WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON .........

I previewed four matches on the email today, one for later in the week.

Definitely going to put something on the blog and will probably do it at half time during the Russia-England game, which, really ought to be shown live on the BBC .

Back later.

TUESDAY ROUND UP .......

Here are today's three email selections, with the previews removed .....

U21 EUROPEAN CHAMPIONSHIP QUALIFICATION
IRELAND-ENGLAND

5 points England -1/2 ball 1.82 general quote. WON 3-0 all goals coming in the first 26 minutes

BLUE SQUARE PREMIERSHIP
HALIFAX TOWN - GRAYS ATHLETIC

5 points Grays +1/2 ball 1.94 asian line. result 0-0 WINNER

SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
ORGRYTE-NORRKOPING

6 points "over" 2.5 goals 1.71 general OR "over" 2.75 goals 1.87 asian line. WINNER match was "over" inside 16 minutes !

That was another 13+ point profit on the day for subscribers, places at the standard rates are running out, if you are seriously considering joining, you should do so quickly. Details can be found on this link.

Good Luck.

UPDATE ....

Sorry, I will have to keep today's previews solely to subscribers. Hopefully, it will be possible to post something on the blog tomorrow.



Good Luck.

TUESDAY PLANS ....

Luton ran out easy winners in the end last night, that's 11 from 13 on the blog, since last Monday.

I have previewed three matches on the email service today and am very happy with all of those selections, if possible, one will be posted here late afternoon.

Good Luck.

LEAGUE 1 ...

LUTON TOWN - NORTHAMPTON TOWN

Hosts are almost certainly better, than their league position tells us, the problem is that the players seem to believe that too and have been going onto the pitch, simply expecting to collect three points, without fighting for them. This was well illustrated in the cup tie at Gillingham last midweek, they breezed into a 3-1 half time lead and then sat back and allowed the home side to walk all over them.

Luton boss Kevin Blackwell, went beserk, he has told the entire squad that nobody's place is safe and that 5-6 of them, without naming names, will be on the way out of the club. Like Doncaster yesterday, this is a game that is likely to define Luton's season, a win and a playoff spot is still possible. These two met in the JPT last month and the hosts ran out comfortable 2-0 winners, restricting the visitors to few clear cut chances. Blackwell knows that Northampton score a lot of goals from set pieces and has again, been working hard to combat this in training. Think we might see a much improved display from Luton this evening and even the bigtime charlies on show, will probably be motivated by the television cameras.

5 points Luton -1/2 ball 2.135 asian line.

Good Luck.

MONDAY PLANS AND WEEKLY REVIEW .....

Both blog selections won yesterday, which made it 10 from 12 for the week, a 83.33% strike rate. I think we were a little unlucky not to register a clean sweep, Bradford were mugged at Morecambe on Friday and Stenson was the only golfer this week to trouble Els and was not behind until over six hours into their match !

However, I am sure that we can find better things to gripe about. Email subscribers were sent four previews today and I will try to put something from those on the blog later.

Several of you have written recently, saying that you would like to subscribe to the email service , but thought that their lowish stakes, could not justify it. Well, the blog alone made close to 40 points profit last week, a 2 euro unit stake would have paid for the service for one month, a $6 unit for three months and a £6 stake for six months ! A three month subscription costs less than £1-50 per day, further details can be found here , or you can email me with any questions.

Good Luck.

DOMESTIC FOOTBALL ........

DONCASTER ROVERS - HUDDERSFIELD TOWN

Massive game for Rovers. They have been big spenders in this league, at least in the salary stakes and have on paper, a fine squad. Unlucky with both injuries and the run of the ball, but those excuses only go so far and today, is very much, make or break for them. Failure to win will leave them too many points behind, too many good teams , even at this earlystage of the season. They have 3 of their next 4 away from the Keepmoat Stadium, starting with a daunting trip to inform Nottingham Forest. Donny are boosted by the return of Paul Heffernan, who can start alongside James Hayter, this combination is capable of terrorizing League 1 defences.

This is something of a transistion year for the visitors and they have been finding goals very hard to come by. They have lost the last two to Rovers and I expect them to complete an unwanted hat-trick, against a motivated host.

5 points Doncaster -1/2 ball 1.91 general quote.

DIVISION 2
MK DONS - LINCOLN CITY

Dons are another of my favourites and are looking for a 7th straight league win, their 8th in all competitions. They have been very potent at home, averaging 2.25 goals per start. As we discused in midweek, Lincoln are in dire form and conceded another 5 goals against Hartlepool. I expect an improved performance from them today, infront of the TV cameras, but doubt it will be enough.

I love a report of MK from a recent opponents site, which, in a nutshell said, that they are Leon Knight and ten giants, who just come at you in wave after wave. You cannot take a breather by putting the ball out for a throw in , as Jude Sterling lauches it into your area, like it was fired from a cannon, from anywhere inside your own half. This is true, MKD are an extremely tall, fit athletic team, who never give you a moments rest and they can secure a 4 points lead at the top of League 2 with a win today.

Despite this being shown live on television, the hosts have sold a huge number of tickets and are motivated to put on a show, in the first ever televised game from StadiumMK.

5.5 points MK Dons -1 ball 1.87 asian line.... now 1.74

Good Luck.

A GOOD SUNDAY MORNING !

All three football bets on the blog obliged. That makes 8 from 10 winning selections in this week alone, even the non mathematicians amongst us, can make that an 80% strike rate.

That was the icing on the cake for a great 24 hours of sport, England and Scotland completed emphatic wins in Euro 2008 qualification, England saw off France in their own backyard, in an exciting, if not free flowing, Rugby World Cup semi final and Brentford stopped the rot with a point, over mighty Rotherham ! It's all gravy !

I am still fine tuning today's newsletter, but it is looking like 5 previews, all football, with three very confident selections, will try to put what I can on the blog through the day, so make sure that you check back. Very likely to also cover the NFL, where I have an almost 70% success rate.

If you do not want to wait for the selections and to receive all the GOWI offerings each and every day, I am still going to accept another 22 subscribers at the current rates. The newsletter will then be delivered every morning to your computer, for less than the price many of you will have paid for your sunday newspaper, further details can be found here.

Good Luck.

US SOCCER .... needs and wants !

LA GALAXY - TORONTO

I sent this on the email service a few days ago and the odds have not held up too badly, there is still some 1.57 around and although that will not make any of us rich, unless we already are, little fish are sweet.

Galaxy are the biggest club in the MLS, or at least the highest profile team, thanks to you know who. They need to make the playoffs and to be honest the playoffs and the MLS need them just as much, maybe even more ! However, that seemed highly unlikely even two weeks ago, when LA's only real chance to play some post season football, was by winning their last 7 fixtures.

They have now won four in a row and you just get the feeling that they will get there by hook or by crook and I certainly do not see, Toronto, the worst away team in the MLS, with a 1-4-9 record, upsetting things. One thing is for sure, these odds are very unlikely to see the day out. Everyone, despite what they might say, wants LAG at the show.

The team spirit is very good at Galaxy now and there is much talk of 2005, when they scrapped into the final playoff place and took the Championship. Toronto are missing three players away on International duty.

6.5 points LA Galaxy -1/2 ball 1.62 Stan James/ Skybet 1.60 Expekt... you might find something similar in early trading on the exchanges.

Good Luck.

EURO 2008 ....

ROMANIA - HOLLAND

Think that this will be a very tight affair, the two played out a 0-0 draw in the reverse fixture and that would certainly suit the visitors. Both sides have injury problems and the hosts have named a defensive looking line up. That is not to say that they will not try to win at some stage, with a trip to Bulgaria to come, they could really do with maximum points here. But they will not throw caution to the wind and will probably be happy to keep things quiet early. The half time stalemate looks very likely and I feel that the odds are more than fair.

5 points half time draw 2.10 ladbrokes/vc bet/ corals/ exchanges.

Good Luck.

DOMESTIC FOOTBALL ..........

ENGLAND LEAGUE 1
SOUTHEND -CREWE

Hosts have no injury concerns and a fully fit squad to choose from, they have lost only to leaders Tranmere in 6 starts and meet a Crewe side in poor form. The visitors have won just once in ten matches and are creating very little, a league low total of just 71 attempts, with only 26 on target. Hosts have over double that number and really should win this comfortably.

5 points Southend -3/4 ball 1.85 asian line....

Back later.

SATURDAY PLANS ......

I have written previews of six football matches taking place today and will post a couple of them on the blog, starting in an hour or so .

Several of you have emailed me about the golf, scores are updated hole by hole on this link ...
http://scores.europeantour.com/default.sps?pageid=&pagegid={F7D5F510-8449-4E4C-A791-3C92FE9C303F}&eventid=2007086

Back later.

HSBC WORLD MATCH PLAY GOLF SEMI-FINALS ....

ANGEL CABRERA - HUNTER MAHAN
ERNIE ELS - HENRIK STENSON

I favour Cabrera in the top match, but think the odds are just about right.

Ernie Els has milked this tournament with six previous wins, it is played on a course where he lives and where he has helped with the redesign. However, there is little doubt that his game is not what it was and in Stenson, he will meet a player who produced some fantastic golf on Friday. In beating Anders Hansen 7&5, he shot 12 birdies and just one bogey, which compares very favourably with Ernie's 10 birdies and five bogies.

Stenson looked fit and hungry after a disappointing 2007 and has the experienced Fanny Sunesson carrying his bag, she knows Wentworth almost as well as Els, after a decade with another course specialist, Nick Faldo. Hansen was impressed by his opponent and said "he was awesome" and "it's tough when you have to make a hole-in-one to win a hole !" Els has a ticket for the Rugby World Cup final on Sunday night and maybe, at this stage of his career, golf is not the only thing in his life.

4.5 points Stenson to beat Els 2.60 exchanges.

Good Luck.

FRIDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL ....

DIVISION 1

MORECAMBE - BRADFORD CITY

City are a better team than their league position suggests, the Accrington game aside, they have not really played badly this season and have had a clear week to prepare for this fixture. The fans have not given up on them and they sold their 1200 allocation of tickets for this game a week ago. This is their lowest league position in 30 years,they showed a lot of fight in the last loss to MK Dons and are very motivated to get back on track.

Much has been made on other sites about City letting a bunch of youngsters out on loan, as if this was a bad thing. They are not getting any playing time at Bradford and the idea is for them to pick up a little experience. The visitors have one of the biggest squads in the division, which with Evans and Law, their two recent loan signings, numbers over 30 players. Manager Stuart McCall knows how important a good result is tonight, with 3 of their next 4 at home, they still have time to get back into the promotion hunt.

Morecambe played a cup tie in midweek, they did rest several players for that game, but in their first season in the Football League, have already had a number of fixtures, with a limited size squad.

This stand in the photograph will be filled with City fans tonight, I feel myself strangely drawn to empty football stadia, must be too many years of following Brentford.

4.5 points Bradford +1/4 ball 1.98 asian line.

Good Luck.

FRIDAY MORNING

Both of yesterday's golf bets won very easily, as has every selection on the blog the week. I have written 5 previews, the three football teams won at scores of 2-0, 5-2 and 3-1, the golfers 6&5 and 4&2 for an almost 25 point profit. This, in probably one of the quietest sporting midweeks of the year, if you know of any site, service, or individual that has done better in the past 4 days, then believe me they are good ( or lucky) and kindly send me a link.

I have written previews of six matches on the email service, five for today and one tomorrow, where I am sure that the odds will tumble through the day. I will probably put one of these on the blog late afternoon, but only one at most. Sorry about that, but the majority of write ups will have to be restricted to subscribers.

However, I have a little more leeway over the weekend, when there are more matches and am very likely to be able to post more then. I will definitely be looking at the World Matchplay semi-finals overnight, or very early tomorrow, for any golf fans amongst you.

Good Luck.

THURSDAY UPDATE ...

The golf from Wentworth has been delayed this morning, we have a lot of fog in the South East.

I have two football selections on the newsletter today, unfortunately, on a day when there are limited opportunities, it will not be possible to post either on the blog, that would be unfair to subscribers.

In the last three weeks, I have written previews of 117 football matches on the email service , 70 have produced winning selections, almost spot on 60%. Including winners at odds of 4.80, 4.50, 4.10 and 3.00. Over the last week alone, 25/41, or 61% have been successful.

However, these are just the basic results and I feel that the information contained within the newsletter, is of equal value, especially with reference to trends, teams to follow and the general approach to analysing matches. With a little fine tuning and personal knowledge, which I am sure, you all have, profits could be even greater. For a couple of dollars per day, I doubt that there is better value on the internet.

Details of the email service can be found here.

Good Luck.

HSBC WORLD MATCH PLAY GOLF .... WENTWORTH

ANGEL CABRERA - RETIEF GOOSEN

Wentworth is an old style golf course, one where you have to think your way round and know when to gamble, the same players tend to do well year after year. Angel Cabrera has a wonderful record here and murders the Par 5's, with his huge driving. At the PGA Championship held here every May, he has claimed 5 top 6 finishes, including a win and two runner up spots. He is paired with Retief Goosen, who is a fine player, but one who is having a year that he will be desperate to forget and in addition, he has missed the cut in the PGA event on five occasions, a truly terrible record for such a consistent golfer.

PADRAIG HARRINGTON - ANDERS HANSEN

Padraig Harrington, for reasons that few can understand, has no liking for the West Course, he claims that it simply doesn't suit his game and rarely plays at the venue. He is matched with Anders Hansen, who would probably name Wentworth as his favourite course, it is certainly the scene of not one, but his two biggest ever wins and he also has a 4th place and several top 20's to his name here.

This is a match play tournament with golfers playing each other and not the field, over 36 holes.

4.5 points Cabrera to beat Goosen 1.83 Pinnacle.
4 points Hansen to beat Harrington 2.58 Pinnacle.

Very similar odds should be available nearer the start time, on the exchanges.

Good Luck.

A QUICK UPDATE ....

I have only previewed two matches today, so will have to restrict those to subscribers. However, I will put something online late tonight for an event starting early tomorrow morning, so for any early risers on Thursday, please take a look.

Good Luck.

TUESDAY ROUND UP ....... at the blog with Cash for all !

The sole blog selection won, with Hartlepool running in five goals away from home. They did almost as well as subscribers, who, with 4 of the five selections winning, including one at odds of 4.50 have banked another huge profit on the day.

I am definitely going to take another 25 subscribers to the email service, after which time it is likely to be capped, or newcomers after that time, may have to pay a premium to join. If you are seriously considering signing up, I suggest you do so asap.

I still wish to put free posts on the blog, but the whole ethos of GOWI is about giving selections which offer value for money and it is a simple fact that subscribers have the previews 5-6 hours before they appear on the site. Which means that they are normally gambled through the day and I feel unable/unwilling to post anything, where all the value has been sucked out of a bet.


If I was not writing the previews, I would willingly pay ten times what the subsciption costs to receive the information, let alone the price of a daily newspaper. Believe me, at comparable rates, there is not a better service on the internet.


Details of the email service can be found on this link.


Good Night !

TONIGHT'S FOOTBALL ..... the best dressed supporters in the land, or a team photo ?

The line for two of my selections this evening, has already moved a full 1/4 ball on each and a third from 1.83 + to 1.70, so they have become impossible to tip on the blog, by a process of elimination, here is today's selection .....

JOHNSTONES PAINT TROPHY

LINCOLN - HARTLEPOOL

Strongly feel that the visitors, who have impressed most viewers this season, will be the more committed this evening. They are keen to return to winning ways after going four without a victory and were very unfortunate to lose at inform Forest, over the weekend. Boss Danny Wilson will make some changes, but they look a class above City, whatever side they put out.

The hosts are in a mess and currently only have Mansfield below them, at the foot of the entire Football League. Think it tells you a lot about the spirit at a club when Beevers, who scored an own goal, was blamed for the failure to beat Morecambe on saturday, on the club's own website. Looking to pass the buck, is no way out of a tight fix !

Lincoln have a much bigger game at the weekend, a trip to leaders MK Dons and as that is being shown live on Sky and given their predicament, that will be given priority. Confidence giving win for the visitors.

5 points Hartlepool -1/4 ball 1.86 asian line.

Good Luck.

NOT EVERYDAY IN ENGLAND IS SUNNY !

That is meant to be ironic by the way, it is only 10.30 am and I have already got drenched twice today !

I have written five previews on the newsletter, one is for a very early kick off, the others are evening fixtures, which include three domestic games in the Johnstones Paint Trophy and the Blue Square Premiership. Providing the "lines" hold up reasonably well, I will put one or two of these on the blog later today, so please check back.

Good Luck.

ROUND UP ....

The two Scandinavian selections this evening were both winners. They were only posted some 35 minutes before kick off, which is unfortunate, email subscribers had them six hours earlier and at much bigger prices, 2.075 instead of 1.87 and 2.05 over 1.96. These make a MASSIVE, MASSIVE difference to profits in the long term.

Someone betting 40 euros on each, would have made an extra 12 euros profit, or 15%. you simply cannot afford to throw money away like that, day after day, not for something that costs the same as a daily newspaper, or an ice cream

Please take a few minutes to consider that and to read the post below, I am supplying quality information on a daily basis and the vast percentage of it, is only available on the email subscription service. There are further details available on this link and you can sign up in a few moments.

Good Night !

ENGLISH FOOTBALL .... THE STORY SO FAR

Nine/ten games into the new season and with a short break in domestic league games, I thought that this would be the ideal time to look at our long term bets, decide what to do with them, if anything and to ponder adding something else to our portfolio.

I previewed all 4 leagues and had a brief look at the BSP, in the week leading up to the start of the 2007/08 campaign and suggested a single team in each, plus a handicap selection in the Premiership. These bets have gone as well as could be expected, infact, they look in incredible shape.

One reader has already contacted me to say that he has covered the selections in a multiple bet, he is getting very excited and it is only early October !

Let's take a quick look at the selections and their current odds and then I want to have a longer look at one league in particular, remember, these were the ONLY outright selections given.

CHAMPIONSHIP

5 points Watford to gain promotion 4.0 general quote .... Hills / Corals/Sky

Watford are top of the table, with a 4 points lead and are priced as low as 1.57 for promotion with Stan James.

DIVISION 1

2.5 points Swansea outright 11.0 general quote

5 points Swansea promoted 4.0 Bet365/Tote/ Boyle/ Sky

After a bad run of injuries, Swansea have moved into 4th place following a 5-0 win AWAY at the league leaders.

DIVISION 2

2 points win Milton Keynes Dons 9.0 general

5 points promotion 3.0 Tote/ Stan James/Bet 365.

Dons are two points clear at the top and are the division's top scorers, Ladbrokes have priced them at 3.0 to win the title.

BLUE SQUARE PREMIERSHIP

6 points Aldershot to finish in the top half 1.72 Blue Square.

Shots are third in the table, already have 10 wins to their name and are 12 points clear of the bottom half.

PREMIERSHIP

6 points Manchester United 2.375 outright, general quote.

United have recovered after a sluggish start and are set to put in a big challenge, their odds are unchanged.

2 points each way Blackburn Rovers +34 points handicap 16.0 1/5 odds 1234 Ladbrokes....

If that is not available to you, or makes limited appeal, they can be backed at 6.0 for a top 6 spot with Bet 365/ Ladbrokes and Paddy Power, amongst others.

Rovers are nicely placed inside the top 6, are the only team to have taken points off Arsenal and look in great shape. Now 3.15 for a top 6 finish with Betfair.

Hard to believe that any tipsters, anywhere, have done better so far, if they have, good luck to them, they must be good !

I am happy with all the above bets and do not see any real need to "cover" any of the them at present.

Division 1 looks the most interesting league and one that we can take a quick look at. After being deducted 15 points, Leeds have cleared the deficit in double quick time, with 9 wins in 10 starts and sit in mid table just 6 points adrift of leaders Tranmere. A remarkable achievement . However, it is hard not to see them suffering a reaction soon, they have certainly had the run of the ball and at circa 3.50 they look plenty short enough. Personally, I could not have them in front of Forest ( 4.33), who have won 4 straight and are finding goals easy to come by at the moment.

Having said that, Swansea are still 12-1 with William Hill and at 1/4 odds 123, I could not direct anyone, who is not already on, elsewhere for a bet. Roberto Martinez has his team playing some very attractive stuff, despite being short of a couple of very key players, especially in midfield, for much of the current campaign. When all are fit, the rest of League 1 had better watch out !

Just to recap, if you are not already on, take a little each way on the Swans.... you know it makes sense !

Good Luck.

SCANDINAVIA ...........

Here are two of today's four email selections, as you can see, both have been well backed.

NORWAY ... BRANN - LYN OSLO

Brann are staying very focused and have no intention of throwing away the title this time, after blowing a big lead last season. Two wins will do it and they should start with an easy win this evening. Lyn have just one win in 4 , conceding 10 goals and have lost on their last 4 visits here, all by 2 or more goals. Brann have won 4 straight, scoring 14 and want revenge, after losing the reverse fixture 6-0, a defeat which came when they were at a season low.

5 points Brann -1.5 goals 2.075 asian line....now 1.87

SWEDEN ... OREBRO - KALMAR

Visitors have to look for the win, they sit in third ,four points behing both Djurgardens and IFK, with this game in hand, they each face daunting trips to Halmstad and AIK respectively at the weekend, so a win tonight for Kalmar and the title chase, is definitely on. After a mid seson blip, they have won 4 from 5 scoring 13 and will fancy their chances at Orebro, who need points at the other end of the league, but who have conceded 7 in their last two.

5.5 points Kalmar -1/4 ball 2.05 asian line....now 1.96

Good Luck.

MONDAY PLANS AND THE WEEK AHEAD .....

I really dislike these International weeks, the actual matches are fine, it is the substandard fayre we have to put up with in the days leading up to them, that is tough to stomach and the endless talk about so and so's groin strain, when the player in qustion probably shouldn't be playing for his country in any case.

Football wise, last week was very good, just a shame that only one of yesterday's NFL selections won. Denver were dire, but there was nothing wrong with the other three wagers, both New Orleans and Green Bay threw away winning positions. Especially the Packers, who turned the ball over five times, when looking to wrap the game up.

I have previewed four matches for subscribers today and will post something from that list on the blog later today. The Johnstone's Paint matches tomorrow, look very interesting, these are hardly going to get the supporters fired up, or the accountants, at least until later in the competition, but provide excellent betting opportunities. Make sure that you check back for those.

Think that I will also take another look at the four domestic divisions outright markets, now that we are on a mini break and will put that online either this evening, or overnight. So plenty of (very) light reading.

Back later.

NFL WEEK 5 .........

GREEN BAY PACKERS - CHICAGO BEARS

Packers defense is really tight, giving up just 16 points per game. Offesively the bears are averaging just 15 points, so we are pretty much on the number there. Even though they have got no running game to speak of, very few teams are going to keep the resurgent Packers and Brett Favre to under 20 points. Bears will struggle to run the ball against Green Bay and through the air they are .... hopeless.

5 points Green Bay -3 points 1.83 Vegas Line.

DENVER BRONCOS - SAN DIEGO CHARGERS

Discussed the Broncos last week, who are very talented but are capable of shooting theirselves in the foot. However, they have an amazing 17-3 record against the AFC West at home. Chargers are struggling to get anything going offensively and will probably not go down the aerial route too often, against the league's best passing defense. On the ground they have star running back LaDainian Tomlinson, but he cannot get his act together either and ran for only 16 second half yards verses the Chiefs last week.

5 .5 points Denver +1 point 1.95 Vegas Line

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS - CAROLINA PANTHERS

Panthers showed little fight or heart in the dire loss to Tampa Bay last week, they still look set to be without Jake Delhomme and star receiver Steve Smith has been having tantrums. This is a must win game for the 0-3 Saints, who will be motivated, prepared and rested, after coming off a rest week.

6 points New Orleans -3.5 points 1.98 Vegas Line.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS - CLEVELAND BROWNS

Frightening prospect for the rest of the NFL, if the Patriots did not look strong enough, they now have Rodney Harrison returning, after missing the opening 4 weeks. Only real negative for them, with everything going so well, is that they have had a short week, after playing the Monday night game. The Browns coach spent several years at New England as Belichick's defensive co-ordinator, he might be able to come up with a way for his offensive minded team to score a couple to touchdowns and maybe run the Pats close, certainly closer than the 16.5 point line, which really tempted me. However, in the end, I have sided with the "over".

5 points "over" 48.5 points 2.02 Vegas Line.

Good Luck.

QUICK UPDATE ...

I do not want you to waste any time continually checking back, the rest of today's football selections are solely for subscribers and will not be on the blog. However, as I gave my word earlier, the NFL write up, which will be brief, will still be posted a little later.

ITALY SERIE A .....

PARMA - ROMA

Goals, goals, goals ! So 0-0 then ! Simply cannot see a low scoring affair here, the attack minded visitors will be looking to get back on track after the losses to Inter and Man U and will certainly be going fot it. They were unlucky in the match at Old Trafford, where they had the better of the chances. Amazing h2h stats, in the last 16 meetings, 15 have been "over" and in the last 9, 5 have produced 4 or more, three of them 5 +.

5.5 points "over" 2.5 goals 1.89 exchanges/ 1.862 Pinnacle.

1.5 points "over" 4.5 goals 6.20 + exchanges.

Good Luck.

NETHERLANDS EREDIVISIE .....

VITESSE ARNHEIM - FEYENOORD ROTTERDAM

Very pleasing season so far for Feyenoord. They invested very heavily in experience over the summer, following a terrible 06/07, a policy which has paid instant dividends, with 5 wins from six starts. Their only loss came at PSV, but they did not let that overly concern them and immediately bounced back with a win, younger heads might have let that heavy defeat affect their mental approach . Infact, that defeat aside, they have only conceded one goal in their other 5 starts and can go top, above PSV, with a win today, providing Ajax fail to collect maximum points. Going into the international break, that is a fantastic incentive for the team from Rotterdam. They have not lost here since 2002, winning the last two.

5.5 points Feyenoord -1/2 ball 1.88 asian line

Good Luck.

SUNDAY MORNING ...........

I have written previews of seven matches today, six were sent to subscribers today and one on Friday, the line on that game has, as predicted, already moved by 1/4 ball, giving readers the option to take a profit before a ball has been kicked.

Going to cover a few of these fixtures on the blog and will also be covering the NFL action, where 8 of my last 9 selections have won.

Back very shortly.

SATURDAY ROUND UP ....

Six of the nine selections previewed on the email won today, for a decent enough profit. However, the results are almost immaterial, at least 8 were fantastic value selections , where subscribers had the best of the action, before a ball was even kicked. Win or lose over a day,week or month, in the long term, information like this will ensure you have a decided edge over your bookmaker.

There are no more special offer places available, but it is still possible to join the newsletter service, full details can be found on this link.

I will be back tomorrow morning, with a blog selection for an early kick off, please check back.

Good Night !

SATURDAY OCTOBER 6TH ......

OK , here, as promised, are today's email previews with basic reasoning. Of the nine selections, one has drifted in the market, seven have been backed, heavily in one or two cases. Win or lose today, this is information that you will make money from in the long term, getting the best of the odds, is the key to consistent profits.

ENGLAND
CHAMPIONSHIP
CARDIFF - BURNLEY

I have discussed Cardiff a lot recently, they just need to tighten up a little at the back and then,they will be able to compete with the best in the Championship. Key defender Purse is likely to return today which would be a massive boost and they are very capable of beating this Burnley team, which have a poor record here, have conceded 2 or more goals in 4 from 6 starts and are not creating as many goalscoring chances, as their goal tally might suggest.

5.5 points Cardiff -1/4 ball 1.74 asian line.... now -1/2 ball 1.96

IPSWICH - PRESTON

Siding with the "over" here. Town play a very open game and are over in their last 4, Preston have come out of their shell and have scored 7 in the last 3 , with 3 from 4 "over". H2h wise it is a similar story with 3 from 4 producing three or more goals.

5 points "over" 2.5 goals 1.90 general quote .... now 1.84

DIVISION 1
CARLISLE- MILLWALL

Whatever happens today, Millwall are a team to keep on our side in the coming weeks. They have been playing FAR better than results might suggest, creating a lot of chances and dominating possession, then losing to a sucker punch. Finally got their reward with a win over inform Northampton in midweek and should travel north in good heart.

4.5 points Millwall +1/2 ball 1.82 asian line .... now 1.85

DIVISION 2
PETERBOROUGH UNITED-GRIMSBY TOWN

United have not lived up to the pre season hype, but have shown signs recently that all those ante post slips at very short odds, might not need to be thrown away just yet.They have collected 4 points and dominated proceedings in two games against Shrewsbury and Darlington, both amongst the better sides in League 2. Boro have been creating chances, 127 in total and hit the woodwork 6 times, league high figures. They look set to really batter somebody. one day soon. Nice run of fixtures ahead for them and apparently they have been brimming with confidence in training this week.

5.5 points Peterborough -3/4 ball 2.0 asian line..... now 1.85

BLUE SQUARE PREMIERSHIP
YORK CITY - HISTON

York look to have turned things around, they have 7 points from 9 and in the draw at Oxford, had the better chances and missed a penalty. They have added striker Daniel McBreen to the squad this week , the Australian is on loan from Scunthorpe, but made his name in Scotland, where he scored a goal every two games. He will start today against the league new boys.

5 points York City -1/4 ball 1.79 asian line..... now -1/2 ball 1.95

SCOTLAND
SPL
DUNDEE UNITED- MOTHERWELL

Two contrasting styles here, even at home United, who like to keep things tight, are likely to sit back and let the attack minded visitors come at them. Motherwell are an improving team and in recent starts scored 4 at Hibs, 2 at Aberdeen and drew with Rangers, after which the coach was critical of their performance. Which indicates the very high standard that they have set theirselves.This is a fine young team, they have one of the best youth policies in the UK and 3 players were this week called up to the Scotland U21 squad.

5.5 points Motherwell +1/4 ball 2.0 asian line..... now 1.86

KILMARNOCK - INVERNESS CT

ICT are on fire ! They have won their last 3 scoring 9 goals and have been hungry and committed in each performance, a remarkable turnaround in form. Kilmarnock have horrendous problems today, they have 11 players out and will only be able to name one outfield player on the bench !

6 points ICT +1/2 ball 1.67 asian line..... now level ball 1.82 !

DIVISION 1
LIVINGSTON - ST JOHNSTONE

Regular readers will know that I like Saints and they are my choice to win this league, despite trailing by 8 points. They have recovered from a sluggish start, are unbeaten in 8, have scored 7 in the last week and 13 in the last two. Away win.

5.5 points St Johnstone -1/4 ball 1.97 asian line.... now 1.89

DIVISION 3 MONTROSE - EAST STIRLING

We talked in depth about ES last week, they have returned to their old ways and have conceded 16 in three and a half matches, they still have injury concerns today. Hosts are keen to get back to winning ways after losing to Dumbarton last week, they had previously scored 11 in 3 straight wins.

5.5 points Montrose -1 ball 1.82 asian line.... now 2.0 !

Good Luck.

SATURDAY ....... WHAT'S HAPPENING !

Hi, I have put previews of nine matches on the email service today and am going to put them all on the blog, including basic reasons, shortly after 15.00 cet.

Please check back.

GERMANY BUNDESLIGA

DORTMUND - BOCHUM

Local derby and I am opposing the hosts as much as backing the away. Dortmund have been dire in losing their last three, conceding 3 goals in each and putting up some terrible stats in the games against Karlsruhe and Hamburg. They will be without 4-8 players and dropped 4 points to Bochum last season, really like the handicap start against a team low on confidence and players.

Update .... 7 out for Dortmund, two defenders and five offensive players.

5 points Bochum +3/4 ball 1.83 asian line.... now 1.77

Good luck.

FRANCE LIGUE 1 ....

I have previewed 6 matches on the email service today and will cover a couple of those on the blog. Should any of you wish to join the subscription service, there are two places remaining at the special offer rate, email me here for details.

MONACO - NANCY

Nancy are top of the table, but much of that success is down to their 100% home record and the fact that 5 of their 8 starts have been at their own ground, on the road they have a decidely average record of 1-1-1. They have 7 players unavailable for selection and travel to the principality to meet a hungry team.

Monaco are without two suspended players, but have no other concerns and a very strong squad, They have lost their last 3 in the league, but are not playing badly, for example in the home loss to PSG they had 64% possession and 25 attempts on goal, they were mugged. Man for man, I feel the hosts are far stronger and expect them to win this evening.

Monaco -1/4 ball 1.92 asian line.

Good Luck.