Saturday, August 28, 2010


I am hoping to bounce back today after the terribly bad luck we had with the York City bet in midweek, which I promise to never mention again !!!

Just basic notes about a couple of games and I might put up one more later in the day, but want to try and get to see a game this afternoon, so am unsure about precise plans at the moment.



Swans have not really had the reward their very attractive passing game has deserved yet this season. They have a terrible opening day record anyway, but it was never going to be their day at Hull, when Rangel was injured in the pre match warm up , meaning they had to change everything around very late and then hit the woodwork immediately before conceding. In their other road start at Norwich, they completely dominated the game, pinning the home side deep in their own half for almost an hour and then with time running ou, missed a penalty, before conceding an own goal ! Norwich boss Paul Lambert described the Swans as a "top,top side" and easily the best they have met so far. Few teams will go to Carrow Road and enjoy over 60% possession. At the Liberty Stadium they are much more effective, losing just six of their last 49 starts and destroying Preston 4-0 here a fortnight ago. Scott Sinclair a talented youngster whom Brendan Rodgers knows from his time under Jose Mourinho, has been added to the squad , he looks too good for the Championship and gives them an increased cutting edge.

Burnley have made a good start on their return to the Championship, but have yet to prove much away from Turf Moor. In their only road start at Ipswich they needed a 92nd minute goal to earn a point and were happy to sit back and let the Suffolk side have possession. Those tactics will suit Swansea perfectly, they are the best passing team outside the EPL and seem sure to get plenty of chances, with the visitors without an away clean sheet in 17 months !

Swansea -0.25 2.01

Division 1

Leyton Orient-Exeter City

Orient should strip much the fitter of these two and have firmly targetted this as a must win game, after resting several players for their home Carling Cup game with EPL side WBA in midweek. Hosts have yet to fully fire, but were free scoring in pre season and signs are there that Russell Slade's team are about to come good. There was plenty to like about their point away to Southampton last week and they can build on that against a City side that were devastated by the death of Adam Stansfield and who will be without three of their four starting defenders today, with huge problems in the centre of defence, leaving them with very few options. It is not as though they have been tight at the back in any case with two + conceded in all three starts so far. At the other end of the pitch they have managed just four attempts on target in two league outings, they have scored all four (!) but that strike rate cannot continue indefiniely. City will come and try to play football regardless of their problems and that will suit Orient.

Orient -0.25 1.85 +

Good Luck.

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