SUNDAY NOVEMBER 11TH
Here is today's email in it's entirety, once again the three early football selections all won, Spurs 4-0, Hartlepool 6-0 and Heerenveen 1-0, that's 5 from 5 on email exclusives in the last two days with a, 18-0 goal difference !
TENNESSEE TITANS - JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
Titans defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth has not practiced all week, after staring last time out, with 3 sacks. His linemate, defensive end Travis LaBoy, is in a similar position and likewise, running back LenDale White has only had limited practice.
Jax also have a somewhat beat up defensive line, but have only been beaten by a big score, by the free scoring Saints and Colts teams and the Titans do not fall into that category. Infact, 5 of their 8 games have been decided by 4 points or less, 4 of them by 3 or fewer, including the reverse fixture, which they won 13-10 and choose to run the ball , all day long.
Given all this ,I have to side with the visitors getting 4.5 points start. For the system players amongst you, there is plenty of comfort. The Jags are 6-0 ATS coming off a double digit loss and the Titans are 9-21 ATS as a home favourite of between 3.5 and 7 points. You can make these stats support almost any claim, if you look long and hard enough, but they are hardly negative.
Game is absolutely vital to the playoff aspirations of each and neither will give up without one heck of a battle, close game, take the points.
5.5 points Jacksonville +4.5 points 2.01 Pinnacle/ Vegas line.
SONY ERICSSON CHAMPIONSHIPS
JUSTINE HENIN - MARIA SHARAPOVA
Henin leads the h2h 5-2, but Sharapova's record on hardcourts, is a far more respectable 3-2, including a loss here last year at the semi final stage, where she was very slow to get going. They have very similar lifetime records on this surface (indoor hard). Let's be honest, this season, the quickest route to the poor house, has been to oppose Henin, but we are just talking about one game and my bet on the russian, has little to do with the belgian player and is all about Sharapova's form and belief, which I touched upon on Friday. She looks back to her best, or close to it and is worth chancing a little, at very nice odds.
4 points Sharapova 3.0 general quote.
GAINSBOROUGH TRINITY - HARTLEPOOL UNITED
Trinity have two key midfielders very doubtful for this afternoon, they may both start, but if they do, will be less than 100%. Their coach made a very telling comment, when admitting that "we have already fulfilled our ambition by getting to the first round". That is probably being realistic, given the 3 leagues plus between the two sides and his teams poor form, they have won just 4 from 14 league starts, conceding an average of two goals per game and lie in 15th place, in the Blue Square North division.
Pool are a very decent League 1 side, with playoff ambitions, they want a commanding performance after boss Danny Wilson slated them, following their midweek loss to Huddersfield. They should make their class tell and the cica 80 league places between the two clubs apparent.
6 points Hartlepool -1 ball 1.93 asian line.
TOTTENHAM - WIGAN
Spurs took things very easy at Hapoel Tel Aviv on thursday, especially "sulky sally", Dimitar Berbatov. They know that coming ahead of the international break, this is a massive game for them and could easily define how the rest of the season unfolds. Anything less than 3 points , will leave them in the drop zone and seriously adrift of even the mid table positions, which are really their immediate target. Wigan are without a coach and have lost six straight, conceded 11 in 4 and have not recorded a win in three months, ok, 12 weeks then. Anything less than a convincing win, is going to leave the White Hart Lane faithful very disgruntled, but I think they will have optimism restored, come late afternoon.
6 points Tottenham -1.25 goals 2.0 asian line.
NETHERLANDS ... EREDIVISIE
VITESSE ARNHEIM - HEERENVEEN SC
A win for either of these two, will take them above Twente and into 4th spot in Eredivisie. However, looking at current form, the visitors stand head and shoulders above their hosts and also the rest of the division. They have won 4 in a row, including inflicting a first domestic defeat of the season on PSV, last weekend. Heerenveen have smashed 16 goals in those victories and only leaders, Ajax have scored more this season.
Top scorer Afonso Alaves has 10 goals to his name, only one fewer than the entire goal shy Vitesse team, infact, only one team outside the relegation zone has scored fewer than the home team. HSC have a wonderful record here and have not lost this millenium, boasting a 0-3-4 tally, including a 3-1 win here last season, where Alaves scored all 3. Away win and Alaves to steal the headlines yet again, with a goal or two.
Update... hosts miss key midfielder Yakubu, who has been ever present this season.
6 points Heerenveen level ball 1.86 asian line.
SPAIN ... LA LIGA
VILLAREAL - SEVILLE
Both these two played in europe in midweek and whilst it is true that Villarreal rested a lot of players for the trip to the Czech Republic on thursday, it is also true that Seville were already back in Spain and training, by the time Villa kicked off. The visitors have all their striking options available once again and have a fine record in this fixture, not losing in 5 visits here and only conceding 3 goals in 7 meetings.
Since new coach Manolo Jiminez took over, they have faced a daunting run of fixtures, coming up against Valencia and the two Madrid's, only losing to Atletico by the odd strike, in a seven goal thriller. So today's fixture will hold little fear, they are still targeting a top 4 finish and are capable of achieving that.
Villa are without 4 players today, including top scorer, Giuseppe Rossi.
6 points Seville +1/4 ball 1.84 asian line.