Saturday, December 05, 2009





Historically this has been a high scoring fixture and for the footballing purist, one of the most keenly anticipated fixtures of the season. The goals have dried up a little in recent years, but a return to the "good old days" is firmly on the cards this afternoon in East London. Upton Park has seen more goals this season than anyother stadium in the EPL and many have been in the Hammers own net, they have conceded 13 in their last 6 starts here, at an average of 2.17 per game. It is difficult to see the well rested visiting senior players, who have had a couple of free days recently with Sir Alex giving youth a chance, not having a similar level of success.

West Ham are "over" in their eleven starts, with seven of those producing four or more and they are without a single cleansheet in twelve outings, I doubt we will see one today and expect both teams to score. Man U would be my idea of the winners, they can ill afford to lose any further ground to Chelsea and three points here would put pressure on the Blues, who have a difficult early evening start at Manchester City, however, I feel the "over" offers slightly better value and this is a bet we have done well with at the Boleyn Ground this campaign.

6 points "over" 2.75 goals 2.06 asian line.


The average EPL game is averaging 3.04 goals this season and I am keen on seven of todays fixtures producing at least this number today and am very confident of this "over" bet. Already discussed the West Ham fixture and the games at the Emirates, Villa Park, Fratton Park and City of Manchester Stadium absolutely scream goals to me. The match at Molineux is one where both will surely target all three points and could also develop into a shootout, Wolves have had little luck in front of goal recently and are due a change of luck. We need an average of 2.75 to make a profit on this bet, I fully expect one and maybe two to register five, which means we have plenty of leeway with this bet and can still romp home with the odd shortfall.

8 points "over" 1.94 asian line.

Back later.

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