It has not been possible for me to post any NFL selections on here this season, like on soccer, our core sport, I have been far more selective with bets this season and games previewed for subscribers to the email service. This has paid off handsomely, with six winning bets from just seven selections, a 86% strike rate, however, it leaves me with little opportunity to post anything on the blog, which I know has disappointed several of you. In addition, I have given one outright bet (reproduced below), the Saints are now favourites in almost every list at around 4.0 (3-1) making the 25-1 we bet at, available only in dreams.
There will not be any previews on the blog today, I only sent subscribers one (very big) bet so obviously that will not be possible to post, so until next week........
SUNDAY SEPTEMBER 13THNFL
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS - DETROIT LIONS
I do not normally like to give up such big handicap starts this early in the season, when many teams are happy just to record a win, but there appears to be a huge gulf in class between these two and in a couple of weeks time, this line would probably be three touchdowns and not two.
Saints have a terrific offense and scored a NFL high 463 points last year, they have brought in defensive guru Gregg Williams to tighten things up on the other side, where they will be far more aggressive this year. If they can get the two to both work, another trip to the Championship game (at least) is on the cards. Quarterback Drew Brees is telling anyone who will listen, that he is a firm believer and said "We all see this window of opportunity that we have and know we don't get many chances like this. We feel like it's our time."
Lions were dire last year and thumped 42-7 by the Saints in week 16, they will probably improve this season,that will not be hard, but I am not sure that throwing a rookie quarterback into the deep end, albeit the first overall draft pick, is a good idea. Matthew Stafford has thrown one touchdown and four interceptions in pre season and is likely to be in for a torrid time from the revamped Saints defense. I take New Orleans and will start our Superbowl book with a little on them too, they have a reasonable early schedule and the chance to build up some momentum.
6 points New Orleans -13 points 1.91 .......... even 13.5 points is acceptable to give up, but look for 13.
2.5 points each way New Orleans 21.0 + 1/2 odds 1,2...... up to 26.0 available.