Sunday, March 30, 2014

La Liga betting preview: Real Valladolid- Almeria

La Liga: Valladolid- Almeria

Big game for these two and on the back of a tough week for both. We previewed Almeria's midweek draw with Valencia.....

This is a tough ask for Almeria, Real Sociedad on Monday and Valencia on Thursday, the players have not trained much, it has mainly been about recovery and tactics for today. However, they players have claimed not to be tired at all and that are are buoyed by the fantastic win over Real, a result which has given them a realistic chance of survival, especially if they can follow up with a point or more this evening. They also get right winger Jonathan Zongo ( 11-1-2) signed in the transfer window, back from injury after missing out on Monday and likewise top scorer Rodri (18-7-1) from suspension, so the option to freshen up a winning team with two regular and key starters.

Almeria fought back from 2-0 down at the break to earn a share of the spoils and on the back of the match on Monday, we have to think there is not an awful lot left in the tank, after giving everything and then a little extra over the two games. This will be their third start inside five and a half days and having to travel yesterday and the clocks changing and losing another hour of sleep, is not in their favour. They have traveled without suspended defensive midfielder Verza (28-7-3) and injured left back Sebastián Dubarbier (24-1-0), they will miss the threat and cover of Versa, who scored twice against Real and also both goals in the 2-0 defeat of Atletico, two of just three wins in 2014 and oh yes, he also scored in the other ! They are without a cleansheet when Dubarbier misses out , conceding 14 in six.
Hosts also played on Thursday, but did have a little more recovery time leading up to that, as they played their previous game on Saturday, so in terms of freshness, they should have a huge edge. They are without suspended centre back Stefan Mitrovic who has played every minute of the ten games scheduled since his arrival on loan from Benfica in January, but otherwise have no problems. A win would take them above three clubs, including Almeria and out of the drop zone, at least for an hour or two and that is a massive incentive. They have beaten both Villarreal and Barcelona here since the turn of the year, so will fancy their chances and with Valencia and Real Madrid their next two visitors, know that things will only get harder after today.
I feel the temptation for the visitors will be to play for what would be an all important point, but they seem poorly set up to do so, especially given their two missing players and they have conceded two or more in each of their last five starts. I feel the early kick off on top of a gruelling schedule puts them at a massive disadvantage today. 1.5 units Valladolid -0.75 ball 2.25 asian line/Ibramarket.

Valladolid: Jaime, Mariño, Rukavina, Marc Valiente, Rueda, Peña, Bergdich, Álvaro Rubio, Baraja, Víctor Pérez, Rossi, Jeffren, Larsson, Óscar, Omar, Guerra, Osorio, Manucho.

Almeria: Esteban (1) , Julián Cuesta (25),  Rafita (20), Nelson (22), Torsiglieri (2), Marcelo Silva (3), Trujillo (5) , Mané (21),Aleix Vidal (8), Marcos Tébar (6), Corona (15), Azeez (31), Soriano (23), Barbosa (11) , Suso (17),  Oscar Díaz (9), Rodri (10) , Jonathan (19).

Good Luck.

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