EPL: WIGAN ATHLETIC - EVERTON
A good transfer window for the Toffees and it is a very long time since we have been able to say that. Nikica Jelavic and Steven Pienaar have joined/returned and both look set to be involved at least on the bench ( Darron Gibson signed earlier in the month), although David Moyes might be loathe to change the team that has just beaten the league leaders. They have made a habit of beating the struggling teams on the road, already posting wins at Bolton, Fulham, Blackburn and WBA. also winning on three of their last five visits here in a stadium where they always get huge travelling support.
Everton almost always pick up after Christmas and in the last three seasons have averaged 1.19 points before Boxing Day and 1.92 after, which is a massive difference and the signs are there for a similar improvement in the second half of this campaign. They trail Newcastle United by ten points in the "best of the rest" race and that will be their EPL target for the rest of the campaign, along with a big run in the FA Cup. Wigan have posted just three wins all season and one in nine, they are almost at the stage where a draw is not much help and we can expect this match to get very stretched after the break. Everton have scored 74% of their goals in the second half and a third of all scored, have come from substitutes, which could be interesting if the new guys start on the bench. In the four Everton road wins I mentioned earlier, six of the seven goals they scored came after the break, four inside the final three minutes, four of Wigan's last five games have also seen late goals ( after the 80th minute). This is another game where you could look for at the in running "over" market as the match enters the final ten minutes, a bet which has served us very well this season. However, for the purposes of the email, I will take Everton -0.5 ball 2.19 asian line.