Friday, June 01, 2012


This was the first of two emails sent to subscribers this morning, it contained just two selections at Roland Garros for today ....


I need a little longer with the first Euro 2012 notes, so will include them in tomorrow's email.

I am checking some team news for the Irish games tonight and will forward those previews in about an hour.



I have a soft spot for Kuznetsova, she was huge for us here in 2009 winning at a big price and that was one of two final appearances and five quarter final runs here at Roland Garros in the last six years. Actually, she has only lost at this stage ( third round) in eight previous visits, it hardly matters what form she is in coming into the French Open, the bright lights of Paris, a city she loves, clearly inspire her. 

Agnieszka has had a great year and is up to number 3 in the world, but she is happiest on hard courts ( despite a Junior title at RG) and we have yet to see the best of her on clay and, even on her favoured surface she has lost four in a row to Kuzzy, the Russian has actually won their last five h2h meetings, which included a three set victory here in 2009.

Kuznetsova seems in very good spirits and said after her last match that she had played well " pretty focused" and added that it was a great feeling to be back here, " I love this tournament, even before winning, I enjoy the special atmosphere". SK is a great player, her speed and topspin forehand can make her unplayable here at times, she is inconsistent, but the only constant in her career has been that she has always produced the goods at RG.

I cannot accept her as a 5.70 chance in this match and I don't care if she loses 6-0 6-0 those odds are wrong, maybe if they pushed her on court in a wheelchair those odds could be correct, she also gets a +5 game start @ 2.07 with Pinnacle and that is too big for me too.


Nine year age difference here, with AMG's 30th birthday hurtling towards her next month, that is a difficult time for any sportsman, as we have discussed many times previously and I guess that goes double for a woman. She had a stellar year on the surface last year, but has performed below that level in 2012 and has struggled to build any momentum. Martic took Sam Stosur to 35 games in Madrid and beat Marion Bartoli in the last round and impressed a lot of viewers, especially Amelie Mauresmo, who said that the 21 yo Croatian was improving, had a terrific backhand slice, good serve ( 7 aces no DF's verses Bartoli)  and was prepared to mix things up and come into the net. She outserved Stosur in Madrid, which is very hard to do and should get a lot of free points today and with that endorsement from the knowledgeable Mauresmo ringing in my ears and the 30's calling Garrigues, I have to take a little on Petra Martic to win @ 2.10 + there is a little higher out there.

Good Luck.

Kuznetsova won 6-1 6-2 !!  At odds of 5.70 + .... that is to win btw, not in straight sets ! Absolutely amazing odds !

Martic won too also 6-2 6-1 ! Available at 2.20 in a place or two !

Two selections , two winners, combined odds of over 12.0 and the pair only lost six games between them !

I openly offered subscriptions recently and told everyone that June/ July were my best consecutive months in each of the last two years, it only took 14 hours of June to hit the ground running !

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