ACCRINGTON STANLEY - BRADFORD CITY
I do have some admiration for Stanley, their crowds are poor, but they are well run under the circumstances and always press for the win at home, where they draw very few matches. Since returning to the league, they are 8-2-17 at home, regardless of whether they are one or two goals ahead, they will push forward, giving any visiting teams a chance. The other advantage for the away side, especially one as well supported as Bradford, is that they can often have the bulk of the crowd, I would be amazed if less than 60% of the fans in attendance today were not following the visitors.
Stanley have lost 5 from 6 starts and only a last minute goal earned them a point in the sixth. Both are missing players today, but Bradford have huge resources at their disposal and a better quality squad by far. They have goals in them, only free scoring Shrewbury and Dagenham have registered more and a repeat of last years 2-0 win here, is my selection. Given the lack of draws at Accrington, I did consider the straight away win, but the odds were only a little bigger than the asian line and decided to take the added insurance of the quarter ball.
6.5 points Bradford -1/4 ball 1.82 asian line.