GREEN BAY PACKERS - CHICAGO BEARS
Packers defense is really tight, giving up just 16 points per game. Offesively the bears are averaging just 15 points, so we are pretty much on the number there. Even though they have got no running game to speak of, very few teams are going to keep the resurgent Packers and Brett Favre to under 20 points. Bears will struggle to run the ball against Green Bay and through the air they are .... hopeless.
5 points Green Bay -3 points 1.83 Vegas Line.
DENVER BRONCOS - SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
Discussed the Broncos last week, who are very talented but are capable of shooting theirselves in the foot. However, they have an amazing 17-3 record against the AFC West at home. Chargers are struggling to get anything going offensively and will probably not go down the aerial route too often, against the league's best passing defense. On the ground they have star running back LaDainian Tomlinson, but he cannot get his act together either and ran for only 16 second half yards verses the Chiefs last week.
5 .5 points Denver +1 point 1.95 Vegas Line
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS - CAROLINA PANTHERS
Panthers showed little fight or heart in the dire loss to Tampa Bay last week, they still look set to be without Jake Delhomme and star receiver Steve Smith has been having tantrums. This is a must win game for the 0-3 Saints, who will be motivated, prepared and rested, after coming off a rest week.
6 points New Orleans -3.5 points 1.98 Vegas Line.
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS - CLEVELAND BROWNS
Frightening prospect for the rest of the NFL, if the Patriots did not look strong enough, they now have Rodney Harrison returning, after missing the opening 4 weeks. Only real negative for them, with everything going so well, is that they have had a short week, after playing the Monday night game. The Browns coach spent several years at New England as Belichick's defensive co-ordinator, he might be able to come up with a way for his offensive minded team to score a couple to touchdowns and maybe run the Pats close, certainly closer than the 16.5 point line, which really tempted me. However, in the end, I have sided with the "over".
5 points "over" 48.5 points 2.02 Vegas Line.