Wednesday, August 29, 2012




Huge game for Fluminense, three points could take them top of the table, at the very least it would keep them within a point of leaders Atletico Mineiro, who face two tough road games next week. They will be without suspended Samuel ( 12 matches- 4 goals -0 assists) and injured trio Deco ( 9-1-5) , centre back Anderson (11-1-1) and left back Thiago Carleto ( 5-0-0). Deco hasn't played in five matches, during which Flu have collected 13 points, or Anderson for even longer, over a month.
Fred has continued to shine, with nine goals and four assists in just 1098 minutes of Serie A action for Flu, so, one or other every 84 minutes he is on the pitch. Plus a 60% lifetime strike rate in Brazil, which must have Lyon wondering if the right player boarded the plane to France, at least for the last two years of his contract !

Corinthians are missing suspended centre back Paulo Andre ( 14-1-0) , they have collected just one point from five starts when he hasn't played. Also out are forwards Jorge Henrique
 ( 21-3-2 all comps and the visitors are unbeaten in all 21 of those) and Paolo Guerrero ( 6-0-0). They are in mid table no man's land, have already achieved their target for the season ( a Copa Libertadores title) and arrive here on the back of two really tough games against Santos and Sao Paulo, both of which they lost by a single goal, after leading .With little to play for, it will be tough for them to get up for a third game against another motivated opponent inside ten days. Flu have won the last two h2h meetings by a single goal and that was the margin of their four most recent wins, a fifth looks on the cards. 1.25 units Fluminense -0.5 2.26 asian line
I put this match up last night, odds are now down to circa 2.13, but I still feel it offers a little value and doubtless the quotes will continue to fluctuate between now and kick off, so you might get better at some stage. 
Good Luck.

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