Sunday, February 03, 2008

ENGLAND ... PREMIERSHIP


FULHAM - ASTON VILLA

Hosts have to start winning games and soon, to have any chance of Premiership survival.
At least at Craven Cottage they score goals, their total of 16, is greater than all their relegation rivals.

Villa score a large percentage of their goals from set pieces, the main taker of these is Ashley Young and he is suspended today, missing his first game of the season, which could prove key. MON's side have not kept a clean sheet in 11 starts.

Therefore, we can expect Fulham to score, it they do, it is likely to come early. They are much stronger in the opening 45 minutes, infact, in a first half league table, they would be 6th and pushing for a european spot, they have led in 9 and only trailed in 4 of 24 starts. After the break, they have "lost" 22 points.

I am going to keep things simply and stick to a straight bet, but given these stats, a bet on the Londoners seems likely to offer great hedging potential.

5.5 points Fulham +1/4 ball 2.09 asian line.... now 1.98


Good Luck.

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