Tuesday, June 24, 2008

TUESDAY'S EMAIL ....


Here is today's email in full, which was sent to subscribers at 09.15 (uk time), this morning.

I think most of you will appreciate the value of the information. Melzer currently leads 2-0 in sets, 1-1 in the third and can now be layed at circa 1.20, win or lose, that is a pretty nice position if you are on at 2.58 ! Bohemians, have been backed from the recommended 1.90, down to 1.74.

Details of the service can be found on www.predictuwin.com.

TUESDAY JUNE 24TH

ATP TENNIS WIMBLEDON
IVAN LJUBICIC - JURGEN MELZER

There can be little doubt that Ljubicic has gone backwards from his peak a couple of years ago, he is still very capable on his day, but those are certainly becoming less frequent and grass has never really been his surface. In three starts on grass this year, he has only beaten Troicki (ranked 100) and that was quite a battle.

Today he faces Melzer, who is 2-2 on grass this year and has arguably the better record at Wimbledon, where he has wins over Gonzalez and Ljubicic. more about that in a minute, he has also been unlucky with the draw in the past, running into proven performers on the surface, early in the tournament, like Rusedski and Philippousis, but always testing his opponents.

The win over Ljubicic, which was their only previous meeting came in 2005, the Croatian was just coming into his prime and certainly in better form than now. Melzer won in straight sets 4, 4, and 4, it was a match of few break points, but the Austrian played all the big points well. I see something similar today, this could easily go to a couple of tie breaks, it will certainly be close, Ljubicic is still a "scalp" and Melzer looks good value to repeat.

3.5 points Melzer to beat Ljubicic 2.56 Pinnacle.... a little 2.58 on the exchanges.

IRELAND
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINN HARPS - BOHEMIANS

I am very keen on this bet. Finn Harps do not look up to this level, they have won just once in 13 starts, losing 10, including their last outing, which was a dire performance, they did not show at all and lost 2-1 away to Division 1 basement club Athlone, who had not previously won at home all season. That was 18 days ago and Harps have not had a fixture since, due to the mid season break, which means they have been brooding on it for almost three weeks.

If that was not bad enough, they are without the spine of their team today, with six players injured and striker Stephen Parkhouse suspended, he scored two goals in their only win in 13 and without him, much of their limited goal threat is gone.

Bohemians are probably the best team in Ireland, certainly on current form, they have won 7 in a row, including a 5-1 win in the Intertoto Cup at the weekend, which will also leave them the fitter of the two sides. A win this evening will give them a five point lead at the top of the table and with a tough run of fixtures, on three fronts and only one home league game in the next five weeks, they want to make the most of this "easy" match. They have huge competition for places now, with several key members of the squad, including Hunt,Cronin and Kelly all fully fit, returning and ultra keen to start, in what is already a winning side.

It is hard to see any let up, or change in form for either of these two, Bohemians have won the last three meetings, scoring three goals in each, including in a 3-0 win in the reverse fixture, earlier this season, I expect a similar margin of victory tonight.

7.5 points Bohemians -3/4 ball 1.90 asian line.

Good Luck.

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