Wednesday, May 05, 2010


The games are really coming thick and fast at the moment, with many countries having double rounds in an effort to get some prep time in before the World Cup, which starts in just over five weeks !

I have taken a view on four games today, however, most eyes outside of Spain, France and Italy will be on the match at the City of Manchester Stadium, where City and Tottenham will do battle, with both hoping to emerge in pole position for that final and much desired remaining Champions League spot.

I like the "over" 2.75 goal option pre match (currently on offer @ 2.02), but am likely to get more involved during the course of the action. Happy Harry Redknapp knows that a draw would suit his side well, especially with a trip to Turf Moor on the last day of the season. Burnley's early season home form was enough to worry even the big 4-5-6 in the EPL, but it is many months since anyone has taken the field against them without feeling superior and usually left the pitch with all three points and a boost to their goal difference. So I expect his side to start slowly, as is normally the case with them on the road, get as many men behind the ball as possible and try and keep things tight. Infact, since last October in matches against EPL teams, that is seven months and 15 away starts, they have only managed two first half goals, one came after 27 minutes, the other deep in first half stoppage time.

Harry likes the other side to make the early running and then look to shuffle things around a bit. City are also often a little slow to put forward and I have noted that they have only scored inside the opening 37 minutes in one of their last seven starts, that in the game at the aforementioned Turf Moor, when Burnley defended like nine year old schoolkids and home fans were making for the exits after eight minutes of "football" !

In their last five outings, City have scored an incredible seven times between the 38th and 58th minute, coming on strong immediately before and after the break.

Therefore, I shall probably be looking at the "over" market in play if we are scoreless after say 20 minutes, or looking to get with City shortly before their golden period, even more so if Spurs have managed an early lead. Especially as the home side will be forced to go all out for the winner.

This is always the kiss of death............ but I cannot resist ...... I am expecting to be entertained tonight !

Good Luck.

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