Friday, August 10, 2012


Since last writing, I have sent nine new previews and had one selection outstanding, eight of those have now been decided ...

MEXICO  won 2.13
BATE won 2.11
SEATTLE SOUNDERS (strong bet) half win 2.06
VASCO DA GAMA (strong bet) won 2.02
USA won 2.14
USA OUTRIGHT( very strong bet) won odds 3.0-3.25

Two more have yet to be decided, one of which, the Dijon- Tours match, is reproduced below , the bet for that game, given @ 2.04 is currently trading at around 1.92, but is sure to fluctuate further, one way or the other, during the course of today.



We have spoken about Dijon in both rounds so far, in their opener, the Guingamp coach felt his team should have scored four and he was not too wide of the mark, last weeks notes and highlights from their first match are reproduced below. They then played out a wide open, fiesty encounter at Le Mans ( brief highlights here) , where again, Dijon looked suspect at the back, especially aerially and the home side could/ should have had two plus goals. On Tuesday, they shared four goals with Chateauroux in the cup and it is incredibly hard to see them keeping a cleansheet, unless by default and a shootout seems very likely whenever they play, even if the actual score of games have not quite borne that out so far. Tours two league matches have both produced four goals and they shared six with Le Havre last night in the Coupe De La Ligue. H2h wise, the last six meetings here have gone "over", with three of the last four producing at least four goals. But this is all about how Dijon have approached their opening three games for me. 1.5 units "over" 2.25 goals 2.04 asian line....I have also seen 4.0 in a place or two for Tours to score twice, which looks too big, if it is available to you.

LE MANS - DIJON (written 03/08)

Home keeper Georgi Makaridze remains out, the Georgian stopper impressed in a struggling Le Mans side last season, he kept 5 clean sheets in thirteen 2012 starts, just 11 goals in total and four defeats in that sequence, a run which probably saved his team from relegation, it came anyway due to financial irregularities, but they were subsequently re-instated and opened with that already discussed 2-2 draw at Lens. They started slowly and 18 yo replacement keeper Quentin Beunardeau must have been terrified, after conceding twice inside 14 minutes on his debut., he will play tonight. Also out is versatile fullback Jason Buallion and this is a small squad with limited options, especially wide at the back, albeit one which showed huge heart and fighting spirit last week.

Last week I wrote ...Dijon only lasted one season in Ligue 1, a couple of players got a taste for the high life and didn't want to perform at the lower level again, central midfield duo Younousse Sankhare and Bennard Kumordzi look on their way out now and neither is in the squad today, also injured is fellow midfielderThomas Guerbert and the very powerful trio will be sorely missed in the centre of the park.The club have a new president and new coach and this might be a season of transition for them and teams coming down have struggled in recent camapigns.

They somehow beat Guingamp 1-0 at home, but the visiting boss was at a loss as to how his team didn't score at least four, he was right to a degree, his team missed at least three one on one's , hit the woodwork and had much the better of a wide open game, there are six minutes of highlights on this link, which will give you some idea of how the match played out. Guingamp won the midfield battle and Dijon will again be without that same trio in the centre.

I think we will see goals tonight, Le Mans have a squad largely prepared for a lower level and short of options, Dijon have a touch of class, but are suspect at the back, especially down the right and made some frightful errors against a physical Guingamp side. 1.5 units "over" 2 goals 1.92 asian line.

Le Mans : Beunardeau, Viot - Cuffaut, Bamba, Adenon, Doumbia, Kassaï, Kanté, Zito, Derouard, Sanson, Sylla, Cissé, Belfort, Koura, Momi.
Dijon : Reynet, Tchagouni – Bamba, Varrault, Cissé, Paulle, Diabaté, Malouda, Baradji, Corgnet, Mollet, Paye, Berenguer, Caceres, Jovial, Koné, Thil.

Good luck.

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