Sunday, October 16, 2011
Bolton Wanderers won 3-1 yesterday and Ipswich Town took a point , despite Cardiff City being backed off the boards, I can only think that one of the big asian syndicates were backing the Welsh club, but this time it just meant bigger odds for my selection and I had to bet again ..... which was nice ! I am not going to post any football or NFL bets on here today, going to save them for regulars, but there are some notes taken from today's email below.
Whenever you get the chance to see my notes and you all do at times, please read them carefully, as I always say, they are about so much more than the basic selection and it only takes a couple of minutes each day. For example, on Monday, I wrotes those few lines at the very foot of this post about Trevor Immelman, he traded at 340.0 to win earlier this week and is now circa 7.0 !
Most people are too lazy to do a little bit of research, even if I have already done most of the hard work for them, they are "only interested in the red type". Or the "good stuff" as someone recently said to me in an email, he couldn't be more wrong, the "good stuff" is everything between the date and the "good luck" sign off.
SUNDAY OCTOBER 16TH
Decent day on the football yesterday with six of the seven selections winning, but I want to get straight into today's events and will start with the McGladrey Classic, where Webb Simpson is still hanging around the top of the leaderboard and certainly looks likely to claim enough prize money to pass Luke Donald in the Money List. Good news is that Donald has entered the Disney event for next week, that doesn't mean he will definitely play, but he can if he wants to and has shown an intent.
I feel that Simpson will feel a little pressure today and will be thinking as much about the Money List as he will winning the tournament and it could affect his game. He has been paired today with Trevor Immelman, whom I discussed last Sunday and Monday (see below ) and who shot a course record 62 yesterday. Whilst it is very hard to go ultra low two days running in golf, the South African tends to hold his form very well and is driving the ball and putting like a dream. We have already talked about his form in Round 4 and I only wish I had taken my own advice and backed him this week ! Pinnacle have priced him at 2.47 to beat Simpson with the tie no bet option, elsewhere he is as big as 2.625 with the tie, both quotes are WAY too big IMO and the match is more of a toss up in my book.
This is just for advice, but the Top 125 players on Tour after next week who have not already got an exemption, will retain their playing cards for next season, the rest risk being out of a job, at least such a high paying one, so there is huge incentive for these players to do well today, especially those on or around the "bubble". Here are three to keep an eye on 15.32 two ball Billy Mayfair 1.91 to beat Bio KIm, 15.05 two ball Stephen Ames 2.10 to beat Henrik Stenson, 16.26 two ball DJ Trahan 2.50 to beat Lucas Glover.All times are UK as always on the email, Mayfair is an old experienced pro who is a proven winner and currently projected just outside the promised land at 128, he will be looking to improve on his current position here of 33 and is a solid Round 4 player, ranked 22nd this season. Trahan is currently 127 and is actually ranked 46 places higher for Sunday scoring than major winner Lucas Glover. Ames is another long in the tooth gritty competitor, from a family of gritty competitors, he needs a very solid round to improve upon his current projected 137 and looks big to beat the talented Swedish player who has lost his way and is ranked 178 on Tour for Round 4 scoring, which is 127 spots below the Trinidadian Ames. Anyway, three very motivated golfers to keep an eye on.
The early football games xxx xxx x xxxx the rest of the notes are only for subscribers
I must admit to be tempted by Pinnacle's pairing of Tiger Woods and Trevor Immelman in the Frys.com, two golfers who have had huge problems off the course in recent years, with the big difference being that the South African's have not been self inflicted.
Consecutive rounds of 68 are a big improvement for Woods but he has to do a lot more to convince me that he has finally exorcised his demons, or even really started on the long road back. On thursday he putted poorly, but the flat stick has saved him the last two days, when he has been very wayward off the tee and also with his irons at times, of course you could argue that it is all close to coming together, but I am not so sure. He is ranked outside the top 70 off the tee and to me this is worrying, as he is not even trying to hit the ball a long way, being way down distance wise. Immelman withdrew in Boston recently following a death in his extended family, but returned at the Justin Timberlake and shot a very promising 67-67-69-69 for a high finish and his 70-69-70 this week offers further encouragement that the 2008 Masters champion is finally over the illness problems that have plaqued him for the best part of four years. He has shot 67 , 68, 69 the last four rounds he has played on Sunday on Tour and Immelman seems sure to give anyone looking to take on bad boy Tiger, a good run for their money at a tasty looking 2.63 with the tie no bet option.
We really have to keep an eye on Immelman, he looks fit for the first time in several years and the former major winner is still only 31 years old and only just about to enter his peak playing years. He has entered the McGladrey Classic this week and might be fired up by returning to Georgia, the state where he won the Masters. He has now played eight solid rounds in a row and more importantly, gone low in Round 4 the last four times he has played on Sunday shooting 67 , 68, 69, 66 with one of those rounds in a Grand slam event. The US season is winding down, but there are plenty of worldwide events left and he looks a winner about to happen, we have to keep on the right side of the South African.
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