MACCLESFIELD - BARNET
I am constantly looking for a team to follow over the coming weeks, one that is playing much better than bare results might suggest and is underestimated by the oddsmakers. If I manage to hit them right, it is possible to back the side solidly for several weeks before the bookmakers adjust their rating. Macclesfield look to fit the bill perfectly and they have been playing well for some time, without getting their just award. The added bonus today, is that they could be facing a team who have been over achieving.
It was a typical recent day at the office for the Silkmen last week, they completely dominated their match at Crewe, where they enjoyed 61% possession, a big number against a ball playing team and created 22 attempts on goal, yet contrived to find a way to lose by the odd goal in three ! The players and coching staff have remained upbeat , have been talking very positively and are confident that they are a top half side.
Barnet have won five in a row, but have not been creating a lot of chances, just 46 all season, only Hereford have managed fewer and their total of just 17 on target, is a division low number. Hosts are averaging six attempts per game more and they have hit the woodwork on four more occasions, so it is clear which team is enjoying the greater good fortune in front of goal. Of course, you can also argue that Barnet are making the best of what they do create, but they cannot continue in such great form, posting these low numbers.
I really like Macclesfield off level ball and even if they do not produce the goods today, they look a side to keep on the right side for a week or two.
Macclesfield level ball 2.20 asian line.
Update: BTW you might read elsewhere that Macclesfield have an injury crisis, once again, this is a case of sloppy reporting, Wilson, Hessey and Backer-Rowley are all unavailable, but they are long term injuries and the trio have been missing for weeks. Brown and Wright are probably both available for selection, giving coach Alexander more options, not fewer.