Monday, October 02, 2006

Amiens-Bastia


The visitors have major problems ahead of tonight's game.

They will be without 7 players, including Andre, Laville, Maire, Leca and Meslin, all of whom are important to the side. Bastia are left with just 15 available squad members to choose from. Never the best of travellers, they have won only one of their last nine away and conceded an average of 2.4 goals per game this season.

Amiens finally got back on track last week with a 3-1 win away at Istres, plenty of merit in that, the home side had previously only lost 3 times in 24 home ties, conceding just 19 goals. After a strong start to the season, Amiens had not really had the run of the ball in recent outings, they have a golden opportunity to move up the table tonight. Victory will take them above Bastia and into 8th place.

Goals can also be expected, Bastia matches have produced a league high 33, at an average of 3.67, Amiens are also well above the division norm with 2.67. With the goal line set at "2", this looks a very good "over".

4 points Amiens level ball 1.76 asian line
5 points over 2 goals Amiens-Bastia 1.82 asian line.

Back later.

Good Luck.

GOOD MORNING !

I am going to post three selections today, the first will be online before 14.30 cet.

Last week was a little frustrating, 60% winners and over 11 points profit is acceptable. However, it could have been so much better, luck was in short supply. These things tend to level out, so we can expect a little good fortune, in the not too distant future.

Please check back.

Sunday, October 01, 2006

NFL



Jacksonville Jaguars really impressed me last week, they dominated the Colts for long periods and were unlucky not to come away with the win.


They had possession for some 20 minutes longer than Indianapolis and restricted them to just 62 yards, this coming just 6 days after they kept the Super Bowl champions, Pittsburgh, from scoring.


They look the number defence and I expect Byron Leftwich, the Jags quarterback, to put up an improved performance tonight.


5 points Jacksonville to beat Washington 1.72 money line general/betfair.

Good Luck.

SEVILLE .....


.... should get back to winning ways today. They were very unlucky to lose at Atletico last week, after looking the better team, they had two players sent off and conceded two late goals.

That was their first loss in 12, they were back on track in midweek, with a very easy win in the UEFA Cup. A team on a mission , Seville are determined to attain the Champions League spot, they feel they threw away last season.

They are without the suspended Navarro and Escude, but these are offset by the visitors, Getafe, being without three starters.

With Barcelona away up next, three points today are seen as essential, they should get them.

4 points Seville -3/4 goal asian line 1.83.

Good Luck.

MADRID DERBY .......


...... tonight and it should provide plenty of entertainment.

Raul seems revitalised at long last and Ronaldo is looking for a starting place. Atletico look likely to add Mista and Maniche to a very strong starting eleven.

In the 5-1 Champions League win over Dynamo Kiev, Real's defensive fraililties were still there and the scoreline could have been much closer.

I was tempted to side with the visitors but feel the "over" is the right way to go. The goal line is set at 2.25, so half stakes returned with two goals. Nine of the last 12 meetings have been "over", two of the remainder produced two goals, so history is firmly on our side.

4 points over 2.25 goals 1.83 Real Madrid-Atletico asian line.

Good Luck.

I like the look of .......


....... the away win in the Heerenveen-PSV match.

Both sides have severe injury concerns today and will be forced to make many changes. However, PSV have a better squad and more options at their disposal.

When these two meet there are always goals, 7 of the last 8 meetings have been "over" and that rises to 13/15 in all games. But the visitors have dominated with just two defeats and nine wins in 13 starts.

With leaders AZ looking sure to pick up 3 points today, PSV will not want to lose any further ground before the international break. Especially as they shortly have to travel to Alkmaar for what, even at this early stage, could be something of a title decider.

4 points PSV -1/2 1.95 asian line, you may find higher on the exchanges, or by shopping around, Stan James currently offer 2.0.

Good Luck.

Falkirk-Celtic


I am going to start in Scotland.

Firstly, all write ups will be extremely brief, I have family commitments today, you know how it is ....


Gordon Strachan has done an excellent job at Celtic, he has had to slash the playing budget due to severe financial restraints, yet they have continued to dominate domestically and continued to challenge in Europe.

Today they are without Jan Vennegoor of Hesselink, but have competition for the starting line up alongside Kenny Miller. The home side are without 4 players, including 2 key midfielders and it is there that the visitors will take the game.

Last meeting finished 3-0 to the Bhoys and something similar looks on the cards today.

4 points Celtic -1.5 goals asian line 2.205

Good Luck.

5 FROM 5 ........

.... on the football yesterday, only Furyk let us down, almost 17 points profit on the day.

Very confident that we can add to that today, so please check back.

Saturday, September 30, 2006

WILLEM II- RODA JC ......


Roda tasted defeat for the first time this season last weekend, when they lost to AZ in a match that could have gone either way. Infact, this ended a 12 match unbeaten run.

In the previous game they recorded a fine 2-0 win over Ajax, Roda are playing with a lot of confidence and are determined to bounce back with 3 points in Tilburg. Four of their squad will be on very familiar ground, Marcel Meeuwis, Adil Ramzi, Elbekay Bouchiba and Kemy Agustien are all returning to their former club and are determined to win.

Agustien feels that the injuries to key players Mounir El Hamdaoui and Iwan Redan, will severely hamper the home side and is " convinced that we will leave Tilburg with three points''.
Willem are also without Baelum, Zois and Peersman and they look very short of goalscoring options, one of the other strikers has displeased the supporters by claiming, his heart is still with his former club.

Willem are conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game, some 1.6 more than, the very tight defense of Roda. Visitors have a good record here with just two defeats in 12 visits. Given their good form and the home team's problems, it is hard to see them losing.

4 points Roda level ball asian line 1.72.

Good Luck.

Arsene Wenger .......


... has completed a decade at Arsenal and that occasion should be celebrated with 3 points at the Valley and victory over Charlton.

Following the win at Old Trafford and a demolition job on Sheffield United, they will not want to put all that hard work to waste and can close to within 2 points of United with the win. With Watford and Reading up next, they have a real chance to close on the leaders.

Charlton face a mounting injury crisis and Ian Dowie does not have the resourses of Wenger at his disposal. They are trying to play attractive football and I hope that they can turn things round, but this looks set to be a season of struggle for the Addicks. They have won only once this season and lost this fixture in 4 of the last 5 years, number 5 today I fear.

5 points Arsenal -1/2 1.53 betfair// -1 goal asian line 1.85 (if that is your only option).

I will put something online later for tonight's fixtures.

Good luck.

STATS ........

I refer to the attempts on goal statistics quite often. Thought it would be quite interesting to look at some clubs position in this table, compared to their actual standings.

First placing shown is each sides position in the attempts on goals table ........

Championship
Crystal Palace .... last ........ real position 4th
Leicester City .... 5th ......... 20th

Division 1
Nottingham Forest last ........ first !!!

Division 2
Macclesfield Town 5th ...... bottom
Swindon Town 22nd ......... 4th
Lincoln City 20th ............ 2nd

Of course, things are never quite that simply, but we could reasonably expect, Leicester and Macclesfield to improve and the other four to slip back a little. We will see.

Back shortly.

"OVERS"


I like two "overs" today and will cover them both, briefly, in this post.

First up is the Barnsley-Luton fixture. Surely there will be goals here !
The home side have averaged 3.66 in all games this season, the visitors 3.0. Luton have scored in every game in 2006 bar one, Barnsley have kept only one clean sheet this season. Both sides have defensive problems and this game should provide plenty of goal mouth action.
In the attempts on goal "table" Barnsley are top and Luton currently hold 4th place.

My second choice is the Barnet-MK Dons match, where Martin Allen, the coach of the visitors, is sure of a warm welcome from his former club, having left them high and dry, to join Brentford. Both these sides are averaging well over 3 goals per game and are much stronger going forward. Dons total of 72 shots on target in all games is the highest of any Division 2 club.

4 points over 2.5 goals Barnsley-Luton 1.93 asian line.
4 points over 2.5 goals Barnet-MK Dons 1.97 asian line.

Good Luck.

Going to stick with the outsiders ............


...... and chance a little on Jim Furyk in his 2 ball with Tiger Woods today, in the WGC American Express Championships.

They go out at 14.10 cet and it should be fun to watch. Tiger is probably the greatest player to have ever held a club and leads the tournament by 5 strokes, but this is one round of golf and he will not lose too much sleep, if he only takes a 2 or 3 shot lead into the final day.

JF is probably the second best player on the planet just now and is in the form of his life. Playing Tiger should not hold the same fears for him any more, having been his partner for 4 rounds in the Ryder Cup last week. In fact he saved Tiger's butt in most of those rounds.

Woods is favourite but the 3.20 on Betfair for his opponent looks a little too high and value is , as always, the guiding factor. I cannot see him as more than a 2.70 chance.

3 points Furyk 3.20 to beat Tiger Woods 3rd round 2 ball betfair.

Back soon.

Good Luck.

I have been impressed by ........


..... Aston Villa this season, Martin O'Neill has proved what a top class coach he is. The only big money spent has been on Stilian Petrov and that looks a solid gold purchase.

Villa are unbeaten so far, winning all their home ties and drawing at Arsenal, West Ham and Watford. Another trip to the capital today. to play the champions and you do not need to be a genius to work out O'Neills tactics.

They will be disciplined, defend in numbers and try to hit Chelsea on the break. The Blues seem to play a much narrower game this season and that will play into the visitors hands, Shevchenko is not firing yet and they are relying on Drogba's goals, he is sure to be well shackled by Olof Mellberg.

I like Villa's chances today and if they can survive the first 20 minutes or so, even a shock away win is not impossible. Going to play 5 points on the game, spread over 3 bets.

0.25 points Aston Villa to beat Chelsea 13.5 betfair
lay 5 points Chelsea 1.33 betfair ( exposure 1.65 points)
3 points Aston Villa + 1.5 goals 1.82 asian line.

Back shortly.

Good Luck.

TODAY .......

Lots to put online today, I will post my first selection before 12.30 cet.

We had a very good day Thursday, everything correct, small profit yesterday which should have been so much better. Ipswich had a perfectly good goal disallowed and Darlington contrived to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory, having been 2-0 up with 24 minutes to play.

Back later.

Friday, September 29, 2006

Jim Magilton ...........


... has done a wonderful job at Ipswich.

Working on very limited funds and starting with 3 losses, they are now unbeaten in 6, won 4 of last 5 and will go second with a win tonight, when they visit Colchester.

They are playing some very nice football, impressed many observers and outplayed Sunderland and Birmingham in their last two.

The hosts have also picked up after a slow start and are unbeaten in 5, however, at times in some games they have been completely outplayed and have ridden their luck. I remember the 15 corners conceded in 30 minutes at West Brom for example. They lack the potential of Ipswich and everyone knows they stole Brentford's place in the Championship, not that I am bitter.

My other choice is a nominal bet on the draw in the Ajaccio-Strasbourg match, 7 of the last 9 h2h meetings have finished level and both have drawn over 44% of all games this season. Betfair's offer of 2.96, in what is a very tight league, looks a little value.

4 points Ipswich level ball asian line 1.94
2.5 points Ajaccio-Strasbourg draw 2.96 betfair.

Good Luck.

METZ have started this season on fire .......


...... and are clear at the top of Ligue 2.

However, I am going to oppose them tonight, when they travel to meet very strong home side, Niort. The team from Western France, have not lost at the Stade Rene Gaillard since April 2005, thats 18 months and 24 starts, 16 of which they have won.

With 3 of their next 4 away, newly promoted Niort, know that a result is vital if they do not want a repeat of the relegation troubles, of two seasons ago.

Elsewhere, Le Havre, after a difficult run of fixtures, meet a Gueugnon side really struggling with injuries and missing their entire defence. Think the over is the way to go, LeHavre averaging 3.2 goals at home and the visitors 3.25 away.

4 points Niort + 1/4 ball 1.86 asian line
4 points Le Havre-Gueugnon over 2.25 goals asian line 1.96

Good Luck.

The Darlington squad has been pushed .......


.... to it's limits by injuries recently, but there is light at the end of the tunnel.

Despite losing star player Julian Joachim, for up to a month, their overall problems have eased and as many as four senior/ important players, could return to action tonight.

After a gruelling run of 7 games in 20 days, they do not play for another 7 days. Three points will take them into the playoff places and with this, the first in a run of 3 home games, in the next 4 starts, all against sides in the bottom third of the table, it is a golden opportunity to make real progress.

Tonight Grimsby Town are the visitors to the 96.6 TFM Arena (!) and they have also been troubled by injuries, having come so close to promotion last season, they could not have expected to struggle so badly, this time round.

Their last two results have been dire, they lost 4-1 at home to Hartlepool and 1-0 at home to Stockport, in a match where they enjoyed just 39% of possession. Grimsby mustered just 5 shots at goal in those two fixtures, in all games this season they have totalled 97 attempts, 45 less than the home side, an average of over 4 per game.

These stats are poor, too poor.

Darlo have collected just one point from their last 2 matches, but enjoyed 56 and 59% possession in those games , VERY high totals "on the road". Time to get back on track, home win.

4 points Darlington -1/2 1.83 general/ asian line.

Back later.

Good Luck.

Update........

I am typing as fast as two fingers will allow and my first post of the day will be online in 15 minutes.

Please check back.

Thursday, September 28, 2006

Very interesting day ........


... unfortunately my time is limited, so, just going to run through some news, suggest one more bet and leave the rest up to you.


Livorno short up front (Lucarelli out for a few weeks) and defending a two goal lead against a Superfund side that are hardly prolific. Should be "under", or for the adventurous, a draw.


Told that Fenerbahce will go all out for the win, despite holding a narrow first leg lead. They should be too strong for Randers.

Read that Palermo "want" to go out of the UEFA Cup and concentrate on the league. If that is so, why did they try so hard in the first leg at Upton Park ? The theory is that they do not want the group games interfering with their league ambitions. Sounds rubbish, but I do think West Ham will put up an improved display, but that will not be hard, given recent performances.

Panathinaikos have to go for the win at Metalurh Zaporozhya after being held 1-1 in Greece. The Ukrainian side are 15th (from 16) in their domestic league, are winless after 8 starts and only scored twice. An away win, which will be my final selection of the day.

4 points Panathinaikos -3/4 ball asian line 1.84.

Good Luck.

UEFA CUP ......

Just a quick post, heard from several sources that two teams have effectively given up on their ties, after losing the home legs heavily.

Start and Atvidaberg are resting many players, both have other objectives. The handicaps are tough, but I would be surprised if either avoided a 2 goal defeat, so limited downside.

5 points Ajax -2 goals asian line 1.77
5 points Grasshoppers -2 goals asian line 1.83

Back later.

Good Luck.

ROSENBORG did us a favour on Monday .......


....... and I think we should stick with them tonight.

Victory will take them two points clear at the top and set them up for their meeting with current leaders Brann, in a couple of weeks time. RBK have now won six in a row and only conceded a, division low, 18 goals all season.

Todays visitors Tromso, need the points for other reasons, they are firmly involved in the relegation dogfight. Their form has picked up recently, but they have conceded an average of 2.33 goals "on the road". They may well have one eye on the weekend trip to bottom club, Viking, which is a real "six pointer" and an eminently more winnable fixture.

4 points Rosenborg -1/2 1.42 general (1.45 centrebet).

Back later with some UEFA Cup information.

Good Luck.

Wednesday, September 27, 2006

VALENCIA .......


.... are going to be my final selection today.

I feel the Spanish sides are even stronger this season and that Valencia will give the big two a run for their money. David Villa remains in very good shape and will have a partner tonight in Morientes,

They entertain Roma , both should qualify from the group stage after resounding opening day wins, not saying they will be any collusion, but if they were to share two home wins in the h2h meetings, everyone would be happy.

I rate the top 3-4 Spanish clubs above anything the Italians have to offer this time round. Home win.

No time for a proper write up, so I have kept the stakes small.

3 points Valencia -1/2 1.97 asian line/ exchanges.

Good Luck

Think it may take Chelsea a little time .......


... to break down Levski Sofia tonight.

Despite going a goal down early and losing 5-0 at Barcelona in their opener, they have yet to concede a goal after 7 starts in their domestic league. Last home defeat coming in April 2005.

Infact, they boast some very impressive scalps at home in Europe, including wins in the last year over Udinese, Marseille and Auxerre.

Levski have some problems up front and will be forced to field a defensive line up, their coach has promised to attack from the kick off, but that is for the benefit of the media. Surely they will be happy to contain the Londoners for as long as possible and try to "steal" a goal, especially give the heavy defeat at the Nou Camp.

Of course Chelsea are a class apart and not one of the Bulgarian champions, would even get on the bench of Jose Mourinho's side. But they have had problems on the road and have won only one of their last eight away games in the Champions League. Domestically they lost at Boro and took time to find a way past Blackburn and Fulham in their only outings away from Stamford Bridge.

See a little value in the half time draw, it is currently 2.62 on Betfair and is likely to be a little higher nearer to kick off. Alternatively, you may consider laying Chelsea at odds on for the opening 45 minutes, the choice is yours, it is the draw for me.

I will be back between 18.00-19.00 cet with my final selection of the day, for one of the remaining European ties.

3 points Levski Sofia-Chelsea half time draw 2.62 betfair.

Good Luck.

BOSTON-LINCOLN


Lincolnshire derby tonight and this is the biggest game of the season for the home side.


Unfortunately they come into the match in terrible shape, on the back of an awful 3-0 home defeat to Rochdale at the weekend and likely to be without at least 3 and probably 5 senior players. Confidence at the club is extremely low.


The contrast at Lincoln could hardly be greater, they had a fine 3-1 win away to Wycombe, who were on a run of 8 straight wins, come with no new injuries and full of confidence. The Imps have sold out their allocation of tickets and will have over 2,000 travelling supporters cheering them on. Victory tonight will take them to the top of the table, having suffered so much playoff heartache in recent years, they will be looking for automatic promotion this time round.

Lincoln have made big strides off the pitch too, especially on the commercial side.

They look a strong bet on paper, but derby matches are rarely that straight forward, so I am only going to suggest a small wager on the visitors.

However, going to take the unusual step of advising a second bet on the match and that can only be on the "over".

Boston are over in 8 from 10 this season and in each of the last 5, Lincoln are over in 9 of their last 10. Both clubs have averaged exactly 3.5 goals in all matches, in a division where the mean is just over 2.6.

3 points lincoln -1/4 goal 1.95 asian line.
5 points over 2.5 goals Lincoln-Boston 1.94 asian line.

Good Luck.

HUGE PRICE .....

UNLIKELY TO LAST LONG ......

Bet 365 have 1.67 Galatasaray not to score against Liverpool, this looks overpriced to me, Stan James have this priced at 1.33, be quick.

3 points Liverpool not to concede 1.67 bet 365.

Back later.

ESBJERG ...........


Good word for the Super Ligaen team who visit Division 1 side Frem in the Danish Cup.

Odds with the traditional bookmakers have fallen across the board, but 1.76 is still available on the asian handicap, due to the reduced margins.

My understanding is that they are taking the cup seriously and have named a very strong squad .............
16. Lars Winde, 1. Jan Hoffmann, 2. Frank Hansen, 3. Fernando Derveld, 5. Anders Nøhr,
9. Njogu Demba-Nyrén, 11. Jesper Bech, 14. Martin Vingaard, 15. Andreas Klarström,
17. Lars Christian Nielsen, 18. Morten Friis Jensen, 19. Jesper Jørgensen,
20. Kristian Flittie Onstad, 21. Jerry Lucena, 22. Jesper Lange, 31. Søren Rieks.

Both sides are in similar positions and similar form in their respective divisions, but there is quite a big class divide.

H2h favours the visitors, not too many recent meetings, but they have won the last 7, the last 3 by 2, or more goals.

4 points Esbjerg -1/2 1.76 asian line.

Good Luck.

Tuesday, September 26, 2006

Barry's two clubs .........


.... meet tonight.


When larger than life, Barry Fry's Peterborough, meet Barnet, the club where he made his name, at London Road.


Just like the charismatic, or annoying, depending on which camp you are in, Fry, this should be "over the top", at least of the goal line.


Posh are over in 3 of their last 4, with a 4.75 average and are 4.4 for all home games. Barnet are over in their last 4 with a 5.0 average and are 3.4 in all away games. History screams goals, the last 9 meetings have a mean of 4.78 .

Both sides have injury problems and a draw hardly helps either, each needs the win and seem sure to go for it. There have to be goals.

4 points over 2.5 goals Peterborough-Barnet 1.91 asian line.

Good Luck.

I have one more post to make today ...........



........... will put it online within the hour.


Had so many problems with the computer today, I have to go into the garden and kick something first, get rid of some frustration.


Back soon.

NOTTINGHAM FOREST ...


... have not scored in 3 starts, I think they will put that right tonight when they travel to Vale Park and a meeting with Port Vale, who have won just once in 6 starts.

Forest have had some bad luck, they did enough to take the points at Tranmere at the weekend, but were denied by the woodwork and some fine goalkeeping by Gavin Ward.

Against Carlisle they (again) missed a penalty and had a good goal ruled out.

Already told you how poor Vale were at the weekend, only 4 attempts, none on target and the manager is set to make changes tonight and is not a happy man.

Forest were, apparently, very focused and sharp in training yesterday, coach Colin Calderwood has almost guaranteed goals tonight and I go along with him.

3 points Nottm.Forest -1/4 2.02 asian line.

Good Luck.

I passed on some information about Bristol City recently ....


... it was along the lines of, their poor start to the season, was due to over training during pre season. Here is a link to that post ........
http://ubet2win.blogspot.com/2006/08/bristol-city.html

Since then City have won 5 from 6 and gone charging up the table, infact victory tonight could even take them top of the table. Considering the problems they have faced, this says a lot about the club and their astute coach Gary Johnson.

City are the biggest west country club in England and a real sleeping giant, this may finally be the year they wake from their slumber. They are one of the divisions top scorers, averaging 1.6 per game and have only drawn blank on one occasion. These stats could be much better as they have hit the woodwork 9 times, a football league high figure, someone is in for a hiding soon.

The Robins put in a very good display at the weekend, winning 2-0 at Port Vale, in front of 1,000 travelling supporters. They restricted the home side to just 4 attempts at goal, the home coach Martin Foyle, observed that City were "quicker to the second ball and dictated much of the play".

Striker Phil Jevons, who has been prolific in the lower divisions, has finally found his touch and the goals can be expected to flow, he really has an eye for goal and 70% of his attempts have been on target.

Tonight they travel to Bournemouth, who are on a 7 match unbeaten run, but most of those are draws, that is hardly surprising as the Cherries create very few chances. In their last two starts,at home to Scunthorpe and against an injury ravaged Brentford, they only mustered 6 attempts on target. Their total of 45 for the season, is one of the lowest in the division.

City will be without captain, Steve Brooker who is injured, but have a natural replacement in Scott Murray. The home side are without the suspended Marcus Browning, who is set to become a referee after retirement and hopes to be the first former pro to take charge of a Premiership match.

I think there is half a division between these two and really like the visitors on the level ball handicap, especially given Bournemouth's inability to win games. H2h stats are in favour of the away side, who have lost just once in 5 trips to the south coast.

4 points Bristol City level ball asian line 2.175.

Good Luck.

BEES UPDATE


Several of you have asked me about the current injury situation at Brentford, so a quick update.

They are still without 4 senior players, I would say that 3 are probably the most important in the whole squad.

7 of the 16 man squad at the weekend, were teenagers and have approx 20 league starts between them. Clyde Wijnhard, who many of you will know, signed a 3 month contract yesterday and goes straight into the side tonight.

Only one win in ten and one goal in four starts for the Bees. A trip to the New Den and a battle with Millwall awaits, two desperate teams at the moment.

I will not be there tonight, went to several matches at the old Den with a good friend of mine, Frank, a mad Millwall fan who sadly passed away. Had to sit on my hands for every match and despite not moving when Brentford scored, he would take great joy in standing up and shouting "he's Brentford" while pointing in my general direction.

If any of you have ever been to Millwall, you will see the "joke".

Back later.

MANSFIELD-DARLINGTON


Having discussed Darlington's defensive problems at the weekend, we profited from the "over" in that game, which ended 2-2.

After the match, Shrewsbury manager Gary Peters said "Darlington are very good but we made them look poor and were unfortunate not to have something like a 10-2 score".

They still have problems at the back, Hutchinson, Close and Collins have all failed to recover from injuries. Quakers boss David Hodgson claims the squad are very tired following a hectic run of fixtures.

Mansfield also drew 2-2 at the weekend and missed TWO penalties, they had many, many chances to win the game and I think we can expect goals tonight.

Field are yet to keep a clean sheet this season and all their games have averaged 3.0 goals, Darlington's a little lower at 2.80.

Both teams create plenty of chances, only Hartlepool have had more attempts on goal than Darlington, who have also hit the woodwork 6 times. Mansfield have had the 4th highest number of shots on target, a statistic which belies their lowly league position.

4 points Mansfield-Darlington over 2.5 goals 1.98 asian line.

This is the second time I have typed this, lost the first one in cyberspace, is that the most annoying thing that can happen ? Seems such a waste of time to type the same thing twice, it never seems as good the second time either.

Back shortly.

Good Luck.

Monday, September 25, 2006

Emotional night in New Orleans ...


.... when the Saints return to the Superdome, for the first time since Hurricane Katrina.

They face divisional rivals, Atlanta , led by the ridiculously gifted Michael Vick, both teams are 100% for the season.

Quite frankly the rushing numbers put up by the Falcons, have been mind numbing. An average of 279 yards with 25 carries of 10 yards or more.

Sure that teams will work out how to stop them sooner or later, but it is not easy. It is all about speed and is very simple. Vick takes the snap and either gives it to Warrick Dunn, or keeps it himself, as both run opposite directions, it is incredible hard to defend. OK there is a little more to it, but with so much to look for on the ground, it makes opponents vunerable in the air too.

The defence has done it's part and has yet to give up a touchdown in 8 quarters. Kicking has been a big problem, but 46 yo Morten Andersen has rejoined and will see action tonight.

Falcons are 16-6 against the Saints since 1995 and I expect them to add to that total and cover the spread.

They have two home games up next, so a win will give them the opportunity to set up their best start in franchise history.

4 points Atlanta Falcons -3.5 points 1.86 betfair.

Good Luck.

SUNDSVALL-LANDSKRONA ...


I like the over "here".

The draw has little value for Landskrona, anything but 3 points will see their slim promotion chance evaporate. Their away games have produced a division high 46 goals, they have certainly " gone for it" in the last two road fixtures, winning 7-0 and losing 5-0, so all or nothing, which is how I expect them to approach tonight.

Both sides have had plenty of recent "overs", GIF in 4 of last 5 and the visitors in 5 of their last 6.

Sundsvall will move out of the bottom 3 with one point, but with some tricky fixtures ahead, have to look for all three.

Feel that the away side will dictate the tempo and style of the match because of their situation, should be open and the "over" is a confident selection.

4 points GIF Sundsvall-Landskrona over 2.5 goals 1.86 asian line.

Good Luck.