Wednesday, January 20, 2010
I know that many punters like to follow the money on the asian markets, but anyone that tracked the line on the Manchester derby game last night, would have had their fingers well and truly burnt.
Having started the day favourites for the first leg, City drifted all day long and once the team news was confirmed, were absolutely friendless in the market. I saw them trade briely at 2.72 level ball pre kick off, they may have even gone higher and for such a high profile game, this is one of the biggest drifts (from circa 1.85), I can remember in recent times.
Of course, anyone that took United off level ball, were unfortunate not to at least get their money back, they controlled much of the game, City got a fortunate penalty and were running on empty in the last quarter, but somehow managed to hold on. I did not bet on the game personally, but it made for great viewing and sets up the second leg nicely, where I am certain that Carlos Tevez will be "warmly" welcomed on his return after last night.
Elsewhere the Bees are out of the FA Cup for another year (one day !), Doncaster left it late to find a winner, but had chances to put the tie to bed very early and were probably deserved winners overall. The pitch, as I explained earlier in the week was in poor condition and after the opening 5-10 minutes, "under" backers were never in too much trouble. Tough seven days ahead for the Bees with games against Norwich and Southampton, two of the better Division 1 teams, but both matches are eagerly anticipated by supporters.
I do not feel much like writing match previews at the moment, so will not be putting a bet up today, but I am sure that this will wear off soon enough and definitely before the weekend. However, I can tell you that I am reasonably keen on Benin today, getting a handicap start against Egypt . The Pharaohs have already secured progression as group winners and will rest a number of key players today, there has also been in a virus doing the rounds at their headquarters and given the tough conditions in Angola, they will welcome the opportunity of an easy day. If the Squirrels can eliminate some of their defensive errors, they have the attacking threat to take a point and who knows, maybe even seal a famous victory, which even if it wasn't enough to secure a quarter final place (and it won't be), would send them home happy.