We are now entering the "draw season" in Italy.
Matches which would normally be priced circa 3.25 to end all square, are quoted at 2.10 on thursday and are usually removed from all lists by saturday afternoon.
Many people consider these matches "fixed", maybe they are, the truth is that the draw result always suits BOTH teams. Look for fixtures where a draw will keep both teams clear of the relegation zone, or in uefa/promotion contention.
Sunday's (April 2) Reggina-Siena fixture fulfills the criteria, removed from many bookmakers lists already, the 2.80 available online earlier in the week, has been replaced by quotes as low as 1.90.
These matches normally end all square, last year seven of eight such matches obliged.
Conspiracy theorists would note that the Siena coach previously held the same post at Reggina and more importantly, both coaches and many of the players involved are registered with the same agent, GEA World. Teams connected with the agency are known for "helping" each other out.
If you are quick, 2.25 is still available with Blue Square and a little higher on the exchanges, around 2.30 with Betfair and Redbet. Suggested stake is 6 points, selections will normally be for between 1-10 points, multiple bet selections could be for smaller units.
Friday, March 31, 2006
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