I did promise to post something on the blog today, so will put up both of my email selections , but all the value has long since gone. The Spain bet has been backed in from 1.81 to 1.65 and the "over" on the England game has not only come in a full 1/4 ball , but is also at lower odds !!!! Win or lose, subscribers are already ahead of the game.
UEFA U21 CHAMPIONSHIP QUALIFICATION
ENGLAND - WALES
England hold a 3-2 lead from the first leg, are sitting on a 26 match unbeaten run and should have far too much for this very young welsh team. In the match at the weekend, England started with 11 premiership players, at least eight of whom could be termed starters in one of the two toughest leagues in the world. Most are very experienced at this level, James Milner for example, has an incredible 39 U21 caps. To put all this into perspective, although showing promise, only three of the entire Wales squad, are even affiliated to Premiership clubs and even those,barely have a start between them.
The match is being played at Villa Park, so home ground for Milner and Gabriel Agbonlahor. Wales will not be able to sit back for too long and have been very adventurous recently, with six of their last seven starts being "over", on the road, they have really "gone for it", scoring nine in their last three, including three times in an impressive "must win " game in Romania. The match is likely to get very stretched as it progresses and I think that we will see goals again this evening.
6 points "over" 2.75 goals 1.84 asian line.... now 3 goals 1.73 !!!!!
SPAIN - SWITZERLAND
Shock result in the first leg, when an impressive come from behind win by the Swiss, enabled them to win 2-1. It was even more noteworthy as they were without Almen Abdi, Blerim Dzemaili, Jonas Elmer, Julian Esteban, Claudio Lustenberger and Kay Voser, as they will be again this evening in Murcia. Many consider Spain the best team in Europe in this age group and in the group stage, they had a 100% record, winning all eight starts, with a 14-0 goal difference in the home games. Obviously they have classy individuals and replacements in every position on the pitch and it would be a major surprise if they failed to qualify. As you might expect, the Swiss have been stronger on home soil and suffered group road defeats in Norway and Macedonia. They did manage to qualify ahead of the Netherlands, but the defending champions have clearly gone backwards and paid the price for a far too negative approach in qualification. Huge gulf in class and I expect Spain to turn things a round and certainly take greater advantage of the huge number of chances they are creating.
6.5 points Spain -1.25 ball 1.81 asian line. NOW 1.65