Tuesday, April 27, 2010



I have lost count of the number of times that Stanley have blown a 2-0 lead at home in the last two seasons, they are very gung-ho here, just do not know how to sit on a lead and continue to "go for it" regardless of the score.

Which is ideal for Barnet, who will secure their Division 2 safety with three points tonight, a draw will not change too much, as they travel to Grimsby, a team who are inform and the one looking to replace them in the sanctuary of 22nd place, at the weekend. Their season then ends with a home game against already promoted Rochdale, which is not a bad fixture, but Dale are very talented and if Barnet have not collected the points by then, the pressure on them might prove too much to handle. They have vowed to go all out for the win tonight and to put this matter to bed, they are kind of "freerolling" as defeat would leave them in a similar position to drawing, so there is little point in sitting back and they are well aware of the situation.

Hosts are 9-1-11 here, so you will see how rare draws are in any case and home fans have seen a league high 74 goals this season and they have played a game less than most other clubs ! We know what to expect from them, they will push forward and then do so some more, the score at the time being almost immaterial. That is not to say they are without ability, they can outplay the best this division has to offer at times, it is just that it is often only for 70-75 minutes.

They do not have a clean sheet since I was last in short trousers, ok, that is a slight exaggeration, they have managed one in the last three months, but have conceded two or more in their last five home starts, 13 in total and surely Barnet will be relishing this fixture, well, maybe not relishing, but if you had to pick an away fixture that would give you your best chance of victory, this one would be right up there near the top of the list.

If forced to big a winner, I would definitely opt for the visitors, but do not think either side is capable of keeping a clean sheet, so given Stanley's home record and Barnet's urgent need for three points I have to take the "over". Especially given the North London club's record on the road (4-2-15) with 42 goals conceded, a total only "beaten" by Darlington.

"Over" 2.5 goals 1.94 asian line..... this is now trading at some ten clicks less, which is obviously not as attractive, but might rise slightly nearer kick off, or be available "in play" if you are prepared to be brave and wait !

Good Luck.

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