Tuesday, May 06, 2008
MUCH TO PLAY FOR IN THE PREMIERSHIP ..........
United are, obviously in a strong position going into the final weekend and so too, are Blackburn, who are currently in 7th and are joint leaders of the handicap, along with Arsenal. We might cover this bet in some way before the weekend, to at least cover our stakes, so, if you are involved, keep reading.
OUTRIGHT
No real shocks for me here, United should retain their crown. Much has been written about the challenge from Liverpool this season and the money the Merseysiders have spent. They should indeed close the gap, but have a lot of ground to make up and need to start collecting wins on the road. Away from Anfield 18 goals, a total fewer than Wigan and Fulham and only two more than relegated Charlton, was nowhere near good enough.
Chelsea already enter the season with injury concerns and seem dependent on the goals of Didier Drogba, who will be missing for several weeks in mid season at the Cup of Nations.
United were lucky with injuries last season, but look much stronger this time round, what team in world football would not be, with the addition of Tevez, Nani, Anderson and Hargreaves. The defence still looks a little suspect, but Sir Alex's men scored 19 goals more than anyone else last season, that is a full half goal per game and they hardly look likely to score fewer this time round.
6 points Manchester United 2.375 outright, general quote.
Not going to put this up as a bet, but Tottenham should prove to be the best of the rest, currently quoted at 2.375, without the big 4. They have held on to Dimitar Berbatov and spent a fortune on Darren Bent, Robbie Keane has signed a new contract and even a poacher like Jermain Defoe, will be lucky to get a look in. With Lennon, Bale and Chimbonda eager to get forward at every opportunity, they have a surplus of attacking options.
The big minus is that Ledley King is out for 2-3 months and the Dawson- Gardner partnership, has yet to prove it works. Regardless of that, they looked booked for 5th place at worse, a spot they have occupied for the last two seasons.
Spent a long time looking at the handicap list and like the look of Mark Hughes' Blackburn Rovers.They have no shortage of pace and goals up front with Roque Santa Cruz joining Benni McCarthy and Jason Roberts, with David Bentley and Morten Gamst Pedersen just behind, they will be a match for all but the very best. They were quite adventurous on the road last year, only Bolton outside the top 4 had more wins, if they can win a few more at Ewood Park, they should improve on last years 10th spot. Maybe a repeat of 2005's 6th place is possible and that should take them close on the handicap, where they receive a 34 points start. Ladbrokes looks the place to go, as they give fewer points to the teams I see as potential dangers.
If that is not available to you,or makes limited appeal, they can be backed at 6.0 for a top 6 spot with Bet 365/ Ladbrokes and Paddy Power, amongst others.
2 points each way Blackburn Rovers +34 points handicap 16.0 1/5 odds 1234 Ladbrokes.
Good Luck.
TUESDAY UPDATE .....
Since just before Christmas (December 19th), there have been 207 selections on the blog, these have produced 116 winners (56.04%), including some big odds winners, profits have been 182.94 points, on stakes of 1166.5 points, a ROI of 15.68 %.
These are wonderful returns over a 20 week period, just think about that for a moment, consistent profits and lots of additional information, over a five month period.
Reading and following my previews might not always make you a profit in the short term, but they are very likely to over the long haul and will definitely help make you a better informed and more astute gambler.
In addition to these, we had the outright bets on Swansea and MK Dons in their respective divisions, which produced huge dividends and are not included in the totals above, those previews can be viewed here http://ubet2win.blogspot.com/2007/08/lower-league-previews.html , in what, is arguably, the greatest ever sports betting blog post, he said modestly. Plus the Blackburn wager given above.
Good Luck.
SECURING A LITTLE PROFIT ..........

UEFA CUP
ZENIT ST PETERSBURG
....... is never a bad thing to do, especially when you have backed one team at huge odds and down to two runners, their opponents can be backed at odds against. Which, is exactly the situation we find ourselves in, in the UEFA Cup, following Zenit's demolition of Bayern. For any of you that took the 21.0 available and tipped outright, before the quarter final stage, I think now is the time to cover our wager and take a profit. Please remember, this bet is only for those of you that have already backed Zenit. Rangers can be taken at 2.46 on the exchanges, which given our position, is too good to pass. The final will be played in the UK at the City of Manchester stadium and the Russian champions top scorer Pavel Pogrebnyak is suspended for the game. There is also a worry about some potential crowd unrest, given Zenit's supporters previous history against black players, Marseille were given a very tough time in Russia, hopefully, that will not happen, but it could upset the flow of the game, which could help Rangers. However, I still think that Zenit will win, so will keep them as a winner.
The suggested wager will leave Rangers as a winner for 16 points, Zenit for 27.5 points, which is terrific business.
HEDGE 12.5 points Rangers outright 2.44 + exchanges .... 2.46 available for small money.
The original article was posted on April 3rd and can be read here .....
http://ubet2win.blogspot.com/2008/04/uefa-cup.html
Monday, May 05, 2008
CRUNCH GAME IN LIGUE 2 ..........

I gave three selections on the email service today, we were firmly with Exeter in the lunchtime kick-off, where they ran out easy winners. Also gave a VERY strong bet for tonight, which will have to be solely for subscribers, which leaves us with the match below.
Will return later with another bet, which was given in the newsletter yesterday, please check back.
FRANCE
LIGUE 2
BOULOGNE- GRENOBLE
Finally, I will chance a little on the draw here. A point a piece, will suit very well, it will take Boulogne above Dijon in the table and give them a three point cushion over Niort, who currently occupy the final relegation place and whom, they have still to meet. For Grenoble, it would also give them a three point lead over Troyes, in the promotion race. These are healthy leads with just two rounds to go, of course, both would like to win, but neither can really afford to lose.
4 points draw 3.0 general quote.
Back later.
Sunday, May 04, 2008
ALL TO PLAY FOR ....... AT LEAST FOR SOME........

ATALANTA - LIVORNO
Hosts have very litttle to play for and are going through the motions, with just a single point and no goals in their last four starts, they are set to be without a handful of players today and meet a very motivated opponent.Livorno switched coaches this week, with Fernado Orsi returning and vowing to get the three points today, which is their "only target". They are 3 points off safety, but with Torino and Empoli still to play, victory today, will at least, give them a chance of survival.
6.5 points Livorno -1/2 ball 2.29 asian line.
Good Luck.
SERIE A ....

AC MILAN - INTER
Milan are still battling with Fiorentina for the sole remaining Champions League spot and these giants of european football, simply have to get it. They are overdue a good result in the derby and if any further motivation was needed, they will certainly not want to sit and watch Inter celebrate a title victory this afternoon. Ibrahimovic is out and Stankovic is doubful for the visitors, who have gone off the boil a little recently and will claim the title in front of a stadium packed with their own fans next week.
5 points Milan -1/4 ball 2.06
Good Luck.
CHAMPIONSHIP ...........

STOKE CITY - LEICESTER CITY
What a game ! Stoke will be promoted to the Premiership with a point, but may not need it if Hull do not win at Ipswich, Leicester need a win to ensure survival, but do not need anything, if Southampton lose at home to Sheffield United, if Saints draw, them a point will keep Leicester up. Therefore, surely both will adopt an extremely cautious approach, personally as coach of either side, I would be happy to get to half time and see where we stand. There is a huge opportunity for these two teams to help each other out and both celebrate come the final whistle. I feel that the half time draw offers excellent value.
Since writing this, I have found out that the two coaches, Holloway and Pullis are very close, one is, infact, godparent to the others children. Not saying that there will be anything "funny", but it is hardly a negative for this bet.
5.5 points half time draw 2.50 general quote.
Good Luck.
PREMIERSHIP .......

ARSENAL - EVERTON
The Gunners have handed Everton a few hammerings in recent seasons and another would not entirely surprise. The Toffees looked booked for 5th spot regardless of what happens today, following Villa's slip up yesterday and may save any remaining energy for their home fans. Arsenal still have an outside chance for second spot and rediscovered their goal touch in the thumping of Derby on Monday. They will dominate the midfield, with the visitors still missing Arteta and Cahill and can send their supporters home with the feelgood factor, in the final emirates match of the season.
6 points Arsenal -1/2 ball 1.62 general quote.
Back shortly.
SUNDAY MORNING UPDATE .........
I have written previews of NINE sporting events on the email service. Including four domestic football matches, two from Italy , one from France and a look at the final day of the Waichovia Championship on the USPGA Tour.
Despite having writers cramp, I will be putting 3-4 of these on the blog later in the day.
Details of the email service can be found on the website www.predictuwin.com.
Good Luck.
Friday, May 02, 2008
FRIDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL .....

BLUE SQUARE PREMIERSHIP
BURTON ALBION - CAMBRIDGE UNITED
United are a bigger club than Albion and seem to have got their act together after a slump in form, with three straight wins, I accept that those victories have come against sides lacking a little in motivation, but you can do no more than beat what is put in front of you and they would have given a real boost to confidence levels.
Injury wise, they seem in better shape than the hosts who have three key players set to miss out. The U's had the better of the two league meetings, collecting four points, including a fine 2-1 win here at the Pirelli stadium. They will have massive support cheering them on, with over 1600 fans likely to make up 40% + of the crowd. This will be tight, but only runaway champions Aldershot have collected more away points than Cambridge and they have not lost in six meetings, against any of the other play-off teams ,I do not see that changing this evening. Burton have conceded fairly freely at home, easily more than any of the other top 5 sides.
6 points Cambridge +1/4 ball 1.80 asian line.
SEDAN -LIBOURNE
Hosts have nothing to play for and Libourne are drinking in the last chance saloon. They have to throw caution to the win and seek the three points to keep any survival hopes alive. Sedan have not won in four and failed to score in three of those, they have a huge cup semi-final with Lyon in midweek and will rest players with that in mind. This looks like and away win to me and is a confident choice.
6 points Libourne -1/2 ball 3.60+ .... 3.75 available in places
Good Luck.
FREEBIE ........
Good Luck.
TODAY'S BETS .........
Hopefully, I will be able to post something on the blog later in the day, if you want to be sure of receiving all my selections, details of the newsletter service are on www.predictuwin.com .
Back Later.
FRIDAY MORNING .........
Zenit won yesterday and the world now knows, what readers of the blog knew a long time ago, that they are a very good side.
Blog wise, since December 19th, I have given 199 selections, 111 winners for a strike rate of 55.78%, some big prices have produced a profit of 161.37 points , on stakes of 1125.5 and a fantastic ROI of 14.34% . Even this doesn't tell the full story as there has been plenty of extra "winners", like David Chiu the WPT World Champion at 4.33 last week.
All four email football selections won yesterday, if you did not have a terrific day's punting, then you should seriously consider joining the service. It costs as little as £1.47 per day to have the newsletter delivered directly to your inbox and I paid more than that for a newspaper, five minutes ago ..... full details are on the website www.predictuwin.com.
Back later.
Thursday, May 01, 2008
UEFA CUP ........

ZENIT ST PETERSBURG - BAYERN MUNICH (first leg 1-1)
We are already on the hosts at 21.0 to win the cup, unfortunately, they will be without Sirl, Ricksen and star player Arshavin this evening, which is not ideal. However, this is not a one man team, they are a strong squad and will have a "twelth" man, which is the pitch, it is in extremely poor condition, of course, this is the same for both sides, but Zenit are very used to the surface. It is so bad that the Russian Federation have considered closing it, for domestic matches.
Bayern will have to attack, but even without Arshavin, I do not see much between the two sides and certainly like the quote,however, if you have already taken the outright bet,there is no point in getting involved today. For the rest of you .......
5 points Zenit +1/2 ball 1.97 asian line.
THURSDAY UPDATE ........
Full details of the daily newsletter can be found on the website www.predictuwin.com .
Wednesday, April 30, 2008
WHAT'S AHEAD ..........
For example, I have written previews of six events today on the email service, including four football matches. Not going to post any of these on the blog today, they will only be for subscribers, sorry about that, pretty sure that we will have something online tomorrow. As always, you can find details of how to join the email service on the website .... www.predictuwin.com.
Good Luck with your bets today.
Tuesday, April 29, 2008
CHAMPIONS LEAGUE ........

I am going to be quick today, with just basic notes, I am worried that the BSS odds will not last long.
We discussed last week ,United's poor record in the latter stages of this premier club event and looking a little deeper, in six semi-final legs at Old Trafford, they can claim just a single win.
There is no doubt that their fperformance levels have dropped and amazingly, they appear to have gone a little defensive, which , to me, is a sure sign of nerves. Rooney and Vidic are major doubts and I am 100% sure that neither would start in a normal league game, so a big gamble, if either starts. Ronaldo has still to prove himself in the really big games.
No doubt it will be very tight this evening and the draw, looks the most likely result, both sides are unbeaten in the competition this season. H2h wise, four of the last five meetings have ended all square.
Barcelona's league form has been very shabby, but with the league over for them, they have only been concentrating on the CL for several weeks and rested a host of players, for the weekend fixture at Deportivo. United did not have that luxury in an exhausting game at Stamford Bridge.
People talk about Barce's wobbly defence, but they have kept clean sheets in 9 of their 12 CL outings and will be boosted by the return of Puyol to the heart of their backline. I favour them to progress to the final , feeling that Messi and Eto'o will get a goal tonight.
5.5 points Barcelona +1/2 ball 1.90 asian line.
Good Luck.
TUESDAY PLANS ..........
Details of the service can be found on the website www.predictuwin.com and I will send a copy of today's newsletter free, to anyone that takes out a subscription before kick off this evening (subscriptions normally start the day after joining).
Good Luck.
Monday, April 28, 2008
A VERY LONG TIME AGO ...............
All three have pretty much dominated their respective division's all season long and each, has been promoted as champions.
I do not know of any blog, or service anywhere which supplies better information or consistently produces more long term profits. In addition to the bets below, the blog has since December 19 th, given 197 bets , 110 have won, that's a 55.84% strike rate, producing 162.02 points profit, at a ROI of 14.53%.
These figures and the previews below, speak for themselves, there is no need for any sales pitch, to get all the information from my service, you have to subscribe and be prepared to take a long term approach. Details are on the website www.predictuwin.com .
DIVISION 1
Much like in the Championship, I have had a long term fancy for this division and "jumped ship" fairly late in the day. Millwall were my original choice, with Swansea my number two.
The Lions had a fantastic run from Christmas onwards last year and from bottom of the table, almost made the playoffs ! However, I have heard tale of some unrest at The New Den and the occasional bust up, fights often break out in training, but sometimes it goes a bit further and this involved two of the bigger names at the club. Anyway, I would not rule them out completely, Willie Donachie has done wonders in his short time in charge, but I have heard enough, to put me off.
This brings me to Swansea and I am confident that they will go very close. They do not need to progress too much, only missing out on the play offs by one spot and three points last season.
Roberto Martinez took over in February and was a breath of fresh air, playing decent, entertaining football and winning over the fans big time. He sold Lee Trundle in the summer, but this was a transfer that need to happen and £1m plus for a 31yo, tier 3 player, albeit a very good one, yes please !
They have replaced him with Jason Scotland, 26 goals at St Johnstone last season and Darryl Duffy from Hull City, who has already won the fan's hearts. Martinez looks to have got the mix right, making six overseas captures, including players from Spain and Holland, in addition to some promising young talent from Premiership clubs, he already had some experienced hands at his disposal.
Pre season has gone very well, they beat Levante 2-0 at the Liberty Stadium, with two goals disallowed and the crossbar scared more than once. That was a problem last season, Swansea hitting the woodwork on 33 occasions ! A little more accuracy and they could have gone much closer than 7th, they look a better all round team, this time round.
I have quite a lot of information/ views about teams in this, Division 2 and the Conference, but will keep things, solely to my selections. as I have promised to publish this on the blog and need to hold back some opinions for now.
2.5 points Swansea outright 11.0 general quote
5 points Swansea promoted 4.0 Bet365/Tote/ Boyle/ Sky
DIVISION 2
I like Milton Keynes Dons, the new stadium is ready, a 30,000 all seater and the whole club is geared up to bigger things. The team of Pa
ul ince and Ray Mathias and it is a team, have replaced Martin Allen and promotion has to be gained this season.They have played and shone against Chelsea, West Ham and Watford in pre season and in, Leon Knight and Kevin Gallen they have two strikers who should fill their boots at this level. The experienced Colin Cameron has joined from Coventry and will help the host of promising youngsters the club has, flourish.
Simply cannot see them not improving on last year's 4th spot and they look cast iron "each way" .
2 points win Milton Keynes Dons 9.0 general
5 points promotion 3.0 Tote/ Stan James/Bet 365.
CONFERENCE / BLUE SQUARE PREMIER
I have just one bet here, it is a very short price, but is something of a banker to my eyes. In their 4 seasons in the Conference, Aldershot have finished 5-4-13-9 and would have been much higher last year, if they had not had such a dire start.
Former QPR manager Gary Waddock is now in charge and recent results have looked promising, a 5-0 win over local rivals Farnborough, was followed by a 0-0 draw with the Charlton first team and a 1-1 tie with a strong Fulham team, after which the new boss said ...
"I am extremely pleased considering the opposition that we were playing. They had players that are worth millions of pounds but we put in a performance that in spells we were the better team.
"However it counts for nothing and I have told my players that we have to start doing that for the next ten months or so. Their keeper paid off two or three really good saves after the break and we will need to be a bit more ruthless in front of goal".
This is a team that could go close and can be backed outright at around the 23.0 mark, new league sponsors Blue Square offer a 1.72 quote for them to be in the top 12 of the table, which they will do. At least 3 of the 4 promoted teams look very weak, so the Shots will not have too many to beat.
6 points Aldershot to finish in the top half 1.72 Blue Square.
ALDERSHOT WON THE TITLE BY 15 POINTS AND WERE 34 CLEAR OF THE BOTTOM HALF.... THIS IS THE ONLY TIME IN OVER TWO YEARS THAT THE TERM "BANKER" HAS BEEN USED IN MY POSTS.
Good Luck
The original post can be found here....
http://ubet2win.blogspot.com/2007/08/lower-league-previews.html
Sunday, April 27, 2008
SUNDAY FOOTBALL .....

PREMIERSHIP
EVERTON- ASTON VILLA
This match will go a long way to deciding, which of these two will get 5th spot in the Premiership and the UEFA Cup spot which goes with it.Villa will go above their hosts with a win and come here in fantastic form, winning their last 3, scoring an amazing 15 goals. Of course, those wins came against Bolton, Derby and Birmingham , but you can only beat what is put in front of you and it is worth remembering that Everton, have struggled recently against the two last named sides.
Infact, that narrow 1-0 defeat of the Rams, is their only win in six starts and they have really struggled to score, with just 4 goals in seven outings. They have sorely missed their creative influences in midfield and Cahill is out for the season and Arteta faces a late test, having spent all week in Spain having treatment on his stomach injury. Cannot see Villa losing this and we can take them on the handicap, as Everton would probably accept the draw right now, actually,boss David Moyes would probably snatch your arm off !
5 points Villa +1/4 ball 1.82 asian line.
SPAIN
LA LIGA
GETAFE- ATLETICO MADRID
Madrid derby. Hosts have had a long season, fighting on three fronts with a smallish squad of players, things have caught up with them now and they are without a win in nine, losing the last two, including a thumping at basement club Levante last time out.
Atletico are just ahead in the race for what now appears to be, the sole remaining Champions League place, one point ahead of Racing and two clear of Seville. They need all the points that they can get and will be looking for a hat-trick of wins at this venue, after winning the last two by big, three goal margins. they are desperate to bounce back from the 3-1 home loss to Betis, where keeper Leo Franco made his return after 4 months out injured, he is sure to be a little fitter today.Given their huge investment in new talent this season, the visitors have to make the top 4.
5.5 points Atletico -1/4 ball 2.23 asian line.
Good Luck.
SUNDAY MORNING .... BRIGHT AND EARLY .......

Despite a small loss on the three blog selections, there was plenty of good information online yesterday, David Chiu won the WPT World Championship, after ending up heads up with Gus Hansen, infact, play went pretty much as I predicted .
Chiu was content to sit back and let others do the work, actually Hansen eliminated every other player. Down to two, the Dane held a 5.25-1 advantage, with 84% of the chips in play, but things can change quickly heads up, Chiu ground him down and took the massive $3.4m first prize. Hope that some of you took the 4.33 with Stan James.
My three big bets on the email service all won, two given yesterday morning, the third several days ago, at big odds. I am definitely over my slump and I would advise any of you to give the service a trial, as my confidence is back and that is key in this business.
I have just sent out my preview's of today's action, where I have discussed six events in some detail. Hopefully, I will cover a couple of these on here, later in the day.
Good Luck.
Saturday, April 26, 2008
DIVISION 1 ..........

DIVISION 1
BRISTOL ROVERS - BRIGHTON
Not going to get overly involved in what is basically a friendly, but Rovers are a big price and I do not see too much between these two sides. The visitors play-off dreams ended with Leeds win last night and they might give a few fringe players an outing. Rovers have had a satisfactory first season in Div 1 , to go along with another fantastic cup run, they will want to give their loyal fans a send off today and a PMA ( positive mental attitude) for next season.
4 points Bristol Rovers -1/2 ball 2.75 general quote.
BOURNEMOUTH- CREWE ALEXANDRA
Hosts have done really well to give themselves a chance of survival , after looking dead and buried, following the deduction of ten points. A win and only a win will do for them and they will have a sell out crowd cheering them on. They will have to take chances and push forward, seeking their sixth win in a row, 5 of which have been "over".
Crewe, have won their last two, but are also not safe yet and have also been in free scoring form, with 5 from 6 ending "over", scoring or conceding three goals in four of those. These two produced a 5 goal thriller in the reverse fixture and I do not see this being any less prolific.
5.5 points "over" 2.5 goals 1.84 + asian line.... bigger available in places.
Good Luck.
EARLY KICK OFF AT THE BRIDGE ....

PREMIERSHIP CHELSEA - MANCHESTER UNITED
There is not much point in discussing these two in great detail, we all know them very well. This could turn out to be a title decider, certainly United will think that they have it in the bag, if they avoid defeat. However, both will also have one eye on their Champions League semi-final second legs, coming up in midweek.
I think that, given the quote, we have to take a little on the Blues, who have not lost at home since I last wore short trousers to school. They will be boosted by the return of the influential Michael Essien from suspension, Frank Lampard is likely to miss out, following the sad death of his mother, but he was ineffectual at Anfield in midweek in any case and Michael Ballack, usually raises his game, when FL is missing.
United have not scored at Stamford Bridge in six visits and Ronaldo continues to disappoint in the really big games. I have no doubt that they will come looking for the draw and see that result as the only downside.
5 points Chelsea -1/4 ball 2.18 asian line.
Good Luck.
SATURDAY UPDATE .........

Dijon won for us yesterday, looking at all the blog selections, since December 19th, which is a shade over four months, I have given 192 selections, 108 winners (56.25% strike rate) and they have produced a profit of 166.32 points, on total stakes of 1090 points, which is a ROI of 15.26 %.
I have written previews of seven football matches on the email service today and have given two very strong bets. I not put either of those on the blog today, but will add a couple of the other selections later in the day.
As always, the only way to receive all my output, is by subscribing to the daily newsletter, details are on the website www.predictuwin.com .
I was planning to put a full preview of the WPT World Championship final table, basic details are a couple of posts down, put have simply run out of time. In a nutshell, I expect David Chiu to go close, but am not putting him up as a bet. The four time WSOP bracelet winner is very likely to bide his time, until the two ultra aggressive chip leaders, do some damage, either to theirselves, or the short stacks, he also has a great position, with Gus Hansen to his left. Chiu is a juicy looking 4.33 with Stan James, which is far bigger than in my "book".
Back later.
Friday, April 25, 2008
FRIDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL ....

I like the home team a lot here, Dijon are unbeaten in three very tough fixtures and have managed to get a three point cushion over the relegation zone. However, they cannot afford to ease off, with the team immediately below them in the table, Niort, who they travel to meet next week, facing an easy looking trip to basement side Gueugnon.
Guincamp have drawn their last 4 starts and are probably safe, any remaining doubts could be put firmly to bed next week, when they host Gueugnon, so no need to overly extend themselves this evening.
6.5 points Dijon -1/4 ball 1.84 asian line.
Good Luck.
FREAKY FRIDAY OFFER ..........
Good Luck.
FRIDAY UPDATE .....

I am just finishing off today's email and am previewing four of today's matches and might add another early selection from the weekend fixtures, full details of how to join "the team" can be found on the main website www.predictuwin.com.
Elsewhere, we are at the quarter final stage of the Monte Carlo tennis and it is a classy looking field, here is the line up, in draw order.....
FEDERER-NALBANDIAN
DJOKOVIC-QUERREY
ANDREEV- DAVYDENKO
FERRER- NADAL
From a total of 545 players, who all paid $25k to enter, we are down to just six in the WPT World Championship, taking place at the Bellagio. Day 4 leader Amir Vahedi bubbled the final table, finishing in 7th spot and earning a little over $237k. The remaining runners, there are no riders, although I know little about their personal life's, are guaranteed almost $234k. Although ,with this top heavy payout structure offering $923k for third place, $1.7m for second and a whopping $3.389m to the winner, all will have far loftier targets.
Today is a well earned rest day, I am sure that there will be odds available for the final six and I will be returning later, with a run down on the field, where I have, as always, some strong views.
Chip count .....
1 Gus Hansen 8.57m chips Seat 2
2 Cory Carroll 6.67m Seat 5
3 David Chiu 6.05m Seat 3
4 John Roveto 2.72m Seat 1
5 Tommy Le 1.95m Seat 4
6 Jeff King 1.305m Seat 6
Good Luck.
Thursday, April 24, 2008
UEFA CUP .........

GLASGOW RANGERS - FIORENTINA
Rangers have some severe injury/ suspension problems and could be without 7-9 squad players this evening, they will be especially short of options in midfield. However, they are very hard to beat at Ibrox, where they have recorded some fine European results. At least central defender Carlos Cuellar is fit and, Scotland's player of the year, will be given the task of stifling main visiting threat Adrian Mutu, who is back to his best and has been in stunning form this season, this will be a fascinating match up, between two players at the top of their game.
I like the draw, in a match where both will be happy with the result. Rangers are confident in their ability to snatch an away goal in Europe and have already progressed twice by that route, this campaign. The pitch is Glasgow is in very poor condition and will not be conducive to flowing football.
4.5 points draw 3.15 exchanges.
Good Luck.
WPT .... WORLD CHAMPIONSHIP ......... DOWN TO 17

Very exciting , aggressive day's play, with more action than a Stallone film festival, at the end of which, we were down to just 17 players, play ended when Scott Epstein and Mark Newhouse, were eliminated at the same time, on different tables, which is why we have one empty seat.
Amir Vahedi is our new leader, we lost two previous champions fairly early and consecutively, with 2004 victor Martin de Knijff out in 39th, after being crippled by David Tran and he was followed by last year's winner Carlos Mortensen, in 38th position.
David Grey who's battling qualities we discussed yesterday, was very unlucky to go out in 22nd spot, when his aces failed to hold up against Tom Dwan's pair of nines. Durrr (pictured) is very handily placed and has a fantastic chance of going all the way, but this is really going to take some winning.
Everyone remaining is guaranteed $105k, but nobody will be happy with that, having come this far, especially with a top prize of $3.389m .Play will continue today until we are down to just six players, currently the blinds are set at 15k-30k, with a 4k ante, tomorrow is a rest day, with the warriors still standing, returning on Saturday to decide the new champion.
Chip counts and table position.........
TABLE 53
1. Kenny Tran - 1,442,000
2. Amir Vahedi - 3,907,000
3. Bryan Devonshire - 984,000
4. Jeff King - 1,903,000
5. Tommy Le - 1,950,000
6. Cory Carroll - 1,346,000
7. John Roveto - 556,000
8. Jeff Shulman - 473,000
9. Empty
TABLE 54
1. Karga Holt - 1,500,000
2. David Chiu - 1,742,000
3. Tom "Durrrr" Dwan - 2,874,000
4. Andrew Black - 411,000
5. Gus Hansen - 2,929,000
6. David Tran - 2,543,000
7. Nick Binger - 701,000
8. Robert Mizrachi - 1,079,000
9. Michael Gracz - 1,674,000
Good Luck.
Wednesday, April 23, 2008
WEDNESDAY ROUND UP ..........

I am amazed that no bookmaker has priced up the WPT World Championship, with so many poker players on the planet, someone showing a little enterprise could have stolen a march on the competition and got a little publicity into the bargain. Also, with no one other odds available, they could have bet to a huge profit margin, just like the old days !
We are down to the final sixteen, well actually seventeen, I cannot wait any longer,for the Robredo match to finish, in the Monte Carlo tennis the first major clay court tournament of the season, at least on the european swing. Thursday's line up in draw order, looks a lot like this ...............
FEDERER - MONFILS
ROBREDO/SODERLING- NALBANDIAN
DJOKOVIC- MURRAY
GASQUET- QUERREY
ALMAGRO- ANDREEV
DAVYDENKO-KOHLSCHREIBER
TIPSAREVIC- FERRER
NADAL- FERRERO
I have put a preview of tonight's Barcelona- Manchester United (hence the photo of John Wayne Rooney) game on the website, which has not moved and can be found, as always at www.predictuwin.com. Check it out in the free to view blog section, actually the whole site is free to view . Only the emails cost money and they are very inexpensive !
Good Luck.
WEDNESDAY PLANS ..........
I have previewed three events on the email service today, putting up four selections, intending to post one of them on the blog later, so please check back.
Good Luck.
WPT .... "THE KNIFE" IS TOO SHARP FOR MIZRACHI BUT GUS TRUMPS THEM ALL ...........
Play has ended on Day 3 at the WPT World Championship event taking place at the Bellagio. We are now down to just 55 players, all of whom are guaranteed $40k, but most,will only have eyes on the top prize of $3.4 m.
Biggest mover of the day was Gus Hansen, who increased his chip stack by almost 2m and he leads the way, Cory Carroll in second spot, added around 1.5m chips to his impressive pile and is flying the flag for Canada, who have been dominating recent big events.
Former champion Martin de Knijff performed best of the big names at the top of the day 2 leaderboard and holds a healthy 856k stack, which sees him in 4th position. This is clearly a structure that suits him well.
This is starting to develope into a classic tournament and the cream is rising to the top, other big movers were four time WSOP bracelet winner David Chiu, winner of over 1m chips yesterday and internet star Tom "Durrr" Dwan,who increased his stack eight fold and is up to 6th place.
Yesterday's leader Robert "The Grinder" Mizrachi, trod water for much of the day, but is definitely not out of things with 701k.
However, my vote for performance of the day, goes to David Grey, the New York native, a cash game specialist and two time WSOP bracelet winner, went into the day 187th of 188 players, with just 25k in front of him. That gave him few options, but he hung in there and is now 33rd of the 55 remaining, with a stack of 354k, one double up, would take him past Mizrachi, which proves the old "chip and a chair" adage.
End of Day 3 Chip Counts
| First Name | Last Name | Chip Count | Table | Seat | |
| 1 | Gus | Hansen | 2,246,000 | Table 60 | Seat 2 |
| 2 | Cory | Carroll | 1,900,000 | Table 54 | Seat 5 |
| 3 | David | Chiu | 1,231,000 | Table 60 | Seat 1 |
| 4 | Martin | Deknijff | 856,000 | Table 55 | Seat 1 |
| 5 | Nicholas | Binger | 829,000 | Table 60 | Seat 6 |
| 6 | Tom | Dwan | 805,000 | Table 62 | Seat 6 |
| 7 | Peter | Neff | 781,000 | Table 54 | Seat 8 |
| 8 | Jeff | Shulman | 771,000 | Table 62 | Seat 5 |
| 9 | Mark | Newhouse | 770,000 | Table 54 | Seat 1 |
| 10 | Robert | Mizrachi | 701,000 | Table 62 | Seat 7 |
| 11 | Vadim | Trincher | 699,000 | Table 53 | Seat 2 |
| 12 | Amir | Vehedi | 696,000 | Table 62 | Seat 4 |
| 13 | Steve | Wong | 662,000 | Table 52 | Seat 3 |
| 14 | Nhan | Le | 605,000 | Table 60 | Seat 4 |
| 15 | Michael | Gracz | 551,000 | Table 53 | Seat 8 |
| 16 | David | Tran | 550,000 | Table 54 | Seat 3 |
| 17 | Eric | Richards | 539,000 | Table 61 | Seat 3 |
| 18 | Jonathan | Kalmar | 526,000 | Table 53 | Seat 3 |
| 19 | Jared | Okun | 523,000 | Table 61 | Seat 4 |
| 20 | John | Celii | 515,000 | Table 61 | Seat 2 |
| 21 | Soheil | Shamseddin | 506,000 | Table 60 | Seat 7 |
| 22 | Men | Nguyen | 499,000 | Table 52 | Seat 7 |
| 23 | John | Hoang | 481,000 | Table 60 | Seat 5 |
| 24 | James | Calderaro | 478,000 | Table 55 | Seat 7 |
| 25 | Andrew | Black | 476,000 | Table 55 | Seat 4 |
| 26 | Bryan | Devonshire | 465,000 | Table 53 | Seat 1 |
| 27 | Karga | Holt | 448,000 | Table 53 | Seat 7 |
| 28 | Scott | Epstein | 447,000 | Table 61 | Seat 5 |
| 29 | Steve | Billirakis | 432,000 | Table 52 | Seat 6 |
| 30 | Matthew | Vengrin | 423,000 | Table 55 | Seat 5 |
| 31 | Eric | Kesselman | 364,000 | Table 54 | Seat 4 |
| 32 | Kenny | Tran | 362,000 | Table 62 | Seat 8 |
| 33 | David | Grey | 354,000 | Table 62 | Seat 1 |
| 34 | Thomas | McCormick | 341,000 | Table 54 | Seat 2 |
| 35 | Matthew | Giannetti | 326,000 | Table 53 | Seat 4 |
| 36 | T J | Cloutier | 321,000 | Table 52 | Seat 5 |
| 37 | JC | Tran | 303,000 | Table 61 | Seat 8 |
| 38 | Gary | Gibbs | 296,000 | Table 60 | Seat 8 |
| 39 | Noah | Schwartz | 270,000 | Table 52 | Seat 1 |
| 40 | David | Kim | 256,000 | Table 55 | Seat 3 |
| 41 | Carlos | Mortensen | 256,000 | Table 53 | Seat 5 |
| 42 | Abdo | Lattouf | 246,000 | Table 55 | Seat 8 |
| 43 | Keith | Gipson | 230,000 | Table 62 | Seat 3 |
| 44 | Jeff | King | 226,000 | Table 55 | Seat 2 |
| 45 | Mats | Rahmn | 220,000 | Table 61 | Seat 1 |
| 46 | Danny | Wong | 218,000 | Table 55 | Seat 6 |
| 47 | John | Kincaid | 214,000 | Table 53 | Seat 6 |
| 48 | Isabel | Mercier | 207,000 | Table 54 | Seat 6 |
| 49 | John | Roveto | 181,000 | Table 61 | Seat 6 |
| 50 | Jayde | Tran | 179,000 | Table 52 | Seat 4 |
| 51 | Joe | Sebok | 139,000 | Table 62 | Seat 2 |
| 52 | Brian | Rast | 114,000 | Table 60 | Seat 3 |
| 53 | Thomas | Schneider | 92,000 | Table 54 | Seat 7 |
| 54 | Tim | Phan | 69,000 | Table 61 | Seat 7 |
| 55 | Zvi | Shiff | 22,000 | Table 52 | Seat 2 |
Tuesday, April 22, 2008
A SHORT STORY .......

I very rarely use the blog for reflections on my private life, but this is simply too good to pass.
A relation of mine, who is 83 years old, virtually house bound and registered blind, received a letter from a debt collection agency, on behalf of one of the major mobile phone companies. Demanding immediate payment of almost £1,000, a huge sum of money to him.
Obviously, this was a case of fraud/identity theft, it happens all too often,unfortunately. Not sure quite what credit checks the mobile phone company do, as the surname was spelt slightly wrong, no other correspondence had ever been received relating to this and he owns neither a bank, nor credit card.
To then let a "new" account, apparently the contract was taken out in January, opened by an octogenarian, who has never previously pocessed a mobile, run up a bill of £1k is both strange and not a little irresponsible, but fair enough.
When I say, he has never owned one, he is not even 100% sure what one is !
We called the debt collection company on his behalf and despite some pretty rude treatment, they agreed to stop any action, but were adamant that we had to call the mobile company's fraud department. This is the unbelievable part, you call them, the phone is answered and you choose an option, so you are connected, then the internal line just rings and rings. First time 28 minutes ... no answer, second time 22 minutes and so on, if you have called using one of their own phones, there is a set charge per call, everyone else , remember, no one from my family has any dealings with this company, has to pay a premium rate per minute ! This, to report a fraud, that they are responsible for, it is simply unreal !
This was bad enough, so two hours out of my/our life and not a little expense, but when we finally speak to someone in the fraud department, they are incredibly rude, agressive and offer no apology for any of this.
This is customer service at it's very best, I will not name them (anagram of 2O) or the buffoon I spoke to in their fraud department, the biggest fraud is the cost of phoning them !
Back to my day job.
TONIGHT'S FOOTBALL ..........

Since sending this selection overnight to subscribers, the level ball odds have fallen to 1.70, however, if you want to chance the straight win, the hosts can still be backed at circa 2.48 on the exchanges.
BLUE SQUARE SOUTH
HAMPTON & RICHMOND- LEWES
This is a "friendly", hosts are booked for third spot and can look forward to the post season and the play-off lottery. Lewes won the title on Saturday and will be in the Premiership next season, no doubt it would have been party time on the south coast and we cannot expect them to be at their best this evening. Several fringe players are likely to be given an outing, though I doubt that their headaches will have been any less severe.
Everyone likes to beat the champions and no doubt Hampton, who received a huge boost with manager Alan Devonshire, signing a contract extension, he has been described as the best boss in their history, will be similarly motivated. His team can complete a rare double, having won the reverse fixture 2-1.
6 points Hampton level ball 1.93 asian line.
Good Luck.