Tuesday, June 03, 2008

FRENCH OPEN TENNIS ...........


Play is underway in Paris and the full quarter final line ups, are now known ....

MEN'S
FEDERER - GONZALEZ
MONFILS - FERRER
GULBIS- DJOKOVIC
ALMAGRO- NADAL

WOMEN'S
SAFINA - DEMENTIEVA
KUZNETSOVA - KANEPI
SUAREZ-NAVARRO- JANKOVIC
SCHNYDER - IVANOVIC

Personally, I find the women's event more interesting, the Safina-Dementieva match is really intriguing and I have both, a strong opinion there and also in the outright market, where subscribers are already on at a big price.

Aside from the Gael Monfils- David Ferrer match up, the men's quarters are pretty uninspiring and it feels like we are treading water, waiting for Djokovic- Nadal/ Federer- Nadal.

On the basis that "little fishes are sweet", I will put a bet up for this afternoon's action, odds were already low and have come in for support this morning, but I do think that it is a winner, so ........

JELENA JANKOVIC - CARLA SUAREZ-NAVARRO

Huge gulf in class between these two and probably very different ambitions, from here on in. CSN will be delighted to have made the quarters, which was surely beyond her wildest dreams, for Jankovic, this is a major opportunity to win a Grand Slam.

I expect the Serbian to progress and it should not take too long. In her last 28 starts on the surface, she has won 24 and only four players have taken a set off her, with only Justine Henin winning in straight sets. She is clearly, one of the two or three favourites and is very comfortable on clay.

Let's cover two concerns, Jankovic had flu last month, she is still suffering a little from the after effects, as you will no doubt see at change of ends. Also, she has had treatment on her shoulder/arm in the last two games, I am not worried about this, she will have had 48 hours of treatment if necessary and it clearly did not trouble her too much against Radwanska, following 3 minutes of manipulation, so, two days rest/massage should have solved the problem. If the weather is a little warmer today, it will also help, as the damp conditions over the weekend were not ideal.

Tennis players ALWAYS have some injury concerns and Jankovic, usually has more than most, tbh it probably helps her game, to have something else to focus on and remember, the girls on the WTA are tough ! It is a cut throat world, far more brutal than the ATP Tour where lots of players are friends, that is not always the case in the women's locker room ! It will take more than a minor injury to stop Jankovic reaching the semis and I simply cannot see this taking longer than two sets.

5.5 points Jankovic to win 2-0 sets 1.70 general quote.... NOW 1.62

Good Luck.


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