DERBY COUNTY - COVENTRY CITY
County, have too good a squad to languish in the drop zone, they completely dominated Birmingham in the first half in midweek, missing chance after chance, before conceding an undeserved winner, after the break. Nigel Clough is still looking for a maiden win in charge, but he is not too downbeat and after the Birmingham game said "I'm very, very pleased with the performance and with everything but the result."We kept the ball well, created chances and a couple of the lads are saying it's the best we've played all season."We're in the bottom three but there were a few surprising results tonight. We must take positives from the game."
They could be meeting City at a good time, the Sky Blues were battered at home by Cardiff in midweek and visiting boss Dave Jones was disappointed his team didn't win by five or six !
Clough will have the returning Nathan Ellington, to give him a few more options up front and I expect him to be celebrating a first win, come Saturday evening.
7 points Derby County -1/4 1.95 asian line..... NOW 1.80
WALSALL - LEEDS UNITED
Hosts have only won once in seven and that came in a narrow win over Stockport, who dominated the game, but they have since been in freefall, with just one point from a possible 15, so not much of a formline there ! They are going to take a chance and start a couple of players returning quickly, perhaps too quickly, from long term injury and this could backfire, with them totally devoid of any match practice.
United seem to be back on track, they have huge competition for starting places up front, with three talented individuals, Beckford, Becchio and Trundle all vying for a spot and Simon Grayson's team are seeking a fourth straight win, which could take them back into the playoff zone. They have created 402 attempts on goal this season, a massive 160 more than Walsall, which is an average of five per game more.
6 points Leeds United -1/2 ball 1.95 + .......... NOW 1.89
I do not feel that all is right at Aldershot, as I touched upon last week, things are starting to go very wrong on and off the pitch, they have collected just two points from 15 and were very fortunate to even get those. They were comprehensive beaten 3-0 by mighty Brentford in midweek, with the Bees even missing a penalty and could have lost by far more. In addition to which, I hear that boss Gary Warnock is unhappy, as, after spending months looking at new players, he has been told that there is no money to fund any signings at all, something he was only informed of this week !
Dale are a strong team and were unlucky not to go up last season. I rate them amongst the top three this time round and their current eight spot, is not a true reflection of their ability. Boss Keith Hill has set his team a target of eleven wins from their remaining fixtures to seal an automatic spot and is very confident that his troops will get them. They have goals in them, have scored two or more in each of their last four starts and are set to be unchanged, leaving a proven marksman in Adam le Fondre, who came off the bench to score last time out, on the sidelines. Away win.
7 points Rochdale +1/4 ball 1.78 asian line..... NOW LEVEL 1.82 !!!!
GLASGOW RANGERS -DUNDEE UNITED
These two have met twice already this season and shared ten goals, in very open encounters. They both played in midweek, with United losing a semi-final to Celtic, 11-10 on penalties, in a match they dominated. A day earlier, Rangers eased to a 3-0 win over Falkirk.
Therefore, we can expect the home side to be much fresher and probably do enough to win. However, I still prefer the "over" for my money, United will press forward and we can argue that they are due a little more good fortune in front of goal, they will certainly not have to face Artur Borac, who was in inspired form for the Buoys in midweek. Dundee's last four SPL starts have all produced at least four goals and this could/should do likewise. Added bonus is that if they do tire, Rangers could run riot.
6 points "over" 2.75 goals 1.96 asian line.... NOW 1.80