Wednesday, May 16, 2012

WEDNESDAY EMAIL NOTES ....

 If you received an "offer" on Sunday, there are still a couple of places available, email me if you are interested.
WEDNESDAY MAY 16th

MK Dons failed to progress past the playoff semi final stage for the fourth time last night at the Galpharm, despite winning 2-1 in an incident packed match, all the damage being done by Huddersfield in the first leg . The hosts did take the lead early but Dons came back into things late in the first half after the home keeper went off injured, this was the visitors best spell of the game and they equalised and could have even gone in front before the break. Terriers boss Simon Grayson used the interval well and his side made almost all the running in the second period and had several chances to retake the lead, Dons only real attempt on target in the last 45 minutes found them a late, late winner, too little too late. We have seen plenty of nice football from Dons this season and they can look very impressive at times, but they do have a bit of a soft underbelly and goodness knows when they are going to get this playoff jinx out of their system, it will have to be an automatic spot for them ! It will be another strong League 1 next season, with Dons, Portsmouth, Coventry City, Preston North End and either Huddersfield Town or Sheffield United, all in the third tier of english football and probably believing they are too good for this level. To say nothing of my beloved Bees.

Today I am going to look at the League 2 playoff game, where I have a nice priced selection, but will start with a few lines about a trio of matches in the AFC Champions League , which for those of us based in Europe start at lunchtime. This is a competition I like and which we traditionally do well in and where I am especially interested in the Round of 16 games which are scheduled for May 22-23 and the return legs on May 29-30, matches which already look to offer some perfect betting opportunities.

AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE:

ULSAN HYUNDAI- FC TOKYO

Relegation in 2010 has worked out pretty well for FC Tokyo, not only did they come straight back up as champions winning the title by eight points, but also did the double winning the Emperor's Cup, which got them into the Champions League, where they have performed well, collecting 11 points from five group games and sitting top of group F on goal difference, just ahead of Ulsan. They have also made a solid start to their J-League season and sit in 6th place, six points off the top with a game in hand. The visitors face two big domestic games in the next ten days, hosting the clubs immediately above and below them in the table. They are clearly a club on the" up "and one we should keep an eye on.  I watched them in their 4-2 defeat of Brisbane Roar recently, the Australians teams are at a big disadvantage at this stage of the year and Roar didn't help themselves by playing a very high defensive line, which Tokyo had little trouble getting behind, but the Japanese club looked a little defensively fragile and the match was evenly poised at 2-2 before the visitors tired late in the second period.

Ulsan are a typically strong Korean side, a nation who have dominated the competition in recent seasons, something we have touched upon in the past, but which may be changing, but that is something I want to cover ahead of the Round of 16 games and will leave for now. The hosts drew 2-2 in Tokyo and are also unbeaten in group games, they are 4th in the K-League, just two points off the top and visit the leaders at the weekend.

Hosts can only win the group with a win, both will probably have at least one eye on their upcoming domestic games, if Ulsan really needed the win, I would back them to get it.  Problem is that you can kind of pick your last 16 opponent, group winner will face Kashiwa Reysol, who were Japanese champions last year, but who are struggling this season, runner up will meet Chinese club Guangzhou Evergrande, who are a far more unknown quality, but have made giant strides in recent seasons. Winning the League 1 title in 2010, the Super League by a huge 15 points last year and are already top again. They have a trio of Brazilian players in their ranks and have just signed Lucas Barrios from Borussia Dortmund. Guangzhou have been inconsistent in the group stage, winning 5-1 at Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors, which had everyone sitting up and taking notice, but later losing at home to Buriram of Thailand. However, they took four points from Reysol and that defeat of JHM is probably enough to make Ulsan want to avoid the Chinese champions, other bonus points are the easier travel to Japan and the fact that they can actually try to win in front of their own supporters today. No bet for me atm, but I favour the home win in general terms and if it looks like Ulsan are "at the races" I might get involved "in play". This is the most interesting game for the future IMO, I will cover the other two in more basic terms.
GAMBA OSAKA- ADELAIDE UNITED

PREVIEW RESTRICTED TO SUBSCRIBERS ..... gowi8@btinternet.com

FC BUNYODKOR- POHANG STEELERS

PREVIEW RESTRICTED TO SUBSCRIBERS ..... gowi8@btinternet.com

LEAGUE 2 PLAYOFF: SOUTHEND UNITED - CREWE ALEXANDRA

PREVIEW RESTRICTED TO SUBSCRIBERS ..... gowi8@btinternet.com

Really busy rest of the week ahead, especially Sunday when we will continue with the two email policy. I will send the Friday email at exactly 10.15 so that everyone has the opportunity to access the double stake bet at the same time.

Thursday 17/05 :

Email to be sent: 10.00 UK time

Content :  League 2 Playoff Semi-Final
Volvo World Matchplay Championship 8 opening day matches

Friday 18/05 :

Email to be sent: 10.15 UK time

Content : Ligue 2 final round of the season
ATP Rome Masters Quarter- Finals
WTA Rome Masters Quarter-Finals
** Early maximum stake selection for a weekend game**

Saturday 19/05

Email to be sent: 10.00 UK time

Content : Championship Playoff Final
Champions League Final
Scottish Cup Final
Rome Masters Tennis

Sunday 20/05 :

Email #1 to be sent: 08.00 UK time

Content : Volvo World Matchplay Championship Semi Finals
Conference National Playoff Final
Scottish League Playoff Finals 
Coppa Italia Final

Email #2 to be sent: 11.00 UK time

Content : Ligue 1 final round of the season
PGA Tour : HP Byron Nelson Championship Round 4
MLS football


Good Luck.

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