Wednesday, September 28, 2011


Wednesday September 28th

Wins for Jeonbuk and Ipswich Town our two main ( red type)bets and also Inter and Lyon in the Champions League at big prices, made for a good day yesterday and when a late, late "ding" came in the Pompey- Posh fixture, I thought it was going to be 5 from 5, but unfortunately it came in favour of the visitors.

I watched a very interesting Football League game last night, but will save my thoughts on that until the weekend.

In the Champions League, we all know how good Porto are, but I feel the oddsmakers have ( once again) under estimated Zenit St Petersburg. Long time readers will know that I have a very soft spot for the Russian club having taken huge odds for them to win the UEFA Cup in 2008, but I am trying to put sentiment to one side for now. The Portugese champions already have three points in the bag and with consecutive games against APOEL up next, I am pretty sure that they would take a point from this here and now. They had a tough game with Benfica on friday evening and look set to go with the same line up tonight, they call it 4-3-3, but Fernando plays directly in front of his back line. Either way we are going to see a crowded midfield with home boss Luciano Spalleti claiming a 4-3-1-2 but it is really a slight variation on the 4-6-0 formation he used with great success at Roma. It is going to be similar to the Porto- Shakhtar line up on matchday 1, which the hosts won 2-1, much of the game was played out in midfield, but eventually Donetsk were too unwilling to change formation, which Porto did to some degree and then ill discipline cost SD dearly, with far too many fouls being conceded. Spalleti is far more flexible and open to tactical changes and is likely to be more pro active. He will have spent plenty of time talking to Bruno Alves his hugely experienced defender, who spent 12 years at Porto as man and boy until last year and knows the club almost as well as any man alive. He will not play tonight, but his knowledge will be invaluable, Semak and Malafeev are both big doubts, but the keeper might still make it. Fredy Guarin is suspended for Porto. After losing in Cyprus, where they were perhaps too defensive, Zenit cannot afford another defeat and getting them off level ball, when Porto do not need the win, is something of a no brainer for me, especially at the odds offered. Zenit St Petersburg level ball asian line.... this was a bet for me at 2.20, but odds have tumbled this morning, so I have to leave it in black type .

In the Championship, I am again going ............

Please take a moment to read the "Freebie list" box on the left hand side of the blog.

Good Luck.

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