Sunday, June 08, 2008
EURO 2008 ..........
GERMANY - POLAND
On paper, Germany look too strong for Poland, but football is never that simply and we only have to look back to 2006 World Cup, when, despite dominating the game, it took an injury winner for Germany to pinch the points.I do think that they will win, but cannot get involved in the match odds at the current quotes.
I understand from the local media that Joachim Low is set to field all of Klose, Gomez and Podolski, which should be fun to watch, however, with Jansen at the back also looking to get forward at every opportunity, they could be vunerable to the counter attack, especially down that flank .
Likely line up ....
Friedrich - Metzelder - Mertesacker - Jansen
Fritz - Ballack - Frings - Podolski ( Schweinsteiger)
Klose - Gomez
Poland seem to lack some quality on the left side of defence, which Germany will be looking to exploit and also make the most of their physical size at set pieces, where the Poles have been very vunerable in recent starts, particularly against the USA. They have an inferiority complex against the Germans, have not won in 15 meetings, failed to score in 6 of the last seven and have also not scored in their last five opening matches in major championships. I do not think that they will be overly adventurous today, in the World Cup, their only goals came in their final start against Costa Rica, in what had become a friendly.
I have the suspicion that they will go into their shell tonight and will happy to keep the game scoreless for as long as possible. Going to take a little on the Germans to keep a clean sheet and hope that out top goalscorer selections, can notch a couple at the other end.
4 points Germany to keep a clean sheet 2.10 exchanges/ asian line.