TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING..... MILAN OVER THE ZLATAN HANGOVER ?

 

TUESDAY NOVEMBER 6th

There is a follow up email at 17.00 today, which is effectively the first Wednesday email and that will focus mainly on the morning J-League fixtures, but I might also look at couple of tonight's Championship fixtures.

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

I am going to start with a quick look at Group C, my first thought is that I wonder how many people would have been injured in the stampede to get on Milan at 2.10 + and xxxx at odds against off xxxx xxxx a couple of months ago ?

Malaga have made the dream start, are yet to concede and one more win, wherever that may come, will see them progress. Having won 3-0 in Belgium, I am sure they will see next month's visit from Anderlecht as their ace in the hole and they might be able to relax a little more this evening, having started very nervously in their home game with Milan. The Spanish side have struggled a little since then, drawing with Espanol and losing at home to Rayo Vallecano on  Saturday, they might have been distracted by this fixture of course, but it was equally likely that new financial problems at the cash stricken club did not help matters, the players were not paid again last month and there was talk locally, that they had lost on "purpose". Either way, it is far from an ideal build up. Milan have been dire this season, but something happened at half time in Palermo last week, 2-0 down at the break, they fought back to snatch a point and followed up with a 5-1 defeat of Chievo, they finally went back to that four man defence in that and the difference was night and day, easily their best performance of the season. Bojan Krkic scored his first goal for the club and this are finally starting to come together for them. A point could be valuable, especially if Zenit do not win the other group game, but a win would make things so much easier and I cannot let these odds pass. Milan had chances in the reverse fixture and might be over the Zlatan "hangover", three points tonight would get the supporters back on their side too. 1.25 units  Milan -0.5 ball 2.14 asian line.

MILAN: Abbiati, Amelia, Gabriel, Abate, Bonera, De Sciglio, Mexes, Yepes, Zapata, Ambrosini, Boateng, Constant, De Jong, Emanuelson, Montolivo, Nocerino, Bojan, El Shaarawy, Pato, Pazzini, Robinho.

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It is hard to make a case for Borussia Dortmund winning in the Bernabeu, but they are certainly no shrinking violets and anyone who saw their match at Manchester City knows that only a stunning display from Joe Hart stopped them from scoring 3-4 goals. I see no real point in them sitting back and there will surely be goals in this. Real have yet to keep a cleansheet in three CL starts, conceding two here to City, just as they did in high scoring wins over Dinamo Zagreb and Apoel ( oh happy days ! LINK) last season. If it is available to you, a very small bet on Dortmund to score "over" 1.5 goals at circa 3.40 +, there is some 3.75 around, would give some interest in what seems certain to be a hugely entertaining match. This is definitely a bet we can win big with in the CL before the end of the group games, with either Real or Barcelona.

LEAGUE 1 : 

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LEAGUE 2 :

 

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Good Luck.

 

 EMAIL #2

 

Championship and J-League matches in this email, including a bet @ odds of 60-1 +.

CHAMPIONSHIP:

BOLTON WANDERERS- LEICESTER CITY

 

The job that Dougie Freedman did at Crystal Palace was incredible, not just on the pitch, but off it too, where he instilled a lot of pride and discipline into the players and those traits can take both Wanderers and him, a long way.

The hosts were really buoyed by the win over highflying Cardiff City on Saturday, it did come at a cost, with goalscorer David Ngog being red carded and he will miss out tonight, but to come from behind against the league leaders on the new manager's home debut was a dream start and Fredman can take a lot of the credit, with his tactical changes turning the match on it's head.  These are exciting times for Bolton, Freedman is the real deal and they have the squad to make a big promotion push, they might only be up to 17th after the win, but they are just five points off a playoff spot and 5.50 for promotion might very quickly look like a big price, especially if they follow up tonight.

He managed to get his number two from Palace, the hugely experienced Lennie Lawrence to join him and described it as "one of the best signings Bolton will ever make" ,  Adding I'm the driver of this ship, I will drive it through commitment, effort, desire and honesty. Lennie Lawrence will steer it." Great comment !

I doubt that Freedman will make any changes from the starting eleven ( Ngog started on the bench against City), a quick look at that bench gives you some idea (apart from salary), about why DF moved North, alongside Ngog, he had another five players with EPL experience, including Arsenal and England U19 striker Benik Afobe, Jay Spearing who has played in the CL, Marvin Sordell England U21 striker and Martin Petrov and international with 300 top flight games in the EPL, Primera and Bundesliga.  In addition, the hugley talented Stuart Holden is set to resume full training soon, after missing 18 months and that would be like getting a top quality EPL midfielder in on a free transfer.

City are a bit up and down and I have to admit, to not quite knowing where to rank them at present, they looked very good and then were completely outplayed in turn, away to Birmingham and Watford respectively, but didn't win either and also lost at home to Palace inbetween, with a narrow defeat of Brighton also shoehorned into the mix. They get Ritchie De Laet (11-0-0) back from a ban, but lose another central defender to a red card in Zak Whitbread (5-0-0), RDL will play on the right and will probably mean Liam Moore again moving into the middle, something he did for five matches earlier in the season, but City lost three of those. This is a problem position for City and they desperately need Sean St Ledger back, they have won six from six when he plays, anyway, this is something they should have addressed by now,but they haven't and I expect Wanderers to exploit it. Freedman (sort of) and Lawrence have already beaten City once and can do so again.1.75 units Bolton Wanderers level ball 1.84 asian line.

Edit: After typing this, I saw City signed two youngsters on loan from Manchester United, including central defender Michael Keane, he could play tonight, which might help, but I still favour Bolton.

 

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SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY- BLACKPOOL

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Given my knack of being able to preview games where there always seems to be a red card, I should point out that tonight's referee Andy D’Urso has sent off three players in his last four games.

J-LEAGUE:
VISSEL KOBE- YOKOHAMA F.MARINOS

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Yokohama have only conceded 15% of their goals in the first 30 minutes of play, but scored 33% and conceded 36% in the last 15.

SAGAN TOSU- JUBILO IWATA

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KASHIWA REYSOL- GAMBA OSAKA

Ahead of their last road game, at Frontale, I spoke about Gamba ......
No real problems for either side today and for me, this is all about motivation. Kawasaki Frontale are nine points clear of the drop zone and that buffer gives them a degree of safety and one more win, whenever it comes, should secure their survival and their need today is nowhere near as great as for Gamba. The visitors have had to sit and brood on a very frustrating 2-1 loss at Sendai for two weeks, where they held out for 76 minutes , that came after they were unbeaten in three before that, including a 5-0 win at Urawa. They have plenty of goals in them and are, incredibly, the top scorers in J-League with 55 goals, just shy of two per game, unfortunately, they have conceded exactly the same number ! Already three points from safety , defeat here could leave Gamba, top three in seven of the last eight seasons, facing the humiliation of relegation squarely in the face and they host the league leaders next week. Easier points on offer today IMO , Gamba have been playing better than Frontale for a couple of months and I expect them to get a hugely valuable win today.

They won that 3-2 and followed up with a 1-1 draw at home to the league leaders, Reysol have a small chance for a top 3 spot and a place in the ACL ( doesn't half the J-League), but will need the win and only the win to keep that dream alive, these sorts of games play into the hands of Gamba, who love a shootout and given their dire need for points, being three from safety, I have to side with them and also goals.

Team news is not worth anything here, both will look for the win, both will score and Gamba's need is great. Shame that all the influential Brazilians in this game on both sides are not Italians, they could arrange this nicely, 3-4 to Gamba, something like that, it could be that anyway, or at least 2-3. Both Leandro's are said to be doubts, Leandro Domingues ( 25-9-8) for the hosts and Leandro Montera da Silva (11-11-1), they are obviously hugely important, but I cannot believe we will not see the latter and maybe the former will do his countrymen a favour and sit this one out ! 1.25 units Gamba Osaka -0.25 ball 2.25 asian line  and 0.5 units "over" 4.5 goals @ circa 3.25 +.

Kashiwa are vunerable either side of the break, having conceded 37% of their goals between the 30th-60th minute, only 34% in the final third, which is a very odd split.

Lots of goals as we know when Gamba play, 29 scored and conceded between the 15th and 30th minute and they have conceded 34% in the last 15 minutes in all competitions, which in their case, is a whopping 26 goals !

VEGALTA SENDAI - CEREZO OSAKA

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Vegalta have scored 72% of goals after the break.

 

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oshimaSanfreece Hiroshima

Good Luck.

JUST ANOTHER MANIC MONDAY ......

I hope that most of you took advantage of the free preview yesterday LINK, Houston Dynamo won 2-0 and are now in pole position to knock Sporting Kansas City out of the post season for the second year running.

I have just sent subscribers two previews for tonight's matches and have a massive day planned for tomorrow, with a full Football League programme scheduled, in addition to the Champions League matches and I will also be sending out my match previews for the full round of J-League action, taking place on Wednesday morning !

A very busy start to the new week.

If you wish to receive all my daily notes, including tomorrow's jam packed editions, send an email to me at ... gowi8@btinternet.com

Good Luck.

SUNDAY .......THE BIGGER PICTURE

Small profit yesterday, way off the mark with two matches, but to be honest, today is the big day of the week for me. I have already sent subscribers previews of six football matches, one each from Italy, Spain and the EPL and in the follow up email, two from Brazil, where we remain in incredible form this season and another from the MLS playoffs. Two "strong" selections in that second email. I will also be sending subscribers my NFL notes later this afternoon, that is a lot of value for their 2-3 euros per day ! Seriously ..... I am a fool to myself !

If you are interested in getting the full email service notes every day, there is some infornation at the foot of the Ligue 2 post below and details of how everything works on this LINK.

If you are just happy with the odd free preview that is fine and I am sure that either John on the social media pages or myself on here,will post something later today, but remember, you are only getting to see a very small part of a much bigger picture.

Good Luck.

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TGIF .....

FRANCE : LIGUE 2

The weather in France is a bit dismal almost everywhere, with a lot of rain and some high winds around. Worst conditions are set for the middle of the day and by kick off, all of "our" matches should be played in normal November weather, but it will be a little sticky underfoot at most grounds.

CHATEAUROUX - DIJON

Chateauroux are 3-3-0 at home and have only lost twice all season, but a lot of draws for them, seven in total, which is more than they managed in the whole of last season. Central defender Massamba Sambou (8-0-0) returns from suspension, this is timely, as fellow centre back Remi Fournier (10-0-0) misses his third straight game and Chat have conceded in both. No other problems for the hosts and on paper this looks good for them, with the visitors struggling big time.

After a solid start to the season ( unbeaten through their first six), Dijon have not won in six and goals have been a problem since the sale of Benjamin Corgnet to Lorient and this has been compounded by the injuries to strikers Gregory Thil (4-0-1) and Brice Jovial (8-3-2). Right back Abdoulaye Bamba (10-0-0) is suspended and things do not look good for the visitors. However, and there is always an however, I not not entirely trust the hosts and feel they are not as good at home as that record suggests and also that Dijon have a lot more to offer and that it is time for those front men that are getting a run in the team, Kone, Tavares and Caceres to start contributing on a more regular basis. They have a good recent record here scoring three on each of their last two league visits and posting a win on penalties here in the cup back in August, which finished 2-2 in regulation time, with Kone scoring. Dijon have also scored eight in the two most recent reverse fixtures and that will give the club and many of the players, a lot of recent and positive mental memories. I am taking the "over", I expect an improved performance from Dijon and saw a little in the away losses to Nantes and Niort, at least going forward, to offer hope. Just one clean sheet in seven for the hosts and that came in a match where they were looking for 0-0 from the outset, which will not be the case this evening.

1.25 units "Over" 2.25 goals 2.11 asian line.

Châteauroux : Millieras, Caradec - Nestor, Sambou, Afougou, Neves, Beauvue, Guerriero, Hautcœur, Tainmont, Jeannot, Essombé, Fauque, De Freitas, Orinel, Allart. 

 

Dijon : Reynet, Tchagouni - Paulle, Rémy, O. Cissé, Varrault, Souprayen, Baradji, Mollet, Sankharé, Guerbert, Caceres, F. Bérenguer, Tavares, Paye, K. Koné.

 

I really like the Ligue 2 fixtures today, this is one of our best leagues and I have sent subscribers previews of four other games ( five in total) and they will also get a follow up email looking at the overnight action later this afternoon.

 

If you like the GOWI match previews, I really urge you to consider subscribing to the email service, it is not "cheap", but the daily rate is low and it offers terrific value for money and if you are not winning on a regular basis, it will really help your gambling portfolio.

 

Send me an email at gowi@@btinternet.com to get full details of the service and news of a special offer.

Good Luck.

BIG ODDS WEDNESDAY .....

WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 31st

The Capital One Cup games are not totally without interest, but I prefer to leave them alone today. Chelsea seem sure to name a stronger starting line up than Manchester United , but both have other targets for the season, the Reds also host Arsenal in the lunchtime kickoff on Saturday, so, advantage to the hosts in my book and anything above 2.20 probably offers a shade of value. Norwich City host Tottenham, surely rotation for the visitors, they are now up to 4th in the EPL, that Champions League battle will be season long and AVB has made it clear he wants to respect and name a strong line up for the Europa League, so they do not need any further involvement in this competition. Survival has to be the sole aim for the hosts, but boss Chris Hughton will want a big showing against his former club for whom he played 14 seasons and spent another eight as assistant coach, , if pushed I would say the Canaries were too big for this one, but I would prefer to see some confirmed team news, with City having been unchanged for their last two, they will surely have to rest a couple this evening. It is a similar strory in the Liverpool -Swansea City match, the hosts played two tough matches last week, Anzhi on Thursday and the derby game on Sunday, they still have to go to Russia and Italy in the Europa League and at the very least, have to make a run of some sort ,at a top 4 spot in the league. I am not certain they need this competition, but boss Brendan Rodgers will be facing his former club and that always brings something else into the mix ( not quite sure what this 

time !), Swansea entertain Chelsea at the weekend, but have a nice seven point buffer over the drop zone and I would favour them tonight with the full goal handicap start. However, again, I really would like to be a little more sure about both line ups. I will take the coward's way out and pass !

I will be a little braver in Serie A, despite the debacle at Catania on Sunday and I have three selections here, two at odds of 3.40 +.

ITALY : SERIE A

ATALANTA - NAPOLI

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INTERNAZIONALE - SAMPDORIA


Selection at odds of circa 3.75.....

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PARMA - AS ROMA

Selection at odds of 3.40 + ....


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Good Luck.


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STAND AND DELIVER ! BEWARE THE GENTLEMEN HIGHWAYMEN OF SERIE A !

Well, that was a nice start to our Sunday entertainment ! Catania were well and truly robbed by Juventus, the referee Dick Turpin and his highwaymen who were running the line.

The hosts had a good goal ruled out in the 25th minute for offside/ handball ( because it was against Juve ?), which was first given by the referee and then disallowed wrongly, heated protests followed and the Catania owner and president Antonino Pulvirenti, was sent to the stands.

Juve took the lead 12 minutes into the second half with a goal which SHOULD have been disallowed, the home side lost it after that and were reduced to ten men a short time later.

If Juve avoid defeat in midweek, they will have a chance to make it 50 Serie A games unbeaten against Internazionale next weekend, I would like to view that as something to celebrate, but I have a bit of a sour taste in my mouth at the moment !

Good Luck.

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SUNDAY EARLY EMAIL NOTES ....

 

SUNDAY OCTOBER 28th

Two emails today,  afternoon kick offs are covered here and the follow up will include the later football and NFL action and that will be sent at 14.00 UK time.

 

Three previews here, one each from Italy, England and my strongest news of the early matches, from Ligue 1.

ITALY: SERIE A

CATANIA - JUVENTUS

There are certain teams you are never going to get rich opposing on a regular basis and Juventus definitely now fall into that category, but if you pick and choose your matches and we have done well on the odd occasion we have decided to take on Barcelona, then you can still look to oppose them , just don't make a habit of it ! Juve are unbeaten in 49 championship matches in Serie A, including 23 on the road, but have shown signs of being a little weary recently , this will be their 10th start in the last six weeks and they have had a very disrupted schedule this week. They played in Copenhagen on Tuesday, have been eating lunch at 10.30 each day since their return to prepare for this and also  made the trip to Scicily, so there would have been very strangely timed training sessions this week. We spoke a couple of times last season about how footballers are very much creatures of habit and how they like to prepare for matches in a set way, eating and sleeping at rigid times, the morning kick off has messed this up and I can find no recent record of them playing in the early game previously. They have a home match with Bologna in midweek, before meeting Internazionale, who are coming on strong next weekend, so I can see a point today as being viewed as one won, not two lost. Catania are very strong on home soil, especially early season. they are 3-1-0 this season, drawing with Napoli and are looking to go undefeated through at least five starts for the third year in a row, last season they were 9-5-5 and 3-2-0 after five and in 2010/11 posted an 11-4-4 record and did not lose until their eighth outing ( 4-3-0). Obviously something in the late summer/ autumn air makes them very tough to beat on the island.

H2h wise three of the last five meetings in Catania have ended all square and there must be a very good chance of number four today, which is a result I feel both would be very happy with. Rolando Maran has thrived since taking over from Vicenzo Montella in June and whilst he has some injury concerns today, he will be able to field his preferred 4-3-3 formation and has had a completely free midweek to prepare. The visitors arrive without defender Lucio and Claudio Marchisio, the midfielder is very much amongst the first names on the team sheet and hardly ever misses a match, so his absence might be felt. A couple of Catania players, especially Alejandro Gomez have been linked with bigger clubs and this is a big chance to impress in a high profile match. Draw for me. 1.25 units Catania +0.5 ball asian line.

EPL : 

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FRANCE : LIGUE 1

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Good Luck.

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MORECAMBE LINE UP ...

For the match at Torquay United ( see below), Morecambe went with Lewis Allessandra and Jordan Burrow up front, the young pair have 16 goals in 152 appearances between them, just one in 21 this season.

On the bench, they have only been able to name six of the permitted seven players, five of whom have just two appearances between them and doesn't include a striker ( 3 midfielders, 2 central defenders and a keeper).

These are the realities of life for some at the lower levels, a small squad, a few injuries and suddenly, the options dry up.

They might still win, or grab a point, but it will be hard earned and it is difficult to see where the goals are going to come from.

Good Luck.

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SATURDAY ................

LEAGUE 2 : TORQUAY UNITED - MORECAMBE

United had a big, confidence boosting win over runaway league leaders Gillingham in midweek and they can follow up today against a Morecambe side who are short of some key offensive options.

I heard conflicting reports of the Gulls midweek win, some said the visitors were unlucky, others saw it differently, but the consensus was that United played well, they certainly put in a better defensive performance and with the goals flowing at the other end of the pitch, nine in their last four, they can look forward to the coming months. Last season, United went on an amazing run at exactly this stage, after a midweek win on October 25th, they went 13-2-1 for the next four months, averaging over 2.56 points per match. That will be hard to replicate, but we should definitely keep an eye on them in the next week or two.

Boss Martin Ling will have increased options at the back today, with the return from suspension of key right back Joe Oastler, he had only missed two games in the last two seasons before the Gillingham fixture and they had performed poorly in each, so that really was a noteworthy win and the performance of his young replacement, Daniel Leadbitter, was such, that there is some debate over who will start, but I think that is just a smokescreen to keep the younster's morale up and Oastler will surely play.

Morecambe have collected more points on the road than at home, but lost by the odd goal in three in a tough battle at Rotherham in midweek, which will have involved 4-5 hours on the team bus, before spending another six making the journey down here to deepest Devon. Obviously no travelling at all for the hosts this week and they should strip much the fresher of the two in that aspect. The visitors arrive without suspended strikers Richard Brodie (13-2-3) and Kevin Ellison (12-3-2) and injured left back Robbie Threlfall (10-0-0), it is hard to overstate how important Ellison is, he was a 15 goal man last season and is Mr Morecambe. The offensive problems are compounded as two of the only three other options Jack Redshaw and Lewis Alessandra, are carrying knocks and were listed as doubts. 1.25 units Torquay United -0.5 ball 1.98 asian line. 

Good Luck.

SATURDAY ..... A LOSING WEEK IN PROSPECT ?

It looks like I am heading for a losing week and I thought it only fair to mention it, after "only" talking about  winners recently.  As I type I am 5-6 points down, nothing too disastrous, especially after winning ten +points last week and nine the week before and each of the last six weeks, posting a massive 160 points profit over the last 29 weeks. To be honest, it was overdue and I have been expecting it, no one can win all the time, it is impossible, all you can do is keep trying to make correct decisions, maybe cut stakes a little when things go against you and ride it out.

I am not even sure I am in poor form yet, one slight set back means very little and I have gone 4W, 1L and 6W over the last eleven weeks, so maybe I will immediately get back on track.

I take a long term view of things and have been in good form for seven months, I would not say things had turned, until I had lost for a month or more, but that is me. I can only write the previews and place the bets, what happens afterwards is beyond my control. 

I could post much bigger profits too, but I only give selections that are freely available and for good liquidity. Sometimes this is very frustrating, like yesterday when I previewed this Ligue 2 match ....

GUINGAMP - SEDAN

I suspect we will see goal here and they might come early ! Guingamp have struggled for consistency, looking good one week and poor the next, they have both scored and conceded in each of their last six starts and their last ten have averaged 2.8 goals per game. The visitors are also without a clean sheet in six, their last ten have averaged 3.2 goals, but they do arrive buoyed by a morale boosting 4-2 win over Arles last weekend, only their second of the season. They have a good record here in Brittany, losing on just two of their last nine visits and both teams have been on the scoresheet in the last five h2h meetings.  We might see those goals come early, as Guingamp have conceded a massive 58% between the 30th and 60th minute and an incredibly low 12% in the last 15, Sedan also go against the norm and have scored 60% of all their goals in the first half.

Guingamp will be pleased with their 2-1 win at Caen last week and will have striker Christophe Mandanne(10-2-1) back from suspension, defender Paul Babiloni, who has been playing on the left hand side of defence in the absence of Dorian Leveque remains out, and this is a key and troublesome position for them.

Sedan will be without striker Naim Sliti (6-0-0 but less than 300 minutes on the pitch) and fringe midfielders Florian Makhedjouf (7-1-3) and Ahmed Yahiaoui (5-0-0), but have the offensive options to trouble this suspect Guingamp backline.

 Both to score, quite possibly a home win, but the odds on the "over" are better and offer far more value in my opinion. Those early goal stats are interesting and odds of between 3.0 and 3.5 for over 1.5 first half goals are tempting if you can find them, but I will keep things simple. 1.25 units "over" 2.5 goals 2.11 asian line.

Guingamp : Samassa, Planté - Martins Pereira, Bellugou, Cerdan, Imbula, Atik, Mathis, Mo. Diallo, Giresse, Yatabaré, Alioui, Sankoh, Kerbrat, Fauré, Charrier, Mandanne.  

Sedan : Ramé, Perraud - Boli, Bellaïd, Pogba, Dielna, Marcq, Beziouen, Koné, Le Bihan, Mam. Diallo, Diaby, Kinkela, Bongongui, Bijimine, Traoré.

I liked the odds for early goals, but could not put that in red type as it was only available with "European" bookmakers and it is VERY hard for a winning punter to get on with any of them and I expect my subscribers to be winning long term punters. I mention it because some might be able to bet, or the notes might help them get another angle ( their own) on the game.

This was a losing selection, but Guingamp won, there were two goals inside 30 minutes, so the over 1.5 line for 30 minutes was a comfortable winner, but the third and all important goal never came.

I know I think a little different from the norm, but this is a very good preview IMO and the result is kind of immaterial.

On Thursday, I previewed ....

FLUMINENSE- CORITIBA

Fluminense now lead at the top by six points after losing to their nearest challenger Atletico Mineiro last weekend and with the second placed team having a very winable home match up next, Flu will want to ensure the three points tonight and put some additional pressure on their title rival, but things are rarely that easy with big favourites in Brazil and Coritiba have not lost in six and have tightened up considerably as a defensive unit, conceding 32 goals through their first 16 matches and just 17 through their last 16, that is almost a goal per game improvement.  The visitors will have offensive midfielder Lincoln (27-3-6) and striker Deivid (13-6-3) back from suspension and that will greatly increase their offensive threat. They will be without central defender Sergio Escudero (14-0-1) but he didn't play in the 0-0 draw at Gremio last week. Fluminense are at pretty much full strength, just missing the odd long term injured player.

The visitors have tended to keep it tight on the road against the stronger teams, losing 1-0 at both Atletico and Sao Paulo, drawing 0-0 with Gremio and Vasco and they have a good record here, losing just once in five visits. This is an odd one, Flu want to win of course, but a point will have plenty of value, that ensures at least a four point advantage, with five rounds to play. I am torn between the visitors +1 ball and a narrow home win, I just about favour Fluminense to win by a single goal which is available with most companies @ circa 3.50/3.60, this is the draw on the traditional ( -1) handicap , but as it is not possibly available to all of you , I will leave it in black type.

Same situation, not freely available and therefore not in red type, that feels a little like throwing 2.5 profits away ( and I could have done with those this week), but some readers will have been able to bet.

I do not want to spoon feed subscribers, I preview a lot of matches, circa 100 per month, that give them a great deal of options and information and the rest is up to them. The red type selections will make you money LONG TERM, but you will get so much more out of the service by reading the previews fully and using the content, not just on that particular day, but in the future.

The email service is one of a kind and offers unbelievable value, three subscribers have wriiten to me in the last month and said that it is too cheap ! I agree ! 

I will be back later and will post a preview for this afternoon, if at all possible, if not, for the later matches, but remember, I am in "bad form". 

Good Luck.

Contact : gowi8@btinternet.com

WEDNESDAY UPDATE ...

I sent subscribers three previews this morning, two for the North/South American matches overnight and one for the Champions League, it is not possible for me to post any of those on here today. But please check back tomorrow, when I have a very similar day planned,with one Europa League and two Brazilian previews scheduled for the morning email and if it is at all possible, I will post something on the blog, or John will on Facebook, or Twitter.

Full details of the email service can be found here.

Contact : gowi8@btinternet.com

Good Luck.

TUESDAY MORNING ............

TUESDAY OCTOBER 23rd

The new week started well with Nantes beating Dijon 2-0 (see below) and hopefully that will set the tone for the next six days. I am going to do things differently today and will have a follow up email at exactly 19.00 UK time , 45 minutes before kick off, this will probably include two full previews and two slections, hopefully with confirmed starting elevens/ squads.

Three matches to discuss in this email, one each from the Championship, League 2 and the Champions League, there are a LOT of interesting games today and I could easily have previewed double that number in this email alone.

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

I can start with a few words about the Spartak Moscow-Benfica match, no strong opinion from me on this one, but it definitely looks likely to provide entertainment and as it gets the evening off to an early start and I know many of you will be watching, there might be an "in play" angle. Having lost their two opening matches, including here against Celtic , Spartak surely have to look for all three points tonight, their european record here at the Stadion Luzhniki is incredible, incredibly bad that is, posting just one win from 15 home matches at the UEFA Champions League group stage on their synthetic pitch. Given that conditions, playing surface, travel, weather, often strongly favour them, that is an amazing statistic. This Spartak team might also have a bit of a soft underbelly too .....

PREVIEW RESTRICTED ... email gowi8@btinternet.com for details

SHAKHTAR DONETSK- CHELSEA

 

PREVIEW RESTRICTED ... email gowi8@btinternet.com for details 

CHAMPIONSHIP:


PREVIEW RESTRICTED ... email gowi8@btinternet.com for details

LEAGUE 2: 

PREVIEW RESTRICTED ... email gowi8@btinternet.com for details

Good Luck.

LIGUE 2: FC NANTES- DIJON ( wriiten 23/10)

A point for the visitors, three for the hosts would take either back into the promotion places, so plenty to play for in front of the television cameras.

Nantes are unbeaten (3-2-0) on home soil, conceding only three goals, however they have been left to stew on a 3-1 defeat at Gazelec for a very long 17 days and will be eager to make amends. Tonight they will be without holding midfielder Lucas Deaux (7-0-2), key left back Gabriel Cichero (8-0-0) just one point and four goals conceded in the two matches he has sat out, striker Serge Gakpe (8-2-1) and midfielder Fabrice Pancrate (8-1-2).

Dijon have lost only once all season (4-5-1), that sole defeat was a heavy 4-2 loss at Niort two games back, they steadied things defensively with a 0-0 draw at home to highflying Angers, where they played 36 minutes with ten men and 18 with just nine, another would serve them well tonight, as they have scored in every away start so far. However, they have a lengthy list of players missing too, with central defenders Ousseynou Cisse (6-0-0), William Remy (5-0-1), midfielder Florent Mollet (10-0-0), plus strikers Gregory Thil (4-1-0), Julio Tavares (3-2-0), Brice Jovial (8-3-2) all out either injured or suspended. They have conceded 4 goals in six with Cisse playing, seven in five without him and aside from Benjamin Corgnet, who left to join Lorient last month, only Raphael Caceres (9-2-0) apart from the missing strikers has scored more than a single goal this season.

Both defences look vunerable today, but Nantes at least have someone more than capable of making use of these of these problems in striker Filip Djordjevic ( 10-9-1) all nine goals came in his last seven starts and you know I love a striker in form ! Just a very small bet for me one unit Nantes -0.75 ball 2.31 asian line.

Nantes : Riou, Zelazny - Alioui, Cissokho, Djilobodji, Madouni, Veigneau, Bessat, Eudeline, Keita, Touré, Trébel, Veretout, Djordjevic, Lee, Mayenga.

Dijon : Reynet, Tchagouni - Diabaté, Bamba, Souprayen, Paulle, Malouda, Varrault, Bérenguer, Sankharé, Paye, Guerbert, Joufreau, Baradji, Koné, Caceres.

 

Good Luck.

 

Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com

TRUTH IS STRANGER THAN FICTION .....

This is so incredible, I wouldn't expect anyone to believe it, but you have all winessed it, so  know it to be true !  18 free to view full previews on the GOWI blog or Facebook page in the last four weeks, just 18, 17 have won and one was a half stake loser. There was a huge amount of  variance there, no one can keep a strike rate like that up, but unless you are a complete novice (and then you really need help ), you should be able to read just one preview and realise that this is a quality product. Make the most of it, the free previews are going to slow to a trickle soon and subscriber spots are running out fast. 50 euros on each of the selections below would have paid for an email subscription until the end of March 2014, circa 830 emails !!!!

25/09 1.25 units Middlesbrough level ball 1,88 asian line FACEBOOK WON !

28/09 Angers-Le Mans  1.5 units "over" 2.25 goals 2.00 asian line GOWI WON !

29/09 1.5 units Omiya Ardiya +0.25 ball 1.98 asian line FACEBOOK WON !

29/09 1.25 units Vancouver-Seattle draw 3.30 +... there is some 3.40 around , 3.44 with Pinnacle GOWI WON !

29/09 Reading- Newcastle United 1.25 units "over" 2.5 goals 2.11 asian line FACEBOOK WON !

02/10 1.5 units Dagenham & Redbridge +0.75 ball 1.88 asian line. GOWI WON !

02/10 1.25 units Guangzhou Evergrande -0.75 ball 1.92 asian line FACEBOOK WON !

03/10  1.25 units Vancouver Whitecaps -0.75 asian line 1.91 line FACEBOOK WON !

04/10 One unit PSV -0.5 ball 2.0 + there is plenty of 2.05 even 2.10 in places if you shop around... 2.06/08 on the exchanges GOWI WON !

05/10 1.25 units Le Havre -0.5 ball 2.28 asian line FACEBOOK WON !

06/10 1.5 units Nottingham Forest -0.25 ball 2.06 asian line FACEBOOK WON !

09/10 One unit Hartlepool United -0.25 ball 2.11 asian line FACEBOOK  HALF LOSE

10/10 Figueirense v Atletico Goianiense 1.5 units "over" 2.5 goals 1.94 asian line FACEBOOK WON !

 

13/10 1.25 units Bournemouth -0.5 ball 1.91 general quote FACEBOOK WON !

16/10 Hungary v Turkey 1.25 units "over" 2.5 goals 2.09 asian line. FACEBOOK WON !

19/10 1.5 units Monaco level ball 1.90 + asian line GOWI WON !

20/10 1.25 units Gamba Osaka -0.25 ball 2.08 asian line FACEBOOK WON !

 

21/10 Atletico Mineiro v Fluminese 1.25 units "over" 2.5 goals 1.97 asian line FACEBOOK WON !

Good Luck.

Contact : gowi8@btinternet.com