Wednesday, October 13, 2010

WEDNESDAY ....... CONTROL ..........

I have spent several hours this morning looking back at my main selections for the last calender month, there were 26 in total of which 13 were winners, so no damage done, level stakes would have seen me finish just about even. That is a low strike rate for me, but something about which I have no control over.

Results are outside my field of influence , if a striker is going to round the keeper and shoot wide of an empty net, the keeper drop a ball he would catch 999 times out of 1000, or the referee disallow a "good" goal, there is nothing I can do about it. This is gambling, anything can happen and there is no point in me, or you for that matter, beating ourselves up over this, which is something we cannot affect.

However, what we can do is give ourselves the very best chance to win, if I could look at all 26 matches and say to myself that they were all perfect bets, then job done.

Having looked in detail, I am unhappy with four selections ( and one of those traded 26 clicks shorter at kick off !), that is not so bad I guess, 86% of the picks were solid in my opinion and with that rate, I would normally expect to hit nearer 60% with those extra 2.6 winners making all the difference. Of course, there is still room for improvement and now I am giving myself a hard time over those four bets instead of the 13 losers, so maybe not too much has changed, but at least I am focused on something I can improve upon.

Take the time to look through all your bets, however painful that might be at times, be honest, how many were "good" picks ? Soundly reasoned, good value selections that you would bet again if the match could be instantly replayed, we can always look to improve and if we are mainly on the right track pre kickoff , results will always follow, if not this month, then next.

By the way, I was very happy with the Portugal selection yesterday !

Good Luck.

No comments: