Saturday, October 22, 2011


"Only" one of my two selections won yesterday, but the pair still produced a 26.6% profit overall and being 8 from 9 on the week is not too bad ! I eventually previewed three matches today and am going to cover another three "in running", which basically means "Pre Match Notes" and a "Half Time Update". Most of you know the form they take, the first is meant to give us a guide to finding a good "in play" situation, the second is a round up on how the first half has played out and the best available bets at half time. The last four of these bets have won, but the real beauty of following these matches so closely, is that we get to know the teams so well and they lead to a lot of future winners. 90% of the matches covered are from the Championship, where I think we have a big edge over the oddsmakers.

Anyway, that is an explanation for those of you that come across my notes for these type of games and I have included a few of you on the mailing list for today. For the rest, just the one selection at present ....

Starting from the top, if Bolton Wanderers- Sunderland can ever be described in that way ! Hosts did us a big favour last week and will definitely be looking to follow up today against a fellow struggler, with the pair separated only by goal difference, albeit a big one given Wanderers dire defensive record. The Black Cats were big spenders in the summer, with only the "Big 5" or the big six sans Tottenham investing more and they will be disappointed with their lowly position. Visiting boss Steve Bruce has had the dreaded vote of confidence and assurance that his job is safe, we all know what that means, safe until the next defeat ! At times his side have shown real potential, like in the 4-0 defeat of Stoke City and the away games at Arsenal ( for thirty minutes) and Anfield when they opened up in the second half. They will be happier here facing an opponent they have beaten in the last four h2h meetings and they have lost only two of their last eight trips to the Reebok, Bruce will also be able to call upon Phil Bardsley after suspension and Nicklas Bendtner who was inelligible to play against the Gunners, he seems sure to go with a more adventurous line up today, after receiving criticism for his formation last week. I expect both teams to go for the win and that we will see goals, all of Bolton's league starts have gone "over", at an average of 4.25 goals and they have not kept a clean sheet since the opening day of the season. Sunderland's last five have all produced at least three goals and early strikes have been a feature with their last four games, seeing five inside the opening 11 minutes, Bolton opened the scoring last week in the 4th minute and conceded in the 2nd minute at home to Chelsea the previous game, so certainly don't rule out plenty of early action. 1.5 units "Over" 2.5 goals 1.97 + asian line.

Good Luck.

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