's email notes. It contained previews of four MLS/ Brazilian matches along with a completely free offer. If you have not seen it yet, please check your inbox, if it is not there, please email me at gowi8@btinternet.com and I will forward a copy. This is open to everyone.

The Brentford-Leyton Orient match is live on Sky tomorrow, I was very tempted to go as a) I am completely free, which is rare on matchdays and b) I have a friend who supports Orient and the last two times we have gone together, the Bees have won by a 6-0 aggregate ! However, we are talking about Brentford on television here ( the Bees are on the box... wooh !) and the chance to make the whole family suffer ( enjoy the experience) with me !  I guess it has to be the television option this time , the pro/con ratio is too great ,as my friend is going to rub my nose in it big time if Orient win and the Bees are on television wooh !

Good Luck.

Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com

Tuesday, September 11, 2012

TUESDAY .......


TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 11th

Wins for St Patricks Athletic 
( odds 2.14) and Andy Murray (odds 3.22) made for a very solid start to the week and hopefully we can build on that today.

2014 WORLD CUP QUALIFICATION:

UEFA :

BELGIUM - CROATIA

We discussed Belgium on Friday ....

This really is the time for the visitors to come good, they have a really talented group of individuals and should be playing at major championships. In a tough group with Croatia , Serbia and Scotland, they need to hit the ground running and three points here will take the pressure off the visit from Croatia next midweek.
Eden Hazard, Moussa Dembele, Vincent Kompany, Thomas Vermaelen, Simon Mignolet, Jan Vertonghen, Marouane Fellaini, Kevin Mirallas and Romelu Lukaku are all well known to fans of the EPL and are almost all big players at big clubs,  Axel Witsel has recent joined fellow international Nicolas Lombaerts at Zenit St Petersburg , who paid 40 m euros for his services. The whole squad play at big clubs across Europe, are packed with talent and they HAVE to go to Brazil. This is a golden generation and they have to end a decade plus of underachievement.

For Wales,Gareth Bale (definitely), Aaron Ramsey and Joe Allen ( possibly) could make the visiting squad, the others would not even come into consideration and there is a big gulf in class, between the two groups. The hosts have not won for new boss Chris Coleman, are injury hit and looked really poor against Bosnia recently, where they hardly troubled the visitors. at the same time Belgium were enjoying a morale boosting 4-2 win over their Dutch neighbours. No goals there in the opening 20 minutes, so maybe we will get that 2.0 in running, if you can't wait, you could try a  little on them winning by two or more, which I have seen at 3.40/3.50, they could run riot if the fancy takes them.
They won in Wales 2-0, creating a lot of chances, 22 in total ,half of which were on target, although to be fair, the hosts did have to play well over an hour with ten men. At the same time Croatia were beating Macedonia 1-0 in Zagreb, but were far from impressive and only the woodwork saved them from conceding a late equaliser. The visitors are very talented but need a match fit Luka Modric to be seen at their best and he has only played 56 minutes of league football and had a very disrupted pre season with his on-off transfer to Real Madrid ,only finally going through a couple of weeks ago. He played against Macedonia but was not 100% and he was not the only one, new coach Igor Stimac admitted that several of his squad were "only half fit" and whilst they will come on for the outing, this really is a match that the hosts should now be looking to win....... REST OF THE PREVIEW IS RESTRICTED

CONMEBOL:

PERU- ARGENTINA

I doubt Argentina are looking forward to this too much, the hosts have alreday hinted at a physical approach to take care of Messi and the team bus was stoned in Lima yesterday, security is high around the team hotel and the atmosphere inside the stadium is going to be very intimidating.That is not to say that the Peruvians are without talent, they finished third at the 2011 Copa America under Sergio Markarian and started the WC campaign full of optimism, but they have been badly hit by injuries through early group games and currently lie four points off the playoff spot, five away from automatic qualification, they have only played six rounds so far, but defeat tonight would leave them with a mountain to climb, hence the tension in Lima.....
 
REST OF THE PREVIEW IS RESTRICTED

CHILE- COLOMBIA

Colombia looked very impressive in a 4-0 defeat of Uruguay on Friday and any team with Radamel Falcao and Teofilo Gutierrez up front and in such good form , is going to carry a massive goal threat. However and there is always an however, conditions are going to be very different tonight, on Friday they played in sweltering Barranquilla with ..... 
 
REST OF THE PREVIEW IS RESTRICTED
 
Good Luck.
 
Contact : gowi8@btinternet.com
 
 

Sunday, September 09, 2012

BLOG POST # 4,000 : BIG PHIL TO SINGH WHEN HE'S WINNING ....

BMW CHAMPIONSHIP

LEADERBOARD

-16 MICKELSON  64 -4
-16 SINGH   69 -3
-15 WESTWOOD  68 -4
-15 McILROY 69 -5
-14 SCOTT  66 -2
-14 GARRIGUS  66 -5
-14 DJ JOHNSON  67 -3
-13 WOODS  71 -6
-12 McDOWELL  69 -1
-12 ZACH JOHNSON  68 -6
-12 VAN PELT  71 -1
-11 five golfers
 
What a leaderboard ! Last week I spoke about the cream rising to the top and it has happened again and then some. Eight of the named golfers are ranked inside the top 22 in the World, three in the top 4, but it is more than that, if you asked the casual sports fan to name six active golfers, five would probably be on this list. It is a sponsor and televison executive's dream and viewing figures will be through the roof in the US.

Figures to the right of each golfer are their 3rd round score and their totals for the closing six holes this week, it is very hard not to see this being decided coming down the home straight and these holes, which include two par 3's, two long par 4's and a reachable par 5, with hazards a plenty, are going to make for some fun viewing ! I am excited already !

Crooked Stick GC , just north of Indianapolis has not hosted a major tour event since the 1991 PGA Championship. No consecutive holes are laid out in the same direction and golfers must constantly adjust to wind from a different tack. Long holes are followed by short holes, and shots calling for right-to-left flight are followed by shots requiring a left-to-right path.Those closing six holes are a microcosm of the course as a whole and will be a tournament within a tournament.
I am not going to spend a lot of time discussing the merits or otherwise of the contenders, most of the named players could win if things go their way, a couple I do not believe are long enough off the tee to win and Garrigus and Van Pelt look out of their depth in this line up. Having put up DJ Johnson last week and VJ as a winner about to happen, I am going to disappointed if either of those two win, but I am going to savour it regardless. Tiger had a nightmare front nine yesterday, he has played the closing holes well and if he can hang in there early, he could go close, as could another email favourite in the other Johnson, Zach and here is why ( LINK), he is the only contender not to drop a shot over the final six holes, but both need things to go their way early, with six world class golfers ( sorry Robert G) ahead of them in the pecking order.

I have had my eye on Big Phil since we came so close to a major, major payout on him in a major, at the Masters this year.... so close !  Mickelson won the AT&T at Pebble Beach in February and we normally see the best of him early season, with most of his tour wins coming between February and May, infact, we used to see very little of him after the PGA Championship, but the Fed Ex Cup Playoff series has changed all that, he has posted two end of the season victories in recent years, including one at the Tour Championship in 2009. He showed his well being with a fourth spot at the Deutsche Bank event last week, where he finished strongly, shooting his low round of the week on Sunday , -5 no shots dropped after the 3rd hole, with his all round game looking in solid shape. When he won at PB he shot a Sunday bogey free eight under par and it is " in contention" that he really comes alive, thriving on competition.

Golf at the business end of events is all about how players handle themselves under intense pressure and I always like "in contention " stats as a guide to this, "top 5 performance" is the number of times a player's finishing position improves or remains unchanged in the final round when starting in the top 5 . Phil has entered the final round in the top five 17 times in this last five seasons and only twice has his position worsened.

He is at his happiest in competition and surrounded by his family, they have been with him on tour for the last two weeks and it is no coincidence that now things are coming together, after the Deutsche he said  “my game feels like it’s back and I’m ready to start competing here in the next couple of weeks.”

In his post practice round interview on Wednesday he spoke a little about his form and the changes to his putting grip/stroke ....
Q. You were playing so well after Deutsche Bank. You've got to be looking forward to tomorrow.
PHIL MICKELSON: I'm looking forward to this week. My game is finally starting to come around. I'm starting to drive the ball well and hit good iron shots, and my putting has been really good, too. I'm looking forward to this week and the next couple.
 
Q. Is the putting stroke getting more and more comfortable, or the grip that is?
PHIL MICKELSON: I guess it's more comfortable the more I've used it, but the results have been the same, and that's the ball starting on line, my touch has been good, and I've made a lot of putts.
 
Q. How committed are you to that putting stroke?
PHIL MICKELSON: Yeah, I don't see me going back any time soon. I really like it. It's helped me with short putts, and then one of the other side effects has been the touch on longer putts has been great, and on fast greens it's even better because of the softness of my bottom hand. It sits very lightly on the putter, and my touch is better.

Yesterday, after his fantastic 64 .....

JOEL SCHUCHMANN: Phil Mickelson, thank you for joining us after a third-round 64, currently tied for the lead with several players still on the course, but maybe some opening comments, great day, 10 birdies.
PHIL MICKELSON: It was a fun day. I got it going with the putter. I hit a lot of good shots. It was very similar, actually, to yesterday's round where I played really well, had a lot of good opportunities. But yesterday when the ball was getting to the lip and turning away, today they seemed to fall in.
 
Q. I'm not sure how aware you were of your gallery, but you had a mob out there, and you gave them quite a ride, and they loved it. This is the first time you guys have been here since '91. Could you sense that hunger, and did the crowd -- did you get a kick out of the crowd?
PHIL MICKELSON: I think it's great to come play golf here. It's a great golf course, and the community is -- it's unreal how much support we've had this week. The weather has been difficult. I've driven -- driving to the course, you see people walking for a couple miles from the parking lot to get here, and I just think the dedication and the loyalty of golf fans, especially in this area, is pretty impressive, given that it's not like another sport where you just buy a ticket, sit down and watch the entire event. You're walking miles, you're catching just a small glimpse of the action, and I think that it's been pretty impressive the numbers of people that have come out to support us, and we're very appreciative.
 
Q. The last time the TOUR event was here, I think you were getting ready to defend your U.S. Amateur title. Do you remember reading about Daly and what kind of an impression that had on you?
PHIL MICKELSON: I remember that I qualified for the tournament and wasn't allowed to play in it, and that really upset me back then. I won the Tucson Open in '91, which qualified me to play the PGA Championship, and I wasn't allowed to play because I wanted to graduate college and stay an amateur. I would have loved to have competed. I felt I deserved to after I had already qualified, and I look back on that 20 years later, and I'm still upset.
 
Q. I wonder if you could just speak to, you've been in all the TOUR Championships since the FedExCup began. This is the one thing that's been a benefit is all the top guys are playing these tournaments and now we have a great leaderboard like this. I wonder if you could just speak to that and how that's evolved.
PHIL MICKELSON: It's been great for the TOUR where a number of players would shut it down after the PGA Championship, but now it's a huge motivating factor for us to keep our games sharp. It has the best players in the world competing against each other four additional times. More than that it's kept the U.S. players sharp and their games really in tune heading into the Ryder Cup in this year's instance or the Presidents Cup, and I think it's really helped the U.S. side in our performance the last five years in these team events.
 
Q. Could you talk about how satisfying these last two weeks having after a rough stretch this summer?
PHIL MICKELSON: Certainly my game went south for a while, and I was trying to piece it back together. I started with some iron play and it progressed to getting my driver back to where I was hitting the ball straight and getting my speed back, and now the putter is back.
It's taken me a little while to piece it back together, but I could tell last week that my game was back and I was ready to play at the highest level again. I knew heading into this week I was going to have a good week. I came out very anxious on Thursday and forced it a little too much the front nine and didn't play a good nine holes. But after that I've been able to settle down and play some good golf. I'm looking forward to tomorrow's shootout. It should be fun.

I made Phil 3.60 in my 100% book and he is 4.70 + on the exchanges, I was a little bigger all the other contenders apart from Tiger ( 9.0 with me) , as I explained, things do need to go his way early, or at least not against him, but he could be fearsome over the closing holes and I don't mind taking a chance on him at big odds, or at least including him in the portfolio, even with some kind of knee problem (again) . He admitted to these, which I prefer tbh, Tiger normally skims over, or denies any "problems", so I find this refreshing, it didn't overly hurt his game over the closing holes.

Q. I saw you wiggling your left leg a little bit. Are you okay?
TIGER WOODS: No, those shots didn't feel very good, those awkward shots. My knee doesn't like that position, so that's kind of the way it goes.
 
Q. How do you feel about today?
TIGER WOODS: I grinded hard. I didn't have much, and on top of that I made two really bad bogeys on 7 and 8 from the middle of the fairway, but at least I fought back where I have a chance going into tomorrow. It's probably going to take 63 or 64 tomorrow, but it can be done out here. The golf course is soft, and they've got some pretty easy pins out there tomorrow.
 
Q. You have to have one good day in you, don't you?
TIGER WOODS: You would think. You would think. I'm just trying to scrap it around out there. I'm just waiting for that one good ball-striking day, and with the way I'm chipping and putting right now, it can be done, I just need to do it.

1.75 units Phil Mickelson outright 4.50 + , 0.5 units Tiger woods outright 13.0 + .
 
Six years, five months and 4,000 posts, I would really like to mark this with a winner !
 
Good Luck.
 
Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com