Friday, February 16, 2007

FA CUP .......... ARSENAL - BLACKBURN


William Gallas has been added to the Arsenal squad after his long lay off, but knowing Arsene Wenger's usual approach, he is unlikely to start.


Surprisingly, with the Champions League game against PSV in midweek, Henry and Fabregas have also been included.


Arsenal supporters have been treated to a feast of goals this season and not all in the opposition's net. They have conceded in each of the last 7 and in 13 of 15.
Since December 16, the Gunners have played 15 matches and scored 39 goals, an average of 2.6 per start, "1-0 to the Arsenal" has been well and truly laid to rest ! Eleven of these 15 starts have produced 3 or more goals.


I expect Arsenal to win, they have not been beaten at home, since West Ham took the points, on February 1 last year,over 12 months ago, but prefer the "over" option which is very competitively priced.


The visitors have been almost as prolific, during the same two month period, Blackburn have scored 26 in 14 starts, 11 of which have been "over". They have kept only one clean sheet in the last six, during which they have conceded 10 goals.


The two league fixtures produced 10 goals, 8 coming in the pre Christmas 6-2 spectacular at the Emirates Stadium. Last 4 meetings in London have all been "over" and comfortable home wins.


Rovers have notched 4 in each of their earlier rounds, away at Everton and Luton, I expect both teams to score and the "over" is my best bet of the day.


5 points Arsenal - Blackburn over 2.5 goals 1.96 Betfair.


Good Luck.

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