Tuesday, December 26, 2006

BOXING DAY ..........

Good Morning !

Just to let you know my first post of the day will be online in an hour or so, before 12.15 cet.

Please check back.

Sunday, December 24, 2006

HAPPY HOLIDAYS !



I know that not all of you celebrate Christmas, but most of you will have some extra free time with your families, or loved ones, over the next few days.


Make the most of it, enjoy yourselves and have a happy and peaceful time.


My next post will be on the morning of the 26th.

Have fun !

GIANTS-SAINTS


Going to cover this match quickly, pretty sure that we all have places we would rather be !

New Orleans have already clinched their divisional title and are looking to earn a first round bye, but could be excused for easing off a little, after what has been a very emotional season. They lost at home to the Redskins last week, giving a poor showing and putting up just 71 yards rushing.

New York are in a must win situation and are looking at the return of defensive leader Michael Strahan, to kick start their march into the play-offs. They are 2-13 when he doesn't start and the whole team will be lifted by his return, even if he is less than 100% fit.

This will also be Tiki Barber's last regular season game at Giants Stadium and he will be looking for a big day against a Saints defence, that is ranked 25th against the run.

Giants for me, going to take them straight up, but you can give up the 3 points, if that is your only option.

5 points New York Giants 1.69 money line.

Back shortly.

Good Luck.

DUTCH EREDIVISIE


I was planning to get involved in a couple of singles, on the Dutch matches taking place this afternoon. Think that both Ajax and AZ will win comfortably.

However, it seems that with so few games to choose from, the oddsmakers having also worked this out and have set the asian line, VERY low on both.

Ajax travel to Vitesse having won the last 9 h2h meetings, scoring 2+ in 8 of them. They know that their hosts are very dependent on the goals of Danko Lazovic and have singled him out for special attention. The Amsterdam side seem to have got over their early mid season slump, have scored 11 in the last 3 and are desperate to keep pace with the top 2.

AZ have scored a league high 52 goals in their 17 starts, 19 in the last 6, at least 2 in each. Today they face NEC who they have beaten in 7 of the last 8 meetings, again scoring 2+ in each. With a tough trip to Twente in 3 days time, they want the points today.

Going to pass the handicaps and take a straight double, the general quotes ( you may find better in places) of 1.50 and 1.25, pays 1.875 and that is fair enough.

4 points double Ajax-AZ 1.875 general.

Back shortly.

Good Luck.

Saturday, December 23, 2006

FRENCH FOOTBALL ...........


I am backing two teams tonight, you will have to bear with me over Christmas, we have family here and it is not so easy to post.

Just going to put them up for nominal stakes, because I have no time to write a proper preview.

I will have more time in the morning and will put one, maybe two, bets up for Sunday's action (24th). Will discuss the other Christmas arrangements then.

3 points Lille -3/4 ball asian line 1.93.
3 points Valenciennes -1/4 ball asian line 1.84.

Good Luck.

UPDATE ........

Now that the Boro and Albion bets have been posted, the pressure is off and I can give some basic reasons.

Boro impressed me at Fulham, they created a host of chances and were VERY unlucky not to win, let alone draw. Charlton are a team playing without confidence and they have a couple of players, desperate to "get away" in the transfer window.

Plymouth have lost their way a little and struggled at Home Park, winning just 4 in 12, including very narrow defeats of Luton and Hull ( both 1-0) in the last two, neither of whom are amongst the division's best travellers . Today they face a MUCH stronger rival, Albion tore Coventry apart last week, looking the very good side, I strongly feel they are. Their cause has been greatly helped, by flying the long distance south for today's game.

Back around 19.00 cet.

Good Luck.

MIDDLESBROUGH/ WEST BROMWICH


I just wrote two detailed previews for these two selections and "lost" them, when trying to copy and paste something.

Why does this always happen when you are short of time ?

Really hate to do this, but my only option to to post the selections without a preview, sorry.


4 points Middlesbrough -1/2 ball 1.67 asian line.

5 points WBA level ball asian line 1.91.


I will be back later with some information for tonight and details of the Christmas arrangements.

Good Luck.

ASCOLI-CHIEVO


The hosts look very poor and are on their way back to Serie B.

They remain winless and their total's of just 10 goals scored and a -19 goal difference, after 17 starts, are easily the worst in "A". Ascoli have conceded 13 in the last 5 fixtures and seem totally incapable of keeping a clean sheet. To make matters worse, they have a series of niggling injuries and will be without 2-5 starters today.

Chievo have finally found some form and only lost once in six matches, collecting a very healthy 11 points. Just as important, the goals have started to flow, 12 in 6, after only 6 in the first 11.

This fixture finished 2-2 last season and a reproduction of that result, is the very best I can see for Ascoli. Therefore, with the level ball option, the Flying Donkeys look a stand out bet.

5 points Chievo level ball 1.80 asian line.

Good Luck.

SATURDAY MORNING .......

I am a little behind today, just spent an hour waiting in line for my Christmas bird, I was hoping it would have got some time off for good behaviour !

Level yesterday, Grimsby won easily enough, but Sunderland could not take one of the few chances that came their way and Napoli failed to take advantage of playing with an extra man, for some 40 minutes.

The "market moves" really threw up some winners, as all seven won ! Not going to cover these today, but they will be a semi permanent feature of the blog, in the coming weeks.

I will have my first selection online at about 13.15 cet.

Good Luck.

Friday, December 22, 2006

MODENA- SSC NAPOLI


Just a couple of lines about this match, where I strongly favour the visitors.

Modena are decidedly average and look set for a season of lower mid table obscurity.

Napoli are a huge club and despite their troubles over recent seasons, will, sooner or later, regain their rightful place in Serie A.

Things are very tight at the top of Serie B and let's be honest, there is only one automatic spot up for grabs, Juventus having already "reserved" one. So, every point is vital, even at this early stage, for any team with promotion aspirations.

The visitors are on a long unbeaten run and I do not see that being put in jeopardy this evening.

5 points Napoli level ball asian line 1.65.

Good Luck.

CRYSTAL PALACE - SUNDERLAND


Firstly, a little weather news, I have heard that the Grimsby game will "definitely" go ahead and that no inspection is planned. Cannot get any news from South London, but that is about 30 miles (50km) away from me and currently, my garage is not visable from the house ! Anyway, let's assume that it is going ahead.

Roy Keane is slowly fashioning a team, after his own image, they will fight and scrap for every point and look set to battle their way into a play-off place.

Victory tonight, will take them up into 8th in the table and they are sure to be very active in the January transfer window.

Palace have been very disappointing and continue to briefly flatter, only to deceive, you are never quite sure whether Jekyll or Hyde, will turn up.

This match could easily go "over", as the last 6 h2h meetings have. At Selhurst Park, Palace's games have produced 28 goals in 12 starts, on the road Sunderland's fixtures an average of exactly 3.0. They have conceded more goals than anyother side in the top half of the division.

However, the prevailing weather conditions may dictate a more cautious approach, it is hard to go bombing forward when you can't see the ball !

So it's the Black Cats for me, to extend their unbeaten run to 8 matches.

4 points Sunderland +1/4 ball asian line 1.79.

Back later.

Good Luck.

GRIMSBY TOWN- TORQUAY UNITED


Recent results for Torquay have picked up a little, but the best of these have come in the FA Cup.

Their League form of just 3 points, no wins and 4 goals in 10 starts, leaves a lot to be desired and they make the VERY long journey North, in 91st place in the Football League.

Given the weather conditions in the UK, this must be an eight hour drive, minimum.

The Mariners have served us well over the past few weeks and I am loathe to desert them now. They won three in a row and carried our money each time, we did let them pass last time out, for the trip to high flying local rivals, Lincoln and they lost ! Looks like they need us, as much as we need them !

After a terrible start to the season, Grimsby look much more like the side, that so narrowly missed out on promotion last season and can look forward to the second half of this campaign, with optimism.

Young, on loan striker Martin Paterson, will be looking to improve upon his total of 4 goals, in as many starts.

4 points Grimsby Town -1/2 ball asian line 2.00.

Good Luck.

TODAY'S MARKET MOVES .......

Plenty of money around on the "asian lines" today ...........

SERIE B
RIMINI -3/4 ball 1.74 ......... down to 1.62
TREVISO -1/4 ball 1.82 ........... 1.68
MANTOVA -1/4 ball 2.02 .......... 1.84

NETHERLANDS 2nd DIVISION
ZWOLLE +1/2 ball 1.96 ........... 1.79
HELMOND + 1/2 ball 1.74 ........1.60
APELDOOM +1.25 goals 2.11 ........ 1.93

SERIE C 1A
LUCCHESE -1/2 ball 2.01 ........ 1.76

Back shortly.

FRIDAY NEWS .......


It feels like I was mugged yesterday, Green Bay having somehow managed not to cover the spread, despite 19 first downs and 319 yards of offence, the Vikings "amassed" just 104 yards and a team history low, 3 first downs. The hosts just couldn't produce the goods in the "red zone".

Brentford have announced their new manager, who is, infact, the old one, or at least the caretaker appointment, Scott Fitzgerald ( that's him in the centre of the photograph), who has been given the job on a permanent basis. Must be the only temporary coach, who has "earned" the position, without winning a game during his tenure.

I heard through the grapevine that three people were offered the post and turned it down ! These are individuals that applied for the job, so it just goes to show the size of the task at hand. When they had a close look at it, none of them fancied the big blot on their CV ! Oh dear !

Anyway, I wish Scott luck.

Wide range of fixtures today, hopefully we will have a little more luck and find a few winners.

Back later.

Thursday, December 21, 2006

GREEN BAY PACKERS - MINNESOTA VIKINGS


The Vikings are giving Tarvaris Jackson his first ever start in the NFL.

The rookie quarterback made an appearance in last week's loss to the Jets replacing Brad Johnson, he threw one touchdown pass and one interception.

His Green Bay counterpart, Brett Favre, is at the other end of his career, having made a quarterback record 255 consecutive starts ! That is a truly amazing statistic, given that half a dozen MASSIVE guys are looking to pound him into the turf, on every single play.

Favre is 88-29 lifetime at Lambeau Field, 40-5 when the temperature dips below 35 degrees. It is predicted to be around 34 degrees at game time, with a little rain and/or snow thrown in for good measure. He may retire at the end of the season, so this could easily be his final start, at his spiritual home.

These divisional rivals are tied at 6-8 for the season and can only get to 8-8, which is unlikely to be enough to make the play-offs. However, stranger things have happened and what else have they got left to play for ? Any chance is better than none.

I think we will see a full blooded encounter and expect experience to win out. Jackson will no doubt have his day, but now it's time for Brett to say his farewell's with a win and improve upon his 9-4 home record over Minnesota.

3 points Green Bay -3.5 points 1.92 general quote// 1.96 pinnacle sports.

Good Luck.

RACING STRASBOURG- AMIENS


Only one match in French Ligue 2 today, when Strasbourg put their unbeaten ( 7-3-0) home record on the line, against free scoring and in form, Amiens.

The visitors total of 15 away strikes, at an average of 1.5 per game, has only been beaten by Caen.

They tend to "go for it" on the road, where they have only drawn 10% of matches, this, in a league where 30% are normally stalemates.

The hosts will be looking to get back on track after a 4-1 hammering at Metz last time out, their 4th straight game without a clean sheet.

Racing are scoring 1.6 goals per match at home and are averaging 2.70 over their last 10 fixtures, Amiens are 2.50 during the same period and a whopping 3.10 in all away games.

I cannot get away from the goal line, which is set at a very low looking "2" and have to strongly side with the "over".

5 points over 2 goals Strasbourg-Amiens asian line 1.82.

Back later.

Good Luck.

BARCELONA- ATLETICO MADRID


VERY attractive looking fixture to complete the La Liga campaign for 2006.

Barcelona have made the long trip back from Japan and it has been too much for some. Jet lag has claimed Marquez and Edmilson, they did not train yesterday and will take no part tonight.

Also missing are van Bronckhorst, Sylvinho and Zambrotta, for various reasons and the longer term injured pair of Messi and Eto'o.

Having missed out on the FIFA World Club Cup trophy, coach Frank Rijkaard is looking for the three points to close the gap on table toppers Seville, who have built a healthy lead in their absence.

That may not be so easy, Atletico are in good form, especially on the road, where they have 4 wins and have only conceded 3 goals. A point will take them back into the top 4, just behind bitter local rivals, Real.

They travel without Petrov and Lopez, but with otherwise, a fully fit squad. Having won on their last two visits to the Camp Nou, they will not be overawed and claim to be playing for the win.

Argentine "superstar in waiting" Sergio Aguero, will start up front, alongside Fernando Torres and will be looking to show his potential to a large television audience.

It's the visitors for me, long week for the hosts, two 11 hour flights and two matches half way round the world, may take it's toll and this is a good Atletico team.

4 points Atletico Madrid +1 ball asian line 1.85.

Back later.

Good Luck.

THURSDAY MORNING UPDATE ......

How bad were Real Madrid yesterday ? Just 4 attempts on goal, despite 66% possession.

Never mind, no real damage was done and we live to fight another day.

I am looking at three bets today, two football and one NFL, so please check back a little later.

Good Luck.

Wednesday, December 20, 2006

SAMPDORIA - LIVORNO


Sorry guys, I have run out of time, so VERY quickly....

Supporters at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris, have seen 26 goals in 8 games this season, at a rate of 3.375.

Away from home, Livorno are averaging 3.25 in their 8 starts.

These totals are way over for Serie A, which is producing at a rate of 2.47.

I expect a faily open encounter and both sides to look for maximum points, just cannot resist the goal line which is set at, a low looking "2".

5 points over 2 goals Sampdoria-Livorno asian line 1.73.

Good Luck.

LAZIO- INTER MILAN .........


For my third selection of the day, I am going to side with the "over" in this attractive looking fixture.

Free scoring Lazio, who have notched 11 goals in their last 3 starts at the Stadio Olimpico, host Serie A's runaway leaders.

Inter, coached by former Lazio favourite, Roberto Mancini, have scored 7 in their last 3 away starts, with at least two in each game.

These two are averaging 2.5 and 3.0 goals respectivly, in all Serie A fixtures this season and I see no reason, why they should go into their shell tonight.

H2h wise, 9 of the last 11 have produced 2 or more, at an average of exactly 3.0 per match.

I will be back later with my final and strongest selection of the day.

4 points over 2.25 goals Lazio-Inter Milan 1.92 asian line.

Good Luck.

AFTERNOON MOVERS ..........

Four more teams have come in for support on the asian markets this afternoon......

SPANISH SEGUNDA EJIDO +1/4 ball 1.90 ........ down to 1.78
SERIE A SIENA +1/4 ball 2.12 ....... 2.00
CARLING CUP NEWCASTLE +3/4 ball 2.135 ........... 1.84
GERMAN CUP GREUTHER FURTH level ball 2.19 ........... 2.00

Back Later.

CELTA VIGO- REAL SOCIEDAD


Think we have to stay with Real, after they did us a big favour, with the weekend win over Gimnastic.

Although that was their first victory of the season, they have now put together a string of improved performances and can see a glimmer of light, at the end of a very long dark tunnel.

Celta are a talented side, but are struggling a little at present with four straight draws. At the Estadio Balaidos, they have a dismal record of one win in seven starts and the lowest points haul in La Liga.

The Sociedad coach, Miguel Angel Lotina , was in charge of Celta a couple of seasons ago and will have inside knowledge of some, if not all, of his opponents tonight. The revival to continue.

3 points Sociedad +3/4 ball asian line 1.72.

Good Luck.

REAL MADRID- RECREATIVO


Real need to keep pressure on the top two and will be looking to end the year with a decisive performance, in front of their own supporters.

With Barcelona facing 5th placed Atletico tomorrow, following a very long flight home from Japan, the Madrid giants will see this as a golden opportunity to close the gap at the top.

Recreativo don't do draws, they win or lose and when they lose, they tend to concede a few, 3 or more in the last 3 of 4 starts. Only Bilbao and Gimnastic have allowed more goals against.

Think that Real will put on a show tonight and I expect a big win.

4 points Real Madrid -1.5 goals asian line 1.90.

Good Luck.

EARLY ASIAN MOVES ..........

There has been market support for three teams this morning ..........

SPANISH SEGUNDA LORCA +1/2 ball 1.85 ....... down to 1.75
TURKISH CUP MANISASPOR -1.5 goals 2.05 ............ 1.95
TURKISH CUP KAYSERI ERCIYESPOR +3/4 ball 1.92 .......... 1.78

Back later.

Good Wednesday Morning !

The fog descended yesterday and caused the postponement, of two of our four selections.

Conditions are very similar today, in parts of the UK.

Benitez and Wenger were unhappy thet their match was not played, however, it looked the correct decision to me, think they just wanted the fixture out of the way.

Leyton Orient and Valencia both won, so a pleasing day none the less.

Of the six "market moves" that were played, five obliged, obviously these are not selections, but might lead you in the right direction.

I will be back later this morning, with my first review of the day.

Please check back, you know it makes sense !

Tuesday, December 19, 2006

FINAL ROUND UP ...........


I am not going to put up any more bets today, but having seriously considered two other matches, thought it would be worthwhile passing on some thoughts.

Really like the way that the experienced coach Jose Manuel Esnal, has revitalised Athletic Bilbao since taking charge. Performance and confidence levels have improved out of all recognition and tonight they are looking for a 3rd straight win.

They face a Zaragoza side with major ambitions for this season, they currently sit just one point outside the top 4 and a coveted Champions League spot. Frankly I do not think they are at that level yet, but try telling Real. No injury concerns and they are looking to bounce back from a home loss to Valencia on Saturday, a defeat they feel, was rough justice.

However, they usually struggle on their visits to Bilbao, where they have lost the last 4, 6 from 8 and are 1-2-8 on their last 11 trips.

I was leaning towards the home on the level ball asian line, but something just didn't "feel" right
and kept holding me back. Sometimes you just have to go with your instinct, so no bet for me.

Also like the draw in the Vicenza-Albinoleffe Serie B fixture. The visitors are very much draw specialists, finishing level on 11 of 16 starts this season, with just the lone defeat.

Vicenza have hit form and have collected 9 points in an unbeaten 5 match run, having "amassed" just 3 in their opening 11 games ! A point is likely to keep them out of the bottom 3 and continue the run, think that is the most likely outcome and would have been my selection, if we hadn't already got heavily involved today, odds are circa 2.70, a little bigger in places, but again, no bet.

Good Luck.

ASIAN LINE UPDATES .........

The following have come in for support this afternoon ......

DIVISION 1 LEYTON ORIENT +1/2 ball 1.80 ......... down to +1/4 ball 1.94
CONFERENCE STAFFORD RANGERS +1/4 ball 1.98 .............. 1.81
SERIE B AREZZO-CROTONE under 2 goals 2.05 .....................1.84

I have one more post for today, which will be online in an hour or so.

Please check back.

TRANMERE ROVERS - CREWE ALEXANDRA


This match was postponed on Friday and has been squeezed in, ahead of the busy Christmas/New Year schedule.

A win for either will be a major boost, for the visitors, it would take them into the top half of the table and on the fringe of the play-off places. If Tranmere claim the points and I think they will, they will rise to 3rd and within one point of Bristol City and the automatic promotion spot.

Rovers lofty league position is largely due to their form at Prenton Park where they have won 7 times and lost just once. This is the first, in a run of 4 home games in 6 starts and they will be fully motivated to win these, as they must also travel to the division's top 2, City and Forest in the next 3-4 weeks. No excuses tonight, they are fully rested and have virtually a fully fit squad to choose from.

Crewe are a strange side and on their day are a real handful for anyone. In Varney and Maynard, they have a pair of strikers being watched by half the scouts in the Premiership and Championship, it must be hard for these two to remain focused, with the transfer deadline looming.

However, it is at the other end of the pitch that their main problems lie. Alex have conceded 29 goals in their last 13 matches and an average of 1.9 per game in all away ties this season. Not so easy to win when you have to score three !

Tranmere boss Ronnie Moore, is bound to have his soldiers ready for battle and Prenton Park is never an easy place to get a result and for night games, it is almost impossible.

Rovers for me.

3 points Tranmere -1/2 ball asian line 1.74.

Good Luck.

NORTHAMPTON TOWN- LEYTON ORIENT


I was listening to a radio phone in the other evening, before anyone passes comment, yes, I do indeed lead a very sad life.

Anyway, back to the story, there was a Northampton supporter on, who had not missed a Town match of any sort, home or away, for 15 years or so, over 800 consecutive games and you thought my life was sad! He was of the opinion, that their most recent performances were the worst he could remember and that boss John Gorman, was clueless !

When guys like this, who normally view their team through rose tinted glasses, complain publicly, it is time to take notice.

Town have the worse home record in the division, just one win, five goals and six points, in ten starts. They have only scored once in the last four matches and have some quite severe injury problems tonight, especially in central defence, which I always feel is important, as the spine of the team.

They meet a Leyton Orient team who must feel very pleased with theirselves, after winning at Nottm Forest at the weekend, their second win in a row. A point tonight will take them out of the relegation zone for the first time in months, it is a massive incentive and Martin Ling's side travel with no new injury concerns and unchanged from Saturday.

4 points Leyton Orient +1/2 ball asian line 1.76.

Good Luck.

EARLY ASIAN MARKET MOVES ........

The following teams have all come in for support this morning ..........

SERIE B TREVISO +3/4 ball 1.80 down to ......... 1.70
SERIE B FROSINONE -1/2 ball 2.135 ............... 2.00
TURKISH CUP KAYSERISPOR -1/2 ball 2.12 ........... 1.89
GREECE CUP GIANNINA + 1 ball 1.98 ................ 1.80

Back later.

LA LIGA ......


Valencia seem to have stopped the rot and just in time. Their truly horrendous injury problems are slowly clearing up and despite still being without 7 squad members, most of their "superstars" are now available.

They are very strong at the Mestalla, where they boast a 5-1-1 record this season, that loss to Real Madrid being the only one they have suffered in over a year.

Today Mallorca are the visitors and they travel more in hope, than expectation. Having lost on 7 of their last 8 visits, by 2 or more goals, on 5 occasions.

After starting the season with an impressive defensive record, the islanders have conceded at the alarming rate of 13 in their last 5 starts.

The hosts need this win to stay in the hunt for a Champions League place and know that after the Winter break, they start with 3/4 games away from their beloved home.

Valencia all the way for me and I expect them to put on a bit of a show.

5 points Valencia -1/2 ball 1.43 betfair.

CARLING CUP


Liverpool-Arsenal is the tie of the round, but is certainly a match Arsene Wenger could do without. He is planning to rest many of his squad and may only start with a couple who competed in last weekend's Premiership match.

The home side will bring in some fringe players also and Garcia, Fowler and Crouch may all start, having missed out recently. Having said that, they look far and away the most motivated of the two, come here in their best form of the season and are looking for revenge, following last month's 3-0 hammering at the Emirates Stadium.

They should be capable of beating a talented Arsenal "b" team.

4 points Liverpool -1/2 ball asian line 1.80.

Good Luck.

Monday, December 18, 2006

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS-CINCINNATI BENGALS


The Colts have gone walkabout, after starting the season 9-0, they are now 10-3 and looking to avoid their 3rd loss in a row.

Despite that, they clinched the AFC South, by virtue of Jacksonville's defeat yesterday. Everyone now knows how to beat Indianapolis ....... run the ball ! They are the worst ranked team against the run, giving up 176 yards per game and over 600 in the last two losses.

The Bengals come in looking for their 5th straight win, mainly due to the fact that they have suddenly found a defence ! Victory will leave them firmly in the driving seat, as far as a wildcard playoff place is concerned.

Rudi Johnson will be looking to add to the 117 yards rushing he gained last week, which gave him his 3rd consecutive 1,000 yard season. He is sure to see plenty of the ball tonight against the (still) banged up Colts.

Think the Bengals are hungrier and they are my selection.

3 points Cincinnati bengals +3.5 points 1.86 betfair.

Good Luck.

FULHAM- MIDDLESBROUGH


Is the Sky TV offering tonight, on paper, it looks a match that will be woefully short of entertainment and goals. However, the reality may well be a little different.

Rather than looking to avoid defeat, I get the strong feeling both coaches will "go for it" and look for maximum points.

Let's be honest, these are two very average sides, in poor form, both have collected 3 points from their last 5 starts and could be considered lucky to have even that meagre haul.

Gareth Southgate and Chris Coleman will have to choose from injury hit squads, that seem incapable of keeping a clean sheet at present.

I am going to chance a little on the "over", in the last 10 meetings between these two, eight have
produced 2 or more goals and six, 3 or more.

3 points over 2.25 goals Fulham-Middlesbrough asian line 2.01.

Good Luck.

1860-ERZGEBIRGE AUE


This is the last Bundesliga 2 match before the Winter break and features the division's most inform side , against one of the pre season favourites and strongest home teams.

Aue are terrific shape and have won their last 6 starts, including their last 3 on the road, without conceding a goal. Victory tonight would take them level with Duisburg in 3rd place, which was beyond their wildest expectations, just a couple of weeks ago.

1860 will have a huge crowd behind them and are looking to improve on a fine 5-1-1 home record.

I think there is little doubt that the home team have the greater potential, but you cannot argue with current form and Aue's stands up to close inspection. Especially the sole defeat of the year they inflicted on Karlsruher. They are my selection to take a point tonight.

3 points Erzgebirge +1/2 ball asian line 1.85.

Back shortly.

Good Luck.