BIG ODDS WEDNESDAY .....

WEDNESDAY OCTOBER 31st

The Capital One Cup games are not totally without interest, but I prefer to leave them alone today. Chelsea seem sure to name a stronger starting line up than Manchester United , but both have other targets for the season, the Reds also host Arsenal in the lunchtime kickoff on Saturday, so, advantage to the hosts in my book and anything above 2.20 probably offers a shade of value. Norwich City host Tottenham, surely rotation for the visitors, they are now up to 4th in the EPL, that Champions League battle will be season long and AVB has made it clear he wants to respect and name a strong line up for the Europa League, so they do not need any further involvement in this competition. Survival has to be the sole aim for the hosts, but boss Chris Hughton will want a big showing against his former club for whom he played 14 seasons and spent another eight as assistant coach, , if pushed I would say the Canaries were too big for this one, but I would prefer to see some confirmed team news, with City having been unchanged for their last two, they will surely have to rest a couple this evening. It is a similar strory in the Liverpool -Swansea City match, the hosts played two tough matches last week, Anzhi on Thursday and the derby game on Sunday, they still have to go to Russia and Italy in the Europa League and at the very least, have to make a run of some sort ,at a top 4 spot in the league. I am not certain they need this competition, but boss Brendan Rodgers will be facing his former club and that always brings something else into the mix ( not quite sure what this 

time !), Swansea entertain Chelsea at the weekend, but have a nice seven point buffer over the drop zone and I would favour them tonight with the full goal handicap start. However, again, I really would like to be a little more sure about both line ups. I will take the coward's way out and pass !

I will be a little braver in Serie A, despite the debacle at Catania on Sunday and I have three selections here, two at odds of 3.40 +.

ITALY : SERIE A

ATALANTA - NAPOLI

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INTERNAZIONALE - SAMPDORIA


Selection at odds of circa 3.75.....

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PARMA - AS ROMA

Selection at odds of 3.40 + ....


PREVIEW RESTRICTED TO SUBSCRIBERS .......... gowi8@btinternet.com

Good Luck.


Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com

STAND AND DELIVER ! BEWARE THE GENTLEMEN HIGHWAYMEN OF SERIE A !

Well, that was a nice start to our Sunday entertainment ! Catania were well and truly robbed by Juventus, the referee Dick Turpin and his highwaymen who were running the line.

The hosts had a good goal ruled out in the 25th minute for offside/ handball ( because it was against Juve ?), which was first given by the referee and then disallowed wrongly, heated protests followed and the Catania owner and president Antonino Pulvirenti, was sent to the stands.

Juve took the lead 12 minutes into the second half with a goal which SHOULD have been disallowed, the home side lost it after that and were reduced to ten men a short time later.

If Juve avoid defeat in midweek, they will have a chance to make it 50 Serie A games unbeaten against Internazionale next weekend, I would like to view that as something to celebrate, but I have a bit of a sour taste in my mouth at the moment !

Good Luck.

Contact : gowi8@btinternet.com

SUNDAY EARLY EMAIL NOTES ....

 

SUNDAY OCTOBER 28th

Two emails today,  afternoon kick offs are covered here and the follow up will include the later football and NFL action and that will be sent at 14.00 UK time.

 

Three previews here, one each from Italy, England and my strongest news of the early matches, from Ligue 1.

ITALY: SERIE A

CATANIA - JUVENTUS

There are certain teams you are never going to get rich opposing on a regular basis and Juventus definitely now fall into that category, but if you pick and choose your matches and we have done well on the odd occasion we have decided to take on Barcelona, then you can still look to oppose them , just don't make a habit of it ! Juve are unbeaten in 49 championship matches in Serie A, including 23 on the road, but have shown signs of being a little weary recently , this will be their 10th start in the last six weeks and they have had a very disrupted schedule this week. They played in Copenhagen on Tuesday, have been eating lunch at 10.30 each day since their return to prepare for this and also  made the trip to Scicily, so there would have been very strangely timed training sessions this week. We spoke a couple of times last season about how footballers are very much creatures of habit and how they like to prepare for matches in a set way, eating and sleeping at rigid times, the morning kick off has messed this up and I can find no recent record of them playing in the early game previously. They have a home match with Bologna in midweek, before meeting Internazionale, who are coming on strong next weekend, so I can see a point today as being viewed as one won, not two lost. Catania are very strong on home soil, especially early season. they are 3-1-0 this season, drawing with Napoli and are looking to go undefeated through at least five starts for the third year in a row, last season they were 9-5-5 and 3-2-0 after five and in 2010/11 posted an 11-4-4 record and did not lose until their eighth outing ( 4-3-0). Obviously something in the late summer/ autumn air makes them very tough to beat on the island.

H2h wise three of the last five meetings in Catania have ended all square and there must be a very good chance of number four today, which is a result I feel both would be very happy with. Rolando Maran has thrived since taking over from Vicenzo Montella in June and whilst he has some injury concerns today, he will be able to field his preferred 4-3-3 formation and has had a completely free midweek to prepare. The visitors arrive without defender Lucio and Claudio Marchisio, the midfielder is very much amongst the first names on the team sheet and hardly ever misses a match, so his absence might be felt. A couple of Catania players, especially Alejandro Gomez have been linked with bigger clubs and this is a big chance to impress in a high profile match. Draw for me. 1.25 units Catania +0.5 ball asian line.

EPL : 

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FRANCE : LIGUE 1

PREVIEW ONLY AVAILABLE TO SUBSCRIBERS contact : gowi8@btinternet.com  

Good Luck.

Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com

MORECAMBE LINE UP ...

For the match at Torquay United ( see below), Morecambe went with Lewis Allessandra and Jordan Burrow up front, the young pair have 16 goals in 152 appearances between them, just one in 21 this season.

On the bench, they have only been able to name six of the permitted seven players, five of whom have just two appearances between them and doesn't include a striker ( 3 midfielders, 2 central defenders and a keeper).

These are the realities of life for some at the lower levels, a small squad, a few injuries and suddenly, the options dry up.

They might still win, or grab a point, but it will be hard earned and it is difficult to see where the goals are going to come from.

Good Luck.

Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com

SATURDAY ................

LEAGUE 2 : TORQUAY UNITED - MORECAMBE

United had a big, confidence boosting win over runaway league leaders Gillingham in midweek and they can follow up today against a Morecambe side who are short of some key offensive options.

I heard conflicting reports of the Gulls midweek win, some said the visitors were unlucky, others saw it differently, but the consensus was that United played well, they certainly put in a better defensive performance and with the goals flowing at the other end of the pitch, nine in their last four, they can look forward to the coming months. Last season, United went on an amazing run at exactly this stage, after a midweek win on October 25th, they went 13-2-1 for the next four months, averaging over 2.56 points per match. That will be hard to replicate, but we should definitely keep an eye on them in the next week or two.

Boss Martin Ling will have increased options at the back today, with the return from suspension of key right back Joe Oastler, he had only missed two games in the last two seasons before the Gillingham fixture and they had performed poorly in each, so that really was a noteworthy win and the performance of his young replacement, Daniel Leadbitter, was such, that there is some debate over who will start, but I think that is just a smokescreen to keep the younster's morale up and Oastler will surely play.

Morecambe have collected more points on the road than at home, but lost by the odd goal in three in a tough battle at Rotherham in midweek, which will have involved 4-5 hours on the team bus, before spending another six making the journey down here to deepest Devon. Obviously no travelling at all for the hosts this week and they should strip much the fresher of the two in that aspect. The visitors arrive without suspended strikers Richard Brodie (13-2-3) and Kevin Ellison (12-3-2) and injured left back Robbie Threlfall (10-0-0), it is hard to overstate how important Ellison is, he was a 15 goal man last season and is Mr Morecambe. The offensive problems are compounded as two of the only three other options Jack Redshaw and Lewis Alessandra, are carrying knocks and were listed as doubts. 1.25 units Torquay United -0.5 ball 1.98 asian line. 

Good Luck.

SATURDAY ..... A LOSING WEEK IN PROSPECT ?

It looks like I am heading for a losing week and I thought it only fair to mention it, after "only" talking about  winners recently.  As I type I am 5-6 points down, nothing too disastrous, especially after winning ten +points last week and nine the week before and each of the last six weeks, posting a massive 160 points profit over the last 29 weeks. To be honest, it was overdue and I have been expecting it, no one can win all the time, it is impossible, all you can do is keep trying to make correct decisions, maybe cut stakes a little when things go against you and ride it out.

I am not even sure I am in poor form yet, one slight set back means very little and I have gone 4W, 1L and 6W over the last eleven weeks, so maybe I will immediately get back on track.

I take a long term view of things and have been in good form for seven months, I would not say things had turned, until I had lost for a month or more, but that is me. I can only write the previews and place the bets, what happens afterwards is beyond my control. 

I could post much bigger profits too, but I only give selections that are freely available and for good liquidity. Sometimes this is very frustrating, like yesterday when I previewed this Ligue 2 match ....

GUINGAMP - SEDAN

I suspect we will see goal here and they might come early ! Guingamp have struggled for consistency, looking good one week and poor the next, they have both scored and conceded in each of their last six starts and their last ten have averaged 2.8 goals per game. The visitors are also without a clean sheet in six, their last ten have averaged 3.2 goals, but they do arrive buoyed by a morale boosting 4-2 win over Arles last weekend, only their second of the season. They have a good record here in Brittany, losing on just two of their last nine visits and both teams have been on the scoresheet in the last five h2h meetings.  We might see those goals come early, as Guingamp have conceded a massive 58% between the 30th and 60th minute and an incredibly low 12% in the last 15, Sedan also go against the norm and have scored 60% of all their goals in the first half.

Guingamp will be pleased with their 2-1 win at Caen last week and will have striker Christophe Mandanne(10-2-1) back from suspension, defender Paul Babiloni, who has been playing on the left hand side of defence in the absence of Dorian Leveque remains out, and this is a key and troublesome position for them.

Sedan will be without striker Naim Sliti (6-0-0 but less than 300 minutes on the pitch) and fringe midfielders Florian Makhedjouf (7-1-3) and Ahmed Yahiaoui (5-0-0), but have the offensive options to trouble this suspect Guingamp backline.

 Both to score, quite possibly a home win, but the odds on the "over" are better and offer far more value in my opinion. Those early goal stats are interesting and odds of between 3.0 and 3.5 for over 1.5 first half goals are tempting if you can find them, but I will keep things simple. 1.25 units "over" 2.5 goals 2.11 asian line.

Guingamp : Samassa, Planté - Martins Pereira, Bellugou, Cerdan, Imbula, Atik, Mathis, Mo. Diallo, Giresse, Yatabaré, Alioui, Sankoh, Kerbrat, Fauré, Charrier, Mandanne.  

Sedan : Ramé, Perraud - Boli, Bellaïd, Pogba, Dielna, Marcq, Beziouen, Koné, Le Bihan, Mam. Diallo, Diaby, Kinkela, Bongongui, Bijimine, Traoré.

I liked the odds for early goals, but could not put that in red type as it was only available with "European" bookmakers and it is VERY hard for a winning punter to get on with any of them and I expect my subscribers to be winning long term punters. I mention it because some might be able to bet, or the notes might help them get another angle ( their own) on the game.

This was a losing selection, but Guingamp won, there were two goals inside 30 minutes, so the over 1.5 line for 30 minutes was a comfortable winner, but the third and all important goal never came.

I know I think a little different from the norm, but this is a very good preview IMO and the result is kind of immaterial.

On Thursday, I previewed ....

FLUMINENSE- CORITIBA

Fluminense now lead at the top by six points after losing to their nearest challenger Atletico Mineiro last weekend and with the second placed team having a very winable home match up next, Flu will want to ensure the three points tonight and put some additional pressure on their title rival, but things are rarely that easy with big favourites in Brazil and Coritiba have not lost in six and have tightened up considerably as a defensive unit, conceding 32 goals through their first 16 matches and just 17 through their last 16, that is almost a goal per game improvement.  The visitors will have offensive midfielder Lincoln (27-3-6) and striker Deivid (13-6-3) back from suspension and that will greatly increase their offensive threat. They will be without central defender Sergio Escudero (14-0-1) but he didn't play in the 0-0 draw at Gremio last week. Fluminense are at pretty much full strength, just missing the odd long term injured player.

The visitors have tended to keep it tight on the road against the stronger teams, losing 1-0 at both Atletico and Sao Paulo, drawing 0-0 with Gremio and Vasco and they have a good record here, losing just once in five visits. This is an odd one, Flu want to win of course, but a point will have plenty of value, that ensures at least a four point advantage, with five rounds to play. I am torn between the visitors +1 ball and a narrow home win, I just about favour Fluminense to win by a single goal which is available with most companies @ circa 3.50/3.60, this is the draw on the traditional ( -1) handicap , but as it is not possibly available to all of you , I will leave it in black type.

Same situation, not freely available and therefore not in red type, that feels a little like throwing 2.5 profits away ( and I could have done with those this week), but some readers will have been able to bet.

I do not want to spoon feed subscribers, I preview a lot of matches, circa 100 per month, that give them a great deal of options and information and the rest is up to them. The red type selections will make you money LONG TERM, but you will get so much more out of the service by reading the previews fully and using the content, not just on that particular day, but in the future.

The email service is one of a kind and offers unbelievable value, three subscribers have wriiten to me in the last month and said that it is too cheap ! I agree ! 

I will be back later and will post a preview for this afternoon, if at all possible, if not, for the later matches, but remember, I am in "bad form". 

Good Luck.

Contact : gowi8@btinternet.com

WEDNESDAY UPDATE ...

I sent subscribers three previews this morning, two for the North/South American matches overnight and one for the Champions League, it is not possible for me to post any of those on here today. But please check back tomorrow, when I have a very similar day planned,with one Europa League and two Brazilian previews scheduled for the morning email and if it is at all possible, I will post something on the blog, or John will on Facebook, or Twitter.

Full details of the email service can be found here.

Contact : gowi8@btinternet.com

Good Luck.

TUESDAY MORNING ............

TUESDAY OCTOBER 23rd

The new week started well with Nantes beating Dijon 2-0 (see below) and hopefully that will set the tone for the next six days. I am going to do things differently today and will have a follow up email at exactly 19.00 UK time , 45 minutes before kick off, this will probably include two full previews and two slections, hopefully with confirmed starting elevens/ squads.

Three matches to discuss in this email, one each from the Championship, League 2 and the Champions League, there are a LOT of interesting games today and I could easily have previewed double that number in this email alone.

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

I can start with a few words about the Spartak Moscow-Benfica match, no strong opinion from me on this one, but it definitely looks likely to provide entertainment and as it gets the evening off to an early start and I know many of you will be watching, there might be an "in play" angle. Having lost their two opening matches, including here against Celtic , Spartak surely have to look for all three points tonight, their european record here at the Stadion Luzhniki is incredible, incredibly bad that is, posting just one win from 15 home matches at the UEFA Champions League group stage on their synthetic pitch. Given that conditions, playing surface, travel, weather, often strongly favour them, that is an amazing statistic. This Spartak team might also have a bit of a soft underbelly too .....

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SHAKHTAR DONETSK- CHELSEA

 

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CHAMPIONSHIP:


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LEAGUE 2: 

PREVIEW RESTRICTED ... email gowi8@btinternet.com for details

Good Luck.

LIGUE 2: FC NANTES- DIJON ( wriiten 23/10)

A point for the visitors, three for the hosts would take either back into the promotion places, so plenty to play for in front of the television cameras.

Nantes are unbeaten (3-2-0) on home soil, conceding only three goals, however they have been left to stew on a 3-1 defeat at Gazelec for a very long 17 days and will be eager to make amends. Tonight they will be without holding midfielder Lucas Deaux (7-0-2), key left back Gabriel Cichero (8-0-0) just one point and four goals conceded in the two matches he has sat out, striker Serge Gakpe (8-2-1) and midfielder Fabrice Pancrate (8-1-2).

Dijon have lost only once all season (4-5-1), that sole defeat was a heavy 4-2 loss at Niort two games back, they steadied things defensively with a 0-0 draw at home to highflying Angers, where they played 36 minutes with ten men and 18 with just nine, another would serve them well tonight, as they have scored in every away start so far. However, they have a lengthy list of players missing too, with central defenders Ousseynou Cisse (6-0-0), William Remy (5-0-1), midfielder Florent Mollet (10-0-0), plus strikers Gregory Thil (4-1-0), Julio Tavares (3-2-0), Brice Jovial (8-3-2) all out either injured or suspended. They have conceded 4 goals in six with Cisse playing, seven in five without him and aside from Benjamin Corgnet, who left to join Lorient last month, only Raphael Caceres (9-2-0) apart from the missing strikers has scored more than a single goal this season.

Both defences look vunerable today, but Nantes at least have someone more than capable of making use of these of these problems in striker Filip Djordjevic ( 10-9-1) all nine goals came in his last seven starts and you know I love a striker in form ! Just a very small bet for me one unit Nantes -0.75 ball 2.31 asian line.

Nantes : Riou, Zelazny - Alioui, Cissokho, Djilobodji, Madouni, Veigneau, Bessat, Eudeline, Keita, Touré, Trébel, Veretout, Djordjevic, Lee, Mayenga.

Dijon : Reynet, Tchagouni - Diabaté, Bamba, Souprayen, Paulle, Malouda, Varrault, Bérenguer, Sankharé, Paye, Guerbert, Joufreau, Baradji, Koné, Caceres.

 

Good Luck.

 

Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com

TRUTH IS STRANGER THAN FICTION .....

This is so incredible, I wouldn't expect anyone to believe it, but you have all winessed it, so  know it to be true !  18 free to view full previews on the GOWI blog or Facebook page in the last four weeks, just 18, 17 have won and one was a half stake loser. There was a huge amount of  variance there, no one can keep a strike rate like that up, but unless you are a complete novice (and then you really need help ), you should be able to read just one preview and realise that this is a quality product. Make the most of it, the free previews are going to slow to a trickle soon and subscriber spots are running out fast. 50 euros on each of the selections below would have paid for an email subscription until the end of March 2014, circa 830 emails !!!!

25/09 1.25 units Middlesbrough level ball 1,88 asian line FACEBOOK WON !

28/09 Angers-Le Mans  1.5 units "over" 2.25 goals 2.00 asian line GOWI WON !

29/09 1.5 units Omiya Ardiya +0.25 ball 1.98 asian line FACEBOOK WON !

29/09 1.25 units Vancouver-Seattle draw 3.30 +... there is some 3.40 around , 3.44 with Pinnacle GOWI WON !

29/09 Reading- Newcastle United 1.25 units "over" 2.5 goals 2.11 asian line FACEBOOK WON !

02/10 1.5 units Dagenham & Redbridge +0.75 ball 1.88 asian line. GOWI WON !

02/10 1.25 units Guangzhou Evergrande -0.75 ball 1.92 asian line FACEBOOK WON !

03/10  1.25 units Vancouver Whitecaps -0.75 asian line 1.91 line FACEBOOK WON !

04/10 One unit PSV -0.5 ball 2.0 + there is plenty of 2.05 even 2.10 in places if you shop around... 2.06/08 on the exchanges GOWI WON !

05/10 1.25 units Le Havre -0.5 ball 2.28 asian line FACEBOOK WON !

06/10 1.5 units Nottingham Forest -0.25 ball 2.06 asian line FACEBOOK WON !

09/10 One unit Hartlepool United -0.25 ball 2.11 asian line FACEBOOK  HALF LOSE

10/10 Figueirense v Atletico Goianiense 1.5 units "over" 2.5 goals 1.94 asian line FACEBOOK WON !

 

13/10 1.25 units Bournemouth -0.5 ball 1.91 general quote FACEBOOK WON !

16/10 Hungary v Turkey 1.25 units "over" 2.5 goals 2.09 asian line. FACEBOOK WON !

19/10 1.5 units Monaco level ball 1.90 + asian line GOWI WON !

20/10 1.25 units Gamba Osaka -0.25 ball 2.08 asian line FACEBOOK WON !

 

21/10 Atletico Mineiro v Fluminese 1.25 units "over" 2.5 goals 1.97 asian line FACEBOOK WON !

Good Luck.

Contact : gowi8@btinternet.com 

MONDAY .... A QUIET DAY TO COUNT THOSE PROFITS ....

Another ten points profit last week .....

 

Over the last 29 weeks (almost seven months) I have previewed  over 650 events on the email service and put up 568 red type selections, stakes were  a total of 706.5 units and returns 866.92 units, a ROI of 

122.71 % and a profit of 160.42 units.

 

A £50 unit stake would have earned you more than £8,000,  at the rate of over £276 per week, or £1,200 per month. Nearly all selections were freely available to back on the asian handicap, or for big four figure liquidity on the exchanges and all came with a full preview.

BUT THE SERVICE HAS SO MUCH MORE TO OFFER THAN THAT.  

In addition to the red type selections, I have also put up "suggestions" in this sequence that have won at odds of 28-1 LINK  25-1 LINK , 9-1 LINK, 12-1 LINK 8-1 and many others, none of which are included in the profits shown above.

Good Luck.

Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com 

SUNDAY MORNING .....

SUNDAY OCTOBER 21ST

All three Saturday emails made a profit yesterday, J-League, Football League and the late games, actually, the last seven emails this week have, the only losing one was Monday, when we had just the one bet on Oxford United, who, of course, won 5-0 yesterday !

We are circa 11 points up this week and I am not going to lose that today, regardless of what happens, so this will be the sixth winning week in a row and tenth in eleven, but, as I am very fond of saying, this is about more than the basic results and I honestly think there was almost as much to take from that losing preview on Oxford United, as the winning ones.

That is the end of the blatant self promotion.

Just the one email today, only a single NFL (75% strike rate) selection ( four in total) and I have managed to cram everything in, next email will be tomorrow at the standard time of 10.00 UK and I am already excited about Tuesday, when we have a full Football League programme in addition to Champions League and where I have two HUGE ideas.

I am going to leave the PGA Tour event, The McGladrey Classic, alone this week, I will probably jump under the nearest bus if Vijay Singh, who is eight under par and five strokes off the lead and circa 50-1 + wins, but that is a chance I will have to take. He is actually approaching 100-1 on the exchanges, which is too big, but for virtually no liquidity, if one of you are quick and want to throw away a couple of euros, there are worse ways to do it and he is fully capable of shooting low to win, providing his usual stone cold putter warms up a little. For further reasons, see last Sunday's email !

BRAZIL SERIE A: ATLETICO MINEIRO- FLUMINENSE

Top of the table clash with Atletico ..... PREVIEW RESTRICTED

EPL: QUEENS PARK RANGERS - EVERTON

 

PREVIEW RESTRICTED 

BRAZIL SERIE A : ATLETICO GOIANIENSE- SPORT RECIFE

Sport did us and themselves a big favour on Thursday with that 3-1 win over Ponte Preta....

 

PREVIEW RESTRICTED 

NFL: CLEVELAND BROWNS @ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

 

PREVIEW RESTRICTED  

 

Obviously, I am not giving too much away for free here, but John who takes care of the social media pages, but be a little more generous on Twitter or Facebook, so please check them out.

Good Luck.

 

Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com

SATURDAY UPDATE ....

AS Monaco won yesterday ( see below) and you have already had another free preview and winner today (see Facebook) and most of you are probably still eating breakfast !

We are already 8 points + up on the week and I have just sent out email previews of three Football League matches for this afternoon .

Three emails today, first J-League, second Football League and the third at lunchtime the overnight matches and you all know how well we have been doing in Brazil and MLS matches this summer. Of course, subscribers do have to pay the huge sum of 2-3 euros per day to get all this information.

Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com

Good Luck.

FRIDAY: THE HAVES AND THE HAVE NOTS

FRIDAY OCTOBER 19th

Sport Recife won for us yesterday, that's five in a row and five from six for the current week. Good result in San Francisco overnight, with the 49ers winning a defensive battle with the Seahawks 13-6, that takes them back to the top of the NFC West and the quick turnaround this week means they now have an 11 day break ahead of the key divisional game with the Cardinals, which is a big plus and they then have their bye week, before two home games at Candlestick Park, the schedule has been kind in that aspect, but they need to beat Arizona as that would give them a stranglehold on the division.

Next email will be at 16.00 today with a main focus on tomorrow's J-League notes and I might also include an early preview for one of the Football League matches.

Ligue 2 takes centre stage as usual on a Friday evening and I have previewed three matches, putting up four selections.

ANGERS - MONACO

Top of the table clash in Anjou, all credit to the hosts that they have been able to remain competitive and keep pace with the big spending visitors on a playing budget of around one quarter of that available to Claudio Ranieri, but it is only a matter of time before Monaco start to open up a gap at the top. The problem is that they do not have to play at 100% to get results and motivation has been a problem at times, I do not see that as an issue this evening and after  consecutive home draws against teams who should not be able to live with them on a going day, they should be keen to get back on track and motivated against a promotion "rival". After the last international break, Monaco were a little sluggish, so this time round arranged a friendly, making a trip to Genoa to play Sampdoria on Monday LINK, they lost that 2-0 , but there was quite a bit to take from the performance, as much as you can from a friendly anyway and they will progress from that.

Angers are without suspended defender Matar Fall (10-0-0), they have lost just four of the last 24 matches he has played and the Senegalese right back is pretty much the first name on the team sheet and he has missed just one match since early March, his team lost that and were unbeaten in four before and seven after, so this has to be seen as the biggest possible loss. They have several long term injuries and knocks, so numbers and options are already a little limited at the back. In Claudiu Keseru they have an inform striker, battling with Ibrahima Toure of Monaco for top goalscorer honours, the pair are tied on nine, but long term readers might remember how highly I rate Toure and I have no doubt who will come out on top in that battle this season.

I suspect we might well see the best of the visitors tonight and their best is far too good for Ligue 2, hopefully they got those defensive slips out of their system on Monday and with the draw no bet option, I am very keen on them this evening. 1.5 units Monaco level ball 1.90 + asian line.
Angers : Malicki, Letellier - Manceau, Hénin, Boyer, Diallo, Ravet, Auriac, Frikèche, El-Jadeyaoui, Gomez, Doré, Keserü, Couturier, Diers, N'Same.

Monaco : Subasic, Sourzac, Caillan - Kagelmacher, Adriano, Wolf, Kurzawa, Dirar, Mendy, Ndinga, Ferreira Carrasco, Touré, Germain, Ocampos, Appiah, Poulsen, Barazite, Coulibaly, Raggi, Bajrami.

NIORT- LE HAVRE

PREVIEW RESTRICTED

Niort : Roche, Elissalde - Letzelter, Konaté, Bong, Bernard, Ricaud, Gastien, Hébras, Diaw, Glombard, Durak, Gonzalez, Roye, Ouedraogo, Khalis. 

 

Le Havre : Boucher, Placide - Louvion, Genton, Touré, Le Marchand, Nouri, Zola, Mesloub, Bonnet, Riviere, Koïta, Malfleury, Rivierez, François, Fontaine, Mahrez.

NIMES- LE MANS

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Nîmes : Merville, Al-Shaïbani - Parpeix, Poulain, Boche, Sbaï, Haddou, Bouby, Ogounbiyi, Gragnic, Benezet, Koné, Thibault, Ripart, Amewou, Piocelle. 

 

Le Mans : Janot, Beunardeau - Cuffault, Doumbia, Kassai, Buaillon, Kanté, Zito, Thomas, Maurice, Belfort, Baby, Thomert, Ekeng-Ekeng, Derouard, Mendes.

Good Luck.

Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com

GOD OF RAIN .....

I am not a big fan of these international matches, I love the major tournaments, the World Cup, Euro's, African Cup of Nations and Copa America, but the qualification matches leave me cold and the break in domestic football that comes along with them is incredibly frustrating. In Europe, the September and October qualification matches come just when the major leagues are getting going and teams starting, or looking to find some consistency and then we break ! Not really sure what the alternative is, but at least we can forget about them now until 2013. We have 14 full rounds of EPL football between now and New Year, when we break for the FA Cup, so hallelujah !

Of course being a Brentford supporter I should be used to frustration by now, one season outside the bottom two divisions in my lifetime ,they should never have been relegated that year btw and it still hurts twenty years later ! Coasting at Christmas, they somehow found a way to get into trouble, then looked like they had got out of the mire before eight minutes of injury time at home to Notts County and again before that most miserable of days at Ashton Gate, on reflection, sorry, I cannot put myself through this again ! So will leave that story there.

I did post a free preview on Facebook yesterday and I hope you all saw it, it wasn't the greatest preview of all time, or all week, but it was a winner inside 51 minutes, which is more use than a stadium roof in Warsaw. At least I felt I really got to know Italian referee Gianluca Rocchi yesterday and how his mind works ( !), I loved the look on Roy Hodgson's face when Rocchi walked straight past him without even a sideways glance following the referee's first televised kick about !

I saw someone had updated his Wikipedia page to read .....

Gianluca Rocchi (born 25 August 1973 in Florence) is an Italian association football referee and God of Rain.

Good Luck. 

TUESDAY : THE PRICE WAS RIGHT .....

Over the last 28 weeks (six months +) I have previewed  over 630 events on the email service and put up 547 red type selections, stakes were  a total of 679.25 units and returns 829.29 units, a ROI of 122.09 % and a profit of 150.04 units.

 

A $100 unit stake would have earned you £15,004 at the rate of just over $535 per week, or $2,322 per month. Nearly all selections were freely available to back on the asian handicap, or for big four figure liquidity on the exchanges and all came with a full preview.

BUT THE SERVICE HAS SO MUCH MORE TO OFFER THAN THAT.  

In addition to the red type selections, I have also put up "suggestions" in this sequence that have won at odds of 28-1 LINK  25-1 LINK , 9-1 LINK, 12-1 LINK 8-1 and many others, none of which are included in the profits shown above.There was another example of these at the weekend, when I gave one of my very rare boxing previews....

BRITISH AND COMMONWEALTH HEAVYWEIGHT CHAMPIONSHIP

DAVID PRICE - AUDLEY HARRISON

I would say this was one fight too many for Harrison but that was already true several years ago. His last fight of note and there has only been one meaningless bout since then in any case, was against David Haye 23 months ago LINK that was an embarrassment , Harrison landed one punch in three rounds and a large chunk of his purse was withheld for several months whilst the fight was investigated. He is 41 next month and his best and fleeting hey day was a dozen years ago, this is one last pay day for him and I think he will be eager to come out unscathed, against Haye he was much the taller man, but shrunk visible once the fisticuffs started and now he meets a giant of a man in the 2.03m Price, who at age 29, should just be entering his peak years.  Price will also have a madly passionate home crowd cheering him on , he has a 13-0 record ,has won 11 by knockout and his five starts in Liverpool have averaged just 2.2 rounds. He has trained incredibly hard and is taking nothing for granted, speaking of his opponent he said "For him to be under-rated is because he has underachieved and if you watch his fights he has struggled. But he is going to be a big danger to me and I can’t leave anything to chance in the gym. I have been going through the pain barrier everyday but this would be the case no matter who I was fighting. It makes no odds who is in front of me because I have that work ethic.”Price has too much to lose now and simply cannot afford to lose, boxing is all about the money and there is plenty for him to earn in the next couple of years and anything other than a quick win will be seen as a bad result by his team. Harrison has spent more time dancing than fighing in the last couple of years after competing in Strictly Come Dancing in 2011, he lasted six rounds there and I would be amazed if he got as far this evening ! Price can be backed to win inside rounds 1-3 between odds of 3.0 and 3.25 and they look fair quotes and anything over 2.75 offers a little value. One good punch early from Price should end any resistance such as it is likely to be and an early evening for all is on the cards.

I couldn't put it in red type as it was not freely available to all subscribers for high liquidity, but it was possible for anyone who can still bet with european style bookmakers, to get on.  Price won inside 83 seconds of the first round.

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Contact: gowi8@btinternet.com

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