Tuesday, September 13, 2011


I have previewed five matches today, putting up two strong bets, I cannot post either of those on here, but the other three are below. Huge, huge week in prospect for me and I am contemplating two maximum stake selections, one at 3.75 and another at 11.0. Champions League, Europa League, two rounds of lower league football this week, golf, NFL etc ......... it doesn't get any better than this !

I watched quite a bit of Colchester United's last two starts against Scunthorpe United and Leyton Orient, they collected a point from each, but should have lost both. Scunny played them off the park and even reduced to ten men were the better team, Orient fell behind and were a bit low on confidence being without a win in the league, but dominated the second half and found a late equaliser after hitting the woodwork three times.This is a big game for Brentford, they face a potential title challenger at Griffin Park on saturday and three points tonight will enable them to go into that game in a far more relaxed frame of mind. The Bees are going to change things around tonight and go with a far more adventurous line up. It will definitely be two up front and probably Harry Forrester too, playing in a slightly withdrawn role, which is his preferred position. Blair Adams and Michael Llera should both make their starting debuts, Adams is a very offensive left sided defender who will add to the attacking options, the Bees have chased him for two months and he is seen as the "missing link", the loan is initially for three months. Time for a commanding performance from the Bees, United usually come to GP and look to shut up shop, but seem more expansive under John Ward this year. A game the Bees really ought to win. Brentford -0.5 ball 2.08 asian line.

Going back to Leyton Orient, they finally look to have turned the corner after a terrible start to the season, they lost confidence after a 5-0 thumping at Brentford, but were really not that bad that day and could have gone in at the break ahead ! They did some quite good business in the summer, bringing in experienced players who should have improved them overall, but for whatever reason they have not gelled as a team until recently. Tonight they host Bournemouth who are in freefall, sooner or later selling so many players was going to catch up with them and it has..... big time, losing five league games in a row, conceding 13 goals in total, at least two in each. Last straw for home fans was the 3-0 loss to Chesterfield, previously without a win and they protested afterwards, which ended up with an on pitch slagging match between chairman and supporters. O's have played well in road draws with Chesterfield ( good form line) and Colchester ( where they deserved the win) and finally got a few goals in a 3-2 Carling Cup defeat of Bristol Rovers before that. Last week they added Tottenham Hotspur keeper Ben Alnwick ( one month),Huddersfield Town midfielder Tom Clarke on loan and striker Kevin Lisbie on a short-term deal. All three started at Colchester and the improvement in performance was immediate, dominating very long periods. I take them to get a much needed three points and for the visitors to replace Orient at the foot of the table. Leyton Orient -0.5 2.14 asian line.

With Milan and Barcelona in their group, it is very difficult to see Viktoria Plzen or BATE Borisov sitting back tonight and three points will be seen as essential if either harbour any thoughts of making the knockout stage of the competition. Hosts do have goals in them, that we know and scored 18 in qualification, including nine against FCK and Rosenborg, two teams with a lot of Champions League experience. All of their home games went "over" and they conceded in each, the first goal in the last two, before recording come from behind wins. BATE made the group stage three years ago and that was a real group of death with Juve, Real Madrid and Zenit their opponents, they will be pleased that they are joined in the role of whipping boys by Plzen and with both having achieved their aim ( dream in Plzen's case) of reaching this stage, they should be able to play without too much pressure and look for the win tonight. I do not think the hosts can keep any experienced european team out for 90 minutes, so we should see goals. "over" 2.25 goals 1.97 asian line.

Good Luck.

contact : stencelwade@btinternet.com

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