Showing posts with label MK DONS. Show all posts
Showing posts with label MK DONS. Show all posts

Saturday, March 31, 2012

SATURDAY EMAIL NOTES .....


Rangers game has just finished.

SATURDAY MARCH 31st

Sedan missed a penalty at around the hour mark last night, think that probably cost us not just the 10.0 + treble, but also the 70.0 for all three to go over 3.5 , with the other two matches obliging. But the two main selections did win with a degree of comfort. There is another long odds treble at the foot of the email if you want to try again for minimal stakes.

SPL : MOTHERWELL - GLASGOW RANGERS

We saw the old Rangers last week, in what will go down as one of the famous Old Firm victories, that will have given them a huge confidence boost and training is said to have been fanatstic all week at Ibrox, with the players on a high. Carlos Bocanegra will be suspended after being sent off against Celtic , but Steven Whittaker returned in that match, as did Kyle Lafferty who came on as a second half substitute. Sasa Papac, Dorin Goian and Sone Aluko also returned recently and the squad now bears some resemblance to the one that was leading the SPL early season. Eight of the players that beat Motherwell 3-0 at Ibrox in the New Year game are likely to start today , with two others on the bench, they could hardly arrive in better heart considering the events of the last few months and are very much Motherwell's bogey side. Rangers won both games 3-0 this season and have won on their last three visits to Fir Park, scoring twelve goals in the process. Home and away Rangers have scored 6-3-4-6-3-3-5-4 in the last eight h2h meetings, now they are priced at 5.0 + to do likewise today, just seven days after they did the same against Celtic.... seems wrong, given the strength of the starting eleven today, two bets ...1.25 units Rangers to win 2.25 +...... Rangers to score over 2.5 goals 5.0 + .... 5.50 in places.

EPL : WOLVERHAMPTON WANDERERS- BOLTON WANDERERS

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CHAMPIONSHIP : PORTSMOUTH - BURNLEY

Michael Appleton has got Pompey up and running just in time and it might still not be too late to save them from relegation, there was much to like about their 4-1 defeat of Birmingham City and follow up 2-0 win over Hull City in their last two starts at Fratton Park, both of those two are still hoping to play top flight football next season. Appleton was purring after the Hull game and said "I was delighted. It was total dominance from minute one to 95. It was the best performance since I have been in charge by an absolute mile."
They have to continue winning at home and a visit from Burnley should not strike fear into the hosts at persent, we talked last week about how the Clarets have lost their way and if they allow Pompey half as many chances as they gave the Hammers, then there can be only one winner. The visitors are without a win in seven and in five on the road. Portsmouth would only be seven points behind Burnley without their points deduction and their home record of 9-5-5 is better than many top half teams , including Leeds United and Hull City. The visitors might once again be without Jay Rodriguez, he is very important, not just top goalscorer, but also having had most attempts on goal (110). Portsmouth -0.5 ball 2.30 +

LEAGUE 1 : MK DONS - BRENTFORD

Bees are coming off two wins, a 2-0 defeat of Rochdale and a 3-1 win at Preston in midweek, before we get too carried away, many Brentford supporters felt that Dale were the worst team that had visited Griffin Park this season and PNE are in a bit of a mess at the moment. There is going to be a big clearout at Deepdale in the off season, many of the senior players have not bought into the Graham Westley philosophy and I understand there was something of a player revolt at the club recently, with 8-9 players "refusing" the extra training. Big clampdown from GW of course and he was supported by the board, but he now knows he needs his own men in during the summer and they are not a team you could back at present. Bees were all over them and could easily have scored five in the first half ( they got two), having missed 4-5 absolutely clear chances. This probably says as much about PNE as it does the Bees, but they can do no more than win and they did it well. They changed formation slightly and really enjoyed the big open spaces of Deepdale and will have similar surrounings today at Stadium MK, where the playing surface is huge, as you all know now, because I mention it at least once per month !

Bees took experinced striker Clinton Morrison on loan ahead of the Rochdale game, he has not had much game time yet, but his arrival appears to have revitalised Clayton Donaldson who has scored three in the last week and really ought to have doubled that number, seriously, he must have been played in clear on goal six times in midweek. Anyway, the three scored will have been a huge boost for him, he was League 2 top scorer with 28 goals last season , but has only managed eight this campaign. However, he is essential to the way Brentford play and has started almost every match, making a very big all round contribution, but in front of goal, his touch has deserted him, you know how these strikers are, they thrive on confidence and today he will be desperate to shoot, whereas two weeks ago, he was probably dreading it.

Bees have a very good record here having not lost in six away starts with Dons, four on this ground, including a win here in the JPT earlier in the season. They might also have a mental edge from the reverse league fixture which ended 3-3, Dons were three up very early and at the break, but Brentford came out firing and pulled a point out of the fire. Dons should be up for this, having lost at home to Carlisle United in midweek, but that effectively ended their dreams of an automatic promotion place and with a playoff spot looking secure, it might take another game or so for them to get over the disappointment. Brentford draw no bet 3.40 + general quote .... 3.50 on offer, if you can find anything close to these quotes, you might also want to try something very small on either Clayton Donaldson to score 3.50 general quote, or Clayton Donaldson to score twice 20.0 Paddy Power/ 17.0 Bet 365

LEAGUE 1 : AFC BOURNEMOUTH - YEOVIL TOWN

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SERIE A : CATANIA - MILAN

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Good Luck.

Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com

Saturday, March 24, 2012

SATURDAY NOTES ......


SATURDAY MARCH 24th

Going to start with three strong domestic bets .....

CHAMPIONSHIP :

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LEAGUE 1 : WYCOMBE WANDERERS - MK DONS

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CHAMPIONSHIP: MILLWALL - LEEDS UNITED

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LA LIGA : GETAFE - VALENCIA

I have spoken several times about how we can expect a slightly questionable attitude from Valencia on occasion this season in La Liga, which is why we are firmly behind them in the Europa League. The problem is that they are clearly the third best team in Spain and have no chance to catch the top two, so will pick and choose which games they will be motivated for domestically. For example they were up to thumping a weary Athletic side who dared to threaten their status as next best in Spain by dominating Manchester United in two legs, with most of Europe watching and then lost at home to basement club Zaragoza. Now their lead in third is down to just three points over Levante and a Malaga team coming on strong, another defeat, or dropped points at all, is going to complicate matters for them and I think we will see the real Valencia this evening, especially as they feel agrieved by the midweek loss at the Mestalla. A few players missing on both sides of the pitch, but the visitors are much better able to handle their losses and are helped by the return of Tino Costa following suspension, Getafe have only two available central defenders and one has only made five starts this season, they are further weakened at the back and look very vunerable this evening. Only Real and Barce have posted more road wins than Valencia who won the reverse fixture 3-1 and the match here in Madrid last season 4-2, I expect them to collect the points and then turn their attention to the meeting with AZ Alkmaar on Thursday. 1.5 units Valencia -0.25 ball 2.12 asian line.

SERIE A : MILAN - ROMA

This fixture is dominated by Milan's Champions League quarter final with Barcelona on Wednesday, the home side are beat up and severely short of offensive options, are coming off a tough Copa Italia semi final on Tuesday, which has given them 24 hours less recovery than Roma who played on Monday and surely have to look to give themselves the best possible chance to compete with Barce in midweek.

No Cassanao, Pato, Robinho , Inzaghi or Maxi Lopez, just leaves Ibrahimovic and El Shaarawy up front, Zlatan limped out of the Juve game at the break and coach Massimiliano Allegri has to have him available on Wednesday.

Prince Boateng returns, but he along with Thiago Silva and Ambrosini have had limited training this week, Antonini is suspended and several others named in the squad are carrying knocks.

Roma despite a couple of questionable performances, especially at Atlanta, where without De Rossi there were shambolic at the back, remain in contention for that third place and with three of their next four starts at home, they have a big incentive to come away from the San Siro with a result. They have a good record here, losing just once in six visits and just one of eight in the reverse fixture, so much the better of this series in recent seasons.

We spoke ahead of the Coppa first leg about how Milan had struggled a little against the better teams this season, Roma just about fall into that category at present and this is a great chance for the visitors be beat a vunerable and distracted opponent. Regardless of what happens today, Milan will still be top of Serie A come Sunday evening and they have to look at the bigger picture. 1.25 units Roma +0.75 ball 2.07 asian line.

MILAN: Abbiati, Amelia, Bonera, Mesbah, Mexes, Nesta, Thiago Silva, Zambrotta, Yepes, Ambrosini, Aquilani, Boateng, Carmona (55), Emanuelson, Gattuso, Muntari, Nocerino, Seedorf, Van Bommel, El Shaarawy, Ibrahimovic.

ROMA :BORINI Fabio, CICINHO, CURCI Gianluca, DE ROSSI Daniele,GAGO Fernando,HEINZE Gabriel,KJAER Simon,KRKIC Bojan,LAMELA Erik,MARQUINHO,OSVALDO Pablo Daniel,PERROTTA Simone,PIGLIACELLI Mirko,PJANIC Miralem,ROSI Aleandro,SIMPLICIO Fabio Henrique,STEKELENBURG Maarten,TADDEI Rodrigo,TOTTI Francesco, VALDES J. Angel

Good Luck.

Contact : gowi8@btinternet.com