SATURDAY OCTOBER 6TH ......

OK , here, as promised, are today's email previews with basic reasoning. Of the nine selections, one has drifted in the market, seven have been backed, heavily in one or two cases. Win or lose today, this is information that you will make money from in the long term, getting the best of the odds, is the key to consistent profits.

ENGLAND
CHAMPIONSHIP
CARDIFF - BURNLEY

I have discussed Cardiff a lot recently, they just need to tighten up a little at the back and then,they will be able to compete with the best in the Championship. Key defender Purse is likely to return today which would be a massive boost and they are very capable of beating this Burnley team, which have a poor record here, have conceded 2 or more goals in 4 from 6 starts and are not creating as many goalscoring chances, as their goal tally might suggest.

5.5 points Cardiff -1/4 ball 1.74 asian line.... now -1/2 ball 1.96

IPSWICH - PRESTON

Siding with the "over" here. Town play a very open game and are over in their last 4, Preston have come out of their shell and have scored 7 in the last 3 , with 3 from 4 "over". H2h wise it is a similar story with 3 from 4 producing three or more goals.

5 points "over" 2.5 goals 1.90 general quote .... now 1.84

DIVISION 1
CARLISLE- MILLWALL

Whatever happens today, Millwall are a team to keep on our side in the coming weeks. They have been playing FAR better than results might suggest, creating a lot of chances and dominating possession, then losing to a sucker punch. Finally got their reward with a win over inform Northampton in midweek and should travel north in good heart.

4.5 points Millwall +1/2 ball 1.82 asian line .... now 1.85

DIVISION 2
PETERBOROUGH UNITED-GRIMSBY TOWN

United have not lived up to the pre season hype, but have shown signs recently that all those ante post slips at very short odds, might not need to be thrown away just yet.They have collected 4 points and dominated proceedings in two games against Shrewsbury and Darlington, both amongst the better sides in League 2. Boro have been creating chances, 127 in total and hit the woodwork 6 times, league high figures. They look set to really batter somebody. one day soon. Nice run of fixtures ahead for them and apparently they have been brimming with confidence in training this week.

5.5 points Peterborough -3/4 ball 2.0 asian line..... now 1.85

BLUE SQUARE PREMIERSHIP
YORK CITY - HISTON

York look to have turned things around, they have 7 points from 9 and in the draw at Oxford, had the better chances and missed a penalty. They have added striker Daniel McBreen to the squad this week , the Australian is on loan from Scunthorpe, but made his name in Scotland, where he scored a goal every two games. He will start today against the league new boys.

5 points York City -1/4 ball 1.79 asian line..... now -1/2 ball 1.95

SCOTLAND
SPL
DUNDEE UNITED- MOTHERWELL

Two contrasting styles here, even at home United, who like to keep things tight, are likely to sit back and let the attack minded visitors come at them. Motherwell are an improving team and in recent starts scored 4 at Hibs, 2 at Aberdeen and drew with Rangers, after which the coach was critical of their performance. Which indicates the very high standard that they have set theirselves.This is a fine young team, they have one of the best youth policies in the UK and 3 players were this week called up to the Scotland U21 squad.

5.5 points Motherwell +1/4 ball 2.0 asian line..... now 1.86

KILMARNOCK - INVERNESS CT

ICT are on fire ! They have won their last 3 scoring 9 goals and have been hungry and committed in each performance, a remarkable turnaround in form. Kilmarnock have horrendous problems today, they have 11 players out and will only be able to name one outfield player on the bench !

6 points ICT +1/2 ball 1.67 asian line..... now level ball 1.82 !

DIVISION 1
LIVINGSTON - ST JOHNSTONE

Regular readers will know that I like Saints and they are my choice to win this league, despite trailing by 8 points. They have recovered from a sluggish start, are unbeaten in 8, have scored 7 in the last week and 13 in the last two. Away win.

5.5 points St Johnstone -1/4 ball 1.97 asian line.... now 1.89

DIVISION 3 MONTROSE - EAST STIRLING

We talked in depth about ES last week, they have returned to their old ways and have conceded 16 in three and a half matches, they still have injury concerns today. Hosts are keen to get back to winning ways after losing to Dumbarton last week, they had previously scored 11 in 3 straight wins.

5.5 points Montrose -1 ball 1.82 asian line.... now 2.0 !

Good Luck.