Sunday, April 17, 2011


Absolute disaster for me yesterday and April has been a very poor month. March was incredibly good and I have obviously made up my mind to give all the profits back in double quick time !

Very frustrating, but I am sure that I will turn things around quickly, as all long term readers of the blog will know. Not posting any football bets on here today (hooray I hear you cry !), but will put up my basic thoughts on the final round of the USPGA tour event, the Valero Texas Open.

Where the leaderboard looks a lot like this .....

-7 Steele

-6 Tringale

-5 Chappell

-5 Snedeker

-4 Perez

-4 Howell III

-4 Scott

-3 field

The three first named players are very inexperienced and should not really be up to winning a tour event at this stage of their careers. The trio do not have even a top ten finish between them and to suddenly compete at the business end is almost unheard of, today is going to be tough for all of them. Snedeker is solid over the weekend, but he ( one win in 78 starts), Perez ( one in 244) and Howell ( one title in 216) win very infrequently.

Adam Scott should have won the Masters last week and is playing at a very high level, he has finished 6-4-2 in his last three events and is primed to win. Scott is defending champion here and came from four strokes back on sunday last year to win with a 67, so from just three behind today, this should be easy ! He also shot 67 in the final round at Augusta and anything close to that should be good enough to see him go very close this afternoon. Scott is a seven time winner on tour and has another eleven worldwide titles, so a proven winner.

The harsh scrubland here reminds him of Brisbane and the sandbelt greens he knows so well from his youth. The course was designed by fellow Aussie Greg Norman, so that is not surprising and I expect AS to win this. He is very comfortable in the state and his last three tour wins have all come in Texas. Decent value price about the only player on the leaderboard who really knows how to win.

Adam Scott 6.0 + ....... 6.50 + in a place.

Good Luck.

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