Thursday, October 19, 2006

LIBEREC-SEVILLE ........


Despite being UEFA Cup holders, I do not think Seville will see tonight's match as a must win game. The competition is now in the group stage, so plenty of time to recover from one upset and they have already stated that the league and especially, Champions League qualification, is their priority for this season.

They travel without Navas, Adriano and Puerta, as well as two, longer term injured players. My opinion is that they would be very happy not to make the trip and to accept one point.

Opponents, Slovan Liberec, look a very competent side. They have just lost their first domestic match of the season, after 10 starts, no doubt they had one eye on tonight's game. Slovan came within 11 minutes of qualifying for the group stage of the Champions League, losing out to Spartak Moscow.

They have performed well in Europe losing only 1 in 4, of over 40 starts. That record is even better against Spanish sides who they have met in 3 ties, progressing on each occasion, infact, they won 5 of the 6 matches.

Liberec will be up for this match and maybe we cannot say the same about the visitors. There is no doubt that Seville have the greater class, but they seem a very short price to me for a match they do not HAVE to win. Think the odds for the home win are huge at 4.50 on the exchanges, but feel a lay of the Spanish side or the +1/2 ball option (same thing), is the way to go.

4 points +1/2 ball Liberec 1.93 betfair.... or a lay of Seville circa 2.06/2.08.

Good Luck.

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