Wednesday, May 04, 2011

CARLSBERG DON'T DO SPORTS BETTING BLOGS ............ IF THEY DID ..............



As many of you know I have been writing the blog for over five years and despite not posting as often in recent months, have written some 3,600 + posts and circa 1.4 million words of content, enough to fill about 15 novels.

My blog output is now just a very small part of my betting portfolio and as such, is going to be increasingly subject to variance. If I am betting 15-20 games in a week and putting maybe one or two on here, there are going to be periods when all the losers, or all the winners are posted, it is kind of pot luck.

Regardless of which, there is still tremendous value in reading the blog IMO and I think that in the coming weeks I will get back to posting a little more, even if they are not all pre match previews.

I am happy to stand corrected, but I believe that over the last five years, no sports betting blog anywhere on the internet has come even close to posting the kind of quality previews and results I have, especially covering this number of events, it is simply impossible ! However big headed that might sound, it is true and I will put the full five year results up online shortly.

Every full year has shown a MASSIVE profit, I am a little behind in 2011 but have posted very little and doubtless will once again be in front come the end of the year should I carry on blogging.

2006 through 2010 the blog made a ROI of between 112.14 % and 137.75% those are astonishing returns and levels of consistency and we are talking about a large number of selections, not one or two hand picked here and there, which make the figures all the more remarkable.

Talking about all my selections for the last 12 months, not just those posted on the blog, I have been a little up and down with more swings that normal. I had a huge summer last year, with fantastic returns right through June, July, August and September, following on from an amazing early year result in the NFL when I posted a season's worth of profits in a few weeks, either side of those,it was not so good. That is very unusual, I would normally expect to be far more consistent and not on a roller coaster ride as regular long term readers will already know, but as I always say, this is gambling and anything can happen !

It is clear that I have an ego, you cannot do what I do without having a fairly high opinion of yourself, it wouldn't work otherwise. My pride has been hurt by a few comments received in the last few months by just a few readers of the blog, I tried to explain that with fewer bets winning/losing runs can always be more extreme, but some people seem to get more fun out of "knocking". No one has to read the blog, or bet anything I post, I am writing it for me, not for you. Having said that, this is the reason I have decided to post the full results today............ if you can point me to a better blog/service elsewhere then please do, I would love to read it ! Not one that has been running a few weeks btw and restarted on another web address after posting poor results on a previous website, like much of the spam I get !

Anyway, take a look at the figures and good luck with all your bets today.


2006 STAKES 991.5 RETURNS 1,154.806 ROI 116.46 %
2007 STAKES 1,187.5 RETURNS 1,331.677 ROI 112.14 %
2008 STAKES 482.5 RETURNS 664.675 ROI 137.75 %
2009 STAKES 548.5 RETURNS 642.43 ROI 117.12 %
2010 STAKES 225.13 RETURNS 259.585 ROI 115.30 %
2011 STAKES 42.5 RETURNS 39.585


TOTALS 3,477.63 RETURNS 4,092.758 ROI 117.69 %


All stakes/ returns have been converted to the current format used, which is basic single stakes, with occasional double or half stake selections.

Selections given for the old format, have been converted at the following rate.... 7 points plus ( double stake) sub 2.5 units ( half stake) and all other selections a basic one unit.

2006
ENGLISH
EPL STAKES 55.0 /RETURNS 64.59
FOOTBALL/ NON LEAGUE 180.0 /185.51
DOMESTIC CUPS 13.5 /10.315
FRIENDLIES 18.5 /28.19
SCOTLAND 37 /39.72
FRANCE 55/ 73.155
GERMANY 50.5 /64.535
ITALY 35.5 /34.405
SPAIN 44.5 /42.075
BELGIUM 1 /1.5
NETHERLANDS 12.5/ 9.53
DENMARK 1 /1.76
SWEDEN 40/ 47.42
IRELAND 5.5 /7.51
NORWAY 17.5/ 21.68
PORTUGAL 7/ 6.22
FINLAND 7 /11.23
EUROPEAN CUPS 71 /73.83
HORSE RACING 14/ 31.9
GOLF 80.5 /119.286
SWITZERLAND 3/ 3.79
ASIA 1 /1.95
SOUTH AMERICA 3 /2.38
RUGBY LEAGUE 2/ 3.70
TENNIS 100.5 /121.39
NFL 16/ 14.99
POKER 4.5 /5.09
ATHLETICS 1/ 3
NBA 1 /1.90
BOXING 2/ 1.75
INTERNATIONALS 111 /120.505
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS 991.5 / 1,154.806 ROI 116.462 %

2007

NFL 39.5 /40.823
NETHERLANDS 24.5 /32.31
ITALY 63.5 /77.023
SPAIN 53 /59.71
NORWAY 8.5 /14.515
EUROPEAN CUPS 66.5 /69.185
SWEDEN 20/ 15.66
GOLF 72/ 61.324
USA 8 /6.11
SCOTLAND 45 /50.459
INTERNATIONALS 73 /101.574
IRELAND 10.5/ 9.20
EPL 51.5 /52.755
FOOTBALL/NON LEAGUE 237 /278.102
DOMESTIC CUPS 43 /53.285
FRIENDLIES 19.5 /28.21
GERMANY 43.5/ 48.965
FRANCE 110.5 /106.568
TENNIS 146 /162.864
AUSTRIA 2 /1.82
ASIA 12/ 14.2
FINLAND 9 /14.21
SOUTH AMERICA 19/ 23.715
DENMARK 1 /0
NBA 6 /5.47
PORTUGAL 1.5 /1.81
SNOOKER 0.5/ 0
POKER 0.5 /0
RUGBY LEAGUE 1 /1.81
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS 1,187.5 / 1,331.677 ROI 112.14 %

2008

EPL 40.5 /56.885
FOOTBALL/NON LEAGUE 118.5 /132.57
DOMESTIC CUPS 22.5 /28.025
FRIENDLIES 2/ 3.72
SCOTLAND 20/ 27.185
NETHERLANDS 12 /15.99
INTERNATIONALS 26 /36.47
ITALY 29/ 72.705
GERMANY 7 /3.16
SPAIN 20.5 /25.66
USA 10.5 /18.605
FRANCE 47 /52.418
EUROPEAN CUPS 44/ 67.39
NFL 28.5/ 42.42
TENNIS 23.5 /40.48
GOLF 13.5 /15.382
IRELAND 5 /6.39
RUSSIA 2.5 /5.62
NORWAY 1 /2.06
SWEDEN 1/ 1.87
AUSTRIA 1/ 1.92
DENMARK 1 /0
SOUTH AMERICA 2/ 0.5
ASIA 1 /0
FINLAND 1 /1
ATHLETICS 2/ 5.25
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS 482.5 /664.675 ROI 137.75 %

2009

EPL 50.5 /68.395
FOOTBALL/NON LEAGUE 155/ 187.565
DOMESTIC CUPS 17.5/ 23.295
FRIENDLIES 7 /9.03
SCOTLAND 14/ 17.87
SPAIN 22.5 /27.025
FRANCE 40.5 /38.41
IRELAND 14 /19.18
SWEDEN 5 /11.14
NORWAY 4 /3.035
DENMARK 2 /3.98
ITALY 27.5 /28.42
NETHERLANDS 9 /7.55
SOUTH AMERICA 1/ 0
GERMANY 14/ 7.08
USA 9 /9.02
EUROPEAN CUPS 48.5 /45.225
INTERNATIONALS 19 /19.17
INTERNATIONAL CLUB 8/ 0
CYCLING 1 /3.20
GOLF 34 /51.62
NFL 10 /12.44
TENNIS 35.5/ 49.78
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS 548.5 /642.43 ROI 117.12 %

2010

EPL 30/ 28.69
FOOTBALL/NON LEAGUE 74/ 85.07
DOMESTIC CUPS 12 /16.86
FRIENDLIES 2 /0
INTERNATIONALS 36 /48.405
SCOTLAND 10 /12.17
FINLAND 1 /0
SWEDEN 1 /0
FRANCE 17/ 16.04
NETHERLANDS 2/ 0
GERMANY 2/ 2.17
ITALY 7 /4.80
SPAIN 3/ 5.71
PORTUGAL 1/ 0
IRELAND 2/ 2.45
EUROPEAN CUPS 10/ 15.40
GOLF 5.13 /8.87
CYCLING 1 /1.91
TENNIS 4 /3.99
NFL 5/ 7.05
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTALS 225.13/ 259.585 ROI 115.30 %

I will reviews these figures, best/worst leagues/sports in a later post. If anyone wants to contact me about the blog, my personal daily notes, or anything related, then please email me on stencelwade@btinternet.com

Good Luck.

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