Saturday, February 28, 2009




We were with United pre season to get promotion and despite being deducted five points for fielding an ineligible player, the dream is still alive, after an incredible run under new boss Chris Wilder. Since taking charge and losing his first game, Oxford have since registered eight wins and a draw from nine starts. That opening loss came at Salisbury, when Wilder admitted he got the tactics wrong, but showed his worth by ,after going two down inside 17 mins, immeditely changed everything around and almost turned the match around. Those 17 minutes aside, his team have conceded just 4 goals in ten starts, allowing one every 221 minutes, they are very solid at the back now and have as much offensive threat as any team in the BSP. Wilder is keeping everyone on their toes, he released two players this week and signed another defender.

I have told you many times how big this club is at non league level, they will have a huge crowd today, probably 6,000 +, despite the match being televised and to give you some idea of their potential, the club shop has sold 750 shirts this week ! Many BSP clubs would not sell half that number in a season !

This run has got the supporters buzzing and crowds of 8k + will be commonplace if the run continues. They are looking for an eighth straight win at the Kassam Stadium and they are my strongest selection of the day.

In the reverse fixture, which ended 1-1, Oxford had a huge number of clear cut chances, including nine on target and were also denied a clear penalty as time expired, a decision which still rankles. Torquay are currently in the final playoff spot, three points ahead of the home side, with two games in hand, so you can see how vital the points are today. The visitors are not in great shape, have collected just one win in five starts, conceding 11 goals, including a heavy cup loss to a lower level team and having to battle for a draw, after trailing struggling Forest Green Rovers 3-1 in midweek. They will not find it so easy to get back into the game, if falling behind this evening. Home win.

7 points Oxford United -1/4 ball 1.96 asian line.

Good Luck.




City are on a very impressive run, they have won 6 from 7, only failing away to Doncaster Rovers and that was simply a blip, they were never "at the races" that day, yet still could/should have collected something after conceding very early and they have since bounced back with a very fine 2-0 win away to Reading. That was an awesome display, in front of 4,500 travelling supporters. This is a club on the up, they have just purchased a large piece of land and are waiting to start work on a new, potentially 40,000 capacity stadium and training complex. They certainly do not want to be playing Championship football there.

The recent run has seen them climb into the playoff picture, but that is their minimum ambition, they currently trail Birmingham City, who sit in a automatic promotion spot by eight points, but travel to st Andrews on Wednesday and a win for the Robins today, will set that meeting up nicely. Today's visitors to Ashton Gate are struggling and have conceded ten goals in their last four starts, collecting just a single point at Ipswich and they were very fortunate to get that. DJ Campbell aside, they lack a real offensive threat at the moment and until caretaker boss Tony Parkes has a few more attacking options avaible, we should be avoiding a team with such a porous defence.

7 points Bristol City -3/4 ball 2.02 asian line.

Good Luck.

Friday, February 27, 2009

LIGUE 2.................

Many of you have already received a free copy of today's email, see previous post, so not going to post too much on here. I have a lot of ideas for tomorrow, so please be sure to check back.


Hosts have had a fantastic season, not only do they sit just six points off the promotion places, but have a Ligue Cup final next month to look forward to. This is a terrific achievement for a club who were in National last year. They are very strong at home, where they are 14-7-2 in their last 23 home starts, have lost just once all seaon and are on a six match unbeaten run, conceding just two goals in that sequence.

The visitors have lost the plot for the time being, they could move back into the automatic promotion spots with a win, but that says more about their early season form, than the way they are playing at present, they have won just 3 times in 15 starts and only once in eight away games.

Vannes are in better shape and playing with a lot of confidence, built up over two seasons of, for them, unparalled success. Home win.

6 points Vannes -1/4 ball 2.17 asian line.

Good Luck.

TGIF ........

I have previewed four matches today on the newsletter and sent a copy ( slightly modified) to everyone who is registered on the website .

It costs nothing to register, only basic details are required (name, email address and country) and is unlikely to take more than a couple of minutes, here is a quick link. You then get to receive any "freebie" emails that are available.

It has been a funny week, not an awful lot of "coin flips" have gone our way and we enter the weekend a little down, but only circa one bet ( 7 points) and I am confident that we will turn things around, with a very promising weekend ahead. I am looking at a "big bet" tomorrow and just need to get confirmed team news before pressing the button !

I know I rattle on and on about the newsletter and probably 99% of you only want to read the match previews but ................... it is an exceptional service and in addition to the fantastic returns.... 630 points profit, at an average of over 110 points every three months, offers a massive amount of information that will help you find a lot of future winners. Seriously, if there was a similar service out there, at a comparable cost (two euros per day), I would subscribe in an instant ! Let me know if you find one !

Back later.

Thursday, February 26, 2009

UEFA CUP .........

I did have something that I wanted to pass on today, but am a little short of time, so will probably cover that tomorrow. Subscribers were sent five bets for tonight's action, three for the UEFA Cup including .......


Twente hold a 1-0 lead from the first leg where they played incredibly well. OM claim that they have not given up on the tie and that they will be "going for it" tonight, what else can they say ? I am not so sure exactly how motivated they will be.

They are battling for a Champions League place in the league, along with seven other clubs and with a tough looking trip to Caen at the weekend, seem unlikely to leave everything on this dutch battlefield. They are struggling for goals at the moment and have not scored in 213 minutes play, they are without a couple of cup tied starters and are likely to rest one or two more.

Hosts see this as very important and look on current form the second best team in Holland, they are 8-3-1 at home in the league and have already seen off Rennes, Schalke and Racing here in the competition. The only goal conceded in those three, was a late consolation for Schalke and the 2-1 scoreline did not do the home team justice, it could easily have been four or five.

6.5 points -1/4 ball FC Twente 2.26 asian line.

Good Luck.

Wednesday, February 25, 2009


Just a few lines about two of tonight's matches, please check back tomorrow, when I will have some very strong news to pass on.



Yesterday I told you that, IMO, the English teams play at too high a tempo for their Italian counterparts and saw little last night to make me change my mind, United could have led by three at the break over Inter and an out of sorts, injury hit Arsenal, saw off Roma and could/should have scored more.

Chelsea looked more like their old selves in the win at Villa Park on Saturday and already seem to have fully accepted new coach Guus Hiddink. He seems sure to stick with both Drogba and Anelka up front and this is a potentially prolific partnership, if Hiddink can get it to work. Scolari said it was not possible, but there were clear signs against Villa that he was wrong. I expect the Blues to win and also feel that Drogba is big, at 2.875 + in the anytime goalscorer market, but will stick with the straight match bet.

5.5 points Chelsea -1/2 ball 1.84 asian line.



Boro will be interested in this I guess, they need a boost of some sort, but the scheduler has not been kind and with Liverpool visiting on Saturday and given their dire league position, it is clear where their priorities should lie. I know that the Hammers are very keen on the competition and it is a trophy their fans would love to lift, around 3,000 are set to make the extremely long midweek trip and I am sure that they will be making the bulk of the noise, in what will be a fairly empty stadium. West Ham have been playing well and created any number of chances in the 2-1 defeat at Bolton over the weekend, where they were caught cold by two early goals. Expect them to come out fired up tonight and at level ball, they look the bet for us, with no outside distractions. Boro have scored just once in their last six starts against Premier league teams. The league game here ended 1-1 back in November, but the visitors were at a very low ebb then, yet still dominated, had a lot of chances on goal and Boro did not have an attempt worthy of the name until just before half time. Away win.

6 points West Ham level ball 1.90 asian line.

Good Luck.

Tuesday, February 24, 2009



I would not read too much into Barcelona's loss at home to Espanol over the weekend, they were down to ten men fairly early on and a league slip up has been on the cards for sometime, was long overdue and given their lead in La Liga, it was only natural that their focus would turn to the Champions League at some stage.

At around the same time, Lyon were beating Nancy on the road comfortably, despite resting a handful of key players. All are set to return this evening and we should see these two attack minded teams attempt to outscore each other. Lyon will be looking to take a lead to the Camp Nou, after losing 3-0 there in the group stage last season, the meeting here ended 2-2 and a repeat is certainly not out of the question. Barclona's three away group games this year were all "over" and produced 15 goals, with Lyon's three home ties, yielding eleven.

6.5 points "over " 2.5 goals 2.06 asian line.

Good Luck.



Swindon will be extremely motivated for this one, not only would a win take them above the visitors in the table and keep them out of the drop zone, but home boss Danny Wilson would surely love to put one over on the team that, in my opinion, unfairly sacked him earlier this season. His dismissal has not done Pool much good, they have not won in eight, six times conceding two or more and are getting dragged into the relegation dogfight.

Town are on the up and have put in five fantastic performances in a row, beating Walsall and then drawing away at Oldham, Leicester and Millwall, all promotion chasing teams and I doubt that many teams this season will collect points at each of those three grounds. On Saturday, they came back from two down, to defeat highflying Scunthorpe 4-2 and confidence at the club is sky high at the moment.

Pool are set to be without as many as five players, including top scorer Joel Porter and with Wilson knowing the competition very well, the visitors will not just be facing a very long journey on the team bus today, but a torrid time on the pitch.

6.5 points Swindon -1/4 ball 1.86 asian line.

Back later,

SUPER TUESDAY .............

Shrove Tuesday and "Pancake Races" have been traditional in the UK for hundreds of years, but there is no betting on that, which is a shame as the lady in glasses is clearly a "ringer"and looks supremely confident, so we will have to look elsewhere for our selections today !

I have previewed six matches on the newsletter, two Champions League ties, where there are some incredible match ups and four english domestic fixtures.

The biggest problem today, after deciding how many pancakes to eat, is which CL game to watch, Arsenal- Roma is an option and Lyon- Barcelona is a potential thriller, but it is hard to get away from the Inter-Man U match, or Jose-Alex XIII as it might be titled, with Sir A only having won once in their previous twelve meetings.

Quickly looking back to yesterday, on the little I saw, only about 50 minutes in total, Lens were clearly better than Metz and deserved the win, unfortunately. However, we secured a very nice profit on the day, with Tottenham finding a second half winner, which suited us perfectly and meant that we landed both bets on the game and made an 11.7 pts gain.

Back later.

Monday, February 23, 2009




Surely we can expect a very cautious opening in this kep match up, between two relegation threatened clubs at the KC Stadium.

Spurs have struggled all season, especially on the road and remain in 16th, just two points outside the drop zone. Harry Redknapp, chose to focus on this game and sent a very weakened side to the Ukraine last midweek, it will be a case of "all change" tonight, with Keane, Pavlyuchenko, Woodgate, Corluka, Modric, Palacios, Lennon and Cudicini all back in the squad. This is too good a squad to be struggling at the foot of the table.

However, that has been said before, about other teams, Leeds for example and look where they are now ! I do feel that they might win this evening, but feel it may well take some time for them to get on top. They have gone in level at the break in 16 (64%) of their 25 league starts and in 9 from 12 (75%) on the road and have managed just one first half goal in six away starts.

City must give praise every day for their flying start to the season, which included a win at White Hart Lane in the reverse fixture, a lot of water and not many points (for either team) has flown under the bridge since then. The Tigers have not won a league match since December 6th, with the previous victory coming way back in October, so just one win in 17 starts.

Looking at their opening 45 minutes, they have drawn 8 of the last 14 and scored just once in 9 starts.

I really do not see, with so much on the line, these patterns changing and will be backing the half time stalemate. Respective coach's Brown and Redknapp would probably settle on that and maybe look to press on in the second half, I will also take a tiny bet on Spurs going on to collect all three points after the break.

4.5 points half time draw 2.10 general quote..... you are likely to find bigger on the exchanges, later in the day.

1.5 points Draw half time- Spurs full time double result 5.50 general quote.

Good Luck.

TOP TWO CLASH ...........



Top two sides in Ligue 2 meet in a mouth watering encounter at Saint-Symphorien and both seem booked for a swift return to the top flight, following relegation last season. They are building up a head of steam and starting to pull away from the pack, Lens already have an seven point lead over the fourth placed team and the biggest club in the division, should be able to coast over the finishing line.

Metz still have plenty of work to do, but do hold a two point advantage over Montpellier (4th) whom they defeated 3-1 last week, that scoreline doesn't really do them justice, as they were value for at least a couple of goals more. That performance would have done wonders for their confidence and they have raised their game against all the top teams this season, including winning the reverse fixture 1-0.

The goals are flowing at present, they are unbeaten in five, during which they have scored 15 goals, a huge number in a league where the average match only produces 2.35 per game. They have really impressed me recently and play with a great belief in their own ability, what I especially like is that they do not panic if falling behind and rarely sit on a lead. Looking at the table, it is clear that their need is a little greater than that of the current leader's and IMO their current form is better, so giving up just a quarter ball, I can only go one way.

Lens are themselves on a four match unbeaten run, but have, if anything, underperformed against the stronger sides and do not find goals quite so easy to come by, with just 13 in their last 11 starts. Both teams will be very close to full strength.

5.5 points Metz -1/4 ball 2.13 asian line.

Good Luck.

Sunday, February 22, 2009

LA LIGA ..............


Big game for Mallorca, who remain in the drop zone on goal difference, despite an upturn in form recently. Defeat today could leave them three points adrift of safety, with a sequence of three consecutive "six pointers" ahead, against fellow relegation battlers. They remain strong at home, where they have lost just three times this season, only once (Real Madrid) in their last six, including picking up seven points in their last three.

I do not think that there is too much between these two teams, although the league table says otherwise, with Racing seven places and 8 points ahead. However, much of that is down to a fanatstic run of away form which ended with a loss at Real Madrid recently. After a very tough run of fixtures, last four matches have been against Seville, Barcelona, Real and Villarreal, which is about as difficult as it gets, they must be a little tired/jaded and signs are there, that we might see them struggle in the next week or two.

Hosts won this fixture 3-1 last year and recorded one of only two road wins this season in the reverse fixture and I expect them to battle to a hard earned win this afternoon.

7 points Mallorca level ball 1.82 asian line.

Good Luck.




I relegated these two this morning, calling this a Serie B clash in the newsletter !

This should be entertaining, Milan were very unlucky to lose the derby game with Inter last week and will be ultra keen to bounce back today, however, that might not be so easy.

Cagliari have been on a great run, especially on the road and currently sit just outside the Champions League places. Since late November they have played five very tough away games, drawing at Napoli and Inter, winning at Juve and Lazio (4-1) and losing 3-2 at Roma. The loss was incredibly unfortunate, they led until late and missed a number of great chances. It is obvious that they will take the game to anyone and they seem ideally suited to playing away and hitting teams with their pace. Cagliari have every chance to get something from this game and it is hard not to see them pinching a goal or two.

Last two meetings here have each produced four goals, so a split stake bet on the visitors and "over" 3.5 goals, which would have collected in 4 of their last 5 away starts, looks the way to go. Added bonus with the "over" bet, is that if Milan are on a going day, then they are quite capable of scoring four against anyone in this league. Kaka remains out, but Pato and Beckham return.

5 points Cagliari +1 ball 1.88 asian line

5 points "over" 3.5 goals 3.45 + exchanges.... a little 3.50 currently available.

Back later.

SUNDAY MORNING ..............

I have just sent today's email, which was a bit later than usual, it contains previews of five matches, including six selections ranging in odds from 1.82 to 3.45. All of you that were offered and accepted a "freebie" copy of today's newsletter, should also have received it by now.

Yesterday was a fantastic day, with stakes returned on the only match that did not produce a profit. MK Dons failure to hold on to their lead was doubly frustrating, as it meant I had to put away the "Magnificent Seven" poster, long time readers will know what I am talking about !

I will be posting 2-3 selections on the blog today, so please check back a little later.

Just want to finish with a few words about my beloved Bees, who are currently looking down on the rest of Division 2, after a fine win at Rochdale yesterday. Dale were many good judge's idea of the best team in the section and after such a commanding performance from the Bees, those opinions are being reassessed. Next two weeks are key, with three more tricky fixtures, after which, they finish with seven of their last eleven at fortress Griffin Park, which many oddsmakers might have missed, not the William Hill compiler though, who is offering an industry low 2.875..... the old shrewdie !

Back later.

Saturday, February 21, 2009


As I told you this morning, in addition to my UK selections detailed below, I also previewed two other european games, in which my selections were ...

6 points Valenciennes +3/4 ball 1.85
5 points Energie Cottbus +1/2 ball 2.20

Both won, so from seven matches previewed today, we made a profit in six and got our money back on the MK Dons bet, earning over 27 points profit on the day. The daily newsletter is continuing to make fantastic returns and if you bet on a regular basis, then it should be an essential tool in your betting armoury.

Full details are on the website

Good Luck.

TODAY'S FIVE UK FOOTBALL PREVIEWS ........ two down, three to go...............




There are normally very few goals when these two meet, the last four h2h games have all produced just a single goal and it is hard to see this game being any more prolific. Wigan's last seven league starts have had two or less, with six of them containing just one or zero goals. They cannot even call upon on loan striker Mido today, as he is not allowed to play against his parent club and it is hard to see where their goals are going to come from.

Boro are in big trouble, without a win in 13 league starts and two points from safety. However, it is not yet a lost cause and a couple of recent performances, especially in the FA Cup and at Manchester City in the league, where Shay Given saved the home side time after time, have given hope of a revival. They are set to be unchanged today, for only the second time this season and with many of the senior players now back in the team, they have a real chance to kick start something today, in Alves and Downing they have a couple of potential match winners and I back them to win a tight, tense encounter.

6.5 points Middlesbrough -1/4 ball 2.10 + asian line.

2.5 points Middlesborough to keep a clean sheet 2.875 William Hill..... other companies have very similar offers and you might find bigger on the exchanges nearer kick off.


Incredibly, Villa sit in third spot with 51 pts, two ahead of fourth placed Chelsea, this would have seemed unthinkable a few months ago, when Chelsea were trading as short priced favourites for the title.

The Blues have a key Champions League meeting with Juve in midweek, but surely Guus Hiddink will want a big result in his first game in charge and he has had a full, uninterupted week with his players, who have not played since the win at Watford on Saturday night. Amazingly, Villa have been in action twice since then, losing 3-1 at Everton on Sunday and drawing 1-1 at home to CSKA on Wednesday night.

It is hard to see the home side stripping fully fit for this lunchtime kick off tomorrow. Martin O'Neill doesn't have the biggest squad at his disposal and Heskey and Milner ( in fantastic form) are doubts for tomorrow, between them they have scored 6 of Villa's 14 goals in 2009 and Laursen will again be missing from the centre of defence and that leaves a big hole through the middle.

MON's team have only collected 41% of their points at Villa Park, where there ability to hit teams on the break and make the most of their pace going forward, is not as important, with visiting teams looking to do likewise. Chelsea have also collected the bulk of their points on the road and seem happier this season away from the pressure of Stamford Bridge.

Hiddink and Abramovich were at the CSKA game in midweek (Roman has recently given the Russian club some spare change ... £30m) and although Villa created chances, they would have seen little to worry them. I expect us to see the best of Chelsea in the coming weeks and certainly do not see them losing tomorrow, against what must a weary team, making their third start in less than six days.

7.5 points Chelsea -1/4 ball 1.93 asian line..... this was my strongest news of the day and was sent to subscribers on Friday.....winner 1-0



These two are massive rivals and are meeting for the third time in as many weeks, the two previous encounters have been very open affairs and produced seven goals. It is very difficult to see this being any less prolific, as both are finding it impossible to keep a clean sheet and are far happier going forward.

Forest have played 13 straight games with two or more goals, County have done likewise in 8 from 9, the only "failure" was a 1-0 loss at Birmingham, when they could/should have scored three at least. They are on fire offensively and have scored 13 in their last five, with the on form Commons and Hulse contributing eight between them. Forest have almost no chance of keeping these two quiet and this full blooded derby game seems certain to produce fireworks.

6.5 points "over" 2.25 goals 1.80 asian line. ......winner, 3 goals inside 70 minutes



"If it ain't broke don't fix it" and following that old adage, I see no point in opposing Dons on the road. I wrote this before their last away start at Stockport :

Dons got back on track with a 5-3 win at Cheltenham on Saturday, but the winning margin could easily have been greater. They now have incredible figures of 29-5-5 in their last 39 AWAY games, scoring 80 goals. A win tonight would give them a four point cushion in the automatic promotion spot and with two easy looking (on paper) home games up next, that would leave them in a very strong position. Roberto Di Matteo has assembled a very classy squad of players, especially Luke Chadwick, Jemal Johnson, Jason Puncheon and Aaron Wilbraham, all of whom are capable of playing at a higher level. They make the very most of all the chances they create and have the highest ratio of attempts on target, to those created (60.13 %), in the division. Di Matteo has used his Chelsea contacts to bring a couple of promising Chelsea youngsters in on loan, the latest Carl Magnay, who signed this week, has just been called up into the Northern Ireland U21 squad and after coming off the bench at the weekend, is in line for a start tonight.

They won that 1-0, making 30 wins from 40 away starts, just 5 losses, truly astonishing stats and they will not want to slip up today, ahead of a match against leaders Leicester City next weekend. Understandably, they are playing with so much confidence, especially on the road and pose so much offensive threat, scoring three last week without top scorer Wilbraham, who returns today, that it is impossible to oppose them.

Rovers are a decent enough side, maybe just below playoff level, but the goals have dried up for them recently and it is difficult to see them scoring the two, or more likely three, needed to see off the visitors.

6 points MK Dons level ball 1.97 asian line.



Rangers have been accused of negativity recently and they have pledged to attack today and provide entertainment for their loyal fans. They currently sit two points off the pace in the SPL and a win will take them top and put some pressure on Celtic, who face a tough looking game tomorrow. The Gers have a tremendous record against Killie, winning 14 of 15 at Ibrox, with an amazing 12 wins coming by two or more goals. They are unbeaten in six and have tightened up considerably at the back, with five clean sheeets.

It is impossible to see beyond them facing a Kilmarnock side who have not won in six and who are without a couple of key players.

Rangers top striker Kris Boyd has 20 SPL goals to his name this season and tends to score most of them against the division's "lesser" lights and simply loves to face Killie, his former employers. He is always on the scoresheet against them and already has three from the two earlier meetings this season, even at 3.75 he looks great value to notch the first goal and each way, this is virtually a bet to nothing.

7 points Rangers -1.75 goals 1.96 asian line.

3 points each way Kris Boyd to score the first goal 3.75 general quote 1/3 odds 4 or 5 places.

Good Luck.


Lincoln City were a very nice winner yesterday and I hope that some of you were "on".

I am just putting the finishing touches to today's email, it contains previews of seven matches, two from mainland Europe and five from the UK, with nine bets in total. I will be sending this to subscribers in about an hour, so there is still time to receive it, if you want to sign up to the best value service on the internet. Full details can be found on the website or send me an email using this link and I will answer any questions, or help get you signed up as quickly as possible.

Good Luck.

Friday, February 20, 2009




Vale are firmly established in mid table and they have very little to play for over the remainder of the season. 2009 has not started well for them and they have only won once in six starts, which came against Chester, who have now lost six in a row.

No side in Division 2 has lost more home games (eight) and that might be because, at this level, they remain something of a "name" team, but I feel the reason is more likely to be the extremely large pitch at Vale Park (biggest in the division ?) , which seems to result in very open matches.

City are twelve points off the playoffs, which is a big gap to close, having said that, they have two games in hand over almost all the teams above them in the table and are capable of going on a 5-6 match winning run and who knows how far that could take them. Some people have said that the sale of Lee Frecklington to Peterborough, meant that they had given up on the season, however, they turned down two big bids from MK Dons for Dany N'Guessan, whom many consider the best player in the division, so to me, that says otherwise. They are almost at full strength tonight and despite what you may read elsewhere, Geoff Horsfiled, Ben Wright and Lee Beevers, are ALL fit to return to the squad.

They are on a reasonable run, unbeaten in six 2009 starts, but have drawn far too many of those (five) and if they are to put in a late push, will have to gamble and try to turn one point into three. This sequence of games has included two 2-2 and one 3-3 draw and a saver on four on more goals, looks a good option and we might collect on both bets.

Vale lost 2-0 at Brentford on Saturday, the Bees missed a penalty and were value for far more than a two goal win and the hosts look a side low on confidence at present.

5 points Lincoln City to win 2.70 general quote.

2.5 points "over" 3.5 goals 3.40 + ... up to 3.75 is available.

Good Luck.

FRIDAY UPDATE ...........

I have just sent today's email to subscribers, which contains previews of four matches and six selections. I will post a couple of these on the blog later in the day, however, if you would like to receive a free copy of the newsletter, send me an email using this link, before 16.00 UK time and I will forward you a copy.

Back later.

Thursday, February 19, 2009

THURSDAY ..........

Some very interesting games today and I have sent subscribers previews of two, with strong ( 7 and 7.5 point) selections in each.

I am going to keep both for subscribers, so will not be posting any previews on the blog today.

The only way to receive all the selections, is by subscribing to the email service, details can be found on the website

The newsletter costs around two euros per day and the minimum subscription period is three months. Nothing is guaranteed in gambling, but the service has averaged a profit of 110 points over every single 13 week period..... these are fantastic returns in such a volatile business, in addition to which, the daily email is a good read and will help pinpoint any number of future winners, which will further increase your profits.

If you have any questions about the service, please send me an email using this link and I will try to reply by return.

Good luck with your bets today.

Wednesday, February 18, 2009




Two struggling teams meeting each other, especially when both are looking for maximum points, normally means goals and with each of these suffering defensive problems, we can surely expect this one to follow suit.

FGR are just two points from safety and have played fewer games that many of the teams above them in the table, but will be all out for the points this evening, ahead of three very tough fixtures, starting with a trip to Torquay on Tuesday. Eight of their last nine starts have been "over", they have conceded at least two in their last five and they have scored in ten straight games. Only Lewes have conceded more home goals, where all their games have averaged 3.4 per start.

Northwich are 12 points adrift and seemingly fighting a lost cause. However, there have been signs of life recently, including an eyecatching win at highflying Kidderminster who were previously 11-2-3 at home, last time out, where they had seven attempts on target. Five of their last six have been "over" and they are certainly used to playing on the road, as due to cancellations, this is their sixth straight away start. They have allowed a league 39 goals away from home, but no side outside the top two has scored more, meaning that road games are averaging a very high 3.59 per match .

A clear "over" for me.

7 points "over" 2.75 goals 1.90 asian line.

Good Luck.



I feel sure that County have appointed the right man in Nigel Clough, the early signs are incredibly good, he has a reasonable squad at his disposal and they will be big contenders in the Championship next season.

Currently they sit just three points outside the drop zone and Clough is looking to book the five wins that will secure their safety asap and then start building for the next campaign. They have a series of tough fixtures coming up, starting with yer another derby meeting with Forest at the weekend, so a win tonight will do very nicely, thank you. Since losing to Manchester United at Old Trafford, in his first game in charge, his side have drawn at Forest, completely outplayed highflying Birmingham, yet lost 1-0 and then scored 8 in three consecutive wins, with Rob Hulse notching half of them, before losing to United again, this time in the FA Cup. No shame in that of course and County could take much out of their performance.

They are a better team than Blackpool, who have done well on limited resources, after losing their manager and being hard hit by injuries, but have really ridden their luck recently and I am sure that is about to catch up with them. They collected four points from their last two away starts at Ipswich and Palace, but were under pressure almost the entire game on both occasions, Town for instance had 62% possession and won the attempts on goal count 12-2. There are only so many times that you can register a single shot on target and score from it ! Pool will again come under a lot of pressure tonight and I an firmly with the host team and will also take a little on Hulse to continue his run in the Championship games.

6 points Derby -1/2 ball 1.83 general quote.

2 points Hulse to score at anytime 2.625 Paddy Power/ Sky Bet.

Back later.

Tuesday, February 17, 2009

ELSEWHERE ...........



Hosts led for 46 minutes at home to Nantes at the weekend, but despite creating 18 attempts on goal, could not find a second strike to secure the points, visiting goalkeeper Jerome Alonzo was in terrific form and saved his side on at least four occasions.

There was little there to put me off backing them again and they have lost just once (2-1 at Bordeaux) in nine starts and more importantly, are playing really well. They will miss striker Jean-Claude Darcheville tonight and he has been a keen player since joining in the transfer window, but the revival had already started long before his arrival, which was just four games ago.

This is a vital game for Valenciennes, victory would enable them to climb above St Etienne and out of the drop zone, it would also bring another club (Caen) firmly into the relegation dogfight and with trips to Toulouse and Marseille in the next three outings, this is about as easy as it is going to get, for the time being.

Caen are without a win in eight and have kept just a single clean sheet in 16 starts, conceding two or more goals in their last four road matches. They will also be without a key player in the suspended Remi Gomis and are very dependant on the goals of Steve Savidan, only one other player has managed more than two goals and as a former Valenciennes man, the home side will surely give him special attention and have an idea how to handle his threat.

I have not seen an awful lot of the visitors, but what is clear from their stats, is that they allow the opposition a lot of possession and in a league where players are so comfortable on the ball, that is always going to leave them chasing the game. They were unable to hold on to a two goal lead at fellow strugglers St Etienne recently and that was their opponents only win in 2009 to date.

Le groupe valenciennois: Grondin, Penneteau - Abardonado, Bisevac, Ducourtioux, Mater, Rafael, Tiéné, D. Traoré - Bangoura, Danic, Jeovanio, Lacourt, Saez, Sanchez - Pujol, Sebo
Le groupe caennais: Planté, Thébaux, Barzola, Leca, Boucansaud, Lemaître, Seube, Proment, Raineau, Nivet, Van La Parra, Eluchans, Deroin, Ben Khalfallah, Florentin, El Arabi, Savidan

6 points Valenciennes -1/4 ball 1.87 asian line.

Good Luck.

My two other selections tonight are only for subscribers to the newsletter service, full details can be found on the website, which contains an email archive of around 500 days !




I have seen Burnley 6-7 times this season and they have impressed me on every occasion, they are confident on the ball and in Eagles, Paterson and Blake, have a real offensive threat. They played a lot of high profile matches over December/ January and were obviously a bit jaded for a while, but have played really well in their last four starts, especially the last three, recording wins over WBA and Wolves, along with a point at St Andrews, where they outplayed Birmingham. They obviously like playing teams from the Midlands (!) and meet another tonight.

Coventry are sure to be a little tired after a really tough game at Premier League Blackburn over the weekend, where they led going into injury time, that is sure to have left them a little deflated and with a mid table finish seemingly on the cards and a cup replay next week, they might not be as fully focused on this, as the home side.

Burnley allowed Wolves few chances at the weekend and have an incredible record at Turf Moor in midweek fixtures, where they are 9-1-0 this season, scoring 23 goals, only failing to beat highflying Cardiff and defeating WBA, Spurs, Reading, Arsenal and Fulham amongst others. City are clearly inferior to all of those and with the incentive that a win would take Burnley back into the playoff zone, I am firmly with the Clarets.

7 points Burnley -1/2 ball 1.80 general quote.

Good Luck.

Monday, February 16, 2009

FA CUP .....


I expect, like most people, the Gunners to progress, but the visitors are a very tough side to break down and it might take some time for the home team to get on top.

Arsenal have managed just a single goal in the first half of their last eight games, which equates to six hours of football and have gone in level at the break, in nine of their last eleven starts, which is almost 82%.

City have not conceded a single goal in their last eight first halves and hold a 2-6-0 record, they are on a 13 match unbeaten run, including six on the road.

Hosts will be without Eboue, Adebayor and Arshavin, but might be able to call upon the services of Eduardo, if Wenger decides to risk him, in what seems sure to be a full blooded cup tie. City will have 7-8,000 supporters at the game and they are sure to make a lot of noise and fire up their team, if a winner comes for Arsenal, it seems far more likely after the break. There were very few real chances in the first meeting and the fantastic work rate of the City players kept them on top for most of the first half.

They will be well rested, having not played for 16 days and if not too rusty, should have enough about them to hold out until the break. At the quote, this looks the best value bet, in what should be an entertaining evening.

5.5 points half time draw 2.50 + general quote ....... as big as 2.625 in places

Good Luck.


Plenty to look forward to this midweek, with a full lower league domestic programme in England, plus sixteen UEFA Cup ties, ahead of the usual weekend action. The matches come thick and fast at this time of year and it is a golden opportunity to make some money, coming off a fantastic week during which we (subscribers) made a sixty point profit, I am determined to take advantage of the situation and build up our "cash reserves".

I have started by previewing two new football matches today, which, along with two selections given yesterday, mean that we have four bets today, a "strong"7 point selection at circa "evens" and three others at very nice odds.... 2.50, 2.62 and 4.33. Monday's have been good to us recently and hopefully we will get off to another fast start this week, so, fingers crossed.

Not sure if I will post anything on the blog today selection wise, but hope that you did well yesterday, the Mauresmo odds were amazing and she drifted even further, to around 3.0 just before the start.......... there is a lot of value out there, if you are prepared to put in the work and to look beyond the obvious. So, if you do not subscribe to the daily newsletter ( , get looking !

Unusual, although not unexpected turn of events at Yeovil Town, where boss Russell Slade has left (sacked /resigned ?) the Glovers. Unusual, because Town are in their best form for 18 months, winning four games in a row, including a fine 3-1 win at highflying Peterborough over the weekend........ it's a funny old game. Although it now seems apparent, that this had nothing to do with on the pitch activities and has been on the cards for several weeks .

Good luck with all your bets today.

Sunday, February 15, 2009


Groningen won 2-0 and Amelie Mauresmo leads 4-1 in the third set.

In addition to which, Andy Murray eased home in Amsterdam and landed our outright bet, Murray was widely reported as carrying an ankle injury in the media yesterday, but I assured subscribers this morning, that it was nothing to worry about and if they were not already on, to take a little of the 2.38 offered today.

Subscribers have been sent 24 football previews this week, 15 have won, 8 lost and one has yet to play, these have produced over 44 points profit. Plus, there were three tennis bets, two won at odds of 3.75 (Murray) and 2.88 + (Mauresmo.... who has just prevailed) and earned a further 23 points + profit. The only other selection give this week, was for the final round of the AT&T US PGA golf event from Pebble Beach tonight, where we have 8.5 points invested.

Therefore, regardless of tonight's results, we are looking at a minimum 58 points profit on the week. Many of you have received test emails this week, with all and /or part of the daily newsletter, you know how sensational the service is. Do you really want to be hanging around on here for scraps, nearly all at reduced odds, when you could be getting the cream every day !

The service costs around 2 euros/ $3 per day and many of you spend twice that on a cup of coffee ! Full details of the service can be found on the website and you can email me via the "contact us" button on the website with any questions.

Good Luck.





I cannot let this price go unbacked. On her day, Mauresmo can beat anyone on tour and be unplayable, her career looked to be winding down and she had not made a tour final for 18 months, but this week has seen a return to something like her old form.

She won eleven straight games to see off #4 seed Agnieska Radwanka in the quarter-final and the last six in her semi-final win over #2 Jelena Jankovic, results which have got everyones attention. If there was to be a revival, it was always likely to come here in Paris, where she is a two time winner and five times finalist. Mauresmo will have fantastic support from her home crowd and there have been signs recently that Dementieva's serving demons are set to return. H2h is 8-6 in the frenchwoman's favour , although the Russian has won the last two, as you might expect. However, if any doubts creep into Dementieva's mind, she might recall their only previous meeting here, which Mauresmo won 6-0,6-0 ! This is simply too big.

5 points Mauresmo to win 2.88 + exchanges.

Good Luck.

NETHERLANDS ..........



Obviously I read a lot about matches, but only make up my mind 100% about teams once I have seen them a couple of times with my own eyes. Early this season long time readers of the newsletter might recall that I was scathing of the Heracles defence, that didn't quite work out immediately, but I think my opinion has since been justified as they have conceded freely since then, especially on the road, where they have allowed 26 goals, the most of any team outside the bottom five and are still seeking a win, with a 0-4-7 record.

They seem sure to stuggle today, facing a Groningen team which is unbeaten in 2009, is strong at home (8-0-3) and which has not conceded a goal in 390 minutes of league football. Hosts are desperate for the three points to keep them in touch with the top 4, especially with their next three starts coming against PSV , AZ and Heerenveen, the last two of which are on the road. A season defining sequence of games for Groningen and a decent win today, will keep the momentum going and the confidence levels high, massive game for them.

6.5 points Groningen -1.25 ball asian line..... currently 2.02.

Good Luck.

Saturday, February 14, 2009


Oxford won 3-0, there were five goals in the Cheltenham game and my first eight point bet has won at odds of 1.96, which means that, along with the draw in the Swansea-Fulham cup tie, we (subscribers) are 4/4 on the day. That's well over 30 points up already, with another three selections to come this evening, the palms are a little sweaty and the old "Magnificent 7" poster has been brought out of the attic and is on standby !

I had two sign ups to the service yesterday and they must think that it was money well spent at around $3 per day !

If that was not enough, Brentford battered Port Vale 2-0 despite missing a penalty and have opened up a three point lead at the top of League 2........ Vale fan Robbie Williams (he was there today) "your boys took one hell of a beating".

Good Luck.

NON LEAGUE .......



United are still battling for a play off spot and are playing with a lot of confidence, especially at the Kassam stadium and only runaway leaders Burton, have collected more home points this season. Boss Chris Wilder has a lot of offensive weapons in his arsenal and his team are boosted by the inclusion of two impressive signings in Craig Farrell and Simon Clist. Barrow are 3-2-9 on the road, including losing their last five and they have not won in eight, only ebbsfleet have conceded more away goals.

United are out for revenge, after some terrible scenes at the reverse fixture, which Barrow won 3-0 in front of a television audience. I know that Oxford are extremely motivated to win this and by as many goals as possible. The visitors are more concerned with two home six pointers against relegation rivals Grays and Northwich in the coming weeks.

6.5 points Oxford -1 ball 1.88 asian line......... now 1.70 .... again, win or lose value for subscribers

Good Luck.

DIVISION 1 ..........


These two hold up the rest of Division 1 and one of them at least, is probably keeping a place warm for my beloved Brentford ! They both sit on 21 points, seven from safety and with an inferior goal difference, so we can basically call it eight points.

Let's face it, a draw will not help either much and given the defensive problems of each, it is also unlikely. We can expect both to push forward and surely we will see goals.

Martin Allen led Cheltenham's last five games have produced 30 goals and the last three at home have averaged 7.0 ! Hereford's last seven away starts have seen five "overs", all have produced two or more and averaged 3.0. They will have a 18 yo goalkeeper making his debut today and he is bound to see plenty of the ball. This will be end to end and "over" is the only way to go.

7 points "over" 2.5 goals 1.90 general quote.

Back shortly.




You all know that I have been a very big fan of Swansea and their boss Roberto Martinez, for 18 months or more and they have served us very well. Now, everyone else realises how good they are and the Swans have been well backed to defeat their Premier League opponents. It is a sign of my contrary nature, that I am not so sure !

These are two very difficult sides to break down and defeat, both led by tactically astute coaches and there is every chance, that they will cancel each other out. Hosts are on a magnificent 15 match unbeaten run, which included eight successive draws. Fulham are far better oprganised on the road nowadays and have lost just two of their last nine, including posting draws at Liverpool and Aston Villa in successive weeks. I see this going to a replay and think the draw offers fantastic value, you might even find higher on the exchanges just before kick off and that will offer great trading opportunities in running, if you wish to take that option.

5 points draw 3.30 general quote.

Back shortly.



Let's start with a quick look back at yesterday, the Metz "over" bet was secured before half time and my strongest news of the day, sent to subscribers on Thursday afternoon was also a very easy winner. Unfortunately, Bari could not complete a clean sweep, drawing 1-1 with Vicenza, but might be considered unfortunate, as , although I have not seen it myself, I have heard from several sources that the visitors goal was" offside".

That means that we are "batting" at 8 winners from 13 selections this week, with average odds of 2.11, so that alone would give us a very nice return. However, we also had two outright bets in the tennis, which I believe were my first in over a year, although I could be wrong about that, sure that someone will correct me. Both were extremely strong bets and we took Andy Murray in the ABN @ circa 3.75 and Andy Roddick in the SAP @ circa 3.25. We are down to the semi-final stage in each and our selections are trading at low odds of 2.10 and 1.53 respectively, which obviously, puts us in a fantastic position, win or lose.

I am preparing a mammoth newsletter to subscribers, which will be sent out at exactly 11.45 am UK time, I want all of you to see it at exactly the same time, as it contains TWO eight point selections, which, as you all know, is a very rare occurence.

The only way to receive all the predictuwin output is by subscribing to the newsletter, details are on the website .

Back later.

Friday, February 13, 2009

FRANCE .............



Sitting respectively in 3rd and 4th spot in the table, both clubs are leading contenders for a promotion spot this season and would see failure to clinch one of the three spots, as a major disappointment.

Normally , under the circumstances,we could expect this to be a tight, cautious encounter, but I am not so sure. I have seen a lot of Metz recently , they have impressed me and it is not in their nature to sit back and definitely does not suit their game. They seem happy to try and outscore their opponents and have both scored and conceded in ten of their last eleven starts, with 4 of the last 5 league games producing three or more goals. The visitor's last nine away starts, have all produced two or more and that is really the minimum number I feel we will see this evening. Both teams have scored in the last four h2h meetings and 4 of the last 5 here have been "over".

We have had 22 rounds to date in Ligue 2 and the "second" eleven have seen an increase in goals of well over 12% over the first, which backs up my view that even in this traditionally low scoring league, the games are becoming ever more open. The visitors away starts have produced an average of 2.73 goals, outside of the bottom six, only Strasbourg's road games have produced more .

6 points "over" 2.25 goals 2.04 asian line.

Good Luck.




Two clubs with ambitions of returning to returning to Serie B, but the home side seem the stronger and are in excellent shape to launch a big push in the next month or two. There is a heavy Juventus influence at the club, with coach Antonio Conte a few of his staff having learnt their trade at the Turin giant. They have been drawing the biggest crowds in the division to the San Nicola Stadium this season, have spent wisely in the transfer window and are unbeaten in seven, winning six. Their only draw in the sequence came last time out at Brescia, when they dominated for 75% of the game, yet were unable to find a winner.

Vicenza have not scored in their last three away starts and have a terrible record against the home side, not winning in ten visits here and only once in seven at their own stadium, losing three of the last four, including the reverse meeting earlier this season.

Bari can go back to the top of the table, at least for 24 hours and will be targeting those points, with 3 of their next 4 away, including a trip to current leaders Livorno next week. It might take them some time to find a winner, but I expect it to come and Bari to book a return to the top flight this season.

6 points Bari -1/2 ball 1.90 general quote.

Good Luck.

Thursday, February 12, 2009



Sorry, I have had to block out part of this post, which was sent to subscibers early this morning.

This league title race is all but over, Burton are coasting towards the title, with a 19 point lead and have collected 43 points, from a posible 45, an incredible run. They had a blip in the FA Trophy losing 4-0 at Stevenage, but after boss Roy McFarland read them the riot act, they got straight back on track with a 3-0 win over Rushden on Monday night, in a game that was effectively over, very early in the second half.

Nevertheless, that is very limited recovery time for Albion, who have had a gruelling schedule since Christmas and with the title becoming little more than a formality, we are bound to see a few more slip ups from them, between now and the end of the season. Given their massive lead, it is going to become increasingly difficult to remain focused, especially on the road.

United are the sort of side that could give them problems, they are a great cup side, who won the FA Trophy at Wembley last year and are again in the quarter-finals this time round and have their eye on a return visit. This means that they are very good at raising their game for the big glamour ties, which this most definitely is, being live on television and coming against the best team in the division.

Hosts are in 16th position, just five points outside the drop zone, having played more games than most of the teams below them in the table, so they would dearly love the three points which would allow them to concentrate fully on the FAT game, which is up next. I could easily be tempted to take a chance on them at very big odds, they have certainly re-found some goalscoring form, after a barren spell, with six goals in their last two starts, including a 4-4 draw with highflying Crawley, but they do have some defensive problems as that result implies and boss Liam Daish, has no real options but to stick with his current backline. Playing a team in such confident mood, it is almost impossible not to see them conceding a couple of goals. Burton are, as you might expect, the BSP's top scorers, they average 1.94 in every league start, have notched twelve in their last five on the road and only Histon, have scored more away from home.

I am going to bet the "over" tonight in what I hope and expect to develop into a high scoring encounter. We can also back xxxxxx xxxxx xx xxxxx for the xxxxx side, we have discussed xxx xx xxx xxx , long time subscribers, xxxx xxxx xxxxxxxx , might recall the xxxx. xxxx xxxxxx xx xxxxx xx xx xxxxx xxxx xxxxx xx xxx xxxxxx xxxxx xxx xxx xxxxxx xx x xxxxxx xx xxxxx by a number of clubs at this level, xx xx x xxxxxxx xxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxxx xxx xxxx xxxx xx xxx xxxx xxxxx xx xxxxx xxx xxxxx xx xxxxxx. xxxxx x xx xxxxx xxxxxxx xxxx xxxxxxx xxxxxx x xxxx xxxx run, but has bounced back with xxxx xx xxx xxx xxx xxxx xxx xxxx xxxx xx xxx xxxxxxx xxxx xxxxxxxx and I would make this my bet of the day, albeit on a VERY quiet thursday.

Fleet have a little more class than most teams near the foot of the table, players like Gash, Shakes, Charles ( who learnt his trade at Brentford, so he must be good !) and Sole are all talented, but are happier on the front foot, going forward.

4.5 points "over" 2.5 goals 2.0 asian line.

Good Luck.


The US saw off Mexico as per usual and our T&T bet also made a profit, which should have been greater, as they held a two goal lead with seven minutes to play, but a profit is a profit, so hard to complain too much. My other selection, which was just for subscribers, also won comfortably, so all in all, a very nice day and the week is shaping up nicely.

I have just sent out today's newsletter, which included two football selections for tonight's action, one of which I might post on here later in the day, so please check back.

The weekend looks extremely promising and I already have a "big" bet planned for Saturday. Please remember, the only way to receive all the Predictuwin output, is by subscribing to the daily newletter. Full details can be found on the website and the cost for a three month subscription, works out at less than a quality weekend newspaper per day.

Good Luck.

Wednesday, February 11, 2009

TONIGHT'S FOOTBALL .............





The final group of Concacaf matches get underway today and these six teams will compete for three automatic and one play-off spots, over ten guelling matches. USA are huge favourites to qualify of course and traditionally Mexico would be at equally prohibitive odds, but after limping through the previous round and with the improvement shown by most of the other teams in the group, several good sources are tipping them to struggle. Personally, I think that their home form will see them through comfortably enough, but I would not like to be in Sven-Goran Eriksson shoe's if that is not the case.

His team have prepared well for the trip North, the squad have been together for a week and they arrived in Columbus on saturday, to acclimatise to the cold and wet conditions, which actually, are not as bad today, as everyone was predicting/expecting. However, Mexico have a mountain to climb, their last win in the US was in 1997 and these two are very regular combatants and their hosts, have not lost a competitive game on home soil in a decade. Also "El Tri" have to attempt to overcome all this history, without Magallon, Guardado, Arce, Vela and Torrado, all of whom are either injured or suspended, several others are very short of match practice. Given the conditions, history and team news, I am firmly in the US camp, Mexico almost always arrive here , at least mentally, a goal down and I see little changing today. It is often the reverse in the return game and given the nature of qualification, both teams would probably be happy to "swap" three points in the h2h matches.

I am going to side step the Costa Rica game, but will point out that Honduras have a very talented crop of players and are the biggest danger to the "big two", Suarzo, Palacios, Figueroa and Guevara have all now proven themselves on the world stage and this is a team to keep an eye on. Palacios is missing today and that, along with Costa Rica's recent home form on their artificial pitch, is enough to make me swerve this one.

However, I will take a little on the "old men" to get a result in El Salvador. Much has been made of the return of 40yo Lapaty and 36 yo Yorke to the T&T midfield, but there is little doubt that they both remain an asset to the team and they will create chances for the inform front men. Stern John and Jason Scotland, who is scoring freely for Swansea in the Championship, are both likely to have to start on the bench, with the striking roles taken by Kenwynne Jones and Cornell Glenn. What is clear is that the visitors have plenty of options in this department and seem sure to get on the scoresheet.

These two met in the US last August, with T&T winning 3-1, since when they have only lost twice in 16 starts, one came away to the US, which carries no shame and another in a very low profile Caribbean tournament. The domestic players have been training together for a week in Argentina and were joined on Sunday, by the European based players, they are at full strength and are confident of a positive result. All four teams are going to be a little cautious and will not want to have to face the US or Mexico having lost already, so the draw is a viable option, but I expect the visitors experince to count, after a cautious opening period.

6.5 points USA -1/2 ball 1.90 general quote.

5.5 points Trinidad +1/4 ball 1.78 asian line.

Good Luck.

WEDNESDAY UPDATE .............

Pretty frustrating couple of weeks, when it has been hard to get a run going, with a good day often followed by a bad one. Brighton were a little unfortunate last night, with the match turning on a hotly disputed penalty award to the visitors, which left the home side devastated. However, that is gambling and after such a fantastic start to the New Year, we were always going to face a little dip. Having said that, subscribers are sitting on two outright tennis bets for this week's tournaments, which look in really good shape and I am confident that one, hopefully both, will oblige.

I tend to get a "feeling" when something good is about to happen (see my pre Christmas posts) and definitely have it at present, so please keep a close eye on my posts in the coming days. Just sent today's email to subscribers, where I have previewed three football matches , in addition to which, I am planning a "big"football bet for Saturday, my first in a couple of weeks.

Now the really important news, a late goal for Brentford last night, was enough to not only earn them a point, but to take them to the top of Division 2 and everytime I look at the league table, it brings a smile to my face. Bit early to be counting any chickens, especially if you are a long time Bees supporter, but the London "giants" have 16 games remaining, nine of which are at home, actually, seven of the last eleven come at fortress Griffin Park, so if they negotiate the next five still at, or near the top, promotion will be theirs to lose, he said with fingers and toes crossed.

Back later.

Tuesday, February 10, 2009



We have had some pretty freakish weather in the UK since the turn of the year and there is little doubt that home teams have a considerable advantage in the conditions. Not only do they know exactly what to expect underfoot, but most visitors are leaving the journey until the last possible minute and are sometimes making very difficult trips on the afternoon of games.


Hosts are an ambitious team, ambition which has been stifled by playing far too long in a temporary stadium, one that is not big enough for their large catchment of fans. That is set to change, with a 23,000 seater new stadium due to open in two years time and now they are looking to get things right on the pitch and planning a big run at the Championship next season.

You can forget their current league position to a certain degree, they are much better than that would suggest and have added substantially to the squad in recent weeks. Signing Oldham striker Craig Davies, who scored 6 in 13 loan starts for StockportCounty earlier this season and Jim McNulty, a left back, also from County for £150k, a big money deal for a "struggling " Division 1 team. Both players choose Albion, ahead of some more attractive looking and higher level options and I would like to believe that, it was not purely a financial decision.

In addition, Calvin Andrew a promising striker from Crystal Palace, who impressed at this level last season and Seb Carole, who has had spells at Leeds, West Ham and Monaco, have signed on season long loans. Carole returns after playing some 40 games here a few seasons back and will go straight into the team, along with the two permanent signings. Andrew , despite scoring the winner over Hartlepool on his debut, will have to start on the bench, as there is now terrific competition for places upfront, as the home side also have prolific goalscorer and former Brentford hero Nicky Forster in their line up.

The win over Pool took them out of the drop zone and came on the heels of a fine 0-0 draw at runaway league leaders Leicester City, who had won 12 from 13 before that. That makes four unbeaten for the hosts and they should soon be well clear of trouble and can start planning and building for next season. They have not had the greatest luck in front of goal this season and have hit the woodwork nineteen times, a Football League high total, these things have a habit of evening out over a full season, so look out for a few going in off the post !

Visitors are a very decent team and have their eyes on a big promotion push this season, but they have gone off the boil a little recently, with just two wins, both of which were "laboured" and came against struggling teams, from seven starts in 2009. They have won just four of 14 away league starts, just one of their last five. I am more than happy with the hosts getting a handicap start.

6.5 points Brighton +1/4 ball 1.92 asian line.

Good Luck.

Monday, February 09, 2009

ITALY ........... SERIE B


It is very hard to see too many goals in this encounter. Hosts are in the relegation playoff zone, just three points above the drop zone and have managed a league low seven goals at home all season. Visitors are seven points from safety and only Trevisio have scored fewer away goals, than their total of nine.

I suspect that Avellino might have a go, after the break, given their position, but it is difficult to see either being too adventurous before half time and both lack much offensive threat in any case. The away side are 1-6-4 on the road in the opening 45 minutes, so are level at the break in almost 55% of all games, Cittadella are 1-10-0 at home in the first half, so draw an amazing 91%. We can take the halftime stalemate at around evens + and that looks really good value, given the stats and the goal shy nature of the two teams. Reverse meeting ended 0-0.

6 points half time draw 1.95 + ......... some 2.02 at present on the exchanges.

Good Luck.




Both teams have had nine days to recover from disappointing losses and we can expect two very committed teams to take to the field at Elland Road this evening. Visitors, conceded two late goals to lose 2-1 at home to promotion rivals Scunthorpe and also suffered injuries to two key players in Lewis Grabbon and Paul Robinson, neither of whom will be available tonight. They will also be without the suspended Marc Laird and striker Tresor Kandol, who scored 8 goals in 16 appearances for the Lions, the Leeds registered player has now joined Charlton on a season long loan.

United had seemingly got their promotion campaign back on track, with three straight wins, before losing 1-0 at Walsall, where once again they had a huge amount of possession (65%) and created the majority of goal scoring chances. I think that they will have benifitted from the break, this has enabled them to clear up a number of minor injury concerns and only Fraser Richardson is missing, from an otherwise fully fit squad. With Leeds you can almost toss a coin, if they are on a going day, few teams outside the top flight can live with them and at this level, probably only Leicester, if not, well, anything can happen. They must be a very frustrating team to follow. Player for player, they are far and away the superior team, the fact that Kandol cannot even get a look in, yet can play and score in 50% of starts, for a team above United in the table, tells you all you need to know,about the quality Simon Grayson has at his disposal.

This is a big game for the home side, they trail Millwall, who are in the final promotion playoff spot by five points, having played two games more, failure to win tonight, is going to leave them with a mountain to climb. United have won 11 home matches this season, seven of those have come by two or more goals, averaging 2.91 in all those wins. So when they do win, it is normally comfortably and I expect we might see more of the same, I am going to side with them giving up 3/4 goal and also take a little on over 4.5 goals, which obliged in 3 of those 11 wins and also in three of Millwall's last nine away starts. There were four goals in the reverse meeting in London and United took this fixture 4-2 last season, a repeat of which would be ideal .

6 points Leeds United -3/4 ball 2.23 asian line.

2 points "over" 4.5 goals 9.0 + exchanges ......... up to 9.40 currently available.

Back Later.

Sunday, February 08, 2009


In the North London derby, we have the return of favourite son Robbie Keane and hopefully, the debut of Andrey Arshavin, a player with the ability to take the Premier league by storm.

It is very rare that I ever take two bets in one game, but I have backed four today ! Of course, these two could cancel each other out, but that hardly ever happens when the two big rivals meet, especially at White Hart Lane, where both have scored, in the last twelve meetings

The last six from have been "over", with all producing 4 + goals, at an average of 4.71. I just cannot see this being anything other than another goal fest and Robin Van Persie, who is in great form with six goals in ten starts , looks the most "likely" of the front men at present and is a very nice price to get on the scoresheet. Having said that, Emmanuel Adebayor has scored six in just five games against Spurs.

Tottenham have not kept a clean sheet in nine starts and only three of those games came against teams in the top half of the table. It is terribly hard to see them keeping the Gunners attack, at bay for too long today. At the other end of the pitch, Spurs have scored eleven in their last four home starts and it is no exaggeration, to say that they could have doubled that tally, with a little more poise in front of goal. We have to see goals today, so 0-0 it is then !

6.5 points "over" 2.75 goals 2.16 asian line.

3 points Robin Van Persie to score at anytime 2.70 + general quote.

2 points Arsenal to score three or more goals 5.0 Sky bet.

1 point any "unquoted" correct score Betfair 12.5.

Good Luck.

Saturday, February 07, 2009



Visitors have pledged to come for the win, will have big money striker Nicky Maynard back in the squad and have scored two or more in their last four starts. Norwich are unbeaten in four starts under new boss Bryan Gunn, during which they have scored ten goals, including three at league leaders Wolves in midweek. Gunn likes to get at teams and with plenty of striking options avaialble to him, we might well see another goal fest this afternoon.

6 points "over" 2.5 goals 2.06 asian line.

1.5 point "over" 4.5 goals 6.50 Paddy Power ..... 6.0 Stan James.

Good Luck.

DIVISION 2 .............


This is a rarity, I am betting my beloved Bees at short odds, at Griffin Park. Forget the midweek loss at Morecambe, no time to go into details, but if I knew before kick off, what I know now, we would have opposed Brentford big time in that game.

They have shown terrific "bounce back" qualities this season and most "blips" have been followed by a resounding win. They are very motivated today and will have striker Nathan Elder back from suspension, the Bees have plenty of goal threat just now and will get every chance to prove that today. Chester have big problems and still have a lot of players missing, they could have easily lost by 5-6 goals at home to Rochadale in midweek and this is a fixture Brentford have to win, if they are to have realistic automatic promotion ambitions.............. and they do !

7 points Brentford -1 ball 1.80 asian line.

Good Luck.



I am going to oppose Villa today. They are in great form and have won six away starts in a row, but I feel that they have been riding their luck at times. The last five have all been won by a single goal and five of the matches have been secured by a goal scored after the 78th minute. Of course, that says a huge amount about their battling qualities, but there is a limit to how many times you can pull a winner "out of the hat" and in a couple of those games, especially at West Ham and Everton, they were comprehensively outplayed.

Rovers are unbeaten in nine starts under Sam Allardyce and have almost all their players fit and ready to go. There is tremendous competition for places today, both in midfield and up front where new signing El-Hadji Diouf, whom Allardyce got the best out of at Bolton, is vying with Rogue Santa Cruz, Benni McCarthy (who is in fantastic scoring form at Ewood Park) and Jason Roberts for a starting place.

Plenty of options for Big Sam and looking at the two squads, I do not think that there is a tremendous difference between the teams, taking the home at level ball and odds against, seems a no brainer to me.

6.5 points Blackburn level ball 2.07 asian line.

Good Luck.

Friday, February 06, 2009



We have discussed many times how strong Strasbourg are at La Meinau, in their last 49 starts at this level, they are 35-12-2, conceding just 21 goals, those are incredible figures, winning over 71% and allowing only 0.42 goals per game.

It is simply a very intimidating place to go and teams arrive expecting either a goal less draw, or a defeat. I do not know how Brest will approach this, they are without a draw away from home all season (4-0-6), so the stats indicate that they will look for the win, what is beyond debate however, is that once they concede, a second and or third goal usually follows, they have lost their last three, without reply.

There is no doubt that the hosts are struggling a little and they have not really fired since late November. Having said that, they have had horrendous injury problems, which have cleared up a little and two key players who returned last week, Pele and Marcos, will strip much fitter this evening and should give Racing the boost that they need to kick on. They are still in the hunt for a promotion spot, sitting just three points off the pace, but three points today are seen as essential and if they get an earlyish goal, they could run away with this.

RCS: Cassard, Gurtner;
J-A. Fanchone, Paisley, S. Pelé, Szelesi;
Bah, Cohade, Gargorov, Lacour, Shereni;
Dja Djedje, J. Fanchone, Marcos, K. Traoré, Zenke.

6.5 points Strasbourg -3/4 ball 2.03 asian line.

Good Luck.