Saturday, September 10, 2011

SATURDAY NOTES ...... written 20.06 Friday


As regular readers know I am not a big fan of Wycombe Wanderers, they were a little fortunate to have got promotion ahead of Shrewsbury Town last season IMO and do not appear to have got over their defensive woes this campaign. I saw them three times last season and they left some huge gaps at the back on home soil, really struggling to defend against any side with a little pace out wide and able to pass the ball in the final third. I heard that they were poor against Bury who were running them ragged around the penalty area at Adams Park recently and it was the same story against Nottingham Forest when we backed the visitors in the Carling Cup a couple of weeks back. It is not like they are creating too much at the other end of the pitch, with Wanderers having the fewest attempts on goal in League 1, actually they have managed 13 fewer than the next lowest, ten less if we only count those on target and are averaging almost five per game fewer than today's opponents, the mighty Brentford FC .

The Bees have done some very useful loan business this week with the addition of Miguel Llera a central defender from Blackpool and Blair Adams an England U20 international left back from Sunderland whom Brentford have been chasing for months, but he picked up a knock and the Bees had to wait. The pair are very mobile , good technically and look fantastic additions to an already strong squad. We saw the benefits of that last week when they went to Walsall ( 7-3-3 at home in the previous eight months) missing six starters and came away with all three points. Now they have terrific options in almost every position ( maybe a little short up front just now, but that will be addressed this coming week I understand, with a back up striker coming in) and I expect them to beat this average Wycombe team. Bees fans always make this short trip in large numbers and should make up around 30% of the crowd and 90% of the noise. Hopefully Uwe Rosler and team have done their homework, I know they watched them in the JPT Trophy in midweek, but quite a few players were rested, but a look at the Bury and Forest videos and they have been going over them at Griffin Park, should tell them all they need to know. The Bees match up well here and off level ball they have to be my pick. 1.5 units Brentford 1.86 level ball asian line.

I must hold my hands up and admit I thought that Keith Hill would have got more out of Barnsley, the early signs were good and pre season went well, but they have yet to find that form in the regular season, especially up front and they have failed to score in five of their seven starts, posting just one win, which came at Reading where the home side missed two penalties in the first half and keeper Luke Steele was in amazing form, making at least five world class saves. They are without five players today, at least three of whom would have started and Hill once again has limited options. His Leicester City counterpart Sven GE has no such problems and has been signing up all and sundry, making full use of the cheque book of Vichai Raksriaksorn . He added £4m Jermaine Beckford to his striking options during the transfer window and apparently also put in a circa £7m bid for Jelavic from Glasgow Rangers. Having scored nine in their last three starts anyway, including three against promotion rivals Southampton, they will fancy their chances at Oakwell, where the Tykes have already conceded three to the Saints and are yet to claim a point. City have a very tough sequence of games ahead, with their next five matches coming against Brighton, Cardiff, Middlesbrough, Derby and Birmingham, all high flying and / or amongst the promotion favourites, so will be going hell for leather for maximum points today. City did the double over Barnsley last year scoring six in the process and look a little happier on the road at present, away from the pressure of the King Power Stadium, where the level of expectation is huge. David Nugent is sidelined, so Beckford will come straight in and look to get back to his free scoring ways. Big difference in class, hard to see any Barnsley player getting into the City team and the visitors should take the points here. Leicester City -0.5 ball 2.0 + ... there is some 2.05 in places.

I like the way that Wolverhampton Wanderers have approached the season so far and hope that Mick McCarthy will continue with the attacking policy and look to take the game to teams, especially at Molineux. Today they host Tottenham Hotspur who will be going all out for the win after having plenty of chances early, but ultimately losing easily to both Manchester clubs in their only two starts to date. Spurs will have new boys Scott Parker and Emmanuel Adebayor in the starting line up, but be without Rafael van der Vaart. Spurs suffered in the Manchester City game without a holding midfielder, Nasri and Silva coming in from out wide caused them huge problems, Wolves keep a lot of width, so that should not be a concern today, but Spurs have Parker now in any case. Goals are on the cards here, last year saw six shared in this fixture and ten in total across the two games, both look much stronger going forward at present.... "over" 2.75 goals 2.33 asian line.

I am not going to really discuss the ........... going to leave the rest of the notes for regulars,there were two further selections, including a MAXIMUM double stake bet for this afternoon.


Good Luck.

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