Saturday, April 13, 2013

Saturday update

I asume that you all got got see the Sedan- Gazalec preview on the clubgowi website
yesterday, if not, why not ? Sedan won that 4-1 and whilst the hosts were down to sub 1.90 by the time I posted it on the site, the "over" was still trading at 2.16 and if you want first access to the odds, then sign up to the subscriber service!

If you are checking out the blog/ website/ social media pages, then you are obviously looking for help with your betting, believe me, 2-3 euros per day is cheap, infact, it is expensive not to !

Subscribers have already received two previews today (see below), these were sent at 16.00 UK time yesterday, Ventforet won 3-1, Nagoya 2-0 and it would make your breakfast taste so much better, if you already had those in the bank !

Subscribers received five full match previews for today, they can probably expect seven
tomorrow and we are already far enough ahead on the week to secure a profit even if all of those lose and whilst that is not in my plans, it is a nice safeguard !

Of more interest to me toda,y to be honest, are three points for my beloved Brentford, four wins and they are champions !

Good luck with your betting !

Ventforet Kofu- Kashiwa Reysol
We discussed the visitors last week ahead of their 3-3 home draw with Nagoya Grampus....

Kashiwa Reysol will be on cloud nine after that amazing 6-2 win at Suwon Samsung Bluewings in midweek, with nine Champions League group points in the bag, they can forget about the midweek visit from the South Korean side for the time being and concentrate fully on getting some league points, ahead of a pair of consecutive road games. Left back Wataru Hashimoto remains out injured and they have not kept a cleansheet in the last eight J-League he has missed and both FC Tokyo and Sendai had plenty of joy down this flank in recent wins over Reysol, this is something Grampus can look to exploit.

They drew the home game with Suwon in midweek and are in a very strong position in the Champions League, I feel they will be very focused on the league now for a few weeks and looking to close the gap on Urawa and Yokohama at the top of the table. However, Hashimoto remains out injured and that leaves the visitors vunerable at the back, experienced midfielder Ryoichi Kurisawa is also suspended and they have underperformed without him in the past (he missed the 2-1 loss at Sendai).

Ventforet have had an odd return to the top flight, being unbeaten in three road starts, but losing both home games and failing to score against Nagoya in one of those. However, they are close to full strength and will be really buoyed by a road win in both league and cup in the last 7 days, the 3-1 win at Omiya Ardija in midweek was an especially noteworthy
performance and the goals will have done them a lot of good confidence wise. They will want to win now in front of their own supporters and a drained opponent, missing two key players might be ideal.

However, Kashiwa are full of goals and scored ten in doing the double over Ventforet the season before last. I expect both to score and this match to go over with a degree of comfort. 1.25 units "over" 2.75 goals 2.25 asian line/ Ibramarket.

Nagoya Grampus- Albirex Niigata

Grampus scored three on the road at Kashiwa last week, in my preview I wrote .... The visitors (Nagoya) have won their last two starts and have a good goal scoring record in this fixture, with at least two in six of their last ten visits, with six of the last eight going "over". we have still not seen striker Joshua Kennedy this season and midfielder Jungo Fujimoto (33-2-5 ... last season) is also missing, he has only missed two matches in the last 12 months, but Nagoya did score twice in both. I watched highlights from both their previous road games, a 1-0 loss at Urawa and win by the same margin at Vetforet Kofu, both were much more open than the scoreline suggests and only a combination of the woodwork and some inspired goalkeeping, stopped more goals from being scored. I think we will see that even out here, both to score and "over" will be my selection.

Kennedy and Fujimoto look set to miss out again. Albirex are very goal shy and have only scored 34 goals in their last 44 J-League starts, including three in six this season, they only survived last year by Vissel and Gamba both failing to beat teams with nothing to play for, on the last day of the campaign and seem set to battle relegation for the third year running. they did win 1-0 at Vegalta Sendai last week, but that is a lucky venue for Niigata, this is not, they have won just once in ten visits and that came in a largely meaningless cup game.It is not just a case of Niigata not taking chances, they have too little time on the ball to create many, only having the majority of possession in 7 of their last 40 starts.  Grampus are a team who like to see plenty of the ball, which is probably why they have performed so well in these h2h meetings, that 5-0 loss in Niigata last year aside, which I have to put down as a blip, incredibly enough even in that they had the lion's share of the ball. Last season they had a bit of a soft underbelly and too often let their head's drop, but they look a bit tougher this time round and the point at Kashiwa, where they trailed twice and late winner at Ventforet, hints at a mentally stronger team this year. They were top two in both 2010 (champions) and 2011 and almost snatched a CL spot last season, after being off the pace for most of the campaign. They will expect to challenge for top 3 and to do so, need to win games like this, there is also the small matter of payback for the loss in Niigata last season. 1.25 units Nagoya Grampus -0.25 ball 2.05 asian line/ Ibramarket.
Good Luck.

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