Sunday, September 09, 2012

SUNDAY .....

 Nice win for Fleetwood , with JP scoring a hat-trick. This is post number 3,999 and probably not the most interesting as Flu are now trading at 1.81, preview sent to subscribers @ odds of 2.05 this morning, but I wanted to get my Fred fixation over for the day and also to get prepared for that milestone post, where I want to try to give a nice priced selection.

There is life without Fred ! We have discussed the visitors, well, pretty much every round recently, but the last time on Thursday ahead of the 3-1 win over Santos, when I wrote ....

Flu remain without Deco ( 9-1-5) and Fred ( 14-10-4) will sit out his second game in a row, they blew a 2-0 lead at Figueirense in his deadly absence, where perhaps they tried to sit on their lead and invited pressure. They can score and win without Fred, averaging 2.07 points when he plays and 2.14 in the seven matches he has missed. Also out tonight is suspended centre back Leandro Eusebio ( 12-2-0) Flu are unbeaten in the nine starts he has missed , but with fellow central defender Anderson ( 11-1-1) still injured, the absence of Eusebio might be more keenly felt. Teenage Forward Marcos Junior ( 7-1-4) is also unavailable but has only played one full 90 minute match all season.
Fred, Deco , Marcos Junior and Anderson ( see all above) remain out, Eusebio returns from suspension, Valencia is away with the Colombian national team, but the holding player has only seen 127 minutes of league action this season. Points average without their charismatic striker is now up to 2.25 per match and he better hurry back before the coach realises this !
Internacional lose strikers Leandro Damiao ( 19-10-3 league and Copa L)  and Forlan ( 8-2-0) and holding midfielder Guinazu ( 16-0-1) all of whom are on international duty. Key midfielder Andres D’Alessandro (10-1-2) is suspended , Inter have a 50% win rate when he plays, 33% when he sits out and they have lost just one of his last eight starts and he was also sent off ( very early) in that game ! The hosts are also missing offensive midfielder Jesus Datolo (6-1-0), which is a much bigger loss now given the other absences.  Flu have taken over at the top now and will be fighting all the way to stay there, hosts are very short offensively, only one of the available players has scored more than two goals this season and in 23 appearances in all competitions he has only seen out 90 minutes three times ( playing an average of 62 mins). With the darw no bet option,  I strongly favour the visitors. 1.75 units Fluminense level ball 2.05 asian line. H2h wise,Flu have lost just once in six visits here.

Good Luck.


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