Tuesday, August 21, 2012


Over the last 20 weeks I have previewed  over 440 events on the email service and put up 363 red type selections, stakes were  a total of 440 units and returns 549.74 units, a ROI of 124.94 % and a profit of 109.74  units.
 A £10 unit flat stake would have won £1097.4 euros at an average of almost £55 per week . 

60 euros would have earned you 6,584 at the rate of 330 euros per week.

$200, a whopping $21,948, at an average of almost $1,100 for each of the 20 weeks.

Almost all selections were freely availbale to back on the asian handicap, or for big four figure liquidity on the exchanges. More details at the foot of this post.


I am going to stick with the Football League fixtures today and will start with a few stats.

It is very hard to win both opening matches in the FL and over the last three seasons only 32.8 % of teams that took maximum points on Matchday 1 have won their second start, that equates to a price of 3.05, of course, some of these teams would have met in their second start, but I don't think we have to get too caught up with that, as you could argue that, with perhaps a sub 30% chance of a draw, that should not decrease the overall chances of one of them winning.

Eleven teams have been priced significantly shorter to win again this midweek and might be possible to oppose, I am going to take on two of them and a couple of others, including Hull City and Barnsley are available at much higher odds than that 31.5 % chance of winning. Of course it is not quite that simple.... if only !

BTW, before someone picks up on this, of the teams that did win twice a very high 67% of them played on the road in the second match, so, be a little of wary of teams playing at home tonight on the back of opening road wins, especially at shortish odds.

Looking at the attempts on goal count, there are some fun stats. Shrewsbury Town had 19 attempts .....all off target, which is very hard to manage, so, congratulations to them, Aldershot had two, both on target and won 2-0 away to Plymouth Argyle, boss Dean Holdsworth was absolutely deadly in the lower leagues ( especially in the Brentford promotion team of 91-92) and must have passed something on to his strikers.

Portsmouth fielded eleven debutants in front of almost 18,000 loyal supporters and were denied by the woodwork three times ! FL newcomers Fleetwood Town created a league high 22 attempts on goal, Southend United were next best with 20, but lost 1-0 at home to Accrington Stanley. Crawley Town had an incredible 654 attempts last season in L2 and clearly intend to carry on in the same vein at the higher level, with 19 including ten on target in a 3-0 defeat of Scunthorpe United, that total last season was 105 more than any club in L1 and 150+ more than Swindon Town who went up as L2 champions and whom host Crawley tonight, but before you rush to back the visitors, be advised that Paulo Di Canio's men won both meetings last season, by an aggregate 6-0 , that's statistics for you!

Scunthorpe have now let in eight goals in two starts ( league and cup) and allowed 54 attempts on their goal in those pair of matches !

I am going to take in a match tonight , at the moment I am undecided about whether to go to Aldershot-Exeter City or Watford- Ipswich Town ( exciting life !), my heart is obviously telling me I should be at Griffin Park, but I will be getting updates from there anyway. If it is possible ( Watford has been a problem before), I will send a brief update from "my" game and Brentford-Yeovil Town at half time, just a few lines for anyone who is interested and thoughts on how the betting lines look at the break, but no red type selections, just so you know.

Anyway, down to business and I have two previews for today.....


Good Luck.

In addition to the 20 weeks red type selections detailed at the top of this post.I have also put up "suggestions" in this sequence that have won at odds of 28-1 LINK  25-1 LINK , 9-1 LINK, 8-1 and many others, none of which are included in the profits shown above.

You can view five years of stats on the blog here LINK and on that page there are further links to more detailed country by county and sport by sport breakdowns, back in the day, most of my picks were on the blog, now just a very small sample.

You can read an explanation of how the email service works and also nine day's worth of recent emails in full on this LINK , including one complete week.

CONTACT :  gowi8@btinternet.com

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