BORUSSIA MOENCHENGLADBACH- FC MAINZ
Mainz were expected to struggle this season, especially when they lost a number of players, including a couple of key summer signings, to injury during the off season. However, results wise they could hardly have started better, given both those circumstances and the difficulty of opponent, they remain unbeaten after starts against Bayern, Hannover and Leverkusen. They have scored and conceded in all of those and a closer look at the stats will tell us that they have really rode their luck, being outshot and struggling for possession in each outing.
BMG have made a promising start to their campaign under new coach Michael Frontzeck and maybe results have not quite reflected that yet. They have been involved in three very open games, which have averaged 4.0 goals per start and there have been many goal scoring chances, with BMG allowing their opponent 20 + attempts in each and creating almost as many theirselves. I rate them the superior team and expect the home side to win today, they have an experienced midfield and in Raul Bobadilla, they have signed a young Argentine striker of great potential, who managed 44 goals in 78 appearances for FC Zurich. He has not found the net yet, but has been playing well and the goals are sure to come soon.
Going to take two bets here, in a match where I find it impossible not to see goals.
5 points BMG -3/4 ball 2.38 + asian line
5.5 points "over" 2.75 goals 2.07+ asian line.