I will definitely be posting a football selection on the blog today, looking to make it 12 winners in a row ! Also going to take a look at the NFL playoffs ,which get under way today and where we remain in good form.
Please check back.
Saturday, January 05, 2008
Friday, January 04, 2008
FRIDAY MORNING .....
It feels odd not blogging everyday, like I have forgotten to do something !
I had just the one selection on the email service yesterday, which won, so, be assured, I remain in unbelievable form and will be looking to extend the winning run on the blog, which stands at 11 and 18 from the last 21, over the weekend.
Quite a bit of snow around in the northern parts of the UK and it is cold, really cold ! There has been plenty of warning about this weather, so I hope that everyone has taken appropriate precautions and that the football programme will not be unduly affected.
Really looking forward to the NFL playoffs which get underway tomorrow, pretty certain to be covering these on the blog, last three american football selections have won also and in addition to a game or two, I am considering taking a position on the outright market, where there looks a little value.
The only way to receive all the GOWI selections and analysis, each and every morning, delivered directly to your inbox, is by subscribing to the email service, details can be found on www.bestbets4free.blogspot.com .
Good Luck.
I had just the one selection on the email service yesterday, which won, so, be assured, I remain in unbelievable form and will be looking to extend the winning run on the blog, which stands at 11 and 18 from the last 21, over the weekend.
Quite a bit of snow around in the northern parts of the UK and it is cold, really cold ! There has been plenty of warning about this weather, so I hope that everyone has taken appropriate precautions and that the football programme will not be unduly affected.
Really looking forward to the NFL playoffs which get underway tomorrow, pretty certain to be covering these on the blog, last three american football selections have won also and in addition to a game or two, I am considering taking a position on the outright market, where there looks a little value.
The only way to receive all the GOWI selections and analysis, each and every morning, delivered directly to your inbox, is by subscribing to the email service, details can be found on www.bestbets4free.blogspot.com .
Good Luck.
Wednesday, January 02, 2008
WEDNESDAY UPDATE .........
Aberdeen won,that makes eleven in a row for the blog !
Email subscribers also received an additional selection, which was backed from 1.99 down to 1.75 and won. It is not only the selections on the email service that might help you, in addition to a third preview for this evening's football, I also wrote .....
Elsewhere, I did look at Falkirk, who have only lost to the Old Firm in their last 11 and won 3 scoring 11, they travel to Kilmarnock (just one win in 9) and only Celtic have scored more away goals than Falkirk, who are averaging two per game. Dunfermline,were also an option, unbeaten in 5, winning the last 3, they look rejuvenated as we discussed at the weekend and appear to be heading in the opposite direction to Livingston, who have won just once in 6, conceding 14 times.
Email subscribers also received an additional selection, which was backed from 1.99 down to 1.75 and won. It is not only the selections on the email service that might help you, in addition to a third preview for this evening's football, I also wrote .....
Elsewhere, I did look at Falkirk, who have only lost to the Old Firm in their last 11 and won 3 scoring 11, they travel to Kilmarnock (just one win in 9) and only Celtic have scored more away goals than Falkirk, who are averaging two per game. Dunfermline,were also an option, unbeaten in 5, winning the last 3, they look rejuvenated as we discussed at the weekend and appear to be heading in the opposite direction to Livingston, who have won just once in 6, conceding 14 times.
These were not selections and I would not claim them as such, but they were the only other teams discussed, both won without conceding a goal and were available at big prices.
Good Luck.
SCOTLAND .... SPL
ABERDEEN - INVERNESS CT
Inverness are a popular choice today with many pundits, they have won 6 from 7 and look to have secured a position of mid table safety.However, they can hardly travel with too much confidence today, having never beaten the Dons in 12 meetings.
The Aberdeen treatment room is still pretty full, but they have coped with this situation for months, lost just once in 7 and have continued to compete in the SPL and Europe. A win today is absolutely vital and has been targeted as such by the club, who are still eyeing up a 3rd place finish. This is their only home SPL game in a 34 day period and they look an all round stronger side to me, I certainly do not see them losing this one. Much has been made of the fact that several players are refusing to sign contract extensions, but if you want away, the best way to attract offers, is by playing well, so I personally do not see this as a negative for the moment.
6 points Aberdeen -1/4 ball 1.86 asian line.
Good luck.
Inverness are a popular choice today with many pundits, they have won 6 from 7 and look to have secured a position of mid table safety.However, they can hardly travel with too much confidence today, having never beaten the Dons in 12 meetings.
The Aberdeen treatment room is still pretty full, but they have coped with this situation for months, lost just once in 7 and have continued to compete in the SPL and Europe. A win today is absolutely vital and has been targeted as such by the club, who are still eyeing up a 3rd place finish. This is their only home SPL game in a 34 day period and they look an all round stronger side to me, I certainly do not see them losing this one. Much has been made of the fact that several players are refusing to sign contract extensions, but if you want away, the best way to attract offers, is by playing well, so I personally do not see this as a negative for the moment.
6 points Aberdeen -1/4 ball 1.86 asian line.
Good luck.
WEDNESDAY MORNING UPDATE .....
Plenty of UK domestic action today, evening start's in England, but it is a Bank Holiday in Scotland, so a reminder that their programme is due to take place this afternoon, all matches being scheduled for a 16.00 cet kick off.
Will post something before these games kick off, so please check back.
Good Luck.
Will post something before these games kick off, so please check back.
Good Luck.
Monday, December 31, 2007
HAPPY NEW YEAR !
To all readers of the blog, I would like to wish you a .....................
HAPPY, PROSPEROUS, PEACEFUL AND HEALTHY NEW YEAR !
IF YOU DID NOT KNOW IT WAS TRUE ....... YOU WOULD NOT BELIEVE IT !
I know I said that the result of the Washington Redskins game wasn't overly important, but it was, as the final selection of the year and the 20th of the holiday period, it rounded things off nicely and they were very easy winners .Here are the most recent blog selections .......
30/12 5 points Washington -9 points 1.971 Pinnacle/ Vegas. WON
Derby-Blackburn 6 points "over" 2.25 goals 1.78 asian line. WON
29/12 5 points Doncaster -1/2 ball 1.98 asian line. WON
4.5 points Swansea -1/2 ball 2.50 general quote. WON
Wigan-Aston Villa 6 points "over" 2.25 goals 1.84 asian line. WON
6 points Stevenage -1/2 ball 1.85 general quote. WON
27/12 6 points "over" 2.5 goals 1.63 exchanges. Ajax-Twente WON
26/12 6 points Crystal Palace +1/4 1.90 asian line. WON
6 points Stoke level ball 2.01 asian line.... now 1.92 NO BET stakes returned
6 points Tottenham -1 ball 1.76 asian line..... NOW -1.25 BALL 1.91 WON
23/12 6 points New York Giants 1.787 money line Pinnacle/ Vegas. WON
5 points Napoli -1/4 ball 1.82 asian line. LOST
6 points Reggina -1/4 ball 1.99 asian line. WON
22/12 6 points QPR -1/4 ball 1.80 asian line.... now 1.75 WON
6 points Blackpool -1/4 ball 2.20 asian line.... now 2.07 WON
5 points Southampton -1/2 ball 1.96 asian line..... now 1.86 LOST
21/12 6 points Northampton-Bournemouth "over" 2.25 goals 1.83 asian line. WON
19/12 6.5 points Inter -1/2 ball 1.74 asian line.... now trading at -3/4 1.81 WON
5.5 points Deportivo +3/4 ball 1.95 asian line. WON
5.5 points Valencia -3/4 ball 1.88 asian line.... now trading at 1.81 WON
5 points Panionios -3/4 ball 1.82 asian line. LOST
There it is in black and white (blue,green and red too), in the last 12 days of 2007, 21 bets have been posted on the blog, one was a no bet, three lost and 17 won ,including the last 10 ! That is an 85% strike rate, with circa 75 points profit, over what many people consider to be the toughest betting period of the year ! An average of over 6 points profit each and every day, even on the days when there were no matches !
Hard to believe, but email subscribers have done even better over this period.
I am going to be posting much less on the blog in the future, there will still be something most days for a while, but the bulk will be moved to a new url, with the blog eventually fully incorporated, this site will still have free to view content, just less than now.
I value you all as readers, so want to be able to offer something that is available to everybody. I know that the hard sell of the email service irritates some of you, but it is a fantastic product and unfortunately for some, that is where most of my output will be in the future. Some services charge thousands of dollars, mine is around $20 per week, gives analysis, is delivered on good time and on a daily basis. If you find anything better on the whole internet, let me know and I will sign up immediately. Don't waste your time looking, there isn't one, certainly not at similar rates.
All of you long term readers of the blog, have been given the opportunity to sign up for the service, at greatly reduced terms and those that did, were then given the option to extend at similar rates. So I feel that as much as possible as been done, to get you on board, the GOWI email service is now close to 90% fully subscribed at current levels, once reached, new subscibers will only be accepted at a premium/extended level.
That is it, I do not want to finish the year with a sales pitch, so will put one finally post for 2007 online shortly, as always, you can find details of the email service on http://www.bestbets4free.blogspot.com/ , or you are welcome to email me, with any questions.
Good Luck.
30/12 5 points Washington -9 points 1.971 Pinnacle/ Vegas. WON
Derby-Blackburn 6 points "over" 2.25 goals 1.78 asian line. WON
29/12 5 points Doncaster -1/2 ball 1.98 asian line. WON
4.5 points Swansea -1/2 ball 2.50 general quote. WON
Wigan-Aston Villa 6 points "over" 2.25 goals 1.84 asian line. WON
6 points Stevenage -1/2 ball 1.85 general quote. WON
27/12 6 points "over" 2.5 goals 1.63 exchanges. Ajax-Twente WON
26/12 6 points Crystal Palace +1/4 1.90 asian line. WON
6 points Stoke level ball 2.01 asian line.... now 1.92 NO BET stakes returned
6 points Tottenham -1 ball 1.76 asian line..... NOW -1.25 BALL 1.91 WON
23/12 6 points New York Giants 1.787 money line Pinnacle/ Vegas. WON
5 points Napoli -1/4 ball 1.82 asian line. LOST
6 points Reggina -1/4 ball 1.99 asian line. WON
22/12 6 points QPR -1/4 ball 1.80 asian line.... now 1.75 WON
6 points Blackpool -1/4 ball 2.20 asian line.... now 2.07 WON
5 points Southampton -1/2 ball 1.96 asian line..... now 1.86 LOST
21/12 6 points Northampton-Bournemouth "over" 2.25 goals 1.83 asian line. WON
19/12 6.5 points Inter -1/2 ball 1.74 asian line.... now trading at -3/4 1.81 WON
5.5 points Deportivo +3/4 ball 1.95 asian line. WON
5.5 points Valencia -3/4 ball 1.88 asian line.... now trading at 1.81 WON
5 points Panionios -3/4 ball 1.82 asian line. LOST
There it is in black and white (blue,green and red too), in the last 12 days of 2007, 21 bets have been posted on the blog, one was a no bet, three lost and 17 won ,including the last 10 ! That is an 85% strike rate, with circa 75 points profit, over what many people consider to be the toughest betting period of the year ! An average of over 6 points profit each and every day, even on the days when there were no matches !
Hard to believe, but email subscribers have done even better over this period.
I am going to be posting much less on the blog in the future, there will still be something most days for a while, but the bulk will be moved to a new url, with the blog eventually fully incorporated, this site will still have free to view content, just less than now.
I value you all as readers, so want to be able to offer something that is available to everybody. I know that the hard sell of the email service irritates some of you, but it is a fantastic product and unfortunately for some, that is where most of my output will be in the future. Some services charge thousands of dollars, mine is around $20 per week, gives analysis, is delivered on good time and on a daily basis. If you find anything better on the whole internet, let me know and I will sign up immediately. Don't waste your time looking, there isn't one, certainly not at similar rates.
All of you long term readers of the blog, have been given the opportunity to sign up for the service, at greatly reduced terms and those that did, were then given the option to extend at similar rates. So I feel that as much as possible as been done, to get you on board, the GOWI email service is now close to 90% fully subscribed at current levels, once reached, new subscibers will only be accepted at a premium/extended level.
That is it, I do not want to finish the year with a sales pitch, so will put one finally post for 2007 online shortly, as always, you can find details of the email service on http://www.bestbets4free.blogspot.com/ , or you are welcome to email me, with any questions.
Good Luck.
Sunday, December 30, 2007
AS (YET) ANOTHER YEAR COMES TO AN END .....
The Derby-Blackburn game was "over" before half-time, that is 16 winners from the last 19 blog selections, obviously, I am writing this before the Redskins game has started, but it makes little difference ( although I would prefer them to win !). I have been on a wonderful roll and hopefully, it will have helped contribute, to a successful holiday betting period for all of you.
There is a fantastic day of football to start the New Year, with a full programme of matches in the five senior English divisions. For any subscribers reading this, I will be reviewing five, maybe even six matches and will try to get them to you tomorrow lunchtime, so that you can nurse your hangover in peace, on the 1st.
I will not be posting any of these on the blog, this day will be purely for subscribers, so my next post will be on January 2nd, I would like to thank you all for reading my posts and to wish you a Happy, Prosperous and more importantly, Healthy New Year.
Good Luck.
As always, details of the email service can be found on http://www.bestbets4free.blogspot.com/
NFL ....
WASHINGTON REDSKINS - DALLAS COWBOYS
Forget the standings and the divisional rivalry, this is important to only one team, the Redskins.
Dallas have already secured their place in the post season and will rest all their key players, including Terrell Owens, who "owned" the reverse fixture with 173 yards and 4 touchdowns in a 28-23 win. Quarterback Tony Romo is likely to see very limited action.
Washington will be in the playoffs with a win, they are asked to give up a tough looking 9 points, but when these two met in identical circumstances a decade ago, they won by 27, I know that is a long time ago, but these scenarios do not come along too often. As discussed last week, it is hard to play at half pace in the NFL, Dallas will take no chances, the Redskins will win, the only question ,is whether they will cover the spread and I am confident that they will.
5 points Washington -9 points 1.971 Pinnacle/ Vegas.
Good Luck.
PREMIERSHIP .............
DERBY COUNTY- BLACKBURN ROVERS
County have shown a little fire in their bellies recently , that is the Paul Jewell factor and you can be sure, that any side that he puts out, will give their all. Despite a very extensive injury list, Derby will be forced forward, in search of the 3 points, given their predicament, nothing less will do.
They look especially weak in central defence, where they will be forced to start with a slow, veteran, Championship level, pairing, who could be given a torrid time by the on fire Roque Santa Cruz. With a name like that, it is no surprise that this, is his time of the year. Santa has been taking presents, not giving them and if messrs Dunne and Richards, could not stop him from claimimg two headed goals last time out, Derby's backline is going to struggle. He has 5 goals in his last two away games and 8 of his 9 goals have come on the road.
Savage and Warnock will return following suspension and they and Rovers look to hold all the aces. However, this should get very stretched, especially in the second half and develope into an open affair, I am taking the "over".
6 points "over" 2.25 goals 1.78 asian line.
Back later.
County have shown a little fire in their bellies recently , that is the Paul Jewell factor and you can be sure, that any side that he puts out, will give their all. Despite a very extensive injury list, Derby will be forced forward, in search of the 3 points, given their predicament, nothing less will do.
They look especially weak in central defence, where they will be forced to start with a slow, veteran, Championship level, pairing, who could be given a torrid time by the on fire Roque Santa Cruz. With a name like that, it is no surprise that this, is his time of the year. Santa has been taking presents, not giving them and if messrs Dunne and Richards, could not stop him from claimimg two headed goals last time out, Derby's backline is going to struggle. He has 5 goals in his last two away games and 8 of his 9 goals have come on the road.
Savage and Warnock will return following suspension and they and Rovers look to hold all the aces. However, this should get very stretched, especially in the second half and develope into an open affair, I am taking the "over".
6 points "over" 2.25 goals 1.78 asian line.
Back later.
Saturday, December 29, 2007
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING .... no sleeping on the job, we have winners to find !
The excellent run continued today, with all four blog selections winning comfortably..... Doncaster 3-1, Stevenage 5-1, Swansea 3-2 with 10 men and the "over" obliging inside 70 minutes !
Email subscribers fared even better, with 7 winners from the 8 matches previewed and they are sitting on, in excess of an 80 point profit, over the last ten days alone. Considering that there were two days without any fixtures over this period, those figures are sensational !
I am looking at 3-4 football selections for tomorrow (sunday), when there are some very attractive looking fixtures, in addition to the last day of regular season NFL action and will post whatever is possible on the blog.
If tomorrow looks tempting, the line up for New Years Day, has really got me salivating, the bookies struggled today and with another round coming up almost immediately, they are sure to make plenty of errors, that we can take full advantage of.
Should you wish to take the plunge, join the subscription service and ensure that you receive all my previews hours before kick off, full details can be found on ......http://www.bestbets4free.blogspot.com/ .
Good Luck.
Email subscribers fared even better, with 7 winners from the 8 matches previewed and they are sitting on, in excess of an 80 point profit, over the last ten days alone. Considering that there were two days without any fixtures over this period, those figures are sensational !
I am looking at 3-4 football selections for tomorrow (sunday), when there are some very attractive looking fixtures, in addition to the last day of regular season NFL action and will post whatever is possible on the blog.
If tomorrow looks tempting, the line up for New Years Day, has really got me salivating, the bookies struggled today and with another round coming up almost immediately, they are sure to make plenty of errors, that we can take full advantage of.
Should you wish to take the plunge, join the subscription service and ensure that you receive all my previews hours before kick off, full details can be found on ......http://www.bestbets4free.blogspot.com/ .
Good Luck.
ROVERS PLAY THE ARSENE WAY .....
DONCASTER ROVERS - SOUTHEND UNITED
Rovers like to get the ball down and play some football, think of a lower league Arsenal, without a frenchman in charge, but with some englishmen on the pitch ,getting at least a little help from match officials and without most of the talent and you get the picture !
They are a skillful bunch and after a poor start to their campaign, are in their rightful place in the top 6. Donny have won their last two, scoring six, without reply and are despearate to make it 3 in a row, especially against a direct promotion rival. The match at Swansea, gives Rovers a real chance to close in on one of the automatic promotion slots. United are finding goals very hard to come by at present.
5 points Doncaster -1/2 ball 1.98 asian line.
Good Luck.
Rovers like to get the ball down and play some football, think of a lower league Arsenal, without a frenchman in charge, but with some englishmen on the pitch ,getting at least a little help from match officials and without most of the talent and you get the picture !
They are a skillful bunch and after a poor start to their campaign, are in their rightful place in the top 6. Donny have won their last two, scoring six, without reply and are despearate to make it 3 in a row, especially against a direct promotion rival. The match at Swansea, gives Rovers a real chance to close in on one of the automatic promotion slots. United are finding goals very hard to come by at present.
5 points Doncaster -1/2 ball 1.98 asian line.
Good Luck.
DIVISION 1 ......
SWANSEA CITY - LEEDS UNITED
The "sold out" signs that have been following Leeds around the country, have been posted at the Liberty Stadium for some time, the atmosphere will be white hot and the Jack Army in full voice. They have had plenty to cheer about recently, with the Swans winning 4 in a row, scoring 16 goals !
Boss Roberto Martinez, who, as I have been telling anyone who will listen, is going places, will be on the short list for every managerial job which becomes available and is not one to sit on his laurels. 16 goals or not, another striker , or two, is at the top of his transfer window shopping list, this is sure to keep his troops on their toes and up, for the battle ahead.
They played some of their best football of the season in the 4-1 demolition of Cheltenham, managing 22 attempts on goal, a high number (13) on target. Leeds are not running so hot at present and the goals certainly not flowing so freely. They have managed just three in as many games, which all came very late in the respective matches to salvage points, of course, this shows their battling qualities, but they were fortunate in all 3 fixtures.
Massive opportunity for Swansea to establish their Championship credentials.
4.5 points Swansea -1/2 ball 2.50 general quote.
Good Luck.
The "sold out" signs that have been following Leeds around the country, have been posted at the Liberty Stadium for some time, the atmosphere will be white hot and the Jack Army in full voice. They have had plenty to cheer about recently, with the Swans winning 4 in a row, scoring 16 goals !
Boss Roberto Martinez, who, as I have been telling anyone who will listen, is going places, will be on the short list for every managerial job which becomes available and is not one to sit on his laurels. 16 goals or not, another striker , or two, is at the top of his transfer window shopping list, this is sure to keep his troops on their toes and up, for the battle ahead.
They played some of their best football of the season in the 4-1 demolition of Cheltenham, managing 22 attempts on goal, a high number (13) on target. Leeds are not running so hot at present and the goals certainly not flowing so freely. They have managed just three in as many games, which all came very late in the respective matches to salvage points, of course, this shows their battling qualities, but they were fortunate in all 3 fixtures.
Massive opportunity for Swansea to establish their Championship credentials.
4.5 points Swansea -1/2 ball 2.50 general quote.
Good Luck.
PREMIERSHIP .............
WIGAN ATHLETIC - ASTON VILLA
This should be an open affair, these two have been involved in some high scoring games recently and are both averaging a co league high 3.3 goals per match, over their last 10 starts. Wigan might be boosted by the inclusion of Emile Heskey and he and/or his team mates, should not be short of chances against a regigged Villa defence missing Zat Knight and probably Wilfred Bouma.
At the other end of the pitch, their pacy attacking players should have plenty of success. Their counter attacking style is ideally suited to playing away and they have managed a Premiership high total, of 19 goals on the road.
6 points "over" 2.25 goals 1.84 asian line.
Good Luck.
This should be an open affair, these two have been involved in some high scoring games recently and are both averaging a co league high 3.3 goals per match, over their last 10 starts. Wigan might be boosted by the inclusion of Emile Heskey and he and/or his team mates, should not be short of chances against a regigged Villa defence missing Zat Knight and probably Wilfred Bouma.
At the other end of the pitch, their pacy attacking players should have plenty of success. Their counter attacking style is ideally suited to playing away and they have managed a Premiership high total, of 19 goals on the road.
6 points "over" 2.25 goals 1.84 asian line.
Good Luck.
BLUE SQUARE PREMIERSHIP ......a Taylor made solution !
ALTRINCHAM - STEVENAGE BOROUGH
Stevenage have managed to regroup after a very tough few months, during which they lost their coach, several players and suffered terrible injury problems. The vastly experienced Peter Taylor is now in charge, has his feet well and truly under the table and is set to be a big player in the transfer window, with a number of signings already lined up. All of his players are fighting to keep their place in the side and he has not yet, given up on top spot, which carries with it, the sole automatic promotion place.
He/they will be looking for his/their 7th away win of the season, at an Altrincham club with big problems. The hosts have lost 9 times already at home, no other side has managed more than 7, to say nothing of the league high total of 26 goals conceded. To make matters worse, their top scorer is suspended.
Boro have won the last 3 h2h meetings, all by an identical 2-1 scoreline, including the reverse fixture just a couple of weeks ago, when they recovered from a goal down.
6 points Stevenage -1/2 ball 1.85 general quote.
Stevenage have managed to regroup after a very tough few months, during which they lost their coach, several players and suffered terrible injury problems. The vastly experienced Peter Taylor is now in charge, has his feet well and truly under the table and is set to be a big player in the transfer window, with a number of signings already lined up. All of his players are fighting to keep their place in the side and he has not yet, given up on top spot, which carries with it, the sole automatic promotion place.
He/they will be looking for his/their 7th away win of the season, at an Altrincham club with big problems. The hosts have lost 9 times already at home, no other side has managed more than 7, to say nothing of the league high total of 26 goals conceded. To make matters worse, their top scorer is suspended.
Boro have won the last 3 h2h meetings, all by an identical 2-1 scoreline, including the reverse fixture just a couple of weeks ago, when they recovered from a goal down.
6 points Stevenage -1/2 ball 1.85 general quote.
Good Luck.
SATURDAY PLANS ......
Very exciting day in prospect today, I have previewed 8 matches on the email service and have writer's cramp, after two finger typing some 1500 words !
The games come thick and fast at this time of year and it is a real opportunity to steal a march on the bookmakers. Win or lose, I am very happy with today's selections and hopefully, knock on wood, the good run can continue.
I will try to post whatever I can on the blog, later today. Also looking forward to the Giants - Patriots game, where New England can seal their place in NFL folklore, with the first 100% regular season in 35 years ! It will be an amazing achievement, especially given the quality of their performances all season long and let's hope that any references to "Spygate" are kept to a minimum.
Back Later.
The games come thick and fast at this time of year and it is a real opportunity to steal a march on the bookmakers. Win or lose, I am very happy with today's selections and hopefully, knock on wood, the good run can continue.
I will try to post whatever I can on the blog, later today. Also looking forward to the Giants - Patriots game, where New England can seal their place in NFL folklore, with the first 100% regular season in 35 years ! It will be an amazing achievement, especially given the quality of their performances all season long and let's hope that any references to "Spygate" are kept to a minimum.
Back Later.
Friday, December 28, 2007
FRIDAY UPDATE ...
No selections on the blog today, there is very little worldwide sporting action and I only previewed two "long term" events on the email service.
Tomorrow looks very interesting and I will be sending out my newsletter overnight covering some 8-9 matches. So it is very likely that there will be something to share on the blog.
We have 3 full UK domestic programmes in the coming week, if anyone would like to try out the email service over this busy New Year period, you can do so with payment via moneybookers, all you need is my email address .... stencelwade@btinternet.com . For the trial price of £15, 20 euros or US $30, you will receive the newsletter from Saturday 29th December to Sunday January 6th inclusive. Covering the 3 full programmes, plus everything inbetween, I will also add a copy of today's long term advice.
Good Luck.
Tomorrow looks very interesting and I will be sending out my newsletter overnight covering some 8-9 matches. So it is very likely that there will be something to share on the blog.
We have 3 full UK domestic programmes in the coming week, if anyone would like to try out the email service over this busy New Year period, you can do so with payment via moneybookers, all you need is my email address .... stencelwade@btinternet.com . For the trial price of £15, 20 euros or US $30, you will receive the newsletter from Saturday 29th December to Sunday January 6th inclusive. Covering the 3 full programmes, plus everything inbetween, I will also add a copy of today's long term advice.
Good Luck.
Thursday, December 27, 2007
NETHERLANDS...... EREDIVISIE
AJAX AMSTERDAM - FC TWENTE
This is another game where I expect goals. Ajax's last six starts have produced 27 goals, an average of 4.5 per match, with 12 coming at the wrong end (if you are a fan) of the pitch ! Including two or more, in the dreadful loss to struggling Excelsior and the matches against bottom club Willem II and Breda. This is hardly the form of potential champions and, even taking into account their full treatment room, it is simply not good enough.
Twente are on an unbeaten run of 8 matches and are playing some very nice football, as indicated by wins over AZ, Feyenoord and away, at red hot Heerenveen, last time out. They are worth chancing at a big price for minimal stakes, but our main bet has to be the "over" given Ajax's free and easy ways, allied to Twente's inability to keep a clean sheet, they have scored and conceded in each of their last six.
This is another game where I expect goals. Ajax's last six starts have produced 27 goals, an average of 4.5 per match, with 12 coming at the wrong end (if you are a fan) of the pitch ! Including two or more, in the dreadful loss to struggling Excelsior and the matches against bottom club Willem II and Breda. This is hardly the form of potential champions and, even taking into account their full treatment room, it is simply not good enough.
Twente are on an unbeaten run of 8 matches and are playing some very nice football, as indicated by wins over AZ, Feyenoord and away, at red hot Heerenveen, last time out. They are worth chancing at a big price for minimal stakes, but our main bet has to be the "over" given Ajax's free and easy ways, allied to Twente's inability to keep a clean sheet, they have scored and conceded in each of their last six.
Recent h2h results offer a little encouragement for the visitors, with the last 3 meetings providing an even split of 1X2.
6 points "over" 2.5 goals 1.63 exchanges.
1.5 points Twente to win 5.50 +.... 6.0 available in places.
1.5 points Twente to win 5.50 +.... 6.0 available in places.
Good Luck.
THURSDAY PLANS ....
On what, at first glance, looks a very sleepy, post Christmas betting day, I have found four bets for email subscribers.
Whilst there is limited fayre on offer, the handful of fixtures in England and the Netherlands, look extremely competitive and offer excellent betting opportunities.
I will cover a couple of these on the blog later today, please check back.
Good Luck.
Whilst there is limited fayre on offer, the handful of fixtures in England and the Netherlands, look extremely competitive and offer excellent betting opportunities.
I will cover a couple of these on the blog later today, please check back.
Good Luck.
Wednesday, December 26, 2007
A week is a long time in sports betting ..........
I have given 14 bets on the blog since last Wednesday, one void, 3 losers and ten winners !
This equates to a 76.92 % strike rate and produced over 37 points profit and a return on investment, of over 50.5 %..... pretty good.
However, over the same period email subscribers have made almost an additional 20 points profit. They have also received my previews at latest, by mid/late morning and on occasion, the day before. Twenty points ! A £12 unit stake, would have paid for the GOWI Premium service for almost six months, that is from the additional profit alone.... in just one week's trading.
If we are talking about the total profit for the period, a similar level stake, would have paid for the service for approx 16 months !
Further details of the daily newsletter can be found on http://www.bestbets4free.blogspot.com/ and costs little more than a daily newspaper.
Good Luck.
This equates to a 76.92 % strike rate and produced over 37 points profit and a return on investment, of over 50.5 %..... pretty good.
However, over the same period email subscribers have made almost an additional 20 points profit. They have also received my previews at latest, by mid/late morning and on occasion, the day before. Twenty points ! A £12 unit stake, would have paid for the GOWI Premium service for almost six months, that is from the additional profit alone.... in just one week's trading.
If we are talking about the total profit for the period, a similar level stake, would have paid for the service for approx 16 months !
Further details of the daily newsletter can be found on http://www.bestbets4free.blogspot.com/ and costs little more than a daily newspaper.
Good Luck.
COVENTRY - CRYSTAL PALACE
Neil Warnock has worked his Championship magic at Palace and they are unbeaten in 10 starts, with 5 wins, all of which have come by an identical 2-1 scoreline. The south london side are closing in on a playoff spot and Warnock will be ultra keen to keep the run going at the Ricoh Arena, as, next up for him, is a return to his former club and first love, Sheffield United, the team he supported as a boy.
Looking at their stats, Palace must have been putting in a lot of shoooting practice in training, as their ratio of shots on target, to attempts, is sensational. They are sure to get a few chances at defensively frail Coventry, who made some howlers at Blackpool last time out.
Palace have some very talented youngsters, who are catching the eye of bigger clubs and Warnock is just the experienced hand needed to nurture them .They will be unchanged for the fourth straight match, City are without the suspended Kevin Kyle.
6 points Crystal Palace +1/4 ball 1.90 asian line.
Looking at their stats, Palace must have been putting in a lot of shoooting practice in training, as their ratio of shots on target, to attempts, is sensational. They are sure to get a few chances at defensively frail Coventry, who made some howlers at Blackpool last time out.
Palace have some very talented youngsters, who are catching the eye of bigger clubs and Warnock is just the experienced hand needed to nurture them .They will be unchanged for the fourth straight match, City are without the suspended Kevin Kyle.
6 points Crystal Palace +1/4 ball 1.90 asian line.
Good Luck.
CHAMPIONSHIP .....
BARNSLEY - STOKE
I know from experience that it pays to keep an inform striker on your side, especially when he plays for a team that is on fire. Those criteria are met by Ricardo Fuller, 5 goals in his last two and Stoke City, who could move into the top 2 with a win, are unbeaten in 7, winning 5 and have scored 3 or more, in 4 of their last 6.
Barnsley have scored only a total of 3 in their last 6, registering just a solitary win and have been comprehensively outplayed in their last 3 starts, more so than the respective scorelines might suggest.
6 points Stoke level ball 2.01 asian line.... now 1.92
I know from experience that it pays to keep an inform striker on your side, especially when he plays for a team that is on fire. Those criteria are met by Ricardo Fuller, 5 goals in his last two and Stoke City, who could move into the top 2 with a win, are unbeaten in 7, winning 5 and have scored 3 or more, in 4 of their last 6.
Barnsley have scored only a total of 3 in their last 6, registering just a solitary win and have been comprehensively outplayed in their last 3 starts, more so than the respective scorelines might suggest.
6 points Stoke level ball 2.01 asian line.... now 1.92
Good Luck.
BOXING DAY ..........
TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR- FULHAM
There were chances galore in the Fulham - Wigan match at the weekend and the managerless visitors will do well to contain this Spurs side, who were very unlucky not to get something from the derby game with Arsenal, where they missed a penalty, which would have given them the lead. Juande Ramos has an abundance of attacking options at his disposal and he will want to get back to winning ways asap.
If he looks at a video of the reverse fixture, which somehow ended 3-3, he will be rubbing his hands in anticipation. Tottenham should have won that by 5 or 6 goals, it was one of the most one sided Premiership games I have seen all season and the north londoners created a scoring chance almost every time they had the ball, a boxing referee would have stopped the contest on a TKO.
Spurs have tightened up at the back since then and will surely not be so charitable this time.
6 points Tottenham -1 ball 1.76 asian line..... NOW -1.25 BALL 1.91
There were chances galore in the Fulham - Wigan match at the weekend and the managerless visitors will do well to contain this Spurs side, who were very unlucky not to get something from the derby game with Arsenal, where they missed a penalty, which would have given them the lead. Juande Ramos has an abundance of attacking options at his disposal and he will want to get back to winning ways asap.
If he looks at a video of the reverse fixture, which somehow ended 3-3, he will be rubbing his hands in anticipation. Tottenham should have won that by 5 or 6 goals, it was one of the most one sided Premiership games I have seen all season and the north londoners created a scoring chance almost every time they had the ball, a boxing referee would have stopped the contest on a TKO.
Spurs have tightened up at the back since then and will surely not be so charitable this time.
6 points Tottenham -1 ball 1.76 asian line..... NOW -1.25 BALL 1.91
Good Luck.
Monday, December 24, 2007
HAPPY HOLIDAYS ..... relax and take time to watch the sun set .
I know that not all of you celebrate Christmas, but most of you will have some extra free time with your families, or loved ones, over the next few days.
Make the most of it, enjoy yourselves and have a happy and peaceful time.
My next post will be on the morning of the 26th, when we have a full UK football programme to digest, along with a remaining mountain of food !
Have fun !
Sunday, December 23, 2007
NFL WEEK 16 ..........
BUFFALO BILLS - NEW YORK GIANTS
It is not so easy to take things easy in certain sports, you might lack a little in motivation, yet put in a half hearted challenge in the NFL and you can get seriously injured. Having said that, at this time of year, when teams are tired and beat up, I would always want to be with the team that have the incentive to win.
Despite a 7-7 record, Buffalo know that even two wins in their remaining games, will not be enough to take them into the post season. On a cold, wet and windy night in upstate New York, the extra motivation might have warmed them a little and it will be hard for thought's not to turn to the off season and some rest and relaxation.
They were kept scoreless at a snowbound Cleveland last week and points have been at a premium all season. The Bills have scored 17 or fewer, in 5 of their last 6, have only three times scored over 20 points, with the two of those games that they won, coming against teams with a combined total of just 6 wins and have on 8 occasions, been kept to 14 points or less. Their total of 222 points , is very low and only Atlanta (3-11), Kansas (4-10) and the 49ers (4-10) have managed fewer.
Giants need a win to secure a play off place, if they do not get it, they will go to the final match of the season needing a win, or require help elsewhere to extend their campaign. It could boil down to the latter, as their final match is against the Patriots, who, if the beat Miami (1-13) today, will go to New York looking to record the first perfect season in 36 years of football ! They will want to take care of business tonight and might be happier to do it on the road, where they are 6-1, having won their last six, since an opening defeat. Giants will be without Jeremy Shockey, which is a loss, but he will be able to dedicate himself to his, normally, part time job, that of cheerleader and general "winder up" of fan's of both teams. The others, some of whom, along with the coach, are said to be playing for their jobs next season, will have to pick up the slack.
Unusually for teams from the same state, this will be the first meeting between these two in 8 years and the Giants should take a low scoring encounter.
6 points New York Giants 1.787 money line Pinnacle/ Vegas.
Good Luck.
SERIE A .................
NAPOLI - TORINO
Visitors are draw specialists in Serie A and have finished level in 10 from 16 this season, including 5 of their last 6, losing only to Inter. However, there is always an "however", they have had two very tough games with Roma in the last 7 days and they are without two key defenders in Gianluca Comotto and Salvatore Lanna, who are both suspended. Napoli are strong at home and have a fully fit squad to choose from. It is very hard to see an away win and although it may take a little time, I expect the hosts to eventually come out ahead.
5 points Napoli -1/4 ball 1.82 asian line.
REGGINA - CATANIA
Teams face "must win" games through the season and whilst I am loathe to say it too often at this, still early, stage of the season, it is hard to see where Reggina go from here, unless they collect maximum points, so, a "must, must win" game.
They sit 4 points from safety, but do have a game in hand, it is goals that have been a problem and their total of nine all season, is simply not good enough. There has been signs of a little life in the last two home starts with clean sheets and four points from the visits of Genoa (2-0) and Fiorentina (0-0). Forget the 4-1 home loss, in the Coppa Italia on Wednesday to Inter, as discussed then, that game was little more than a training session for Reggina, all their focus and energy was and is directed at today.
Catania played a day later and earned a victory at Milan, their two goalscorer's Spinesi and Mascara are both out suspended today, which is a major loss. They have had a day's less rest and even if they stayed on the mainland, I am not sure about that, a great deal more travelling. Their week was also centred around the cup tie, as opposed to today, with the focus not shifting until Friday.
I have to give my vote to the home side today.
6 points Reggina -1/4 ball 1.99 asian line.
Visitors are draw specialists in Serie A and have finished level in 10 from 16 this season, including 5 of their last 6, losing only to Inter. However, there is always an "however", they have had two very tough games with Roma in the last 7 days and they are without two key defenders in Gianluca Comotto and Salvatore Lanna, who are both suspended. Napoli are strong at home and have a fully fit squad to choose from. It is very hard to see an away win and although it may take a little time, I expect the hosts to eventually come out ahead.
5 points Napoli -1/4 ball 1.82 asian line.
REGGINA - CATANIA
Teams face "must win" games through the season and whilst I am loathe to say it too often at this, still early, stage of the season, it is hard to see where Reggina go from here, unless they collect maximum points, so, a "must, must win" game.
They sit 4 points from safety, but do have a game in hand, it is goals that have been a problem and their total of nine all season, is simply not good enough. There has been signs of a little life in the last two home starts with clean sheets and four points from the visits of Genoa (2-0) and Fiorentina (0-0). Forget the 4-1 home loss, in the Coppa Italia on Wednesday to Inter, as discussed then, that game was little more than a training session for Reggina, all their focus and energy was and is directed at today.
Catania played a day later and earned a victory at Milan, their two goalscorer's Spinesi and Mascara are both out suspended today, which is a major loss. They have had a day's less rest and even if they stayed on the mainland, I am not sure about that, a great deal more travelling. Their week was also centred around the cup tie, as opposed to today, with the focus not shifting until Friday.
I have to give my vote to the home side today.
6 points Reggina -1/4 ball 1.99 asian line.
Good Luck.
SUNDAY PLANS ......
Busy day today, covered 6 matches across 5 leagues in the emailed newsletter and will carry some of those, along with the NFL, on the blog a little later.
I have had a good response to the "festive special"and some of you asked if it was still possible to take the offer. Yes, it is and as you will have missed the first saturday, for any new subscribers I will extend it, to include up to and including January 10th. Details can be found in the post title "Thursday Update", which can be viewed below.
Back later.
I have had a good response to the "festive special"and some of you asked if it was still possible to take the offer. Yes, it is and as you will have missed the first saturday, for any new subscribers I will extend it, to include up to and including January 10th. Details can be found in the post title "Thursday Update", which can be viewed below.
Back later.
Saturday, December 22, 2007
CHAMPIONSHIP ....
QPR - COLCHESTER UNITED
Rangers received another huge, off the pitch, boost this week, when yet another extremely rich man, joined the board. Lakshmi Mittal bought 20% of the club and with £50bn, he comes in at number 5 in the world rich list and makes Abramovitch look hard up !
They are , no doubt, already lining up a number of big money transfer window signings, so all the team are playing for starting places. Bolder and Vine return to the starting line up following suspension and two clean sheets , plus 4 points from two very tough fixtures, augurs well.
The visitors are in for a long battle against the drop and have few such resources at their disposal. They have won just once in 11 starts and are without a clean sheet in 31 matches !
6 points QPR -1/4 ball 1.80 asian line.... now 1.75
BLACKPOOL - COVENTRY
Time for a Pool home win. If they are going to survive in the Championship, they can ill afford to lose three in a row at Bloomfield Road. This match comes after losses to Cardiff and Stoke, games in which, they by no means played badly and averaged 18.5 attempts on goal.With 3 of their next 4 away, they really need maximum points against a Coventry side, who have had a few key players miss training this week.
6 points Blackpool -1/4 ball 2.20 asian line.... now 2.07
SOUTHAMPTON - PRESTON NORTH END
Saints need this one to keep the pressure on the teams immediately above them and also, to get a little revenge. This is hard to believe, but in the last two h2h meetings at Deepdale, Southampton have dominated possession and chances, yet lost both, conceding 8 goals in the process, so they feel, quite rightly, hard done by. They have managed to tighten up considerably at the back and boss George Burley, is further boosted by the return of two central defenders, giving him even more defensive options.
PNE are without their captain and have three other key players, facing late tests. Hosts have impressed recently and can get that revenge this afternoon.
5 points -1/2 ball 1.96 asian line..... now 1.86
Rangers received another huge, off the pitch, boost this week, when yet another extremely rich man, joined the board. Lakshmi Mittal bought 20% of the club and with £50bn, he comes in at number 5 in the world rich list and makes Abramovitch look hard up !
They are , no doubt, already lining up a number of big money transfer window signings, so all the team are playing for starting places. Bolder and Vine return to the starting line up following suspension and two clean sheets , plus 4 points from two very tough fixtures, augurs well.
The visitors are in for a long battle against the drop and have few such resources at their disposal. They have won just once in 11 starts and are without a clean sheet in 31 matches !
6 points QPR -1/4 ball 1.80 asian line.... now 1.75
BLACKPOOL - COVENTRY
Time for a Pool home win. If they are going to survive in the Championship, they can ill afford to lose three in a row at Bloomfield Road. This match comes after losses to Cardiff and Stoke, games in which, they by no means played badly and averaged 18.5 attempts on goal.With 3 of their next 4 away, they really need maximum points against a Coventry side, who have had a few key players miss training this week.
6 points Blackpool -1/4 ball 2.20 asian line.... now 2.07
SOUTHAMPTON - PRESTON NORTH END
Saints need this one to keep the pressure on the teams immediately above them and also, to get a little revenge. This is hard to believe, but in the last two h2h meetings at Deepdale, Southampton have dominated possession and chances, yet lost both, conceding 8 goals in the process, so they feel, quite rightly, hard done by. They have managed to tighten up considerably at the back and boss George Burley, is further boosted by the return of two central defenders, giving him even more defensive options.
PNE are without their captain and have three other key players, facing late tests. Hosts have impressed recently and can get that revenge this afternoon.
5 points -1/2 ball 1.96 asian line..... now 1.86
Good Luck.
SATURDAY PLANS ......
Good Morning !
Northampton and Bournemouth was "over" before half time, if only it was always so easy (!) and the only other selection on the email service that beat the weather, also won. I have sent out previews of six english matches to subscribers overnight and will try to cover as many as possible, on the blog through the day, so please check back.
If you do not want to wait, you can find details of the newsletter service on http://www.bestbets4free.blogspot.com/ and for those of you that might like to try it out over the holiday period, there is a "festive special", which you can read more about in an earlier post, three down from this one ! Sign up today and I will start by sending you a copy of today's email by return.
Good Luck.
Northampton and Bournemouth was "over" before half time, if only it was always so easy (!) and the only other selection on the email service that beat the weather, also won. I have sent out previews of six english matches to subscribers overnight and will try to cover as many as possible, on the blog through the day, so please check back.
If you do not want to wait, you can find details of the newsletter service on http://www.bestbets4free.blogspot.com/ and for those of you that might like to try it out over the holiday period, there is a "festive special", which you can read more about in an earlier post, three down from this one ! Sign up today and I will start by sending you a copy of today's email by return.
Good Luck.
Friday, December 21, 2007
WEATHER UPDATE .....
The cold front in northern central Europe continues and the matches at Le Havre, Reims, Sedan and Amiens, have all been postponed.
Better news in the UK where the Brighton - Gillingham game passed an afternoon inspection and goes ahead. Temperatures in England are set to rise tomorrow, so, if clubs can wait until after any overnight frost has disappeared, before making any playing decisions, there should be very few problems.
Good Luck.
DIVISION 1 ......
NORTHAMPTON - BOURNEMOUTH
Despite the weather, which is bitterly cold, with some frost around, I really like the "over" here. Both these two tend to "go for it "and create and concede a lot of chances. Neither have had much luck infront of goal, or on the injury front and both are probably better than their league positions would suggest, especially Northampton.
These two have produced 263 (hit woodwork 7 times) and 235 (8) attempts on goal respectively, totals which put them first and 5th in the table for chances created. Of course, they are being equally as free and easy at the other end of the pitch. Northampton's last two league starts, at Forest and at home to Carlisle which both ended 2-2 and Bournemouth's 1-0 win over Gillingham, were all, end to end encounters and we must anticipate more of the same this evening. Hosts will be boosted by outplaying Forest in the second half and the return of top scorer Andy Kirk, they would be my idea of the winners, but I much prefer the "over".
6 points "over" 2.25 goals 1.83 asian line.
Despite the weather, which is bitterly cold, with some frost around, I really like the "over" here. Both these two tend to "go for it "and create and concede a lot of chances. Neither have had much luck infront of goal, or on the injury front and both are probably better than their league positions would suggest, especially Northampton.
These two have produced 263 (hit woodwork 7 times) and 235 (8) attempts on goal respectively, totals which put them first and 5th in the table for chances created. Of course, they are being equally as free and easy at the other end of the pitch. Northampton's last two league starts, at Forest and at home to Carlisle which both ended 2-2 and Bournemouth's 1-0 win over Gillingham, were all, end to end encounters and we must anticipate more of the same this evening. Hosts will be boosted by outplaying Forest in the second half and the return of top scorer Andy Kirk, they would be my idea of the winners, but I much prefer the "over".
6 points "over" 2.25 goals 1.83 asian line.
Back Later.
Thursday, December 20, 2007
THURSDAY UPDATE ....
I am not posting any selections on the blog today, but am very likely to have a couple tomorrow.
Yesterday I reproduced the email in full on the blog, which is in the post immediately under this one. Four/five matches were covered including a lot of team news and even weather updates, in a circa 1,000 word missive. Subscribers receive something similar, on a daily basis, there is always a lot of valuable information included, which should help in your battle with "the enemy" .
You can find details of the email service on http://www.bestbets4free.blogspot.com/ and if you wish to subscribe, you can do so using any debit or credit card, or via your moneybookers or paypal accounts.
To cover the Christmas/New Year period, there is also a "festive special", at a special rate,which is payable in £, euros or US$, if purchasing this ,you will receive every email sent out, up to and including January 6th 2008. Which means that 5 complete rounds of UK domestic football will be covered, along with everything inbetween, over the busiest football period of the season at a cost of approx $3 per day.
Good Luck.
Yesterday I reproduced the email in full on the blog, which is in the post immediately under this one. Four/five matches were covered including a lot of team news and even weather updates, in a circa 1,000 word missive. Subscribers receive something similar, on a daily basis, there is always a lot of valuable information included, which should help in your battle with "the enemy" .
You can find details of the email service on http://www.bestbets4free.blogspot.com/ and if you wish to subscribe, you can do so using any debit or credit card, or via your moneybookers or paypal accounts.
To cover the Christmas/New Year period, there is also a "festive special", at a special rate,which is payable in £, euros or US$, if purchasing this ,you will receive every email sent out, up to and including January 6th 2008. Which means that 5 complete rounds of UK domestic football will be covered, along with everything inbetween, over the busiest football period of the season at a cost of approx $3 per day.
Good Luck.
Wednesday, December 19, 2007
WEDNESDAY'S EMAIL ..........
COPPA ITALIA
REGGINA - INTER MILAN
Both of these clubs have one eye on the weekend, when they face much bigger games. Reggina have a massive "must win" fixture, when they host Catania, despite having a game in hand, they are in danger of getting cast adrift in the relegation zone and have to start collecting points soon. Inter are coasting towards another title, but they have the Milan derby to look forward to.
Reggina have admitted that this is low priority for them, they have 5-6 players injured and 7-8 potential starters, are likely to only get 45 minutes each. In other words this will be more like a glorified training session,, ahead of the weekend match. Inter will have a number of star names in the side, they could not play a weak eleven even if they wanted to and have claimed that they are keen on the competition, this looks a mismatch and the odds are pretty good.
6.5 points Inter -1/2 ball 1.74 asian line.... now trading at -3/4 1.81
SPAIN... COPA DEL REY
ESPANOL- DEPORTIVO
ALICANTE - REAL MADRID
REAL UNION DE IRUN- VALENCIA
Going to share some information on these three games and put up a couple of bets. Let's start in Alicante, where the conditions are likely to be cold and wet, but the atmosphere white hot, both teams have big weekend games, but the hosts cannot disappoint their fans and rest anybody this evening. Real play Barce and have left Raúl, Casillas, Ramos, Cannavaro, Diarra, Baptista, Van Nistelrooy, Sneijder and Robinho back in the capital. They should be too strong in any case, but they are likely to line up defensively and would probably settle on taking a draw back for the second leg. Going to pass on this one.
Espanol have a Champions League battle with Atletico at the weekend and Deportivo, a huge game at fellow strugglers Levante ahead of them. This could fizzle out tonight in what looks sure to be an empty stadium, the hosts had a low attendance and put in a poor performance when stumbling to a 1-0 win over Levante last week and unlike most bigger clubs in this tournament, have refused to reduce admission prices. For example, Real are just charging 3 euros for the return match with Alicante and the game is expected to be a sell out . Espanol are charging 15-20 times that and if the visitors show the same level of commitment they have in recent starts, especially the narrow loss away to Barce, could get a result this evening. Deportivo will not return home after the game and will travel directly to Levante, with the same squad of players, so we can expect a strong line up from them ... Munúa, Aouate, Barragán, Adrián López , Aythami, Coloccini, Filipe, De Guzman, Sergio, Juan Rodríguez, Verdú, Antonio Tomás, Cristian, Lafita, Guardado, Riki, Xisco, Bodipo, Rubén, Adrián and Chapi. Visitors plus the start for me.
I am going to back Valencia, their form is dire, really terrible, but they need a win desperately and they are not going to get a better chance. Understand that the coach has finally had enough and told a couple of "star" names ( Albelda and Canizares ) to look for another club, this might be the kick up the backside that the others need. They have named the following squad of 20 players .....
Porteros: Mora, Guaita. Defensas: Miguel, Caneira, Helguera, Arturo, Lombán, Marchena, Moretti, Jaume. Centrocampistas: M.Fernandes, Montoro, Vicente, Baraja, Sunny, Joaquín. Delanteros: Arizmendi, Silva, Mata, Zigic.
They will start with the core squad (12 from 18) that faced Barcelona in the latest shambolic display, all the fringe players know that they have a chance of establishing a starting place and surely they will put in maximum effort. If they do not win this, it is hard to see where Valencia go from here, a win and they could kick start their season. This is a really important game in terms of the rest of their season. I do not normally like to back a team which has lost it's confidence, but everything has to change sometime and the odds are now backable and given everyone's eagerness to oppose Valencia recently, might even get a little bigger through the day. I am going to give them a chance.
Update Real's starting 11 .... dudek, salgado, metzelder, heinze, torres, robben, gago, guti, drenthe, higuain and saviola, not the worst "B" team I have ever seen !
5.5 points Deportivo +3/4 ball 1.95 asian line.
5.5 points Valencia -3/4 ball 1.88 asian line.... now trading at 1.81
UEFA CUP
PANIONIOS - BORDEAUX
The French club, who have already won the group have travelled with a very small, young and inexperienced squad. All 11 starters from the Marsei
lle game have stayed behind and they have just one defender over 21 years old and a midfield, where the hosts are strong, with an average age of just 19.5 years old ! Panionos will qualify with a win, not hugely successful in europe, but they are 4-1-1 domestically at home and a passionate crowd should cheer them home to a famous win, the history books would only say that they beat Bordeaux. French sides do not tend to over extend themselves when it is not necessary and they have bigger games ahead.
5 points Panionios -3/4 ball 1.82 asian line.
Good Luck.
REGGINA - INTER MILAN
Both of these clubs have one eye on the weekend, when they face much bigger games. Reggina have a massive "must win" fixture, when they host Catania, despite having a game in hand, they are in danger of getting cast adrift in the relegation zone and have to start collecting points soon. Inter are coasting towards another title, but they have the Milan derby to look forward to.
Reggina have admitted that this is low priority for them, they have 5-6 players injured and 7-8 potential starters, are likely to only get 45 minutes each. In other words this will be more like a glorified training session,, ahead of the weekend match. Inter will have a number of star names in the side, they could not play a weak eleven even if they wanted to and have claimed that they are keen on the competition, this looks a mismatch and the odds are pretty good.
6.5 points Inter -1/2 ball 1.74 asian line.... now trading at -3/4 1.81
SPAIN... COPA DEL REY
ESPANOL- DEPORTIVO
ALICANTE - REAL MADRID
REAL UNION DE IRUN- VALENCIA
Going to share some information on these three games and put up a couple of bets. Let's start in Alicante, where the conditions are likely to be cold and wet, but the atmosphere white hot, both teams have big weekend games, but the hosts cannot disappoint their fans and rest anybody this evening. Real play Barce and have left Raúl, Casillas, Ramos, Cannavaro, Diarra, Baptista, Van Nistelrooy, Sneijder and Robinho back in the capital. They should be too strong in any case, but they are likely to line up defensively and would probably settle on taking a draw back for the second leg. Going to pass on this one.
Espanol have a Champions League battle with Atletico at the weekend and Deportivo, a huge game at fellow strugglers Levante ahead of them. This could fizzle out tonight in what looks sure to be an empty stadium, the hosts had a low attendance and put in a poor performance when stumbling to a 1-0 win over Levante last week and unlike most bigger clubs in this tournament, have refused to reduce admission prices. For example, Real are just charging 3 euros for the return match with Alicante and the game is expected to be a sell out . Espanol are charging 15-20 times that and if the visitors show the same level of commitment they have in recent starts, especially the narrow loss away to Barce, could get a result this evening. Deportivo will not return home after the game and will travel directly to Levante, with the same squad of players, so we can expect a strong line up from them ... Munúa, Aouate, Barragán, Adrián López , Aythami, Coloccini, Filipe, De Guzman, Sergio, Juan Rodríguez, Verdú, Antonio Tomás, Cristian, Lafita, Guardado, Riki, Xisco, Bodipo, Rubén, Adrián and Chapi. Visitors plus the start for me.
I am going to back Valencia, their form is dire, really terrible, but they need a win desperately and they are not going to get a better chance. Understand that the coach has finally had enough and told a couple of "star" names ( Albelda and Canizares ) to look for another club, this might be the kick up the backside that the others need. They have named the following squad of 20 players .....
Porteros: Mora, Guaita. Defensas: Miguel, Caneira, Helguera, Arturo, Lombán, Marchena, Moretti, Jaume. Centrocampistas: M.Fernandes, Montoro, Vicente, Baraja, Sunny, Joaquín. Delanteros: Arizmendi, Silva, Mata, Zigic.
They will start with the core squad (12 from 18) that faced Barcelona in the latest shambolic display, all the fringe players know that they have a chance of establishing a starting place and surely they will put in maximum effort. If they do not win this, it is hard to see where Valencia go from here, a win and they could kick start their season. This is a really important game in terms of the rest of their season. I do not normally like to back a team which has lost it's confidence, but everything has to change sometime and the odds are now backable and given everyone's eagerness to oppose Valencia recently, might even get a little bigger through the day. I am going to give them a chance.
Update Real's starting 11 .... dudek, salgado, metzelder, heinze, torres, robben, gago, guti, drenthe, higuain and saviola, not the worst "B" team I have ever seen !
5.5 points Deportivo +3/4 ball 1.95 asian line.
5.5 points Valencia -3/4 ball 1.88 asian line.... now trading at 1.81
UEFA CUP
PANIONIOS - BORDEAUX
The French club, who have already won the group have travelled with a very small, young and inexperienced squad. All 11 starters from the Marsei
lle game have stayed behind and they have just one defender over 21 years old and a midfield, where the hosts are strong, with an average age of just 19.5 years old ! Panionos will qualify with a win, not hugely successful in europe, but they are 4-1-1 domestically at home and a passionate crowd should cheer them home to a famous win, the history books would only say that they beat Bordeaux. French sides do not tend to over extend themselves when it is not necessary and they have bigger games ahead.5 points Panionios -3/4 ball 1.82 asian line.
Good Luck.
Tuesday, December 18, 2007
SCOTLAND.... DIVISION 3
DUMBARTON - EAST STIRLING
Visitors have been whipping boys in this league for many seasons, but a win tonight will not only take them level with the team currently in the final play off spot, but would equal their points tally for the whole of last season. They have taken a very good keeper ( at this level) on loan from high flying league 2 team Raith and he proved a very calming influence at the back in his weekend debut. In the talented Andy Brand, they have one of the division's best midfielders and he has been on top form recently. Goals are not a problem for ES who have notched 11 in 5 starts.
That can hardly be said for Dumbarton, who are still managerless, have collected one point from a possible 18 and have lost their last 4, scoring just once. They are without two very important players this evening and asked for the game, which they originally got moved from Boxing Day to today, to be rescheduled back to the 26th, but this was refused by the SFL.
6 points East Stirling +1/4 ball 1.83 asian line.... now 1.77.
Visitors have been whipping boys in this league for many seasons, but a win tonight will not only take them level with the team currently in the final play off spot, but would equal their points tally for the whole of last season. They have taken a very good keeper ( at this level) on loan from high flying league 2 team Raith and he proved a very calming influence at the back in his weekend debut. In the talented Andy Brand, they have one of the division's best midfielders and he has been on top form recently. Goals are not a problem for ES who have notched 11 in 5 starts.
That can hardly be said for Dumbarton, who are still managerless, have collected one point from a possible 18 and have lost their last 4, scoring just once. They are without two very important players this evening and asked for the game, which they originally got moved from Boxing Day to today, to be rescheduled back to the 26th, but this was refused by the SFL.
6 points East Stirling +1/4 ball 1.83 asian line.... now 1.77.
Good Luck.
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