With both teams in fairly decent form, given their humble performances this season, I really like the "over" here.
Burnley have won 3 from 4 and were unlucky not to make it 4, coming away from Elland Road empty handed, after dominating the second half.
They need 2 points from 4 fixtures to be 100% safe from relegation, but with 7 clubs below them and with 6 points, a superior goal difference and this match in hand, over the bottom three, they should feel comfortable enough.
City are in a run of 6 wins in 10 starts, a sequence which has seen them climb to mid table safety.
The Canaries have drawn only once in 17 outings since Boxing Day and will probably stick with their game plan of simply trying to outscore opponents. Norwich have suffered with injuries all season and have been forced to draft in three teenage defenders, who may all have to start this evening.
Their away fixtures have produced 65 goals, a total only "beaten" by Southampton. Sitting back is not really an option for them, as further denoted by their lack of an away clean sheet in 15 starts, since early November.
The home win has some appeal, but I feel the "over" 2.25 goal line, is a more attractive offer.
5.5 points over 2.25 goals Burnley-Norwich 1.98 asian line. Result 3-0 + 5.39 pts