Sunday, June 19, 2011


I have been a big supporter of Granada in the last six weeks or so and wrote my first blog post about them early last month ( see link), they were still available to win the playoffs at circa 3.50 a little over a week ago and got the job completed with a 1-1 draw at Elche last night. That means La Liga next season and visits from Barcelona and Real Madrid for a team that were playing 4th tier football just five years ago and I hope that some of you got involved and won a little money.

A few basic words about today's action .....

The Concacaf Gold Cup continues tonight, the USA have failed to impress so far, but almost always play Mexico in the final regardless of what happens en route, they also have a fantastic record against Jamaica who are admittedly playing well, never having lost in 17 previous meetings. However, the US have been priced very short and a word of caution, both Landon Donavan and Clint Dempsey were allowed to leave camp and attend weddings yesterday, flying back late last night and we are not talking short distances, the game is in Washington and the weddings were in California and Texas respectively, that is a lot of air miles for a one day trip, regardless of whether you are flying in a private jet or not !

US Open Golf: Rory McIlroy is playing out of his skin and is getting expensive to oppose. I do not like to "chase" money, but I have to go against him again today, he holds an eight shot lead going into the last 18 holes and will be delighted to win the tournament, which would be his first major, by half that margin, or even less. He blew a huge lead at Augusta and I don't care how well he is playing and he is, he would not be normal if he wasn't really worried about a repeat and I feel he will be very conservative today. YE Yang was very solid yesterday but little dropped for him putting wise, he is still in second place and if you did not take the 5.0 yesterday for him without McIlroy, I would suggest getting involved today in that market, he is circa 5.20 ( one unit) on the exchanges and that is a good price for someone who virtually admitted he is only playing for second spot. Other "contenders" like Lee Westwood are loathe to give up on the win and might be forced to gamble a little too much on a dangerous golf course.

Of the top ten, Westwood has played the closing holes best of all, being five under for the last five holes, Jason Day is two over and Freddie Jacobsen three over over the same sequence of holes. Westwood is paired with Day and several companies are bound to be betting in running, which could be interesting

Robert Garrigus and Jacobsen are the worst Round 4 players amongst the top ten challengers and are paired together too, this is Garrigus first major and he could be nervous, but probably harbours no dreams of winning this and would be happy with a top 3 place, he is two under for the last five holes, five strokes better than the swede and could also be worthwhile watching "in running", if that option is available. I also think he is decent value to beat Jacobsen in his two ball at 2.25, FJ far too often undoes good early work at the business end of tournaments.

However, my best bet of the day has to be Yang to beat McIlroy, he is odds against with the tie no bet option and up to 2.625 with the tie ( 1.5 units), you might find bigger later in the day. Unless the Ulsterman picks up a shot or two early , he is surely going to get increasingly cautions through his round and could easily find himself in a position where he is "happy" to finish bogey, bogey, bogey and still ease home, why take too many chances , with such a huge prize on offer ?

Good Luck.

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